2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin

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2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin

← 2014 November 8, 2016 2018 →

All 8 Wisconsin seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 5 3
Seats won 5 3
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 1,270,448 1,379,998
Percentage 45.81% 49.76%
Swing Decrease 6.55% Increase 2.95%

The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin were held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Wisconsin, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including President of the United States and U.S. Senator from Wisconsin. The primaries were held on August 9.

Wisconsin was one of two states (along with Virginia) where the party that won the most seats did not win the most votes in the state, although not every seat was contested in Wisconsin.

District 1[edit]

2016 Wisconsin's 1st congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
Nominee Paul Ryan Ryan Solen
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 230,072 107,003
Percentage 64.9% 30.2%

Precinct results
Ryan:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Solen:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Paul Ryan
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Paul Ryan
Republican

Republican incumbent Paul Ryan, who had represented the 1st district since 1999, ran for re-election. This district had a PVI of R+3. Since October 29, 2015 Ryan sat as the Speaker of the House.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]

Campaign[edit]

Nehlen filed campaign papers to run against Ryan on April 1, 2016, and officially launched his campaign on April 14, with the opening of his first campaign office in Kenosha, Wisconsin.[2] Nehlen claims to have been a Paul Ryan supporter and worked for his election in earlier campaigns but at least one conservative media report has questioned that claim.[3]

According to a Janesville Gazette report about his campaign launch, "Nehlen declined to talk about issues such as abortion and would not say what presidential candidate he supports or whether he would support a Republican running for the presidency."[4] Nehlen ran on a platform calling for secure borders, enforcement of existing immigration laws, and reduced government spending, and he opposed the Trans-Pacific Partnership treaty.[5] On May 5, 2016, Nehlen pledged to support Donald Trump for the presidency.[6]

The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reported on July 14, 2016, that Nehlen had hired Dan Backer as his campaign treasurer.[7][8] Backer is nationally known for his fundraising activities.[9][10][11][12]

In an August 2016 radio interview, Nehlen suggested that the United States should "have a discussion" about the possibility of deporting Sharia-adherent Muslims living in the country.[13] The remark occurred when Nehlen was asked about his thoughts regarding the dispute between 2016 Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump and Khizr and Ghazala Khan, the parents of Humayun Khan, an American Muslim Army captain who died in a suicide bombing while serving in Iraq in 2004. During the interview, Nehlen also said that every mosque in the United States should be monitored for signs of potential radicalization.[14]

Because of Nehlen's support for Trump, Trump publicly thanked him on Twitter and later told The Washington Post that Nehlen was "running a very good campaign", even though he did not endorse him.[15][16][17] On August 5, 2016, Trump endorsed Ryan's re-election after pressure from fellow Republican leaders.[18]

Endorsements[edit]

Paul Nehlen
Statewide officials
Organizations
Individuals
Paul Ryan
U.S. Executive Branch officials

Results[edit]

Nehlen lost the Republican Party primary to Ryan by 68 points.[23][24]

Republican primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Paul Ryan (incumbent) 57,364 84.1
Republican Paul Nehlen 10,864 15.9
Republican Write-ins 15 0.0
Total votes 68,243 100

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
  • Tom Breu, plumbing engineer[27]
Declined[edit]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ryan Solen 14,639 58.9
Democratic Tom Breu 10,142 40.8
Democratic Write-ins 86 0.3
Total votes 24,867 100.0

Libertarian primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]
  • Jason Lebeck, I.T. technician[29]

Results[edit]

Libertarian primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Jason Lebeck 195 97.5
Libertarian Write-ins 5 2.5
Total votes 200 100.0

Independents[edit]

  • Spencer Zimmerman, appears on the ballot as "Trump Conservative"[30]

General election[edit]

Results[edit]

Wisconsin's 1st congressional district, 2016[31]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Paul Ryan (incumbent) 230,072 64.9
Democratic Ryan Solen 107,003 30.2
Independent Spencer Zimmerman 9,429 2.7
Libertarian Jason Lebeck 7,486 2.1
n/a Write-ins 255 0.1
Total votes 354,245 100.0
Republican hold

District 2[edit]

2016 Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
Nominee Mark Pocan Peter Theron
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 273,537 124,044
Percentage 68.7% 31.2%

Precinct results
Pocan:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Theron:      50–60%      60–70%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Mark Pocan
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Mark Pocan
Democratic

Democratic incumbent Mark Pocan, who had represented the 2nd district since 2013, ran for re-election. This district had a PVI of D+17.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mark Pocan (incumbent) 71,461 99.5
Democratic Write-ins 395 0.5
Total votes 71,856 100

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]
  • Peter Theron, mathematics professor and nominee for this seat in 2008 & 2014[26]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Peter Theron 12,866 99.4
Republican Write-ins 79 0.6
Total votes 12,945 100.0

General election[edit]

Results[edit]

Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, 2016[31]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mark Pocan (incumbent) 273,537 68.7
Republican Peter Theron 124,044 31.2
n/a Write-ins 479 0.1
Total votes 398,060 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3[edit]

2016 Wisconsin's 3rd congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
Nominee Ron Kind
Party Democratic
Popular vote 257,401
Percentage 98.9%

Precinct results
Kind:      80–90%      >90%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Ron Kind
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ron Kind
Democratic

Democratic incumbent Ron Kind, who had represented the 3rd district since 1996, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 56.5% of the vote in 2014 and the district had a PVI of D+5.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
  • Myron Buchholz, retired teacher[32]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ron Kind (incumbent) 33,320 81.2
Democratic Myron Buchholz 7,689 18.8
Democratic Write-ins 7 0.0
Total votes 41,016 100.0

General election[edit]

Results[edit]

Wisconsin's 3rd congressional district, 2016[31]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ron Kind (incumbent) 257,401 98.9
Republican Ryan Peterson (write-in) 169 0.1
n/a Write-ins 2,800 1.0
Total votes 260,370 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4[edit]

2016 Wisconsin's 4th congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
Nominee Gwen Moore Robert Raymond Andy Craig
Party Democratic Independent Libertarian
Popular vote 220,181 33,494 32,183
Percentage 76.7% 11.7% 11.2%

Precinct results
Moore:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Raymond:      70–80%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Gwen Moore
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Gwen Moore
Democratic

Democratic incumbent Gwen Moore, who had represented the 4th district since 2005, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 70.2% of the vote in 2014 and the district had a PVI of D+23.

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gwen Moore (incumbent) 55,256 84.5
Democratic Gary George 10,013 15.3
Democratic Write-ins 128 0.2
Total votes 65,397 100.0

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Declined[edit]
  • Dan Sebring, automobile repair shop owner and nominee for this seat in 2010, 2012 & 2014

Libertarian primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Results[edit]

Libertarian primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Andy Craig 127 100.0

General election[edit]

Results[edit]

Wisconsin's 4th congressional district, 2016[31]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gwen Moore (incumbent) 220,181 76.7
Independent Robert Raymond 33,494 11.7
Libertarian Andy Craig 32,183 11.2
n/a Write-ins 1,051 0.4
Total votes 286,909 100.0
Democratic hold

District 5[edit]

2016 Wisconsin's 5th congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
Nominee Jim Sensenbrenner Khary Penebaker
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 260,706 114,477
Percentage 66.7% 29.3%

Precinct results
Sensenbrenner:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Penebaker:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Jim Sensenbrenner
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jim Sensenbrenner
Republican

Republican incumbent Jim Sensenbrenner, who had represented the 5th district since 1978, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 69.5% of the vote in 2014 and the district had a PVI of R+13.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican James Sensenbrenner (incumbent) 34,203 99.7
Republican Write-ins 100 0.3
Total votes 34,303 100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Khary Penebaker 19,353 99.4
Democratic Write-ins 115 0.6
Total votes 19,468 100.0

Libertarian primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Results[edit]

Libertarian primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian John Arndt 243 98.4
Libertarian Write-ins 4 1.6
Total votes 247 100.0

General election[edit]

Results[edit]

Wisconsin's 5th congressional district, 2016[31]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican James Sensenbrenner (incumbent) 260,706 66.7
Democratic Khary Penebaker 114,477 29.3
Libertarian John Arndt 15,324 3.9
n/a Write-ins 337 0.1
Total votes 390,844 100.0
Republican hold

District 6[edit]

2016 Wisconsin's 6th congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
Nominee Glenn Grothman Sarah Lloyd Jeff Dahlke
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote 204,147 133,072 19,716
Percentage 57.1% 37.3% 5.5%

Precinct results
Grothman:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Lloyd:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Glenn Grothman
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Glenn Grothman
Republican

Republican incumbent Glenn Grothman who had represented the 6th district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was elected with 56.8% of the vote in 2014 and the district has a PVI of R+5.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Glenn Grothman (incumbent) 29,795 99.6
Republican Write-ins 105 0.4
Total votes 29,900 100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]
  • Sarah Lloyd, farmer[38]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
  • Michael Slattery, farmer[39]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sarah Lloyd 19,652 75.1
Democratic Michael Slattery 6,459 24.7
Democratic Write-ins 43 0.2
Total votes 26,154 100.0

General election[edit]

Results[edit]

Wisconsin's 6th congressional district, 2016[31]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Glenn Grothman (incumbent) 204,147 57.1
Democratic Sarah Lloyd 133,072 37.3
Independent Jeff Dahlke 19,716 5.5
n/a Write-ins 248 0.1
Total votes 357,183 100.0
Republican hold

District 7[edit]

2016 Wisconsin's 7th congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
Nominee Sean Duffy Mary Hoeft
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 223,418 138,643
Percentage 61.6% 38.3%

Precinct results
Duffy:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Hoeft:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Sean Duffy
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Sean Duffy
Republican

Republican incumbent Sean Duffy, who had represented the 7th district since 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 59.3% of the vote in 2014 and the district has a PVI of R+2.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
  • Don Raihala, small business owner[40]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sean Duffy (incumbent) 29,501 89.4
Republican Don Raihala 3,456 10.5
Republican Write-ins 24 0.1
Total votes 32,981 100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]
  • Mary Hoeft, university professor[40]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
Withdrawn[edit]
  • Kirk Bangstad, political consultant[41]
  • Ethel Quisler, independent contractor[42]
Declined[edit]
  • Kelly Westlund, businesswoman, Ashland City Council member and nominee for this seat in 2014[43]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Hoeft 27,289 80.6
Democratic Joel Lewis 6,531 19.3
Democratic Write-ins 50 0.1
Total votes 33,870 100.0

General election[edit]

Results[edit]

Wisconsin's 7th congressional district, 2016[31]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sean Duffy (incumbent) 223,418 61.6
Democratic Mary Hoeft 138,643 38.3
n/a Write-ins 210 0.1
Total votes 362,271 100.0
Republican hold

District 8[edit]

2016 Wisconsin's 8th congressional district election

← 2014
2018 →
 
Nominee Mike Gallagher Tom Nelson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 227,892 135,682
Percentage 62.6% 37.3%

Precinct results
Gallagher:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Nelson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Tie:      50%
     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Reid Ribble
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mike Gallagher
Republican

Republican incumbent Reid Ribble, who had represented the 8th district since 2011, announced on January 30, 2016 that he would retire at the end of his third term, opening the seat for the 2016 election.[44] The district had a PVI of R+2.

Republican primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]
Eliminated in primary[edit]
Withdrawn[edit]
Declined[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Mike Gallagher
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Organizations
Individuals
Terry McNulty
Organizations
  • Pro-Life Wisconsin Victory Fund[57]
Frank Lasee
Organizations
  • Wisconsin Family Action PAC[62]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Gallagher 40,322 74.5
Republican Frank Lasee 10,705 19.8
Republican Terry McNulty 3,109 5.7
Republican Write-ins 16 0.0
Total votes 54,152 100.0

Democratic primary[edit]

Candidates[edit]

Nominee[edit]
Declined[edit]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom Nelson 20,914 99.9
Democratic Write-ins 28 0.1
Total votes 20,942 100.0

Independent[edit]

  • Wendy Gribben, part-time grocery store employee[66]
  • Robbie Hoffman, artist and psychologist[67]

General election[edit]

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
Gallagher (R)
Tom
Nelson (D)
Undecided
NMB Research October 16–18, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 52% 41% 17%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Gallagher) August 22, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 52% 36% 12%

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[68] Likely R November 7, 2016
Daily Kos Elections[69] Lean R November 7, 2016
Rothenberg[70] Likely R November 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[71] Lean R November 7, 2016
RCP[72] Lean R October 31, 2016

Results[edit]

Wisconsin's 8th congressional district, 2016[31]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Gallagher 227,892 62.6
Democratic Tom Nelson 135,682 37.3
Green Wendy Gribben (write-in) 16 0.0
Democratic Jerry Kobishop (write-in) 2 0.0
n/a Write-ins 188 0.1
Total votes 363,280 100.0
Republican hold

References[edit]

  1. ^ Tatge-Rozell, Jill. "Delavan businessman to challenge Ryan". Kenosha News. March 31, 2016.
  2. ^ "Republican businessman challenges Paul Ryan for congressional seat". Wisconsin State Journal. April 9, 2016.
  3. ^ "Paul Nehlen Has Never Donated to Paul Ryan". Media Trackers. Archived from the original on August 8, 2016.
  4. ^ "Challenger hopes to oust Rep. Paul Ryan in primary". Janesville Gazette. April 12, 2016.
  5. ^ Nehlen, Paul. "Issues". Paul Nehlen. Retrieved July 10, 2016.
  6. ^ Nolan McCaskill (May 5, 2016). "Paul Ryan's primary opponent: I'll support Trump". Politico. Retrieved May 8, 2016.
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  8. ^ Binversie, Kevin (July 15, 2016). "Is Paul Nehlen Nothing More than a ScamPAC Stooge?". Archived from the original on July 21, 2016. Retrieved July 16, 2016.
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  43. ^ Westlund, Kelly (August 12, 2015). "Over the last several months, I've had many, many conversations..." Facebook. Retrieved September 29, 2015.
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  45. ^ "Mike Gallagher to run for WI 8th Congressional District". wbay.com. February 27, 2016. Archived from the original on February 29, 2016. Retrieved February 27, 2016.
  46. ^ a b "State Sen. Frank Lasee will run for Congress". wbay.com. February 14, 2016. Archived from the original on February 15, 2016. Retrieved February 14, 2016.
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