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2011 Prince Edward Island general election

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2011 Prince Edward Island general election

← 2007 October 3, 2011 (2011-10-03) 2015 →

27 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island
14 seats needed for a majority
Turnout76.53%[1]
  First party Second party
 
PC
Leader Robert Ghiz Olive Crane
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative
Leader since April 5, 2003 October 2, 2010
Leader's seat Charlottetown-Brighton Morell-Mermaid
Last election 23 seats, 52.93% 4 seats, 41.35%
Seats before 24 2
Seats won 22 5
Seat change Decrease2 Increase3
Popular vote 38,315 29,950
Percentage 51.39% 40.18%
Swing Decrease1.54% Decrease1.17%

Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via plurality results by each riding.

Premier before election

Robert Ghiz
Liberal

Premier after election

Robert Ghiz
Liberal

The 2011 Prince Edward Island general election was held on October 3, 2011.[2][3]

The Liberal government of Premier Robert Ghiz was elected to a second majority government, winning one seat less than they did in 2007. Ghiz himself considered 18 seats to be a marker for a strong majority. He won 22.

Health care was an important issue during the election, especially in rural areas.[4]

The Progressive Conservatives retained their position as Official Opposition, winning five seats. Olive Crane used the issue of the Provincial Nominee Program during the election, as well as issues surrounding immigration and investments that came under investigation by the Royal Canadian Mounted Police and Federal Minister Jason Kenney during the election.[5]

Results

[edit]

Both the Liberals and Progressive Conservatives lost votes, and lost in the share of vote. Turnout was down and seven thousand fewer voters cast ballots total. The Greens and New Democrats increased both their raw vote and their share of the vote, and the new Island party took nearly a full percentage point. Three incumbent Liberal MLAs were defeated by Progressive Conservatives; the Progressive Conservatives retained one of the two seats they held at the dissolution of the previous legislature, as well as one vacant seat which they held prior to the resignation of Michael Currie from the legislature in March 2011, while the Liberals gained one seat whose Progressive Conservative incumbent did not stand for re-election.

The election saw one riding, Kellys Cross-Cumberland, have six candidates, a rarity in PEI elections.

Results of the election by polling division

The PC Party solidified their base in central-east PEI, winning four ridings that were part of the federal riding of Cardigan, and carried the region. The PC Party also managed to win a single seat on the northern tip of the Island.

22 5
Liberal PC
Summary of the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island election results
Party Party leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2007 Dissol. 2011 Change # % Change
Liberal Robert Ghiz 27 23 24 22 -1 38,315 51.38% -1.55%
Progressive Conservative Olive Crane 27 4 2 5 +1 29,950 40.16% -1.19%
Green Sharon Labchuk 22 - - 0 3,254 4.36% +1.32%
New Democratic James Rodd 14 - - 0 2,355 3.16% +1.20%
Island Billy Cann 12 * - 0 682 0.91% *
Independents and no affiliation 1 - - 0 15 0.02% -0.71%
Vacant - - 1
Total 103 27 27 27 74,571

* The Island Party of Prince Edward Island was not a registered political party at the time of the 2007 election.

Popular vote
Liberal
51.38%
PC
40.16%
Green
4.36%
New Democratic
3.16%
Others
0.94%
Seats summary
Liberal
81.48%
PC
18.52%

Synopsis of results

[edit]
2011 PEI general election - synopsis of riding results[a 1]
Riding # Federal
Riding
2007 Winning party[a 2] Turnout
[a 3]
Votes
Party Votes Share Margin
#
Margin
%
Lib PC Green NDP Island Ind Total
 
Alberton-Roseville 26 EGM   Lib   Lib 1,604 56.18% 467 16.36% 83.10% 1,604 1,137 71 43 2,855
Belfast-Murray River 4 CAR   PC   Lib 1,135 45.86% 8 0.32% 79.02% 1,135 1,127 114 99 2,475
Borden-Kinkora 19 MPQ   Lib   Lib 1,590 49.41% 122 3.79% 77.85% 1,590 1,468 160 3,218
Charlottetown-Brighton 13 CHA   Lib   Lib 1,228 52.46% 529 22.60% 77.42% 1,228 699 238 176 2,341
Charlottetown-Lewis Point 14 CHA   Lib   Lib 1,411 52.01% 516 19.02% 70.01% 1,411 895 132 275 2,713
Charlottetown-Parkdale 11 CHA   Lib   Lib 1,510 61.76% 845 34.56% 73.78% 1,510 665 152 118 2,445
Charlottetown-Sherwood 10 CHA   Lib   Lib 1,538 53.93% 478 16.76% 77.86% 1,538 1,060 127 127 2,852
Charlottetown-Victoria Park 12 CHA   Lib   Lib 1,112 51.29% 530 24.45% 69.03% 1,112 582 278 177 19 2,168
Cornwall-Meadowbank 16 MPQ   Lib   Lib 1,686 63.46% 930 35.00% 71.03% 1,686 756 172 43 2,657
Evangeline-Miscouche 24 EGM   Lib   Lib 1,722 77.22% 1,304 58.48% 84.89% 1,722 418 64 26 2,230
Georgetown-St. Peters 2 CAR   PC   PC 1,575 53.30% 361 12.22% 83.91% 1,214 1,575 47 87 32 2,955
Kellys Cross-Cumberland 17 MPQ   Lib   Lib 1,768 54.02% 808 24.69% 77.54% 1,768 960 306 182 42 15 3,273
Kensington-Malpeque 20 MPQ   Lib   Lib 1,820 57.18% 655 20.58% 74.76% 1,820 1,165 198 3,183
Montague-Kilmuir 3 CAR   PC   Lib 1,127 46.57% 123 5.08% 78.10% 1,127 1,004 89 200 2,420
Morell-Mermaid 7 CAR   PC   PC 1,649 58.29% 616 21.77% 88.28% 1,033 1,649 114 33 2,829
O'Leary-Inverness 25 EGM   Lib   Lib 1,431 55.51% 284 11.02% 78.83% 1,431 1,147 2,578
Rustico-Emerald 18 MPQ   Lib   Lib 1,498 49.50% 157 5.19% 78.69% 1,498 1,341 187 3,026
Souris-Elmira 1 CAR   Lib   PC 1,302 48.58% 30 1.12% 86.25% 1,272 1,302 106 2,680
Stratford-Kinlock 6 CAR   Lib   PC 2,020 55.59% 779 21.44% 77.63% 1,241 2,020 168 205 3,634
Summerside-St. Eleanors 22 EGM   Lib   Lib 1,426 51.76% 389 14.12% 63.76% 1,426 1,037 145 147 2,755
Summerside-Wilmot 21 EGM   Lib   Lib 1,382 54.75% 445 17.63% 65.36% 1,382 937 205 2,524
Tignish-Palmer Road 27 EGM   Lib   PC 1,175 50.15% 33 1.41% 81.74% 1,142 1,175 26 2,343
Tracadie-Hillsborough Park 8 CHA   Lib   Lib 1,304 48.53% 168 6.25% 72.80% 1,304 1,136 93 136 18 2,687
Tyne Valley-Linkletter 23 EGM   Lib   Lib 1,390 57.27% 353 14.54% 71.68% 1,390 1,037 2,427
Vernon River-Stratford 5 CAR   Lib   Lib 1,311 50.52% 257 9.90% 77.29% 1,311 1,054 119 111 2,595
West Royalty-Springvale 15 CHA   Lib   Lib 1,432 45.93% 63 2.02% 75.31% 1,432 1,369 151 166 3,118
York-Oyster Bed 9 MPQ   Lib   Lib 1,988 55.30% 753 20.95% 79.55% 1,988 1,235 122 250 3,595
  1. ^ Report of the Chief Electoral Officer of Prince Edward Island for the Provincial General Election of 3 October 2011 (PDF). Elections Prince Edward Island. 2015. pp. 2–6. {{cite book}}: |website= ignored (help)
  2. ^ percentages calculated on valid votes only
  3. ^ including spoilt ballots
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = incumbency arose from byelection gain
  = incumbent re-elected in same riding
  = other incumbent renominated
Resulting composition of the 64th General Assembly of Prince Edward Island
Source Party
Lib PC Total
Seats retained Incumbents returned 20 1 21
Open seats held 1 1
Seats changing hands Incumbents defeated 3 3
Open seats gained 1 1
Byelection gain held 1 1
Total 22 5 27

Results by region

[edit]
Party Name Cardigan Malpeque Charlottetown Egmont Total
  Liberal Seats: 3 8 5 6 22
  Popular Vote: 42.54% 52.87% 54.31% 57.01% 51.38%
  Progressive Conservative Seats: 4 0 0 1 5
  Popular Vote: 49.68% 38.10% 31.16% 38.89% 40.16%
Total seats: 7 8 5 7 27
Parties that won no seats:
  Green Vote: 651 1,191 927 485 3,254
  Popular Vote: 3.32% 4.81% 7.40% 2.74% 4.36%
  NDP Vote: 403 932 873 147 2,355
  Popular Vote: 2.06% 3.77% 6.97% 0.83% 3.16%
  Island Party Vote: 470 98 19 95 682
  Popular Vote: 2.40% 0.40% 0.15% 0.54% 0.91%
  Independent Vote: 15 15
  Popular Vote: 0.06% 0.02%

Incumbent MLAs not running for re-election

[edit]

Progressive Conservative

Opinion polls

[edit]
Polling Firm Date of Polling Link Liberal Progressive Conservatives Greens New Democrats
Corporate Research Associates September 29, 2011 HTML 53 36 5 5
Corporate Research Associates August 28, 2011 PDF 59 31 3 7
Corporate Research Associates June 10, 2011 PDF 51 35 2 13
Corporate Research Associates March 9, 2011 PDF 62 25 2 11
Corporate Research Associates December 6, 2010 PDF 53 34 8 4
Corporate Research Associates August 24, 2010 PDF 61 30 2 6
Corporate Research Associates May 31, 2010 PDF 61 27 3 8
Corporate Research Associates February 24, 2010 HTML 64 26 4 6
Corporate Research Associates December 3, 2009 HTML 57 31 3 9
Corporate Research Associates August 2009 HTML 62 27 5 6
Corporate Research Associates May 2009 HTML 57 32 4 7
Corporate Research Associates February 2009 HTML 64 28 2 6
Corporate Research Associates November 2008 HTML 55 31 5 8
Corporate Research Associates August 2008 HTML 63 25 6 6
Corporate Research Associates May 2008 HTML 61 27 4 7
Corporate Research Associates February 2008 HTML 68 34 4 6
Corporate Research Associates November 2007 HTML 64 22 5 5
Election 2007 May 28, 2007 HTML 52.9 41.4 3.0 1.9

Riding by riding results

[edit]

Cardigan

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC Green NDP Island Other
Belfast-Murray River Charlie McGeoghegan
1,135 - (45.86%)
Darlene Compton
1,127 - (45.54%)
John Burhoe
114 - (4.61%)
Andy Clarey
99 - (4.00%)
  Charlie McGeoghegan
Georgetown-St. Peters Kevin Gotell
1,214 - (41.08%)
  Steven Myers
1,575 - (53.30%)
Jason Furness
47 - (1.59%)
Jane Dunphy
87 - (2.94%)
Ray Cantelo
32 - (1.08%)
  Vacant
Montague-Kilmuir Allen Roach
1,127 - (46.57%)
Greg Farrell
1,004 - (41.49%)
Vanessa Young
89 - (3.68%)
  Billy Cann
200 - (8.26%)
  Jim Bagnall
Morell-Mermaid Dan MacDonald
1,033 - (36.51%)
  Olive Crane
1,649 - (58.29%)
Darcie Lanthier
114 - (4.03%)
Roger Nowe
33 - (1.17%)
Olive Crane
Souris-Elmira Allan Campbell
1,272 - (47.46%)
Colin LaVie
1,302 - (48.58%)
Jason MacGregor
106 - (3.96%)
Allan Campbell
Stratford-Kinlock Cynthia Dunsford
1,241 - (34.15%)
  James Aylward
2,020 - (55.59%)
Donald Killorn
168 - (4.62%)
Chris van Ouwerkerk
205 - (5.64%)
  Cynthia Dunsford
Vernon River-Stratford   Alan McIsaac
1,311 - (50.52%)
Mary Ellen McInnis
1,054 - (40.62%)
Marion Pirch
119 - (4.59%)
Edith Perry
111 - (4.28%)
  Alan McIsaac

Malpeque

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC Green NDP Island Other
Borden-Kinkora George Webster
1,590 - (49.41%)
Jamie Fox
1,468 - (45.62%)
Conor Leggott
160 - (4.97%)
    George Webster
Cornwall-Meadowbank   Ron MacKinley
1,686 - (63.46%)
Larry Hogan
756 - (28.45%)
Allieanna Ballagh
172 - (6.47%)
Jay Gallant
43 - (1.62%)
Ron MacKinley
Kellys Cross-Cumberland   Valerie Docherty
1,768 - (54.10%)
Neila Auld
960 - (29.38%)
Peter Bevan-Baker
306 - (9.36%)
Jesse Reddin Cousins
182 - (5.56%)
Paul Smitz
37 - (1.13%)
Arthur C. Mackenzie
15 - (0.46%)
Valerie Docherty
Kensington-Malpeque   Wes Sheridan
1,820 - (57.18%)
Wilber Lamont
1,165 - (36.60%)
George S. Hunter
198 - (6.22%)
Wes Sheridan
Rustico-Emerald Carolyn Bertram
1,498 (49.50%)
Brad Trivers
1,341 - (44.32%)
Ron Wagner
187- (6.18%)
      Carolyn Bertram
York-Oyster Bed   Robert Vessey
1,988 - (55.30%)
Martie Murphy
1,235 - (34.25%)
Jenet Clement
122 - (3.39%)
James Rodd
250 - (6.95%)
  Robert Vessey

Charlottetown

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC Green NDP Island Other
Charlottetown-Brighton   Robert Ghiz
1,228 - (52.46%)
Linda Clements
699 - (29.86%)
Elizabeth Schoales
238 - (10.17%)
Trevor John LeClerc
176 - (7.52%)
      Robert Ghiz
Charlottetown-Lewis Point   Kathleen Casey
1,411 - (52.01%)
Parnell Kelly
895 - (32.99%)
Charles Sanderson
132 - (4.87%)
Jacquie Robichaud
275 - (10.14%)
      Kathleen Casey
Charlottetown-Parkdale   Doug Currie
1,510 - (61.76%)
Bernie Flynn
665 - (27.20%)
Eliza Knockwood
152 - (6.22%)
Noel Pauley
118 - (4.83%)
    Doug Currie
Charlottetown-Sherwood   Robert Mitchell
1,538 - (53.93%)
Mike Gillis
1,060 - (37.17%)
Sarah Jones
127 - (4.45%)
Kat Murphy
127 - (4.45%)
    Robert Mitchell
Charlottetown-Victoria Park   Richard Brown
1,112- (51.29%)
Myles MacKinnon
582- (26.85%)
Sharon Labchuk
278 - (12.82%)
Rita Jackson
177 - (8.16%)
Philip Stewart
19 - (0.88%)
    Richard Brown
Tracadie-Hillsborough Park Buck Watts
1,304 - (48.53%)
Glen Kelly
1,136 - (42.28%)
Helene LaRouche
93 - (3.46%)
Ron Kelly
136 - (5.06%)
Gary Chipman
18 - (0.67%)
  Buck Watts
West Royalty-Springvale Bush Dumville
1,432 - (45.93%)
Gary Bowness
1,369 - (43.91%)
Liz Vaine
151 - (4.84%)
Andrew Want
166 - (5.32%)
    Bush Dumville

Egmont

[edit]
Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
Liberal PC Green NDP Island Other
Alberton-Roseville   Pat Murphy
1,604 - (56.18%)
David Gordon
1,137 - (39.82%)
Gerald O'Meara
71 - (2.49%)
Mitch Gallant
43 - (1.51%)
    Pat Murphy
Evangeline-Miscouche   Sonny Gallant
1,722 - (77.22%)
Edgar Arsenault
418 - (18.74%)
Melissa Hotte
64 - (2.87%)
Arthur Arsenault
26 - (1.17%)
    Sonny Gallant
O'Leary-Inverness   Robert Henderson
1,431 - (55.51%)
Daniel MacDonald
1,147 - (44.49%)
        Robert Henderson
Summerside-St. Eleanors   Gerard Greenan
1,426 - (51.76%)
Merlin Cormier
1,037 - (37.64%)
Caleb Adams
145 - (5.26%)
Paulette Halupa
147 - (5.30%)
  Gerard Greenan
Summerside-Wilmot   Janice Sherry
1,382 - (54.74%)
Shirley Anne Cameron
937 - (37.12%)
Rosalyn Ridlington Abbott
205 - (8.12%)
    Janice Sherry
Tignish-Palmer Road Neil LeClair
1,142 (48.74%)
Hal Perry
1,175 - (50.15%)
  Derek D. Peters
26 - (1.11%)
    Neil LeClair
Tyne Valley-Linkletter   Paula Biggar
1,390 - (57.27%)
Jim Henwood
1,037 - (42.73%)
      Paula Biggar

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "SaltWire | Prince Edward Island". www.saltwire.com. Archived from the original on December 29, 2021. Retrieved December 30, 2021.
  2. ^ Wayne Thibodeau (January 11, 2011). "Next election will be fought on new ideas, not new spending: Ghiz". The Guardian. Charlottetown, Prince Edward Island. Archived from the original on January 14, 2011. Retrieved January 21, 2011.
  3. ^ John Ibbitson (January 10, 2011). "Can Harper wait out the election traffic jam?". Ottawa Notebook. Toronto: Globe and Mail. Archived from the original on January 20, 2011. Retrieved January 21, 2011.
  4. ^ "Ghiz wins 2nd term as P.E.I. premier". CBC News. October 3, 2011. Archived from the original on October 4, 2011. Retrieved October 4, 2011.
  5. ^ "Crane and 4 Tories voted in". CBC News. October 4, 2011. Archived from the original on October 4, 2011. Retrieved October 4, 2011.
  6. ^ "Currie to run in Cardigan" . CBC News, March 28, 2011.

Further reading

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