2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma
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Inhofe: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Oklahoma |
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The 2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oklahoma, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Jim Inhofe won reelection to a fifth full term, defeating Democratic challenger Abby Broyles.[1]
This proved to be the fifth U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma in a row in which the Democratic nominee failed to carry any of Oklahoma's counties, but Broyles came very close to breaking this drought, losing Oklahoma County by less than one percentage point.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jim Inhofe, incumbent U.S. Senator[citation needed]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Neil Mavis, Wi-Fi engineer and Libertarian nominee for Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district in 2000[2]
- J.J. Stitt, farmer and gun shop owner[3]
- John Tompkins, orthopedic surgeon[2]
Declined
[edit]- Scott Pruitt, former administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, former attorney general of Oklahoma, and former state senator[4]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
State officials
Results
[edit]![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/4a/Oklahoma_U.S._Senate_Republican_primary%2C_2020.svg/220px-Oklahoma_U.S._Senate_Republican_primary%2C_2020.svg.png)
- 40–50%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jim Inhofe (incumbent) | 277,868 | 74.05 | |
Republican | J.J. Stitt | 57,433 | 15.31 | |
Republican | John Tompkins | 23,563 | 6.28 | |
Republican | Neil Mavis | 16,363 | 4.36 | |
Total votes | 375,227 | 100.00 |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Sheila Bilyeu, perennial candidate[2]
- Elysabeth Britt, human resources professional and candidate for Oklahoma's 5th congressional district in 2018[9]
- R. O. Joe Cassity Jr., lawyer and retired college professor[2]
Withdrawn
[edit]- Dylan Billings, political science professor[10]
- Tyler Dougherty, software developer[9]
- Bevon Rogers, former oil and gas industrialist[11] (ran for state senate)[12]
- Paul Tay, perennial candidate (ran for Mayor of Tulsa)[13]
- Perry Williams[13]
- Mike Workman, political consultant, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016, and nominee for Oklahoma Labor Commissioner in 2014[10][14]
Declined
[edit]- Brad Henry, former governor of Oklahoma[15]
Endorsements
[edit]Results
[edit]![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/a2/Oklahoma_U.S._Senate_Democratic_primary%2C_2020.svg/220px-Oklahoma_U.S._Senate_Democratic_primary%2C_2020.svg.png)
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 30–40%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Abby Broyles | 163,921 | 60.45 | |
Democratic | Elysabeth Britt | 45,206 | 16.67 | |
Democratic | Sheila Bilyeu | 32,350 | 11.93 | |
Democratic | R. O. Joe Cassity, Jr. | 29,698 | 10.95 | |
Total votes | 271,175 | 100.00 |
Other candidates
[edit]Libertarian Party
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Independents
[edit]Declared
[edit]General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[19] | Safe R | October 29, 2020 |
Inside Elections[20] | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Daily Kos[22] | Safe R | October 30, 2020 |
Politico[23] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
RCP[24] | Safe R | October 23, 2020 |
DDHQ[25] | Safe R | November 3, 2020 |
538[26] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Economist[27] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Endorsements
[edit]U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
State officials
U.S. senators
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[28]
U.S. representatives
- Katie Hill, former U.S. representative from California's 25th congressional district[29]
- Eric Swalwell, U.S. representative from California's 15th congressional district and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[30]
Local officials
- Pete Buttigieg, former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[31]
Organizations
- End Citizens United[32]
- Let America Vote[32]
- National Organization for Women[16]
- National Women's Political Caucus[33]
- Patriotic Millionaires[34]
- Sierra Club[35]
Unions
- National Education Association[36]
- Oklahoma Building Trades[17]
- United Auto Workers[37]
Polling
[edit]Graphical summary
[edit]![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jim Inhofe (R) |
Abby Broyles (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SoonerPoll[38] | October 15–20, 2020 | 5,466 (LV) | ± 1.33% | 56% | 37% | 2%[b] | 4% |
Amber Integrated[39] | September 17–20, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 30% | 5%[c] | 19% |
SoonerPoll[40] | September 2–8, 2020 | 486 (LV) | ± 4.45% | 57% | 33% | 3%[d] | 6% |
DFM Research (D)[41][A] | July 29–30, 2020 | 572 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 34% | 5%[e] | 11% |
Amber Integrated[42] | March 5–8, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 57% | 31% | – | 12% |
Abby Broyles[43][A] | Released February 17, 2020 | – (V)[f] | – | 56% | 44% | – | – |
with generic Democrat
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jim Inhofe (R) |
Generic Democrat (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Amber Integrated[44] | June 3–4, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 34% | 12% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jim Inhofe (incumbent) | 979,140 | 62.91% | –5.10 | |
Democratic | Abby Broyles | 509,763 | 32.75% | +4.20 | |
Libertarian | Robert Murphy | 34,435 | 2.21% | N/A | |
Independent | Joan Farr | 21,652 | 1.39% | +0.11 | |
Independent | A. D. Nesbit | 11,371 | 0.73% | N/A | |
Total votes | 1,556,361 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
By county
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By congressional district
[edit]Inhofe won all 5 congressional districts.[46]
District | Infohe | Broyles | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 58% | 38% | Kevin Hern |
2nd | 72% | 24% | Markwayne Mullin |
3rd | 72% | 24% | Frank Lucas |
4th | 64% | 32% | Tom Cole |
5th | 50% | 45% | Kendra Horn (116th Congress) |
Stephanie Bice (117th Congress) |
Notes
[edit]Partisan clients
Voter samples and additional candidates
References
[edit]- ^ "Inhofe says he's seeking another term in Senate". KTUL. Associated Press. March 5, 2020. Archived from the original on April 4, 2020. Retrieved March 6, 2020.
- ^ a b c d Krehbiel, Randy (June 7, 2020). "U.S. Senate primary draws lively competition despite Inhofe's decades dominating at polls". Tulsa World. Archived from the original on June 16, 2020. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
- ^ Krehbiel, Randy (October 27, 2019). "Inspired by Oklahoma's governor, another Stitt is running for U.S. Senate". Tulsa World. Archived from the original on October 31, 2019. Retrieved October 31, 2019.
- ^ Davenport, Coral (March 17, 2018). "Scott Pruitt, Trump's Rule-Cutting E.P.A. Chief, Plots His Political Future". The New York Times. Archived from the original on March 21, 2021. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
- ^ a b Trump, Donald [@realDonaldTrump] (March 9, 2020). "THANK YOU, Jim, for your incredible support of our #MAGA Agenda! You are a tremendous Senator for the people of the Great State of Oklahoma and you have my Complete and Total Endorsement! https://t.co/yx3e1tmjCM" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Inhofe, Jim [@inhofeforsenate] (June 24, 2020). "Thank you Congressman Lucas for your kind words. Proud to represent the citizens of Oklahoma alongside you and excited for the future of our great state. https://t.co/zsGHMjOciQ" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b Inhofe, Jim [@inhofeforsenate] (June 16, 2020). ""Jim is a close friend. Jim Inhofe is Oklahoma's stable rock in turbulent times." @GovStitt https://t.co/xpDoxb5fSv" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 – via Twitter.
- ^ a b "OK Election Results". Oklahoma Secretary of State. Archived from the original on July 1, 2020. Retrieved June 30, 2020.
- ^ a b c Savage, Tres (November 4, 2019). "Abby Broyles is fifth Dem to file against Jim Inhofe". Non Doc. Archived from the original on December 15, 2019. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
- ^ a b Simmons, Beau (August 16, 2019). "Incoming OSU instructor launches U.S. Senate campaign". Stillwater News Press. Archived from the original on August 26, 2019. Retrieved August 25, 2019.
- ^ Bach, Tawnya (November 1, 2019). "Coffee With The Candidates: Bevon Rogers". KOAM News. Archived from the original on January 1, 2020. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
- ^ a b c "Filing data". www.ok.gov. Archived from the original on June 12, 2020. Retrieved June 29, 2020.
- ^ a b "United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2020". Ballotpedia. Archived from the original on March 19, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- ^ "Workman 4 Oklahoma". www.facebook.com. Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. Retrieved April 10, 2020.
- ^ "Crap. Scott Pruitt wants to be Oklahoma's next U.S. Senator". The Last Ogle. August 15, 2017. Archived from the original on January 11, 2020. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
- ^ a b "2020 Federal Endorsements – NOW PAC". nowpac.org. Archived from the original on June 15, 2020. Retrieved June 18, 2020.
- ^ a b Broyles, Abby [@abbybroyles] (March 2, 2020). "I'm excited to announce I've been endorsed by Oklahoma Building Trades! This organization represents thousands of Oklahoma workers that I look forward to supporting in the US Senate. Join our team! https://t.co/gzXLcfAqSB -AB https://t.co/C72wvdmdlN" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 – via Twitter.
- ^ "Murphy for Senate 2020". secure.anedot.com. Archived from the original on April 6, 2020. Retrieved April 6, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on May 30, 2021. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Archived from the original on March 13, 2021. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on March 1, 2021. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019. Archived from the original on June 20, 2020. Retrieved December 2, 2019.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020. Archived from the original on March 16, 2021. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
- ^ Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on September 20, 2020. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
- ^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "Endorsements | Warren Democrats". elizabethwarren.com. Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved September 15, 2020.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidates". Hertime. Archived from the original on September 27, 2020. Retrieved September 23, 2020.
- ^ Swalwell, Eric [@ericswalwell] (July 1, 2020). "#FactCheck: Sen. Inhofe won't stand up for Oklahoma soldiers Trump may have allowed Russians to target. But @abbybroyles will. Flip the senate with Abby" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ "Archived copy". Facebook. Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. Retrieved October 17, 2020.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) - ^ a b "End Citizens United and Let America Vote Endorse Slate of Candidates Committed to Fighting the Status Quo in Washington". End Citizens United. July 30, 2020. Archived from the original on August 14, 2020. Retrieved September 21, 2020.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidates – National Women's Political Caucus PAC". Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. Retrieved July 21, 2020.
- ^ "2020 Endorsements - Patriotic Millionaires". patrioticmillionaires.org. Archived from the original on September 28, 2020. Retrieved September 23, 2020.
- ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club. March 19, 2021. Archived from the original on December 8, 2019. Retrieved September 28, 2020.
- ^ "U.S. Senate - Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org. Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. Retrieved November 3, 2020.
- ^ "Oklahoma – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers. Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. Retrieved September 3, 2020.
- ^ SoonerPoll
- ^ Amber Integrated
- ^ SoonerPoll
- ^ DFM Research (D)
- ^ Amber Integrated
- ^ Abby Broyles
- ^ Amber Integrated
- ^ "November 3, 2020 - Official Results". Oklahoma State Election Board. Archived from the original on January 5, 2021. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
- ^ "DRA 2020". Daves Redistricting. Retrieved August 18, 2024.
External links
[edit]- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Oklahoma", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Oklahoma: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Oklahoma". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Oklahoma at Ballotpedia
Official campaign websites