File:MH370 satcom analysis October 2014.jpg

The aircraft was last tracked heading northwest into the Andaman Sea at 18:22UTC on 7 March 2014. Analysis of transmissions sent from the aircraft at 18:40 determined that the aircraft was traveling south at that time. The maximum cruise range (MRC) was calculated for the aircraft turning shortly after its last sighting on radar and shortly before 18:40 and thereafter traveling south at a constant airspeed and different altitudes. The combined maximum cruise range of all those scenarios is the purple "MRC boundary".

Investigators believe the aircraft was likely on autopilot while traveling south over the Indian Ocean. There are several modes and settings that autopilot can be programmed with. Many candidate paths, based on the autopilot modes, were generated and are the red "Constrained autopilot dynamics" on the graphic.

The candidate paths were then broken into segments at the times when the aircraft sent transmissions to the satellite. The speed and heading at each step was then adjusted (without being constrained by autopilot behaviour) to minimize the discrepancy between the calculated burst frequency offset (BFO) of that path and the burst frequency offset values recorded. These paths are green and labeled "data error optimization".

The overlap between the "constrained autopilot dynamics" and "data error optimization" paths represent the most likely paths taken by Flight 370.

Immediate source: MH370 - Flight Path Analysis Update

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The overlaid graphics (and the image altogether, as a derivative work) are copyrighted by a multi-national governmental agency. it is copyrighted by the government investigative board. It was published in a report that was licensed CC-BY-4.0, although the inside cover of the report notes that copyright in images supplied by third parties remains with the respective owners. The image is credited to a multi-national government investigation team. That team consists of representatives from Malaysia, China, and Australia (ATSB). Malaysian copyright excludes "government reports" (commons:Commons:Copyright rules by territory#Malaysia); China's copyright law excludes "documents of legislative, administrative and judicial nature" (see commons:Template:PD-PRC-exempt); and Australia's ATSB holds copyright in its works and allows others to "distribute the material acknowledging the Australian Transport Safety Bureau as the source", while its reports are licensed CC-BY-3.0, but in both cases it excludes copyright of third party works used by the ATSB (see [2]). So the bottom line is that there is a low commercial value for using the image and a strong presumption, based on the low copyright restrictions on works by the constituent agencies of the investigation team, that there is a low commercial value for resuing the image.