Talk:2006 Pacific typhoon season/August

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August[edit]

Week 1[edit]

08W.SAOMAI[edit]

99W.INVEST[edit]

Navy's got 99W, now. --Patteroast 21:46, 1 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

gone. Alastor Moody (talk) 00:29, 2 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Came back again. Alastor Moody (talk) 00:31, 2 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
This one looks like it could be something. bob rulz 09:39, 2 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Interestingly enough, it's not that far north of 98P. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 23:28, 2 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
... and gone again. Alastor Moody (talk) 00:48, 4 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Back again. Alastor Moody (talk) 00:48, 4 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Please don't post just for the sake of posting and boosting your edit count. If it's gone again and back again, you could've siad that with one edit, not three. Chacor 10:25, 5 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
God, calm down! He saw that it was gone...how was he supposed to know that it was just going to come back up less than a minute later? If anything you're the one posting just for the sake of increasing your edit count here, which is a stupid and ridiculous accusation. Who even gives a damn if he posted twice? By the way, it was only two posts...think about what you say before you say it, please. You seem to be the only person here who cares. bob rulz 03:05, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Did you check the history? It was three. And NRL does remove storms, but hardly ever - I'd personally say NEVER - restores them within the same minute. And you're wrong about my being th eonly one who cares, so please at least make an attempt to find out the facts before posting and souncing uncivil. Chacor 03:08, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
You're the one who sounded uncivil with your post. Okay, maybe it was three posts. Maybe I just didn't care enough to check the edit history. If there's other people that care then why are you the only one getting all upset over it? Nobody should care how many edits it takes to do what. Main point: I doubt that he did it "just to increase his edit count." This is Wikipedia! This is an encyclopedia. It doesn't matter how many edits it takes to do what. I'm sure he's so sorry that he's just not as smart as you and may not know that "NRL rarely removes storm, yadda yadda yadda." He didn't see it on there, so naturally he thought it had been removed. He is not degrading the quality of anything by taking 3 edits to do what he did, and you are accomplishing nothing in telling him to "use less edits." You're just attacking him for something stupid and trivial. bob rulz 07:05, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
WP:NPA. Chacor 07:06, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

(move back to margin) I'm not attacking you. bob rulz 07:08, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

I meant, WP:NPA means that your sentence "You're just attacking him for something stupid and trivial." isn't right. I know what the policy is. Chacor 07:49, 7 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Last time I checked Wikipedia encouraged users to take as many posts as they need to do something, which means not attacking somebody for how many edits it takes to edit something. And I apologize if I attacked you in my post, I didn't mean for it to come out the way it did. bob rulz 00:57, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
08W.NONAME[edit]

NRL has 08W.NONAME up. íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 20:04, 4 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

It's official now. íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 21:28, 4 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
JTWC has it as a TS now. Chacor 10:23, 5 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Looks strong in the NRL page satellite photos. Alastor Moody (talk) 23:40, 5 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
08W.SAOMAI[edit]

JMA upgraded this into Saomai after upgrading 90W into Maria... this does deserve to be a tropical storm... Typhoonchaser 13:47, 5 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

You're right, even the JMA forecasts Saomai to be a typhoon. I also think Samoai deserves to be a typhoon. Alastor Moody (talk) 06:00, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Official track has it hitting China as a category 3 typhoon, not long after Bopha is expected to hit about the same area. China just won't be catching a break anytime soon. bob rulz 18:54, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Long range forcasts reported that this typhoon will peak as a weak to moderate Category 4 typhoon. But it did have a chance to strenghten further to be become the third Super Typhoon of this season. Irfanfaiz 22:55, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
I like tracking this storm, an eye began to appear now: [1]. Irfanfaiz 05:38, 7 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

BTW, remember that all JTWC forecasts are unofficial... JMA now has it as a TY. Chacor 07:50, 7 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Make that a strong Category 3 typhoon peak predicitions on long range forcasts. But it may intensifiy further. Irfanfaiz 11:32, 7 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Best looking Cat 1 I've ever seen. It's a shame they don't do recon out there - it'd be helpful. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 00:27, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
This is turning into a very impressive storm. It's up to cat 3 now, and it's forecast to intensify further. Watch out China! As if they haven't had enough already... bob rulz 04:21, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Wow. Category 4 already? Irfanfaiz 12:32, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Yeah, this thing is absolutely exploding. I wouldn't be surprised if it reached category 5 very soon. Just look at that perfect structure. bob rulz 15:28, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
It is a cat 5 (per the JTWC). íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 15:29, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Yeah, I just noticed that (in fact, there was an edit conflict there). Wow, talk about your classic West Pacific typhoon. bob rulz 15:31, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Damn, I hope it doesn't hit China at full strength. -- WmE 16:01, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
NRL has it at 898mb. Should we wait? Pobbie Rarr 16:16, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
NRL can differ quite wildly from the JMA regarding pressures; Chanchu's operational lowest pressure was 920 hPa, while the NRL reported 910mb. Chacor 16:18, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Reminds me of Cyclone Monica. The BoM put it at 905mb whereas the JTWC put it at 879mb. There's no consensus at all. Pobbie Rarr 16:25, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
WHOA!!! A CATEGORY 5 SUPER TYPHOON!!! Dude, these things get so more common in the west half of the pacific. I wonder if China is gonna live from Saomai. This storm's looks like a killer and a fighter. Alastor Moody (talk) 18:41, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
She's coming in fast to China. It also haves a big round eye, looks very like an annular hurricane. Alastor Moody (talk) 18:47, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Saomai definitely looks at least somewhat stronger than the JMA is showing, (but probably not quite as strong as the JTWC is saying). A couple of professional meteorologists on Storm2k said this looks like a Cat 4 or at least a strong Cat 3. Whatever it is, it's not gonna be good... --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 19:27, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Actual, I really do think this is a Category 5 super typhoon, look how strong it is; it is really a never-giving up fighter. Alastor Moody (talk) 19:55, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Whatever the case, I'll start looking for storm history info and make a prototype article in my sandbox later. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 20:55, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Looking at the satellite image on NRL, it kind of looks like it's annular to me.Reub2000 22:01, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
This was unexpected. CAT5 ALREADY??? It looked like an "annular typhoon" to me. Irfanfaiz 22:11, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Well the NRL forecast Saomai to hit China as a Cat.4 seems to be the heat is on. Alastor Moody (talk) 22:22, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]


What I don't understand is the huge discrepancy. How can the JMA call it a Cat 2 and the JTWC call it a Cat 5? The differences between 10- and 1-minute means are not THAT great. Personally, I think the JMA is completely missing it, going just by satellite imagery, but maybe they'll do some fast upgrading before it hits land. —Cuiviénen 23:06, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

It's long been my opinion that JMA underforecasts storms in their jurisdiction. This is not even close to a Cat 2 - if it is, it's the greatest-looking Cat 2 ever, anywhere in the world. In fact, their latest advisory weakened it slightly. As for 10-minute and 1-minute averages, multiply the 10-minute speed by 1.14 to get the 1-minute speed.[2] For Saomai, the JMA is calling this a 105 kt (1-min, rounded up from 102.6 kt) typhoon, which still doesn't seem strong enough. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 23:37, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Latest SSD Dvorak is T7.0/7.0. On JMA's modified Dvorak scale, this corresponds to 107 kt (10-min)/121 kt (1-min). --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 23:57, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
The rainbands are weakening by looking at satellite imagery. http://www.cwb.gov.tw/V5/observe/satellite/sat_s1q.htm Before, Saomai had pink circling all around it, now it's just very little pink and some blue and black (weaker) Typhoonchaser 02:21, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
But its still possible Saomai could hit China as a Category 4. The NRL forecasts her to hit with winds of 130 knots, or 140-145 mph winds (but yes, I know the navy isn't official) Lol. Alastor Moody (talk) 02:53, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Looks like it's starting to weaken as it approached the coast, but it will still probably be powerful at landfall. bob rulz 03:57, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
JMA well is left behind now. They still call it a Category 2 typhoon. Sorry to add but the strongest storm is Category 4 Ewiniar? But not this Category 5 storm? --Irfanfaiz 05:22, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
In the article? Yes, because JMA said Ewiniar's peak was 100kt. Saomai's JMA peak has been 95 kt. Chacor 05:25, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Well, I hate to say but I also think that Saoami was stronger than Ewiniar cause although they were both super typhoons, the JMA uses 10-minute wind speed means (which is very annoying and confuses with the 1-min. mean and with the JTWC). Alastor Moody (talk) 08:10, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

WOW! Saomai is now almost half way over land and is still a Category 5!!! Man, this may be the first landfalling Category 5 typhoon ever witnessed by me. Alastor Moody (talk) 08:30, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

It's the first cat 5 landfall anywhere that I've tracked. Now the question is: how much damage is this going to do to China? Half of the circulation is over land and it still looks almost perfect, and it looks like the eye is going to make landfall any moment. bob rulz 08:48, 10 August 2006 (UTC}
Cyclone Monica made landfall as a Cat 5 just earliesr this year. —Cuiviénen 18:07, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
True...but I didn't track that one. I just saw a couple of news articles on it and that's all. Either way Saomai wasn't a cat 5 at landfall. bob rulz 18:16, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Now, another question: should we make an article on this now? Certainly a cat 5 or near cat 5 landfall is worthy of an article anywhere in the world, and this will likely do catastrophic damage. bob rulz 08:50, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Here's one of mother nature's worst fury: a Category 5 super typhoon making landfall on metropolis China. Dude, Saomai looks like the "Hurricane Katrina" of China. Well it seems to hit a densely jammed packed city, so this storm ought to have its own article:-) Alastor Moody (talk) 09:08, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
The eyewall is ALMOST over land now, with Category 4 intensity. China is having a bad time this year and this will be the worst. It is now 130 kts (1-min) now. --Irfanfaiz 09:11, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Excuse me for saying it was going to hit as a Cat. 5, but right now it is VERY, VERY, VERY close before it crosses land. But even at 130 kt (or 140-145 mph) is still a strong Category 4 to hit metropolis China. All eyes on Saomai. Alastor Moody (talk) 02:29, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Strongly reminds me of Hurricane Katrina hitting New Orleans. Alastor Moody (talk) 02:25, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Saomai is tiny though. Quite small, compared to Hurricane Katrina. I think it made landfall circa 5:30 pm, according to JMA's satellite at 9:30 UTC (http://www.jma.go.jp/en/gms/large.html?area=0&element=1&time=200608100930&mode=UTC). China have evacuated around 200000 people (heard it on the news today), but there's bound to be damage and injuries, from a storm as strong as this... Typhoonchaser 09:45, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
According to this Reuters article, 1.3 million people were evacuated. It also says that it's the strongest storm to hit China in 50 years. bob rulz 09:56, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
News must have got it wrong then. But it can be easily understood how seriously China are taking this storm. Typhoonchaser 10:00, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Whoa! Super Typhoon Saomai has already made landfall! Its central eye is on the coastline! And I've already started out her hurricane article too. Go to Typhoon Saomai (2006). Alastor Moody (talk) 10:13, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

This is exactly the crap I'm talking about. "Hurricane Katrina of China"? Please. China gets these all the time, and there's always death and flooding. However, not on a scale of Hurricane Katrina. Bob rulz, here you go, a perfect example of the nonsense that has to stop. Re. the article, especially for Western North Pacific storms there is little information when it is active. Please wait for more information before starting the article - it waas a total copy and paste of the seasonal section. It may be best to start working on the article in your personal sandboxes. Chacor 10:36, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Eye moving inland now. It came ashore with 155 mph (1-min) winds.--Irfanfaiz 10:45, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Land ho! Alastor Moody (talk) 10:52, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
I agree that saying things like "the Hurricane Katrina of China" is ridiculous. However, that's not the level of predictions we're arguing about. I've always said that those kinds of predictions should stop. I'm talking about the less drastic, more realistic, and smaller predictions. By the way, I do have to disagree with you saying that "China gets these all the time." This is the strongest storm to threaten China in 50 years (according to Reuters) and I doubt a 5mph difference in strength (160mph down to 155mph) would significantly change that figure. bob rulz 11:02, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
"These" meaning typhoons. It normally doesn't matter if it's a Cat 1 on the JTWC scale or a Cat 5, or even, as we saw with Bilis, a TS - China's government will still fail to deal with problems at a local level, but the death toll from any single storm rarely exceeds 350 to 400 people per storm. Chacor 11:06, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
On another note, I disagree with your merging of the article. The information will come soon. An upper category 4/lower category 5 landfall is notable anywhere in the world, at any time. bob rulz 11:05, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
I've left him a note asking him to work on it in userspace - it's easier to do so, as we've seen with the result of the quite badly-written article on Chris. Chacor 11:06, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Fair enough. bob rulz 11:09, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
I agree on Chacor though. A really weak depression (in 2004 if i'm correct) managed to caused severe flooding and landslides in the Philippines. If i'm right the countries where typhoons usually strike are very hilly. --Irfanfaiz 13:40, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Anyhow Irfanfaiz, at what intensity did Saomai make landfall, like what Category and what wind speeds? Alastor Moody (talk) 22:31, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

What ever it is its now a minimal tropical storm, per JMA:-) Alastor Moody (talk) 22:46, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Saomai's over, and the reports are already coming in - at least 111 deaths already. This may prove to be article-worthy. In fact, I'm working on a (hopefully better) article in my sandbox. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 03:39, 11 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

The beginnings of my article are at User:Coredesat/Testing. I just need to add preps and impact info. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 05:29, 11 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

09W.MARIA[edit]

90W.INVEST[edit]

And there's this one, too. íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 21:49, 1 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Wow, that popped up since I went to look about five minutes ago! --Patteroast 21:51, 1 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
gone. Alastor Moody (talk) 00:29, 2 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Came back again. Alastor Moody (talk) 00:31, 2 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
And gone again. íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 14:48, 2 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
And back again! --Patteroast 07:32, 3 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
And gone again. Alastor Moody (talk) 00:47, 4 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Back again. Alastor Moody (talk) 00:49, 4 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Not a bad storm, I'm suprised that such a good-lookin' (hehe. lol) storm like this one left and came back and left and camp back and left and came back. íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 00:52, 4 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

The 0803/2330Z text from the JTWC rates it as a poor area, along with 98W and 99W. Chacor 02:58, 4 August 2006 (UTC)[reply] 

(3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 21.2N 152.0E,
APPROXIMATELY 625 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA. RECENT ANIMATED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, A 031939Z QUIKSCAT PASS AND A 031933
AMSU-B MICROWAVE PASS SHOW CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO A DEVELOPING LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) UNDER A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC
TROUGH (TUTT) CELL. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS LOW VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR, FAVORABLE EASTWARD OUTFLOW AND A STRONG 850 MB VORTICITY SIG-
NATURE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. BECAUSE
THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS JUST BEGINNING TO
BUILD AT THE SURFACE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION[edit]

JMA has upgraded 90W to a tropical depression. Chacor 12:54, 4 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

It definitely looks like one. bob rulz 13:01, 4 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
TS0607 MARIA[edit]

JMA has named this system. JTWC does not recognise it as a TD even. Chacor 13:12, 5 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Yeah... well, at least JTWC says it's FAIR. But JTWC mentions it as a subtropical storm... hmm.Typhoonchaser 13:14, 5 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
TCFA issued. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 18:26, 5 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
09W.MARIA[edit]

JTWC now has this as a TS, so new section added. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 22:40, 5 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Too bad PAGASA didn't name this as Juan since its too far north from the Philippines. But Saomai may get it instead. Alastor Moody (talk) 23:36, 5 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

You do realise that typhoons are bad, yes? You do realise it's a good thing this one won't affect the Philippines, yes? Then please, don't say it's "too bad". Maria is too far east of the AOR anyway. Chacor 03:13, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Look, I didn't mean for this storm to kill people in the Philippines. I meant that since it is out of PAGASA responsibility, it wouldn't be named "Juan", that's all. And also, when did I say I wanted this storm to kill people? Alastor Moody (talk) 05:43, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

It is just my eyes playing tricks on me, or is it really Tropical Storm Maria forming (or already having) an eye? Alastor Moody (talk) 05:43, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

No, I see it too. This thing almost looks like a typhoon already... bob rulz 07:06, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Satellite imagery shows some new bursts of convection around the eye, which is a lot better defined now than it was a couple hours ago. NRL at least agrees with the assessment that Maria is intensifying rapidly - their estimate is now 60 kt (it was 40 kt not long ago). NRL isn't official, but their estimates do give us an idea of what the storm's doing. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 09:15, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
This storm may (or may not) reach minimal typhoon strength if waters and shear allows Maria to become a typhoon. Alastor Moody (talk) 23:37, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

I've never heard of a tropical cyclone forming this far north (except for a TS in 1957 only recognized by the JMA). Does anybody know what the record is for the NWPac? íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 00:44, 7 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Looks perfect here [3] But it only exists for only a breif of time. Irfanfaiz 05:30, 7 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Well I hear that the JTWC upgraded Maria into a minimal typhoon several hours ago, although the JMA rather saw it as a maximum STS. But will the JMA upgrade Maria into a typhoon after the season's end as post-analysis? Alastor Moody (talk) 05:38, 8 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

That's weird, At first, Maria had formed a circular small eye with a rotational shape, but now circulation has died on the western side of Maria with no eye. Alastor Moody (talk) 05:48, 8 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Looks like Maria's made landfall. It's taking on an extratropical appearance, as well. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 00:29, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Nope, its hasn't made landfall yet, but guess it may be fully extratropical when it hits Japan; sort of reminds me of TS Beryl and Hurricane Ophelia from 2005:-) Alastor Moody (talk) 03:43, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
I'm not sure if this will make landfall. It looks like it's going to move out to sea just beyond the coast. Either way it's a very weak storm now, and I'd be surprised if it did much damage. bob rulz 04:22, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Actual, it will not make landfall (i bet Japan is in luck) and simply become extratropical which it is already doing. Alastor Moody (talk) 18:49, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
The JMA now calls it as a minimal tropical storm, so I expect it to be declared as an extratropical depression by the next advisory issue (if they ever give one, but seems unlikely). Alastor Moody (talk) 03:00, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Gone from the NRL. íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 18:23, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Well it seems to have come back, but Maria is sure clinging onto that minimal tropical storm status. And also, I think it may have been already extrtropical. It hardly has any warm core. Alastor Moody (talk) 22:36, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Actually, the cyclone phase diagrams say it's still warm-core, so I guess the JMA is right on by continuing advisories. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 01:32, 11 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Actually its now an extratropical low, as the JMA has quit issuing advisories. Alastor Moody (talk) 06:55, 11 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

10W.BOPHA[edit]

91W.INVEST[edit]

There's a 91W up on NRL. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 20:28, 4 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

JTWC now lists this as a poor area -
(4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 19.2N 134.7E,
APPROXIMATELY 560 NM SOUTHEAST OF NAHA, OKINAWA. RECENT ANIMATED 
ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 041836Z AMSU-B MICROWAVE PASS REVEALS 
A FLARING OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE TROUGHING. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS SHOWS THE PRESENCE OF AN ANTICYCLONE OVER THE AREA OF CONVEC-
TION AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
--Coredesat talk. ^_^ 06:09, 5 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
TROPICAL DEPRESSION[edit]

JMA has it as a TD now. Looks very impressive on satellite. Chacor 10:22, 5 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

91W."INDAY"[edit]

Pagasa has named this stotm "Inday" -- VOFFA 18:46, 5 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Renamed the section for consistency's sake. Definitely looking good, and I wouldn't be surprised to see a TCFA issued on this later today. JTWC calls it a fair area right now. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 19:16, 5 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Well, since Inday is currently at 30 kt (by the JMA advisories), I wouldn't be ever astonished that this storm to be monitered as a tropical storm by tommorow. And if anyone thinks I'm wrong, please go visit the Navy page, or the JMA page. Alastor Moody (talk) 05:55, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
10W.NONAME[edit]

The JTWC has issued 91W. "Inday" as 10W.NONAME. Alastor Moody (talk) 07:10, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

No, it hasn't. The NRL isn't the JTWC. The JTWC will issue a warning on Tropical Depression 10W when it does. I have, by the way, reverted the edit to the main article, it shouldn't go there until the JTWC confirms it. Chacor 07:14, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
10W.BOPHA[edit]

Well the above was useless, then, as the JMA has named it Bopha at 06Z. Chacor 07:33, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

The current forecast track is quite similar to Bilis. Hopefully this won't cause as much damage if any at all. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 09:17, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Well, South China has had a difficult time of it... Bilis, Kaemi, Prapiroon and now Bopha all in a row. —Cuiviénen 18:12, 6 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
I think Bopha made lanfall. íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 00:41, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
In fact, it crossed Taiwan already and is still heading WSW... The CWB track shows it, I think. Typhoonchaser 01:01, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
The JTWC monitors it as a depression, not much likely to do some damage (same with STS Maria), but its remants may be absored by Saomai, if he nabs Bopha. Alastor Moody (talk) 18:553
Interesting... But what I think is that after Saomai makes landfall, and if Bopha survives after that, then Bopha may be able to regenerate. Currently JMA says it's still a TS (not really...) and HKO says it's a TD. Typhoonchaser 23:41, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Well, the JTWC monitors it as a 30 mph depression and has square chances of regenerating, although since its so close to land, it dosen't have a "great" pontential to do so. Alastor Moody (talk) 02:45, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Now the JMA downgraded Bopha as a tropical depression. Now has a smaller chance of regenerating, currently the JMA and the JTWC dosen't mention anything about regeneration. Alastor Moody (talk) 09:16, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

The JTWC resumed advisories. íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 14:33, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
For a little bit... íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 15:26, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Now Bopha seems to have completely dissipated, except for a few small whirling clouds at 15 mph. Alastor Moody (talk) 22:49, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
From HKO's radar image it crossed the southwestern part of Hong Kong as a weak swirling mass of clouds. Intensity - I would personally call it a tropical depression, it looked better this morning (HKT of course) than yesterday afternoon though Typhoonchaser 01:12, 11 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
What ever it is, its gone from the NRL and the JMA calls it dissipated. Alastor Moody (talk) 06:52, 11 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Week 2[edit]

11W.WUKONG[edit]

92W.INVEST[edit]

92W just appeared. -- RattleMan 22:39, 8 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Looks sort-of disorganized here, I wonder if thia blob may ever develope. Alastor Moody (talk) 19:15, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
The satellite presentation has improved markedly and it's been given a fair chance of development. Who does the official predictions for that? The JTWC or the JMA? I saw the notice on the Storm2k board, but it doesn't say which agency it comes from. bob rulz 08:54, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
That's the JTWC. The JMA only classes TDs, and doesnt actually talk about chances (except in prognostic reasoning, which I've heard they do release occasionally). Chacor 14:43, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
I thought it was the JTWC...I just wasn't sure. This invest is looking better every time I take a look at the NRL page. bob rulz 15:18, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
I guess its developing right now. Alastor Moody (talk) 22:43, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert issued -- VOFFA 02:50, 12 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

It looks amazing in satellite images. If this thing managed to grow into a very strong typhoon, i hope it will not got to China. --Irfanfaiz 12:57, 12 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
11W.NONAME (JMA TD)[edit]

Now 11W from NRL. JMA has it as a TD. Chacor 13:07, 12 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

It looks very organized, wind shear dosen't seem to bother this depression, but it seems to be heading where Maria once was; Japan and the RSMC Tokyo. Alastor Moody (talk) 21:38, 12 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
I heard somewhere that Maria was orignally sub tropical. Thank god this was not on a path towards China. --Irfanfaiz 22:52, 12 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Well if Maria started as an subtropical cyclone, it later became tropical before becoming an ex-tropical low. Alastor Moody (talk) 23:00, 12 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
11W.WUKONG[edit]

TS0610 WUKONG from the JMA. Chacor 07:13, 13 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

There are some strange-looking predictions for Wukong's track. The JTWC calls for it to skirt right around Japan just off the coast of Kyushu and then (probably, outside forecast range) hit Korea. The JMA calls for it to turn and head south towards Taiwan. —Cuiviénen 16:46, 13 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
If it heads towrds Japan or Korea, it will be on the same track Ewiniar did, but if it heads to Tawian, it will heads the same track Kaemi and Bilis did. Alastor Moody (talk) 19:07, 13 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Not exactly. It's already far east and north of where any of those were. (It formed in about the same place as Maria.) It would have to head straight west and then turn straight north to hit Korea without hitting Japan, which is what the JTWC is calling for. Similarly, it would have to head south (extraordinarily rare in the NW Pacific) for an extended period of time to reach Taiwan, but the JMA seems to expect it to do so. —Cuiviénen 20:37, 13 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Well its rare that tropical cyclones trend to head south in the northern hemisphere, but what the JMA is expecting seems to be extremely rare to tropical cyclones to do that. Alastor Moody (talk) 06:51, 14 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Very, very close to STS, the JMA even forecasts this to be a minimal Category 1 typhoon. Alastor Moody (talk) 00:19, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Darn, the waters seem to cold for anymore developement, Wukongs now being shredded itself by either cold waters, dry air, or shear if you look it through the NRL infared pictures. Alastor Moody (talk) 22:16, 16 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
It seems to be dissipating over water, may hit Japan as a minimal tropical storm (as the NRL predictions show). Alastor Moody (talk) 22:49, 16 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
The Hong Kong Observatory upgraded Wukong to Severe Tropical Storm status here on August 15. Sole upgrader of status, even the JMA only have Wukong as a TS.
Oh wait, scrap what I said before. The Central Weather Bureau says here that it's an STS too. Typhoonchaser 02:01, 17 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Well I'll be durned if Wukong fromed an eyewall cause it has a clear opening which I saw on the Navy site. Alastor Moody (talk) 08:04, 17 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Whoa! Wukong's most outer rain bands have already swept clean into Korea. Alastor Moody (talk) 08:52, 18 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

IMO, nothing more than clouds. Wukong is current stalled over Kyushu (per the JMA 0600 advisory). Have a look at this link... the rain is only on the coast of Korea. However, given that the image is almost five hours old, it's possible that the rainbands have since moved west. Wukong is a very large system... Chacor 08:55, 18 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
But nothing more than a minimal tropical storm to the JMA and a remant low to the JTWC. Alastor Moody (talk) 22:19, 18 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Gone from the NRL. íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 15:13, 19 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Back. 24.83.98.3 19:44, 19 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Looks like it could be dropping significant rain along it's path, but I don't know of any radars out there or anything of that sort, so I can't be sure. bob rulz 07:09, 20 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

93W.INVEST[edit]

93W just appeared as well. -- RattleMan 22:39, 8 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Of all three new invests, this one looks the best. I wouldn't be surprised if this one developed first. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 00:24, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Looks like it's gone though. bob rulz 18:10, 9 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

94W.INVEST[edit]

94 is up as well--24.83.98.3 23:21, 8 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

This is another rather impressive looking invest. bob rulz 15:19, 10 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Gone. Chacor (formerly NSLE) 16:14, 11 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

95W.INVEST[edit]

Near the Philippines. PAGASA hasn't named it yet. Chacor (formerly NSLE) 16:14, 11 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

PAGASA dosen't name invests btw. Irfanfaiz 22:53, 11 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Umm, no. PAGASA does name INVESTS. Agaton was an invest (98W IIRC). Its just that to them it was a TD...--Nilfanion (talk) 23:02, 11 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
I think you mean "Not all"?. --Irfanfaiz 12:58, 12 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
PAGASA names INVESTS which they feel are TDs, this year that's been 98W (Agaton), 92W (Domeng - Jelawat), 91W (Inday - Bopha). Chacor 13:00, 12 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Week 3[edit]

12W.SONAMU[edit]

96W.INVEST[edit]

There's a 96W on NRL. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 04:06, 13 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

And actually, this appears to be the same area as 95W. Did it split into two disturbances, or is this an error? --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 04:08, 13 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
TCFA. íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 19:14, 13 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
12W.NONAME[edit]

The NRL has it as a NONAME. Alastor Moody (talk) 20:03, 13 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

It's official now (if you call the JTWC official). íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 22:42, 13 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Yes, it's officially a TD. JMA has it as a TD on their weather map, and is forecasting it to become a TS within 24 hours. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 22:45, 13 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Katring from PAGASA at 2 a.m. local time Aug 14 (1800 UTC). Chacor 00:47, 14 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
TS0611 SONAMU[edit]

The Japan Meteorological Agency names it a tropical storm -- VOFFA 02:36, 14 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Sonamu must have reached its peak intensity already, the JMA forecastsd it to dissipate within 2 days, so does the JTWC. Alastor Moody (talk) 00:09, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
It's getting torn apart by Wukong. —Cuiviénen 01:08, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Well the JMA monitors it as a weak tropical storm while Wukong is a strong(er) tropical storm so I expect Sonamu to be absorbed or become ex-tropical depression. Not only that, some dry air is in northeast of Sonamu and convection is decreasiong slowly. But I also note an eye or a central point of the storm is forming. Alastor Moody (talk) 01:31, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Yeah, looks like Wukong's going to absorb the smaller Sonamu... Typhoonchaser 01:28, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
That's funny, maybe Sonamu has an eye. But its beginning to weaken and the most wirdest part is that convection is only in the southwest of the storm. What happen to the rest, got absorbed by Wukong or something? Alastor Moody (talk) 01:50, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Interesting to note that the strongest rainbands are displaced to its southwest. There's a clear eye on the visible satellite images, but the rainbands there are weak... Typhoonchaser 01:47, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
The JMA says this storm will be dead within 2 days or 48 hours. Alastor Moody (talk) 01:52, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Wow, it looks like Sonamu has joined the same system with Wukong, if you look at the NRL water vapor image for Sonamu. Alastor Moody (talk) 02:01, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
12W.SONAMU[edit]

Making a new section that should have been made a few hours ago. The center is almost completely exposed, so it looks like Sonamu will either be absorbed or sheared to death by Wukong. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 02:03, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Sonamu is now being absorbed by Wukong, so I expect Wukong to be at least a STS or possibly even a typhoon. The JMA even expects this to be absorbed while the JTWC forecasts it to slam into Wukong. Alastor Moody (talk) 02:17, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
"Sonamu is now being absorbed by Wukong" - YANAM. You are not a meteorologist. Says who that Sonamu is being absorbed? Good grief. Chacor 02:19, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
EVERYONE IS SAYING SONAMU IS BEING ABSORBED BY WUKONG, NOT ONLY ME!!! And also don't start this again, you've been driving me crazy for you thinking me as a meteorologist, so what if I can't talk like a meteorologist?!?! And what do you mean "YANAM" is that a cuss word or something? Alastor Moody (talk) 02:27, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Who is "everyone"? Not the JMA. You Are Not A Meteorologist is what "YANAM" means. Chacor 02:37, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
I don't care! LEAVE ME ALONE!!!!! Alastor Moody (talk) 02:42, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
WP:CIV, WP:NOT. Read those two Wiki policies, for you are close to a request for comment on user conduct. I know at least three people who'll support. Chacor 02:47, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Stay out of thiat, actually you are making me mad. Alastor Moody (talk) 02:51, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
All right, calm down. I recommend that this section be archived so we can start over. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 02:53, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
I am wholly serious. Your attitude has been near disruptive, and does not help the project nor the encyclopedia. You need to get it in check, or we'll need the Wiki community to agree on it. Also, support archiving. Chacor 02:55, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Okay, sorry; but I'm gonna retreat to my userpage. Alastor Moody (talk) 02:57, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
12W.SONAMU (2)[edit]
Archived stuff. Start over, please, and no incivility. Cheers, Chacor 03:01, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Circulation appears to be slightly elongated toward Wukong right now. The JTWC now agrees with the JMA in that Sonamu doesn't have very long to live. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 03:35, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

From what I can observe, it seems that Sonamu's circulation is starting to be incorporated into Wukong's circulation. Last year's Vicente and 90W is a good example: 90W was sheared into a weird squarish shape like Sonamu's now, and it was only a matter of time before Vicente incorporated 90W into its circulation. This looks similar. Typhoonchaser 03:42, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
It's being eaten up, it's getting longer and longer by the hour, from CWB images... its convection will be completely absorbed into Wukong's rainbands... Let's see if Wukong will strengthen then... (pity no one's up to watch this uncommon phenomenon...) Typhoonchaser 08:02, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Here is the latest prognostic reasoning from the JMA regarding this system. Chacor 08:15, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply] 

163 
WTPQ31 RJTD 150600

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 4 FOR TS 0611 SONAMU (0611)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
  REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE.
  POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
  NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN.
3.MOTION FORECAST
  POSITION ACCURACY AT 150600 UTC IS GOOD.
  TS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
  TS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN MOVE GRADUALLY TO NORTH-NORTHEAST.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
  TS WILL BE GRADED DOWN TO TD WITHIN 24 HOURS.
  TS WILL WEAKEN BECAUSE ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTER HAS SEPARATED FROM LOW LEVEL CIRCURATION CENTER=
It's very interesting, watching this get swallowed by Wukong. It's essentially dead now. bob rulz 19:36, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
The NRL has it as a 30 kt (35 mph) tropical depression, but the JTWC has it as a 35 kt (40 mph) storm. How can that be? Alastor Moody (talk) 20:54, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Wukong has now sheared Sonamu so I guess Sonamu is Wukong now, if you see the NRL water vapor image for Sonamu, he seems to be completely mixed up in th big ape's convection. Alastor Moody (talk) 21:17, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
It looks like a band of clouds (looks like Wukong is eating it for breakfast). --Irfanfaiz 22:09, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
It's now completely, and officially gone, the big ol' monkey must have finished its last bite. Alastor Moody (talk) 22:14, 16 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Gone from the NRL, I guess that's because Sonamu had fused with Wukong. Alastor Moody (talk) 01:36, 17 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

98W.INVEST[edit]

98W just appeared. Did we miss 97W? -- RattleMan 01:36, 14 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

They must be losing it over there at NRL, what with all these WPAC systems to track. ;) They changed 95W to 96W for no apparent reason. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 01:51, 14 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
The SSD reported a Dvorak reading of ST1.5/1.5 (subtropical!) for a 97W not too long ago, but it isn't on NRL. Chacor 03:03, 14 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
I dosen't look healthy. I think this blob is causing the cloudiness at my place. --Irfanfaiz 05:27, 14 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Gone from the NRL. Alastor Moody (talk) 01:33, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Back on. 24.83.98.3 20:26, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
NRL has re-issued 98W.INVEST but it's located just north of the equator.-- VOFFA 20:37, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
About 10 times the distance from Hong Kong than it was back there in the South China Sea ;) Seriously though, I've never seen NRL re-issue. Maybe I haven't been checking often enough... Typhoonchaser 11:22, 17 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Gone for the second time, ;) -- グリフオーザー 06:04, 19 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

97W.INVEST[edit]

The 97W mentioned above had just appeared on NRL. -- RattleMan 11:40, 14 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Whoa, just inside the date line... middle of nowhere, really... Typhoonchaser 13:46, 14 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
It's subtropical, says the SSD. Unfortunately, NRL does not release information on movement of storms. JTWC doesn't mention anything, while the CPHC isn't mentioning it... YET. If it stays an invest and moves east we'll definitely (this is definite, like earlier in the season with 95E (I think) and 90C) get 91C. Looks quite interesting. Chacor 14:00, 14 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Actually it should be 92C, cuz 97E is in the Central Pacific. íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 14:55, 14 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
See my post at the EPac talk - it isn't. Chacor 14:58, 14 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
If you go to the CPHC website, you can see this system just coming into satellite range. It appears to be nearly stationary. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 19:34, 14 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Convection's on the increase, but it's mainly on the front-like tail of the system. Still doesn't look fully tropical yet. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 00:31, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Wind shear is slowing down developement, but I don't know why people call it sub-tropical, it looks do disorganized that I can't tell. Alastor Moody (talk) 01:42, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
It looks like it is gonna detach from a cold front? --Irfanfaiz 05:29, 15 August 2006

Was moving westwards earlier, but now it's drifting east. SSD's latest readings are still ST1.5/1.5... currently just under six degrees longitude west of the date line. Chacor 06:35, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

The Japan Meteorological Agency notes it as a Tropical Depression with 1012 hPa. However in the 12 hour outlook of the chart it returns back to an area of low pressure. -- VOFFA 19:07, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
From that location, it could follow a similar track to Paka or Oliwa? --Irfanfaiz 22:11, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Where does it say it's a depression? Can't find it on the JMA. íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 22:15, 15 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
It shows it here. Currently it says "TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1010 HPA AT 30N 173E WEST SLOWLY." -- 22:49, 15 August 2006 (UTC)

15/2033 UTC 29.9N 172.1E ST0.2/0.2 97W I don't know what to make of it. 0.2? Chacor 02:08, 16 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

I'm guessing it's a bug. Typhoonchaser 02:43, 16 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
More than likely a typo. I'm sure they meant 2.0. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 03:21, 16 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Gone -- グリフオーザー 06:05, 19 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

99W.INVEST[edit]

New invest at 20.9N 129.4E. -- RattleMan 15:16, 17 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

TCFA issued. 24.83.98.3 18:43, 17 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Oddly that Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert isn't showing the right area.
It shows it near Guam and this invest is near Philippines. -- VOFFA 20:42, 17 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Hmm, is one of the INVESTs out by Guam? The only one that could be is 98W; I don't have my map here to figure out what longitude and latitude is where. bob rulz 02:03, 18 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Wow, that was fast. bob rulz 19:44, 17 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
The TCFA graphic says 7.7N, 150.1E. If you look at all three invests none of them are centred at or NEAR 7.7/150.1. The JTWC site usually puts up TCFA info as well, but nothing there. Probably a test. Chacor 03:11, 18 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
There was a "test TCFA" for Sonamu as well, it was actually the TCFA for Prapiroon. It confuses many people (including me) at first glance, as you always have to look in to see that it actually isn't TCFA for the invest you're looking at. Typhoonchaser 08:53, 18 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Gone -- グリフオーザー 06:07, 19 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

91W.INVEST[edit]

91W just appeared. Did we miss 90W? -- RattleMan 00:29, 19 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

The NRL is making up for the double 98W.INVEST =} nah don't think there was a 90W.INVEST issued. -- VOFFA 00:45, 19 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
NRL had a minor problem with 91W for a short while: [4] :) -- RattleMan 06:38, 19 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
This doesn't looks very healthy. Unless it's that swirl down near the southeast corner of the image, there's hardly anything out there at all. bob rulz 07:08, 20 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Inactive now -- グリフオーザー 21:54, 20 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

92W.INVEST[edit]

92W also appeared. -- RattleMan 00:29, 19 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Not appearing on NRL anymore, still on FNMOC page though.. -- グリフオーザー 06:01, 19 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

93W.INVEST[edit]

Active day, this... Chacor 02:33, 19 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

hmm looks like the remains of 99W.INVEST, by chance. -- VOFFA 04:33, 19 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Also gone -- グリフオーザー 21:55, 20 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Week 4[edit]

94W.INVEST[edit]

New invest at 8.2N 174E. -- RattleMan 01:28, 20 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

That's never a good area to see potential tropical cyclone development. Way out near the Marshall Islands often produces significant typhoons. bob rulz 07:06, 20 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Joint Typhoon Warning Center doesn't mention this invest.. but the one near Naha, Okinawa is... -- グリフオーザー 15:40, 20 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
JTWC now mentions this invest and gives it a fair chance of it becoming a significate cyclone. -- グリフオーザー 21:37, 20 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
And gone. bob rulz 14:22, 22 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

95W.INVEST[edit]

New Invest name replacing 93W.INVEST? -- グリフオーザー 18:45, 20 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Hm... Is that Taiwan in the top right? This invest is at 19.5N 115.8E. I need to familiarize myself with more WPAC geography... -- RattleMan 18:51, 20 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
ya Taiwan upper right, Philippines to the lower right. -- グリフオーザー 18:56, 20 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
TCFA. íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 02:12, 21 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
hmm I don't see it.. -- グリフオーザー 02:47, 21 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
I do. bob rulz 04:01, 21 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Don't see it anymore. I see the same TCFA for 96W now...bob rulz 04:51, 21 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
It looks like 96W is actually the one with the TCFA.
Whoops. íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 14:00, 21 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Looks like the showers are diminishing. --Coredesat talk. ^_^ 01:19, 24 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Gone. íslenska hurikein #12 (samtal) 23:33, 24 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

96W.INVEST[edit]

They just keep coming! This one's at 17N 135.5E. -- RattleMan 22:46, 20 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

TCFA. Jake52 My talk 03:21, 21 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

I don't see it. bob rulz 04:01, 21 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Hmmm, weird. I see it now, but it's the same one I saw on 95W before and now I don't see one on 95W. The West Pacific still confuses me. bob rulz 04:50, 21 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Now this one I do see.[5] -- グリフオーザー 04:49, 21 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

I see it now; it looks like they put the 95W one on the wrong INVEST. It looks like this one has a TCFA and 95W doesn't. bob rulz 08:31, 21 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
I don't think they are TCFA's... no TCFA alert, no time of issue, etc etc. JTWC grades 94W as a POOR, but 96W has registered nothing on JTWC. Typhoonchaser 14:43, 21 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Gone. -- RattleMan 22:19, 23 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

13W.NONAME[edit]

97W.INVEST[edit]

Here's another one. bob rulz 22:15, 21 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

1004 hPa low near 19N 108E, almost stationary according to JMA. -- グリフオーザー 22:23, 21 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Okay, now this Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert does include a text message from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center. -- グリフオーザー 03:17, 23 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Wow, that organized fast. Just 12 hours ago it looked like a disorganized scattering of clouds, now it almost looks like a tropical depression. bob rulz 04:22, 23 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
The HKO upgraded it into a TD. Let's see how this storm organises and develops... Typhoonchaser 12:56, 23 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
JMA also shows a TD on the weather chart, and the JTWC has re-issued the TCFA. -- グリフオーザー 00:30, 24 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
13W.NONAME[edit]
Now Noname on NRL. 24.83.98.3 19:34, 24 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Landfall quite a while ago, according to the JMA. Nothing much to see here. Move along, people... – Chacor 00:44, 25 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Why is this in the other storms section. I thought the JMA recognized it. íslenskur fellibylur #12 (samtal) 12:55, 25 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

JMA only called it a 25-kt TD. Note that the other storms section says JMA-recognised TDs are listed. – Chacor 13:05, 25 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Oh. íslenskur fellibylur #12 (samtal) 13:09, 25 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Gone from NRL. -- RattleMan 14:09, 25 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

98W.INVEST[edit]

New invest at 13.2N 122.3E. -- RattleMan 23:55, 25 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

not on NRL listing anymore. -- グリフオーザー 02:12, 26 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
Back on... Let's see if this one can develop or not. Typhoonchaser 03:00, 26 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Just in case someone says TCFA it isn't correct. Anyway seems NRL "tests" TCFA a lot. -- グリフオーザー 05:50, 26 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

99W.INVEST[edit]

Here's another invest at 15N 156E. -- RattleMan 04:54, 26 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

Week 5[edit]

01C.IOKE[edit]

In view of Ioke's upcoming crossover, this section has been started. To make reading easier please continue all comments at Talk:2006 Pacific hurricane season and not continue from here.

90W.INVEST[edit]

Here's a new one at 15.2N 113.1E. -- RattleMan 11:29, 27 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]

91W.INVEST[edit]

18.5ºN 151.5ºE, looks like nothing at the moment but there is a storm cell to the northeast. -- 06:05, 28 August 2006 (UTC)

appears it has dissipated. -- グリフオーザー 14:14, 28 August 2006 (UTC)[reply]
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