2015 United Kingdom general election in Wales
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All 40 Welsh seats to the House of Commons | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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![]() Results of the 2015 election in Wales |
The 2015 United Kingdom general election in Wales was held on 7 May 2015 and all 40 seats in Wales were contested.[1][2] The election for each seat was conducted on the basis of first-past-the-post.
Despite the Labour party winning the most votes in Wales, the Conservatives won across the UK.[3]
Results overview
[edit]A full list of the results in Wales can be found in the House of Commons Library General Elections Online.[2] The following is an overall table of results for Wales by the BBC.[4]
Party | Seats | Votes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Gains | Losses | Net +/- | % seats | Total | % | Change | ||
Labour | 25 | 1 | 2 | ![]() |
62.5 | 552,473 | 36.9 | ![]() | |
Conservative | 11 | 3 | 0 | ![]() |
27.5 | 407,813 | 27.2 | ![]() | |
UKIP | 0 | 0 | 0 | ![]() |
— | 204,330 | 13.6 | ![]() | |
Plaid Cymru | 3 | 0 | 0 | ![]() |
7.5 | 181,704 | 12.1 | ![]() | |
Liberal Democrats | 1 | 0 | 2 | ![]() |
2.5 | 97,783 | 6.5 | ![]() | |
Green | 0 | 0 | 0 | ![]() |
— | 38,344 | 2.6 | ![]() | |
Socialist Labour | 0 | 0 | 0 | ![]() |
— | 3,481 | 0.2 | ![]() | |
TUSC | 0 | 0 | 0 | ![]() |
— | 1,780 | 0.1 | ![]() | |
Others | 0 | 0 | 0 | ![]() |
— | 10,355 | 0.7 | ![]() | |
Total | 40 | 1,498,063 |
Turnout statistics
[edit]Election turnout statistics | source and comment | |
---|---|---|
Estimated total population of Wales | 3.1M | [5] data for 30 June 2015 |
Total eligible electorate | 2.281M | 1[6] |
electorate as proportion of total population | 74% | |
Total valid votes | 1.498M | 1[7] |
Mean turnout based on total valid votes | 65.67% | |
Mean as average of constituency results | 65.64% | |
Mean as above but based on ballot box turnout | 65.77% | 1 ballot box turnout includes rejected ballots[7] |
Median valid vote turnout | 65.0% | turnout midway between 20th and 21st constituency |
UK median valid vote turnout | 66.7% | [8] for comparison with above |
1 valid vote, count of rejected ballots and total electorate come from the source(s) given in 'Table of results by constituency' below.
Results by constituency
[edit]1 The information on the winning party and the majority come from the source(s) indicated.
2 The total electorate comes from[2] unless another reference is given.
3 The MP is a Labour Co-op Party member[50] but he was nominated as 'Welsh Labour'.[51]
Target seats
[edit]Labour
[edit]- Gower, Conservative, 0.1%
- Vale of Clwyd, Conservative, 0.7%
- Cardiff North, Conservative, 4.2%
Conservative
[edit]- Bridgend, Labour, 4.9%
- Wrexham, Labour, 5.6%
- Clwyd South, Labour, 6.9%
- Delyn, Labour, 7.8%
- Alyn and Deeside, Labour, 8.1%
- Newport West, Labour, 8.7%
Plaid Cymru
[edit]- Ynys Môn, Labour, 0.7%
- Ceredigion, Liberal Democrats, 8.2%
Opinion polling
[edit]
Date(s) conducted |
Polling organisation/client |
Sample size |
Lead | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 April 2015 | Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One | |||||||||
13–15 April 2015 | YouGov/ITV/Cardiff University | 1,143 | 12% | 40% | 26% | 6% | 13% | 4% | <0.5% | 14% |
2 April 2015 | Seven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV | |||||||||
26–31 Mar 2015 | YouGov/The Sun | 1,035 | 9% | 40% | 27% | 6% | 13% | 5% | 1% | 13% |
30 March 2015 | Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign | |||||||||
24–27 Mar 2015 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,189 | 11% | 40% | 25% | 5% | 14% | 5% | 1% | 15% |
26 March 2015 | First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4 | |||||||||
5–9 Mar 2015 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,279 | 10% | 39% | 25% | 5% | 14% | 6% | 1% | 14% |
19–21 Jan 2015 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,036 | 10% | 37% | 23% | 6% | 16% | 8% | 1% | 14% |
8–13 Jan 2015 | ICM/BBC Wales | 1,004 | 12% | 38% | 21% | 7% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 17% |
2–3 Dec 2014 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,131 | 11% | 36% | 23% | 5% | 18% | 5% | 2% | 13% |
19–22 Sep 2014 | ICM/BBC Wales | 1,006 | 13% | 39% | 23% | 5% | 16% | 2% | 1% | 16% |
8–11 Sep 2014 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,025 | 11% | 38% | 23% | 6% | 17% | 5% | 1% | 15% |
26 Jun–1 Jul 2014 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,035 | 11% | 41% | 25% | 5% | 14% | 3% | 2% | 16% |
22 May 2014 | 2014 European Parliament elections | |||||||||
12–14 May 2014 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,092 | 11% | 43% | 22% | 7% | 13% | 3% | 2% | 21% |
11–22 Apr 2014 | YouGov/University of Cardiff | 1,027 | 11% | 45% | 24% | 7% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 21% |
21–24 Feb 2014 | ICM/BBC Wales | 1,000 | 15% | 45% | 24% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 21% |
10–12 Feb 2014 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,250 | 11% | 47% | 22% | 7% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 25% |
2–4 Dec 2013 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,001 | 12% | 46% | 21% | 8% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 25% |
18–22 Jul 2013 | YouGov | 1,012 | 9% | 48% | 23% | 8% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 25% |
18–20 Feb 2013 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,007 | 10% | 51% | 22% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 29% |
2–4 Jul 2012 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,000 | 10% | 54% | 23% | 4% | 9% | 21% | ||
3 May 2012 | 2012 Welsh local elections | |||||||||
12–16 Apr 2012 | YouGov | 1,039 | 12% | 50% | 23% | 7% | 9% | 27% | ||
30 Jan–1 Feb 2012 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,008 | 11% | 50% | 25% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 25% |
5 May 2011 | 2011 Welsh Assembly election | |||||||||
2–4 May 2011 | YouGov/ITV Wales | 1,010 | 10% | 50% | 24% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 25% |
6 May 2010 | General election results | 1,466,690 | 11.3% | 36.2% | 26.1% | 20.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 3.4% | 10% |
See also
[edit]- 2015 United Kingdom general election in England
- 2015 United Kingdom general election in Northern Ireland
- 2015 United Kingdom general election in Scotland
References
[edit]- ^ "Election 2015 – Wales". BBC News. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
- ^ a b c "May 2015 results for Wales". General Elections Online. House of Commons Library. Archived from the original on 17 August 2016. Retrieved 2 September 2015.
- ^ "UK Election Statistics: 1918-2022, A Long Century of Elections" (PDF). House of Commons Library. p. 22.
- ^ "Results of the 2015 General Election in Wales – Election 2015 – BBC News". BBC News. Retrieved 3 January 2016.
- ^ "Population of Wales 2014". Overview of the UK Population. UK Office of National Statistics. 25 June 2015. Retrieved 18 September 2015.
- ^ "eligible voters". Who is eligible to vote at a UK general election?. The Electoral Commission. Archived from the original on 19 April 2014. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
- ^ a b "Voter turnout". Electoral data. The Electoral Commission. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
- ^ "Ranked list of constituencies by turnout". General Elections Online. House of Commons Library. Archived from the original on 17 September 2017. Retrieved 6 September 2015.
- ^ a b "Aberavon and Neath Results" (PDF). UK Parliamentary Elections May 2015 results. Neath Port Talbot County Borough Council. Archived from the original (PDF) on 5 October 2015. Retrieved 16 September 2015.
- ^ "Aberconwy Result" (PDF). Election Results. Conwy County Borough Council. Archived from the original (PDF) on 4 March 2016. Retrieved 16 September 2015.
- ^ "Alyn and Deeside result". Election Results For Alyn And Deeside. Flintshire County Council. 7 May 2015. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
- ^ a b "Gwynedd Council results". Parliamentary Election results – 7 May 2015. Gwynedd Council. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
- ^ rejected ballots 95 email from Gwynedd Council 3Jun15
- ^ "Blaenau Gwent result". Blaenau Gwent Parliamentary Constituency Election 2015. Blaenau Gwent County Borough Council. Archived from the original on 8 July 2015. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
- ^ a b "Powys election results". 2015 General Election results. Powys County Council. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
- ^ rejected ballots 71 email from Powys County Council 15Jul15
- ^ a b "Bridgend and Ogmore results". Elections. Bridgend County Borough Council. Archived from the original on 23 September 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ "Caerphilly result". General Election 2015 – Results for Caerphilly constituency. Caerphilly County Borough Council. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ "Cardiff Central result". Election results for Cardiff Central. City of Cardiff Council. 7 May 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ "Cardiff North result". Election results for Cardiff North. City of Cardiff Council. 7 May 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ "Cardiff South and Penarth result". Election results for Cardiff South and Penarth. City of Cardiff Council. 7 May 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ "Cardiff West result". Election results for Cardiff West. City of Cardiff Council. 7 May 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ "Carmarthen East result". The Newsroom. Carmarthenshire County Council. Archived from the original on 26 September 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ rejected ballots 61 email from Carmarthenshire County Council 27Jul15
- ^ a b email from Pembrokeshire County Council 14Jul15
- ^ a b "Pembrokeshire results". Election Results. Pembrokeshire County Council. Archived from the original on 18 December 2011. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ "Ceredigion result". UK Parliamentary General Election 2015. Ceredigion County Council. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ "Clwyd South result" (PDF). DECLARATION OF RESULT OF POLL. Wrexham County Borough Council. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ "Clwyd West result" (PDF). DECLARATION OF RESULT OF POLL. Conwy County Borough Council. Archived from the original (PDF) on 26 September 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ a b c "Rhondda Cynon Taf". Parliamentary General Elections 2015. Rhondda Cynon Taf County Borough Council. Archived from the original on 25 September 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ "Delyn result". Election Results For Delyn. Flintshire County Council. 7 May 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ rejected ballots 65 email from Gwynedd Council 3Jun15
- ^ a b c "Swansea results". Results – UK Parliamentary general election 2015. City and County of Swansea. Archived from the original on 1 October 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ "Islwyn result". General Election 2015 – Results for Islwyn constituency. Caerphilly County Borough Council. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ "Llanelli result". The Newsroom. Carmarthenshire County Council. Archived from the original on 1 October 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ rejected ballots 40 email from Carmarthenshire County Council 27Jul15
- ^ "Merthyr result". Election results for Merthyr Tydfil & Rhymney. Merthyr Tydfil County Borough Council. 7 May 2015. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ "Monmouth result" (PDF). Declaration of Result of Poll. Monmouthshire County Council. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ rejected ballots 54 email from Powys County Council 15Jul15
- ^ a b "Newport results". General Election 7 May 2015. Newport City Council. Retrieved 21 September 2015.
- ^ rejected ballots 70 email from Newport City Council 4Sep15
- ^ rejected ballots 76 email from Newport City Council 4Sep15
- ^ email from Bridgend County Borough Council 29Jun15
- ^ "Torfaen result" (PDF). DECLARATION OF RESULT OF POLL. Torfaen County Borough Council. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
- ^ "Vale of Clwyd result". Election results for Vale of Clwyd. Denbighshire County Council. April 2013. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
- ^ "Vale of Glamorgan result" (PDF). Statement of Results. Vale of Glamorgan Council. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
- ^ "Wrexham result" (PDF). DECLARATION OF RESULT OF POLL. Wrexham County Borough Council. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
- ^ "Election results for Ynys Môn". Election results for Ynys Môn. Isle of Anglesey Count Council. 7 May 2015. Retrieved 16 September 2015.
- ^ "Formal Result for Ynys Môn" (PDF). Declaration of Result of Poll. Isle of Anglesey County Council. Retrieved 16 September 2015.
- ^ "Co-op Party MPs". Members of Parliament. The Co-operative Party. Retrieved 6 September 2015.
- ^ "Swansea Persons Nominated". Notices (UK parliamentary general election 2015). City and County of Swansea. Archived from the original on 5 October 2015. Retrieved 6 September 2015.