Statewide opinion polling for the April 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries

Republican presidential primaries, 2012
	Leading Republican 2012 primary candidate by state (parentheses indicate a shared lead, italics indicates polling data, non-italics indicates a primary win). Stars indicate a completed primary. States in gray have no polling data or no relevant data due to a leading candidate having withdrawn or declined to enter the race. Mitt Romney 37+5 Rick Santorum 11 Newt Gingrich 2
Republican nominee before election; John McCain; Republican	Presumptive Republican nominee ; Mitt Romney; Republican

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries.

As of May 2012, both Ron Paul and Mitt Romney have led polls in multiple states. They have both also reached at least 20 percent in polls in multiple states. Before announcing that they would not run, Mike Huckabee and Sarah Palin were also leading polls in multiple states with numbers above 20 percent. Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Rick Perry, and Rick Santorum were also able to lead polls in multiple states earlier in the race, but Cain suspended his campaign on December 3 after multiple allegations of sexual impropriety,^[1] Bachmann dropped out on January 4, one day after her poor showing in the Iowa caucuses, in which she came in sixth place and received just 5 percent of the vote,^[2] Perry dropped out on January 19 after finishing fifth in Iowa with just over 10 percent of the vote, finishing sixth in New Hampshire with less than 1 percent of the vote and with "lagging" poll numbers ahead of the South Carolina primary,^[3] and Santorum suspended his campaign on April 10.^[4] Newt Gingrich announced he would drop out of the race after a poor showing in the northeast on April 24.^[5]

Haley Barbour of Mississippi, Jeb Bush of Florida, Chris Christie of New Jersey, Jim DeMint of South Carolina, Bobby Jindal of Louisiana, Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota, Paul Ryan of Wisconsin and John Thune of South Dakota all succeeded in leading polls in their home states at some point in 2011, although only Pawlenty actually launched a campaign. Pawlenty exited the race on August 14, one day after finishing third in Iowa's Ames Straw Poll, citing a lack of campaign funds.^[6]^[7]

Polling for completed primaries[edit]

Maryland (April 3)[edit]

Winner: Mitt Romney
Primary date: April 3, 2012
Delegates: 37

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Primary results Turnout: 238,059	April 3, 2012	Mitt Romney 49.1%	Rick Santorum 28.9%	Newt Gingrich 10.9%	Ron Paul 9.5%, Others 1.5%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.4% Sample size: 500	Mar. 31 – Apr. 1, 2012	Mitt Romney 52%	Rick Santorum 27%	Newt Gingrich 10%	Ron Paul 9%, Someone else/Not sure 2%
	Mar. 31 – Apr. 1, 2012	Mitt Romney 51%	Rick Santorum 33%	Ron Paul 11%	Not sure 5%
Rasmussen Reports Margin of error: ±4.5% Sample size: 750	Mar. 28, 2012	Mitt Romney 45%	Rick Santorum 28%	Newt Gingrich 12%	Ron Paul 7%, Some other candidate 2%, Undecided 6%
Rasmussen Reports Margin of error: ±4.5% Sample size: 750	Mar. 28, 2012	Mitt Romney 53%	Rick Santorum 39%	–	–

Wisconsin (April 3)[edit]

Winner: Mitt Romney
Primary date: April 3, 2012
Delegates: 42

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Primary results Turnout: 784,660	April 3, 2012	Mitt Romney 44.1%	Rick Santorum 36.9%	Ron Paul 11.2%	Newt Gingrich 5.9%, Others 2.0%
We Ask America Margin of error: ±2.86% Sample size: 1,173	Apr. 1, 2012	Mitt Romney 39%	Rick Santorum 31%	Ron Paul 16%	Newt Gingrich 15%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.0% Sample size: 609	Mar. 31 – Apr. 1, 2012	Mitt Romney 43%	Rick Santorum 36%	Ron Paul 11%	Newt Gingrich 8%, Someone else/Not sure 2%
	Mar. 31 – Apr. 1, 2012	Mitt Romney 43%	Rick Santorum 37%	Ron Paul 16%	Not sure 4%
Rasmussen Reports Margin of error: ±4% Sample size: 717	Mar. 29, 2012	Mitt Romney 44%	Rick Santorum 34%	Ron Paul 7%	Newt Gingrich 7%, Other 2%, Not sure 6%
St. Norbert College/Wisconsin Public Radio Margin of error: ±5% Sample size: 403	Mar. 24–28, 2012	Mitt Romney 37%	Rick Santorum 32%	Ron Paul 8%	Newt Gingrich 4%, Other 5%, Not sure 11%, Refused 2%
NBC News/Marist Margin of error: ±3.6% Sample size: 740	Mar. 26–27, 2012	Mitt Romney 40%	Rick Santorum 33%	Ron Paul 11%	Newt Gingrich 8%, Undecided 7%
NBC News/Marist Margin of error: ±3.6% Sample size: 740	Mar. 26–27, 2012	Mitt Romney 46%	Rick Santorum 41%	–	Other 1%, Undecided 12%
Marquette University Law School Margin of error: ±5.4% Sample size: 349	Mar. 22–25, 2012	Mitt Romney 39%	Rick Santorum 31%	Ron Paul 11%	Newt Gingrich 5%, Don't know 12%, Refused 1%
Rasmussen Reports Margin of error: ±3% Sample size: 1,000	Mar. 21, 2012	Mitt Romney 46%	Rick Santorum 33%	Ron Paul 8%	Newt Gingrich 7%, Some other candidate 1%, Undecided 5%
Rasmussen Reports Margin of error: ±3% Sample size: 1,000	Mar. 21, 2012	Mitt Romney 51%	Rick Santorum 40%	–	–
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.16% Sample size: 556	Feb. 23–26, 2012	Rick Santorum 43%	Mitt Romney 27%	Newt Gingrich 10%	Ron Paul 8%, Someone else/Not sure 12%
	Feb. 23–26, 2012	Rick Santorum 51%	Mitt Romney 28%	Ron Paul 8%	Not sure 13%
Marquette University Law School Margin of error: ±4.9% Sample size: 424	Feb. 16–19, 2012	Rick Santorum 34%	Mitt Romney 18%	Ron Paul 17%	Newt Gingrich 12%, Don't know 17%, Refused 1%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±3.8% Sample size: 650	Oct. 20–23, 2011	Herman Cain 30%	Mitt Romney 18%	Newt Gingrich 12%	Rick Perry 12%, Ron Paul 8%, Michele Bachmann 5%, Rick Santorum 2%, Jon Huntsman 1%, Gary Johnson 1%, someone else/undecided 12%
		Mitt Romney 46%	Rick Perry 34%	–	not sure 20%
		Herman Cain 46%	Mitt Romney 35%	–	not sure 19%
		Herman Cain 49%	Rick Perry 31%	–	not sure 21%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±5.2% Sample size: 362	Aug. 12–14, 2011	Michele Bachmann 20%	Rick Perry 20%	Mitt Romney 13%	Sarah Palin 11%, Herman Cain 7%, Newt Gingrich 6%, Ron Paul 6%, Tim Pawlenty 3%, Jon Huntsman 1%, someone else/undecided 12%
	Aug. 12–14, 2011	Michele Bachmann 24%	Rick Perry 20%	Mitt Romney 17%	Newt Gingrich 10%, Herman Cain 7%, Ron Paul 6%, Tim Pawlenty 4%, Jon Huntsman 1%, someone else/undecided 11%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±3.8% Sample size: 666	May 19–22, 2011	Mitt Romney 17%	Sarah Palin 16%	Tim Pawlenty 12%	Michele Bachmann 11%, Herman Cain 10%, Newt Gingrich 10%, Ron Paul 10%, Jon Huntsman 2%, someone else/not sure 14%
	May 19–22, 2011	Mitt Romney 19%	Tim Pawlenty 15%	Michele Bachmann 14%	Newt Gingrich 14%, Herman Cain 11%, Ron Paul 11%, Jon Huntsman 3%, someone else/not sure 14%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.9% Sample size: 400	Feb. 24–27, 2011	Paul Ryan 30%	Mike Huckabee 17%	Newt Gingrich 12%	Sarah Palin 9%, Mitt Romney 9%, Ron Paul 5%, Tim Pawlenty 4%, Mitch Daniels 3%, someone else/undecided 13%
	Feb. 24–27, 2011	Mike Huckabee 23%	Newt Gingrich 15%	Sarah Palin 15%	Mitt Romney 12%, Tim Pawlenty 10%, Ron Paul 5%, Mitch Daniels 3%, someone else/undecided 17%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.9% Sample size: 400	Dec. 10–12, 2010	Sarah Palin 21%	Mike Huckabee 18%	Mitt Romney 17%	Newt Gingrich 13%, Tim Pawlenty 10%, Ron Paul 4%, John Thune 3%, Mitch Daniels 2%, someone else/undecided 12%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.1% Sample size: 579	Oct. 26–28, 2010	Sarah Palin 18%	Mike Huckabee 15%	Newt Gingrich 14%	Mitt Romney 12%, Tim Pawlenty 8%, Mitch Daniels 2%, Mike Pence 2%, John Thune 1%, someone else/undecided 28%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.9% Sample size: 400	Mar. 20–21, 2010	Mitt Romney 32%	Sarah Palin 27%	Mike Huckabee 23%	undecided 18%

Connecticut (April 24)[edit]

Winner: Mitt Romney
Primary date: April 24, 2012
Delegates: 28

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Quinnipiac Margin of error: ±4.7% Sample size: 429	Mar. 14–19, 2012	Mitt Romney 42%	Rick Santorum 19%	Newt Gingrich 13%	Ron Paul 9%, Won't vote 3%, Don't know/No answer 14%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.9% Sample size: 400	Sep. 22–25, 2011	Mitt Romney 25%	Rick Perry 18%	Herman Cain 10%	Newt Gingrich 10%, Ron Paul 10%, Michele Bachmann 8%, Jon Huntsman 3%, Rick Santorum 3%, Gary Johnson 1%, someone else/not sure 12%
	Sep. 22–25, 2011	Mitt Romney 45%	Rick Perry 36%	–	not sure 19%
Quinnipiac Margin of error: ±5.4% Sample size: 332	Sep. 8–13, 2011	Mitt Romney 37%	Rick Perry 19%	Michele Bachmann 8%	Sarah Palin 4%, Herman Cain 3%, Newt Gingrich 3%, Ron Paul 3%, Jon Huntsman 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Thaddeus McCotter 0%, someone else/undecided 20%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±7.3% Sample size: 180	Oct. 27–29, 2010	Mitt Romney 28%	Mike Huckabee 15%	Newt Gingrich 14%	Sarah Palin 11%, Tim Pawlenty 5%, Mike Pence 5%, Mitch Daniels 4%, John Thune 2%, someone else/undecided 18

New York (April 24)[edit]

Winner: Mitt Romney
Primary date: April 24, 2012
Delegates: 95

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Siena College Research Institute Margin of error: ±6.6% Sample size: 218	Apr. 1–4, 2012	Mitt Romney 51%	Rick Santorum 18%	Ron Paul 11%	Newt Gingrich 6%, Don't know/No opinion 14%
Quinnipiac Margin of error: ±5.1% Sample size: 372	Mar. 28 – Apr. 2, 2012	Mitt Romney 54%	Rick Santorum 21%	Newt Gingrich 9%	Ron Paul 8%, Don't know/No answer 8%
Siena College Research Institute Margin of error: ±6.5% Sample size: 230	Feb. 26–29, 2012	Mitt Romney 38%	Rick Santorum 23%	Newt Gingrich 13%	Ron Paul 11%, Don't know/No opinion 14%
Quinnipiac Margin of error: ±4.9% Sample size: 399	Feb. 8–13, 2012	Mitt Romney 32%	Rick Santorum 20%	Ron Paul 14%	Newt Gingrich 10%
Siena College Research Institute Margin of error: ±3.4% Sample size: 807	Jan. 29 – Feb. 1, 2012	Mitt Romney 31%	Newt Gingrich 29%	Ron Paul 16%	Rick Santorum 13%, Don't know 10%
Siena College Research Institute Margin of error: ±3.5% Sample size: 803	Nov. 8–10, 13, 2011	Mitt Romney 32%	Herman Cain 15%	Newt Gingrich 12%	Michele Bachmann 9%, Ron Paul 9%, Rick Perry 9%, Don't know 15%

Pennsylvania (April 24)[edit]

Winner: Mitt Romney
Primary date: April 24, 2012
Delegates: 72

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
American Research Group Margin of error: ±4% Sample size: 600	Apr. 9–10, 2012	Mitt Romney 44%	Rick Santorum 40%	Newt Gingrich 7%	Ron Paul 5%, Other 1%, Undecided 3%
Rasmussen Reports Margin of error: ±4% Sample size: 750	Apr. 4, 2012	Rick Santorum 42%	Mitt Romney 38%	Ron Paul 7%	Newt Gingrich 6%, Some other candidate 2%, Undecided 5%
Rasmussen Reports Margin of error: ±4% Sample size: 750	Apr. 4, 2012	Rick Santorum 46%	Mitt Romney 44%	–	–
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.9% Sample size: 403	Apr. 4, 2012	Mitt Romney 42%	Rick Santorum 37%	Ron Paul 9%	Newt Gingrich 6%, Someone else/Not sure 6%
	Apr. 4, 2012	Rick Santorum 42%	Mitt Romney 41%	Ron Paul 12%	Not sure 6%
Quinnipiac Margin of error: ±3.9% Sample size: 647	Mar. 27 – Apr. 1, 2012	Rick Santorum 41%	Mitt Romney 35%	Ron Paul 10%	Newt Gingrich 7%, Don't know/No answer 6%
Mercyhurst University Margin of error: ±4.75% Sample size: 425	Mar. 19–30, 2012	Rick Santorum 37%	Mitt Romney 31%	Ron Paul 10%	Newt Gingrich 9%, Other 4%, Don't know 6%, Refused 2%
Franklin & Marshall College Margin of error: ±4.2% Sample size: 505	Mar. 20–25, 2012	Rick Santorum 30%	Mitt Romney 28%	Ron Paul 9%	Newt Gingrich 6%, Don't know 24%, Other 3%
Quinnipiac Margin of error: ±4.4% Sample size: 508	Mar. 7–12, 2012	Rick Santorum 36%	Mitt Romney 22%	Ron Paul 12%	Newt Gingrich 8%, Someone else 2%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Don't know/No answer 18%
Quinnipiac Margin of error: ±4.4% Sample size: 508	Mar. 7–12, 2012	Rick Santorum 52%	Mitt Romney 32%	–	Don't know/No answer 16%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.1% Sample size: 564	Mar. 8–11, 2012	Rick Santorum 43%	Mitt Romney 25%	Newt Gingrich 13%	Ron Paul 9%, Someone else/Not sure 10%
	Mar. 8–11, 2012	Rick Santorum 51%	Mitt Romney 28%	Ron Paul 12%	Not sure 9%
Franklin & Marshall College Margin of error: ±5.9% Sample size: 278	Feb. 14–20, 2012	Rick Santorum 45%	Mitt Romney 16%	Newt Gingrich 9%	Ron Paul 7%, Other 1%, Don't know 22%
Susquehanna Polling and Research Margin of error: ±4.38% Sample size: 500	Feb. 2–6, 2012	Rick Santorum 30%	Mitt Romney 29%	Newt Gingrich 13%	Ron Paul 9%, Other 2%, Undecided 16%
Susquehanna Polling and Research Margin of error: ±2.95% Sample size: 1,106	Dec. 7–11, 2011	Newt Gingrich 35%	Mitt Romney 18%	Rick Santorum 18%	Ron Paul 8%, Michele Bachmann 6%, Rick Perry 2%, undecided 14%
Quinnipiac^{[permanent dead link]} Margin of error: ±4.1% Sample size: 578	Nov. 28 – Dec. 5, 2011	Newt Gingrich 31%	Mitt Romney 17%	Rick Santorum 9%	Ron Paul 7%, Michele Bachmann 3%, Herman Cain 3%, Jon Huntsman 3%, Rick Perry 3%, Someone Else 2%, Wouldn't Vote 4%, Don't Know/No Answer 18%
	Nov. 28 – Dec. 5, 2011	Newt Gingrich 50%	Mitt Romney 31%	–	Someone Else 3%, Wouldn't Vote 5%, Don't Know/No Answer 11%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.9% Sample size: 400	Nov. 17–20, 2011	Newt Gingrich 32%	Herman Cain 15%	Mitt Romney 12%	Rick Santorum 12%, Ron Paul 9%, Michele Bachmann 5%, Jon Huntsman 3%, Rick Perry 3%, Gary Johnson 0%, someone else/not sure 9%
Quinnipiac Margin of error: ±4.1% Sample size: 579	Oct. 31 – Nov. 7, 2011	Herman Cain 17%	Mitt Romney 17%	Newt Gingrich 13%	Rick Santorum 13%, Ron Paul 5%, Rick Perry 5%, Michele Bachmann 2%, Jon Huntsman 2%, don't know 21%, someone else 2%, wouldn't vote 2%
Quinnipiac Margin of error: ±4.2% Sample size: 541	Sep. 21–26, 2011	Mitt Romney 18%	Rick Perry 16%	Rick Santorum 12%	Sarah Palin 8%, Michele Bachmann 6%, Herman Cain 5%, Ron Paul 5%, Newt Gingrich 4%, Jon Huntsman 2%, don't know 19%, someone else 2%, wouldn't vote 2%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±5.1% Sample size: 376	Jun. 30 – Jul. 5, 2011	Michele Bachmann 24%	Mitt Romney 17%	Rick Santorum 14%	Herman Cain 10%, Ron Paul 9%, Rick Perry 8%, Newt Gingrich 6%, Jon Huntsman 3%, Tim Pawlenty 1%, someone else/not sure 8%
		Michele Bachmann 27%	Mitt Romney 20%	Ron Paul 10%	Rick Perry 10%, Herman Cain 9%, Newt Gingrich 9%, Jon Huntsman 3%, Tim Pawlenty 2%, someone else/not sure 11%
		Michele Bachmann 23%	Sarah Palin 18%	Mitt Romney 14%	Rick Perry 11%, Herman Cain 7%, Ron Paul 7%, Newt Gingrich 5%, Jon Huntsman 3%, Tim Pawlenty 3%, someone else/not sure 8%
Quinnipiac Margin of error: ±4.3% Sample size: 523	Jun. 7–12, 2011	Mitt Romney 21%	Rick Santorum 16%	Sarah Palin 11%	Herman Cain 8%, Ron Paul 6%, Michele Bachmann 5% Newt Gingrich 5%, Tim Pawlenty 4%, Jon Huntsman 1%, Gary Johnson <1%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.9% Sample size: 400	Jan. 3–5, 2011	Mike Huckabee 21%	Sarah Palin 18%	Newt Gingrich 16%	Mitt Romney 14%, Rick Santorum 11%, Tim Pawlenty 6%, Ron Paul 4%, Mitch Daniels 1%, undecided 8%
	Jan. 3–5, 2011	Mike Huckabee 26%	Sarah Palin 21%	Mitt Romney 16%	Newt Gingrich 15%, Tim Pawlenty 6%, Ron Paul 5%, Mitch Daniels 2%, undecided 9%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±5.8% Sample size: 283	Oct. 30–31, 2010	Mike Huckabee 23%	Sarah Palin 16%	Mitt Romney 16%	Newt Gingrich 15%, Mitch Daniels 2%, Tim Pawlenty 2%, Mike Pence 2%, John Thune 1%, someone else/undecided 22%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.9% Sample size: 400	Aug. 14–16, 2010	Mike Huckabee 17%	Sarah Palin 17%	Mitt Romney 16%	Rick Santorum 15%, Newt Gingrich 14%, Ron Paul 6%, undecided 17%
	Aug. 14–16, 2010	Mitt Romney 20%	Newt Gingrich 19%	Mike Huckabee 19%	Sarah Palin 19%, Ron Paul 8%, undecided 12%, someone else 4%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±5.0% Sample size: 400	Jun. 19–21, 2010	Sarah Palin 24%	Newt Gingrich 23%	Mike Huckabee 20%	Mitt Romney 16%, Ron Paul 11%, undecided 6%
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.9% Sample size: 405	Mar. 29–Apr. 1, 2010	Mitt Romney 31%	Mike Huckabee 27%	Sarah Palin 27%	undecided 15%

Rhode Island (April 24)[edit]

Winner: Mitt Romney
Primary date: April 24, 2012
Delegates: 19

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±6.2% Sample size: 250	Feb. 16–22, 2011	Mitt Romney 39%	Mike Huckabee 15%	Newt Gingrich 13%	Sarah Palin 10%, Ron Paul 5%, Tim Pawlenty 5%, Mitch Daniels 4%, John Thune 1%, someone else/undecided 9%

References[edit]

^ James Oliphant, "Herman Cain drops out of presidential race" (December 3, 2011). Los Angeles Times.
^ Sarah Wheaton, "Bachmann Says She Will Not Continue in the Race" (January 4, 2012). New York Times.
^ Zeleny, Jeff; Shear, Michael D. (January 19, 2012). "Perry to End Bid for Presidency". The Caucus. The New York Times. Retrieved January 19, 2012.
^ Blake, Aaron; Henderson, Nia-Malika (April 10, 2012). "Rick Santorum drops out of the presidential race". The Washington Post. Retrieved April 19, 2012.
^ "Gingrich Drops Out of the Race". Election Coverage 2012. Retrieved 1 May 2012.
^ Kate O'Hare, "Tim Pawlenty quits after third-place straw-poll finish" (August 14, 2011). Los Angeles Times.
^ Robert J. Vickers, "Pawlenty to headline state GOP meeting" (January 3, 2012). The Patriot-News.

[1] James Oliphant, "Herman Cain drops out of presidential race" (December 3, 2011). Los Angeles Times.

[2] Sarah Wheaton, "Bachmann Says She Will Not Continue in the Race" (January 4, 2012). New York Times.

[nyt120119a-3] Zeleny, Jeff; Shear, Michael D. (January 19, 2012). "Perry to End Bid for Presidency". The Caucus. The New York Times. Retrieved January 19, 2012.

[dropout1-4] Blake, Aaron; Henderson, Nia-Malika (April 10, 2012). "Rick Santorum drops out of the presidential race". The Washington Post. Retrieved April 19, 2012.

[5] "Gingrich Drops Out of the Race". Election Coverage 2012. Retrieved 1 May 2012.

[6] Kate O'Hare, "Tim Pawlenty quits after third-place straw-poll finish" (August 14, 2011). Los Angeles Times.

[7] Robert J. Vickers, "Pawlenty to headline state GOP meeting" (January 3, 2012). The Patriot-News.

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