2012 United States presidential election in Louisiana
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| Elections in Louisiana |
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 2012 U.S. presidential election | |
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| Republican Party | |
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The 2012 United States presidential election in Louisiana took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Louisiana voters chose eight electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.
Romney carried Louisiana's eight electoral votes with 57.78% of the popular vote. Louisiana was one of six states where Obama did better in 2012 than in 2008, with his margin of loss decreasing from 18.63% to 17.20%.[a] As of the 2020 presidential election, this is the last time that a Democrat has won over 40% of the vote in the state. Obama is the only Democrat to ever win two terms without carrying the state at least once.
Primary elections
[edit]Democratic primary
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 Louisiana results by parish
Barack Obama
John Wolfe, Jr. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
President Barack Obama received little serious opposition in the 2012 Democratic primaries, handily winning overall with over 76% of the vote. However, Tennessee attorney and perennial political candidate John Wolfe Jr. challenged President Obama in the primaries, and received nearly 12% of the vote. Entrepreneur Bob Ely and historian Darcy Richardson also participated, and received a little over 6% and 5% of the vote, respectively. On the date of the primary, President Obama swept nearly every parish in the state, with Wolfe winning LaSalle, Grant, and Cameron parishes. Although Wolfe qualified for four delegates, the Louisiana Democratic Party announced that they would not award the delegates to Wolfe on technical grounds.[1]
| Candidate | Votes | % | Pledged delegates[3] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barack Obama (incumbent) | 115,150 | 76.46 | 60 |
| John Wolfe, Jr. | 17,804 | 11.82 | 4 |
| Bob Ely | 9,897 | 6.57 | 0 |
| Darcy Richardson | 7,750 | 5.15 | 0 |
| Total | 150,601 | 100% | 64 |
Republican primary and caucuses
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 Louisiana results by parish
Rick Santorum
Mitt Romney | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2012 Louisiana Republican primary took place on Saturday, March 24, 2012. Additionally, caucuses were held on April 28.[4][5]
Louisiana had 46 delegates to the Republican National Convention. 20 were awarded based on the primary outcome, and the other 26 by the caucuses.
Primary
[edit]The 20 delegate allocation was proportional among candidates who received at least 25% of the statewide vote. Candidates who did not reach the 25% threshold lost the delegates they otherwise would have won, and those delegates became uncommitted then.[6]
On March 24, Rick Santorum was declared the winner of the state's primary.[7]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Projected delegate count | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GP [8] |
CNN [9] |
MSNBC [10] | ||||
 Rick Santorum
|
91,321 | 48.99% | 10 | 10 | 10 | |
| Mitt Romney | 49,758 | 26.69% | 5 | 5 | 6 | |
| Newt Gingrich | 29,656 | 15.91% | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ron Paul | 11,467 | 6.15% | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Buddy Roemer | 2,203 | 1.18% | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rick Perry | 955 | 0.51% | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Michele Bachmann | 622 | 0.33% | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Jon Huntsman, Jr. | 242 | 0.13% | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Randy Crow | 186 | 0.10% | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unprojected delegates: | 5 | 5 | 4 | |||
| Total: | 186,410 | 100.00% | 20 | 20 | 20 | |
Caucuses, delegate dispute, and ultimate agreement
[edit]Although Ron Paul won just 6% of the vote in the primary on March 24 (in which almost 190,000 voters cast ballots), he carried four of Louisiana's six congressional districts in the congressional district caucuses held the following month (in which fewer than 10,000 people took part).[12]
Paul's showing in the April district caucuses "guaranteed him 12 of the state's 46 national convention delegates and, as important, gave his forces 111 of the 180 delegates to the state convention," which chose the actual delegates to the 2012 Republican National Convention in Tampa, Florida.[13][12]
In advance of the June 2 Louisiana State Republican Convention in Shreveport, pro-Paul delegates and others clashed with officials and loyalists of the state Republican Party, which "issued supplemental rules on the eve of the convention to keep the Paul forces from wresting more than the 17 delegates which, in their view, was their due."[12] The convention itself was described as a "riotous" and chaotic scene, as the police removed two Paul supporters, arresting one, and the convention devolved into two separate conventions, "as the Paul delegates turned their chairs around and conducted their convention facing one way, while the state party and its loyalists conducted their parallel convention facing the other."[12]
The split convention resulted in two rival slates of 46 delegates.[12][14] The national Republican Party accepted the slate submitted by Louisiana Republican Party chairman Roger Villere as the official slate.[14] In late July, however, Paul's campaign announced that it would challenge all the Louisiana delegates, asserting that "our rump convention is the legitimate delegation and they have a right to be seated at the Republican National Convention."[15] In its official challenge to the delegate slate filed in August, Paul's campaign likened Villere to the leader of "a North Korean politburo"; in response, the executive director of the Louisiana Republican Party said that Paul's challenge was "full of personal attacks, hyperbole and unfounded assumption."[16] The dispute was to be adjudicated by the Contest Committee of the national Republican Party, with a possible appeal to the full Republican National Committee and then to the Credential Committee of the convention.[12] However, in late August—one week prior to the convention—the Paul campaign made an agreement with the Republican Party of Louisiana in which Paul would get 17 of the state's 46 delegates, with the rest of the state's delegates supporting then-presumptive nominee Mitt Romney.[17]
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Huffington Post[18] | Safe R | November 6, 2012 |
| CNN[19] | Safe R | November 6, 2012 |
| New York Times[20] | Safe R | November 6, 2012 |
| Washington Post[21] | Safe R | November 6, 2012 |
| RealClearPolitics[22] | Solid R | November 6, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Solid R | November 5, 2012 |
| FiveThirtyEight[24] | Solid R | November 6, 2012 |
Results
[edit]| 2012 United States presidential election in Louisiana[25] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Running mate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes | |
| Republican | Mitt Romney | Paul Ryan | 1,152,262 | 57.78% | 8 | |
| Democratic | Barack Obama (incumbent) | Joe Biden (incumbent) | 809,141 | 40.58% | 0 | |
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson | Jim Gray | 18,157 | 0.91% | 0 | |
| Green | Jill Stein | Cheri Honkala | 6,978 | 0.35% | 0 | |
| Constitution | Virgil Goode | Jim Clymer | 2,508 | 0.13% | 0 | |
| Others | 1,766 | 0.09% | 0 | |||
| Justice | Rocky Anderson | Luis J. Rodriguez | 1,368 | 0.07% | 0 | |
| Socialism and Liberation | Peta Lindsay | Yari Osorio | 622 | 0.03% | 0 | |
| Prohibition Party | Jack Fellure | Toby Davis | 519 | 0.03% | 0 | |
| Socialist Workers | James Harris | Alyson Kennedy | 389 | 0.02% | 0 | |
| Socialist Equality | Jerry White | Phyllis Scherrer | 355 | 0.02% | 0 | |
| Totals | 1,994,065 | 100.00% | 8 | |||
| Voter turnout (registered voters) | 67.26% | |||||
By parish
[edit]| Parish | Mitt Romney Republican |
Barack Obama Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Acadia | 19,931 | 74.27% | 6,560 | 24.45% | 344 | 1.28% | 13,371 | 49.82% | 26,835 |
| Allen | 6,495 | 69.79% | 2,617 | 28.12% | 195 | 2.09% | 3,878 | 41.67% | 9,307 |
| Ascension | 33,856 | 66.29% | 16,349 | 32.01% | 868 | 1.70% | 17,507 | 34.28% | 51,073 |
| Assumption | 6,083 | 55.34% | 4,754 | 43.25% | 155 | 1.41% | 1,329 | 12.09% | 10,992 |
| Avoyelles | 10,670 | 62.65% | 6,077 | 35.68% | 285 | 1.67% | 4,593 | 26.97% | 17,032 |
| Beauregard | 11,112 | 78.12% | 2,828 | 24.45% | 285 | 2.00% | 8,284 | 53.67% | 14,225 |
| Bienville | 3,641 | 50.55% | 3,490 | 48.45% | 72 | 1.00% | 151 | 2.10% | 7,203 |
| Bossier | 34,988 | 72.05% | 12,956 | 26.68% | 618 | 1.27% | 22,032 | 45.37% | 48,562 |
| Caddo | 52,459 | 46.94% | 58,042 | 51.93% | 1,264 | 1.13% | -5,583 | -4.99% | 111,765 |
| Calcasieu | 51,850 | 63.44% | 28,359 | 34.70% | 1,517 | 1.86% | 23,491 | 28.74% | 81,726 |
| Caldwell | 3,640 | 77.18% | 1,016 | 21.54% | 60 | 1.28% | 2,624 | 55.64% | 4,716 |
| Cameron | 3,260 | 87.07% | 408 | 10.90% | 76 | 2.03% | 2,852 | 76.17% | 3,744 |
| Catahoula | 2,744 | 65.44% | 1,408 | 33.58% | 41 | 0.98% | 1,336 | 31.86% | 4,193 |
| Claiborne | 3,649 | 54.20% | 3,014 | 44.77% | 69 | 1.03% | 635 | 9.43% | 6,732 |
| Concordia | 5,450 | 58.10% | 3,833 | 40.86% | 97 | 1.04% | 1,617 | 17.24% | 9,380 |
| DeSoto | 7,353 | 56.34% | 5,553 | 42.55% | 145 | 1.11% | 1,800 | 13.79% | 13,051 |
| East Baton Rouge | 92,292 | 46.57% | 102,656 | 51.80% | 3,223 | 1.63% | -10,364 | -5.23% | 198,171 |
| East Carroll | 1,508 | 37.62% | 2,478 | 61.83% | 22 | 0.55% | -970 | -24.21% | 4,008 |
| East Feliciana | 5,397 | 52.87% | 4,648 | 45.53% | 164 | 1.60% | 749 | 7.34% | 10,209 |
| Evangeline | 10,181 | 64.56% | 5,330 | 33.80% | 259 | 1.64% | 4,851 | 30.76% | 15,770 |
| Franklin | 6,294 | 67.42% | 2,921 | 31.29% | 121 | 1.29% | 3,373 | 36.13% | 9,336 |
| Grant | 7,082 | 81.71% | 1,422 | 16.41% | 163 | 1.88% | 5,660 | 65.30% | 8,667 |
| Iberia | 20,892 | 62.56% | 12,132 | 36.33% | 373 | 1.11% | 8,760 | 26.23% | 33,397 |
| Iberville | 7,271 | 42.74% | 9,548 | 56.12% | 195 | 1.14% | -2,277 | -13.38% | 17,014 |
| Jackson | 5,132 | 68.16% | 2,305 | 30.61% | 92 | 1.23% | 2,827 | 37.55% | 7,529 |
| Jefferson | 102,536 | 58.15% | 70,384 | 39.91% | 3,423 | 1.94% | 32,152 | 18.24% | 176,343 |
| Jefferson Davis | 10,014 | 72.91% | 3,484 | 25.37% | 236 | 1.72% | 6,530 | 47.54% | 13,734 |
| Lafayette | 64,992 | 65.89% | 31,768 | 32.21% | 1,882 | 1.90% | 33,224 | 33.68% | 98,642 |
| Lafourche | 28,592 | 73.17% | 9,623 | 24.63% | 860 | 2.20% | 18,969 | 48.54% | 39,075 |
| LaSalle | 5,726 | 87.13% | 764 | 11.63% | 82 | 1.24% | 4,962 | 75.50% | 6,572 |
| Lincoln | 10,739 | 56.54% | 7,956 | 41.89% | 298 | 1.57% | 2,783 | 14.65% | 18,993 |
| Livingston | 45,513 | 84.19% | 7,451 | 13.78% | 1,098 | 2.03% | 38,062 | 70.41% | 54,062 |
| Madison | 2,000 | 38.56% | 3,154 | 60.81% | 33 | 0.63% | -1,154 | -22.25% | 5,187 |
| Morehouse | 6,591 | 52.25% | 5,888 | 46.68% | 135 | 1.07% | 703 | 5.57% | 12,614 |
| Natchitoches | 9,077 | 52.60% | 7,942 | 46.02% | 239 | 1.38% | 1,135 | 6.58% | 17,258 |
| Orleans | 28,003 | 17.74% | 126,722 | 80.30% | 3,088 | 1.96% | -98,719 | -62.56% | 157,813 |
| Ouachita | 40,948 | 59.80% | 26,645 | 38.91% | 881 | 1.29% | 14,303 | 20.89% | 68,474 |
| Plaquemines | 6,471 | 63.20% | 3,599 | 35.15% | 169 | 1.65% | 2,872 | 28.05% | 10,239 |
| Pointe Coupee | 6,548 | 53.91% | 5,436 | 44.75% | 163 | 1.34% | 1,112 | 9.16% | 12,147 |
| Rapides | 37,193 | 64.10% | 20,045 | 34.55% | 781 | 1.35% | 17,148 | 29.55% | 58,019 |
| Red River | 2,483 | 51.65% | 2,253 | 46.87% | 71 | 1.48% | 230 | 4.78% | 4,807 |
| Richland | 5,846 | 62.66% | 3,387 | 36.31% | 96 | 1.03% | 2,459 | 26.35% | 9,329 |
| Sabine | 7,738 | 76.97% | 2,194 | 21.82% | 121 | 1.21% | 5,544 | 55.15% | 10,053 |
| St. Bernard | 8,501 | 60.92% | 5,059 | 36.25% | 395 | 2.83% | 3,442 | 24.67% | 13,955 |
| St. Charles | 15,937 | 62.91% | 8,896 | 35.12% | 500 | 1.97% | 7,041 | 27.79% | 25,333 |
| St. Helena | 2,529 | 39.55% | 3,780 | 59.12% | 85 | 1.33% | -1,251 | -19.57% | 6,394 |
| St. James | 5,209 | 42.03% | 7,059 | 56.95% | 127 | 1.02% | -1,850 | -14.92% | 12,395 |
| St. John the Baptist | 7,620 | 36.07% | 13,179 | 62.39% | 324 | 1.54% | -5,559 | -26.32% | 21,123 |
| St. Landry | 21,475 | 51.56% | 19,668 | 47.23% | 504 | 1.21% | 1,807 | 4.33% | 41,647 |
| St. Martin | 15,653 | 61.55% | 9,422 | 37.05% | 358 | 1.40% | 6,231 | 24.50% | 25,433 |
| St. Mary | 13,885 | 58.74% | 9,450 | 39.97% | 305 | 1.29% | 4,435 | 18.77% | 23,640 |
| St. Tammany | 84,723 | 75.04% | 25,728 | 22.79% | 2,451 | 2.17% | 58,995 | 52.25% | 112,902 |
| Tangipahoa | 31,590 | 63.06% | 17,722 | 35.37% | 787 | 1.57% | 13,868 | 27.69% | 50,099 |
| Tensas | 1,230 | 43.74% | 1,564 | 55.62% | 18 | 0.64% | -334 | -11.88% | 2,812 |
| Terrebonne | 29,503 | 69.68% | 12,074 | 28.52% | 764 | 1.80% | 17,429 | 41.16% | 42,341 |
| Union | 7,561 | 70.23% | 3,075 | 28.56% | 130 | 1.21% | 4,486 | 41.67% | 10,766 |
| Vermilion | 18,910 | 75.68% | 5,720 | 22.89% | 357 | 1.43% | 13,190 | 52.79% | 24,987 |
| Vernon | 12,150 | 77.83% | 3,173 | 20.33% | 287 | 1.84% | 8,977 | 57.50% | 15,610 |
| Washington | 11,798 | 63.49% | 6,466 | 34.80% | 317 | 1.71% | 5,332 | 28.69% | 18,581 |
| Webster | 11,400 | 61.90% | 6,802 | 36.94% | 214 | 1.16% | 4,598 | 24.96% | 18,416 |
| West Baton Rouge | 6,922 | 54.19% | 5,692 | 44.56% | 160 | 1.25% | 1,230 | 9.63% | 12,774 |
| West Carroll | 3,628 | 79.77% | 853 | 18.76% | 67 | 1.47% | 2,775 | 61.01% | 4,548 |
| West Feliciana | 3,257 | 56.38% | 2,441 | 42.25% | 79 | 1.37% | 816 | 14.13% | 5,777 |
| Winn | 4,541 | 69.50% | 1,919 | 29.37% | 74 | 1.13% | 2,622 | 40.13% | 6,534 |
| Totals | 1,152,262 | 57.78% | 809,141 | 40.58% | 32,662 | 1.64% | 343,121 | 17.20% | 1,994,065 |
By congressional district
[edit]Romney won 5 of 6 congressional districts.[26]
| District | Romney | Obama | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 70.85% | 26.86% | Steve Scalise |
| 2nd | 22.81% | 75.84% | Cedric Richmond |
| 3rd | 66.1% | 32.26% | Charles Boustany |
| 4th | 59% | 39.66% | John Fleming |
| 5th | 61% | 37.66% | Rodney Alexander |
| 6th | 66.15% | 31.96% | Bill Cassidy |
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in Louisiana
- 2012 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
- 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
- Results of the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries
- Louisiana Republican Party
Notes
[edit]- ^ As Louisiana was also one of only five states in which McCain did better in 2008 than Bush did in 2004, it is the only state to swing toward McCain in 2008 and Obama in 2012.
References
[edit]- ^ "Louisiana Democratic Party denies 3 delegates to fringe candidate". NOLA.com. Archived from the original on April 19, 2012. Retrieved January 16, 2017.
- ^ "Louisiana Secretary of State - Election Results". voterportal.sos.la.gov. Retrieved March 28, 2020.
- ^ "Louisiana Democratic Delegation 2012". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved March 28, 2020.
- ^ "Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar". CNN. Retrieved January 11, 2012.
- ^ "Presidential Primary Dates" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved January 23, 2012.
- ^ Nate Silver (March 24, 2012). "G.O.P. Campaign Could End Soon — But Not in Louisiana". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved March 25, 2012.
- ^ Rick Santorum wins Louisiana primary
- ^ The Green Papers, "2012 Louisiana Republican Primary" . The Green Papers.
- ^ CNN, "Republican Primary" . CNN.
- ^ MSNBC, "Republican Primary" . MSNBC.
- ^ "Unofficial Election Results". LA Secretary of State. Retrieved March 25, 2012.
- ^ a b c d e f Jonathan Tilove, Louisiana Republican convention devolves into separate meetings, The Times-Picayune (June 10, 2012).
- ^ Tilove, Jonathan (April 28, 2012). "Ron Paul supporters dominate Louisiana's Republican presidential caucuses". The Times-Picayune. Archived from the original on April 29, 2012.
- ^ a b Melina Deslatte, Dispute over La. delegates to GOP convention goes national, Associated Press (August 1, 2012).
- ^ Adam Levy, Ron Paul campaign to challenge all Louisiana delegates, CNN (July 27, 2012).
- ^ Jonathan Tilove Ron Paul supporters won't back down in Louisiana GOP dispute, The Times-Picayune (August 6, 2012).
- ^ Stephen Ohlemacher, Paul adds delegates in Louisiana compromise, Associated Press (August 21, 2012).
- ^ "Huffington Post Election Dashboard". HuffPost. Archived from the original on August 13, 2013.
- ^ "America's Choice 2012 Election Center: CNN Electoral Map". CNN. Archived from the original on January 19, 2013.
- ^ "Election 2012 - The Electoral Map: Building a Path to Victory". The New York Times. Archived from the original on July 8, 2012.
- ^ "2012 Presidential Election Results". The Washington Post. Archived from the original on July 26, 2012.
- ^ "RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Battle for White House". Archived from the original on June 8, 2011.
- ^ "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM".
- ^ "Nate Silver's political calculations predict 2012 election outcome".
- ^ "Louisiana Secretary of State". Louisiana Secretary of State.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
External links
[edit]- The Green Papers: for Louisiana
- The Green Papers: Major state elections in chronological order
