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Summary

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%%%Matlab Code

%Probability given by classifier to be tested q = 0.01:.01:.99; %True probability p = 0.8;

Expected_Surprisal = p*log(q) + (1-p)*log(1-q);

figure; hold on; plot(q, Expected_Surprisal,'b','LineWidth',2); [minSurprisal optimalChoice] = max(Expected_Surprisal); plot(q(optimalChoice), minSurprisal,'*b') xlabel('Probability Assigned to True Event'); ylabel('Expected Logarithmic Score');

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