Talk:2014–15 Australian region cyclone season

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Season Summary[edit]

ID Date (ACST) TC Name TCWC Original Basin Lat (S) Long (E) Source
01U 2014-12-03 -- P Indian Ocean 14 91 Tech Bull
02U 2014-12-11 Bakung J Indian Ocean 9 94 TCWC Jakarta
04U 2014-12-23 Kate J/P Indian Ocean 9 100 Tech Bull
05U 2014-01-05 -- P WA TCR
06U 2015-01-10 -- B Coral Sea Tech Bull
07U 2015-01-10 -- B Solomon Islands 11 159 Tech Bull
08U 2015-01-16 -- D GoC 16 130
09U 2015-01-29 *Ola B Coral Sea
12U 2015-02-13 -- B Coral Sea
13U 2015-02-16 Lam B/D Coral Sea 11 139 Tech Bull
14U 2015-02-17 Marcia B Coral Sea 15 155 Tech Bull
16U 2015-03-11 Olwyn P Indian Ocean 16 116
17U 2015-03-11 Nathan B Coral Sea 12 149 Tech Bull
19U 2015-04-06 Ikola P Indian Ocean 16 91 Tech Bull
20U 2015-04-10 *Solo B SPac
21U 2015-04-28 Quang P Indian Ocean 13 112 Tech Bull
22U 2015-05-12 -- B Coral Sea 7 161
24U 2015-06-30 Raquel B Solomon Island 5 159 Tech Bull Tech Bull

Location of Advisories[edit]

Tropical Cyclone Three Day Outlook Jakarta \\ Perth \\ Darwin \\ Brisbane
Tropical Cyclone High Seas Warning Jakarta \\ Perth 1 \\ Perth 2 \\ Darwin \\ Brisbane
Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin Perth 1 \\ Perth 2 \\ Darwin \\ Brisbane
Main Pages Jakarta \\ BoM \\ JTWC
ABIO10 STWA \\ ABPW10 STWA
JTWC 1 \\ JTWC 2 \\ JTWC 3
Running Best track
JMA Archives: Jakarta // Perth // Darwin // Brisbane // PNG // JTWC

Tropical Low 2???[edit]

Hi there. I've seen @Jason Rees: comment about why we don't need this system in the page. I don't really edit the Southern Hemisphere cyclone seasons but I wanted to contribute further in the Tropical cyclones WikiProject. Do you think we should put the information about that tropical low, but create an "Other storms" section? Typhoon2013 (talk) 07:20, 26 October 2014 (UTC)[reply]

I oppose any mention of the tropical low monitored by TCWC Perth this week on this page since it never entered the region. However, what we could do is give it a line in the SWIO season, saying that it was monitored by TCWC Perth but in an other systems section. If you want to help the wikiproject out @Typhoon2013: it would be great if you could learn all the boundries of the SHEM season (Theres only 4 major ones).Jason Rees (talk) 13:05, 26 October 2014 (UTC)[reply]
Ok, I'll make sure I do that right away. For the SHem cyclone seasons, I can help for the SPac cyclone season since I live here in NZ right now. Atlhough for the other areas, I can help by improving the article. Typhoon2013 (talk) 20:10, 26 October 2014 (UTC)[reply]
@Jason Rees: Wait, wait, wait! Since the low is in the l SWio basin, did the season already started? Typhoon2013 (talk) 20:34, 26 October 2014 (UTC)[reply]
Unoffically yes it has started, offically no it hasnt started. We have to wait for RSMC La Reunion to declare Tropical Disturbance 01 before we can say it has officially started.Jason Rees (talk) 20:41, 26 October 2014 (UTC)[reply]
@Jason Rees: So do we put that it unofficially started on October 20 and it hasn't officially started? I'll show you an example on the SWio season. Typhoon2013 (talk) 21:03, 26 October 2014 (UTC)[reply]

Sources please?[edit]

Hi there. Since 01U and Bakung still doesn't have an information, I should put it in since no one is really doing it. Although I need sources to double-check that the storm did this in that date. Could I please have really reliable sources such as warnings from TCWC __ or JTWC? If not, I will just put information there and put the 'outdated' template. Typhoon2013 (talk) 22:43, 17 December 2014 (UTC)[reply]

The sources should have been provided now, dont forget that you can use Reunion's TWOs as well.Jason Rees (talk) 21:35, 21 December 2014 (UTC)[reply]

Tropical Lows[edit]

Guys, we need to be more careful about what we monitor in this region and only monitor the tropical lows that A) Mentioned in the tropical cyclone outlooks and B) Assigned a U number by the BoM unless there is some evidence that it was a tropical low - like the JTWC monitoring it as a TC. I also feel that we should ignore it when Melbourne says that there is a Low in the region on the High Seas Forecast since we do not know if they are tropical lows or just ordianary areas of low pressure. Jason Rees (talk) 18:37, 21 December 2014 (UTC)[reply]

Hi. Just wondering that since we do not include unnumbered tropical lows, do we still include unnubered tropical lows that exit the basin? Examples are like June and Colin in the 2013-14 season, just in case if you are unsure about it. Typhoon2013 (talk) 20:01 21 December 2014 (UTC)
Do we have any evidence that they were tropical lows while in the Australian region? In June's case i seem to recall it was called a tropical depression by Nadi right on 160.0E but need to double check my facts before i comment further.Jason Rees (talk) 20:22, 21 December 2014 (UTC)[reply]
Cyclone Colin was considered to be a Zone of Disturbed Weather/Weak Tropical Disturbance while in the Australian region, as a result we can not consider it a tropical low while it was in the Australian region.Jason Rees (talk) 02:05, 22 December 2014 (UTC)[reply]
@Jason Rees: I do not have the evidence about the 2 systems but it was there since last year and someone put it in. Typhoon2013 (talk) 23:09 22 December 2014 (UTC)
Honestly I don't mind doing this, the lows were cluttering the article; however, the low pressures that do develop into tropical cyclones, do we attribute those to the formation of the cyclone? As in formation date. Supportstorm (talk) 07:46, 23 December 2014 (UTC)[reply]
Only the dates that it was considered an actual tropical low/tropical cyclone count, in 04U's case i am happy to count it from the 22nd as we had Perths TWO telling us that a weak tropical low existed but no earlier until some evidence turns up.Jason Rees (talk) 09:18, 23 December 2014 (UTC)[reply]
Well, I kind of disagree. I feel like only when an agency formally issues warnings on a numbered low pressure should it actually count. Similar to the NHC or MFR policies. Otherwise we maybe stretching the data past its intended purpose as a daily diagnose instead of an actual warning. Supportstorm (talk) 11:16, 23 December 2014 (UTC)[reply]
The problem there is that BoM's TWO's are not like either Reunions or NHC's but are more like the IMD's TWO/Nadis TDS if anything, as a result i do not feel that they are a "daily diagnose" of the basin in the same way Reunions are.Jason Rees (talk) 02:06, 24 December 2014 (UTC)[reply]
Wait! So from now on we do not include unnumbered tropical lows for sure? Because that means the 2013-14 season has 15 tropical lows instead of 24, if I am correct? Typhoon2013 (talk) 04:15, 25 December 2014 (UTC)[reply]
Yes and no. Based on what is being discussed above those lows may have been mentioned in the cyclone outlook without given a number. I would like to point out that none of what is mentioned here has any weight to what the official agencies classify as a tropical system. And as such we probably need to contact BoM before we make any radical changes. Supportstorm (talk) 04:24, 26 December 2014 (UTC)[reply]
@Supportstorm: So we don't add Colin and June? And contacting BoM is ideal and which might help us of improving the layouts of future AusR cyclone seasons. I also got another question too: Since we only add tropical lows that are numbered, do we also add tropical lows that are numbered in a "P" or "S" suffix instead of a "U"? Please see the 2011-12 season. Typhoon2013 (talk) 09:13, 26 December 2014 (UTC)[reply]
A few things to clear up here: @Supportstorm: The whole point of this conversation is not to determine what the BoM or other warning agencies should classify as a tropical system but is to determine what we should and should not be adding in to the seasonal article. As a result my opinion is to keep it just to what we have evidence to say that this is a TROPICAL LOW or a TROPICAL CYCLONE per either the Tropical Weather Outlooks or other formal advisories such as technical bulletins. In an ideal world we would keep it to the numbers/letters, however, the BoM do not always publicly note the numbers such as in the case of Bakung. What we can not do though is go to the high seas forecast issued by Melbourne and see that it says that a LOW exists and add it without the evidence to say that this is a tropical low, which is one of the things i think has been happening. @Typhoon2013: If we are in a position where by the JTWC has initiated advisories on a system by designating it with either a P or an S, then it gets added and we look for the evidence that the BoM, Jakarta or PNG consider it a tropical low. I will look over the 2013-14 season when i get a chance but i can tell you already that Colin will be removed since there is no evidence that it was a tropical low in the Aus Region - just a tropical disturbance/weak low. For the time being i will be leaving June in the article since it was called a tropical depression/tropical low at 160E by RSMC Nadi.Jason Rees (talk) 16:51, 27 December 2014 (UTC)[reply]

This is confusing[edit]

I am sorry but this is a bit confusing to me. @Jason Rees: said that we don't include unnumbered tropical lows. Also if the seventh tropical low had formed, then there should be a total of how many systems in this season? Is it 4 or 7, so far? Typhoon2013 (talk) 21:41, 10 January 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Look back at my comments - I changed my position to we need evidence of it being a tropical low or a tropical cyclone within the Australian Region. Now how many total systems there are is 7 if we go by the number of U designations assigned which is what i prefer bearing in mind that Perth were writing advisories on a tropical low earlier in the week.Jason Rees (talk) 22:37, 10 January 2015 (UTC)[reply]
Ok. But you also put in 2 unnumbered tropical lows this season. Do we still need those lows? Typhoon2013 (talk) 23:52, 10 January 2015 (UTC)[reply]
Yes because we have evidence from the BoM that says that were tropical lows and not just weak lows or LPA's or some random system thats @03S.Jason Rees (talk) 00:11, 11 January 2015 (UTC)[reply]
It is also worth noting that the Bakung, and the two so called unnumbered lows are probably 02, 03 and 05U but i have no source to confirm this and thus the designations are being left out for now.Jason Rees (talk) 18:00, 11 January 2015 (UTC)[reply]

TC Ola[edit]

There are reports coming out of JTWC Jakarta of a Tropical Cyclone Ola NE of New Caledonia and is currently expected to make land fall just north of Fraser Island on the Queensland Coast. The Storm is not being tracked by BOM. Nford24 (PE121 Personnel Request Form) 14:56, 31 January 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Hi there, TC Ola is not currently in the Australian region but is in the South Pacific basin and is being primarily tracked by the Fiji Met Service. I can assure you though that the BoM is monitoring Ola internally and will issue advisories if it moves back into the Australian region.Jason Rees (talk) 15:07, 31 January 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Tropical Lows spawning all over the place[edit]

Hi, I have been receiving information that many new tropical lows have developed in the Australian region over the past week. I also noticed the jump in numbering from 07U to 13U. I think this might be because Brisbane said in the afternoon of 15 Feb that 'a couple of tropical lows are situated along the monsoon trough'. Therefore, I am asking if it would be okay if I could include these tropical lows in the 'Other storms' section. I also noticed that on the afternoon of the next day, they mentioned only one situated in the monsoon trough in the northern Coral Sea. I seek your help in deciding which lows to include in the article and which not to. Thanks. Damien4794 (talk) 13:12, 16 February 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Its quite simple @Damien4794: all lows that are described as tropical within the Australian region should be in the article. This should include the Perth Tropical Low/TCR that was given full advisories and TC Ola which was declared a Tropical Depression by RSMC Nadi at precisely 160E.Jason Rees (talk) 15:45, 16 February 2015 (UTC)[reply]
BoM: Since 2005, the last three characters (e.g. 02U) have been used to identify the disturbance sequence in real time. Since some systems do not reach cyclone strength, there are some gaps in the numerical sequence. -- Meow 16:48, 16 February 2015 (UTC)[reply]
We should still track the tropical lows regardless since they can cause quite a bit of damage and are generally considered to be tropical depressions.Jason Rees (talk) 18:26, 16 February 2015 (UTC)[reply]
The problem is, there are too many of them (3 or 4 of them). We would not want the article completely filled with minor tropical lows that do not develop into a tropical cyclone.Damien4794 (talk) 11:59, 17 February 2015 (UTC)[reply]
The fact that there are several minor tropical lows is not a problem in my view since they are tropical depressions. However, the problem in my view is that there are 14 tropical lows so far in the season and we have only got details on 11 in the article (inc TC's). The solution to this is too get the details on the other tropical lows added to the other systems section, especially since they are tropical cyclones in the global sense of the term.Jason Rees (talk) 13:08, 17 February 2015 (UTC)[reply]
This is why we have other storm sections, so yes. YE Pacific Hurricane 22:05, 17 February 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Can someone email the BoM to determine what the missing numbers we have here are? -- 143.85.169.18 (talk) 19:30, 20 February 2015 (UTC)[reply]

TC Lam[edit]

Technical bulletin released.[1] 203.9.185.136 (talk) 23:35, 16 February 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Does anyone have the remaining advisories from JTWC archived? ♫ Hurricanehink (talk) 20:37, 27 February 2015 (UTC)[reply]
@Hurricanehink: I have managed to archive most of the advisories on my website. Note that the advisory numbering system is different from that of the individual warning centres. Feel free to browse my website if you need advisories.Damien4794 (talk) 12:37, 15 April 2015 (UTC)[reply]
Thanks so much! ♫ Hurricanehink (talk) 20:29, 16 April 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Another one[edit]

TC Marcia has developed.[2] 60.242.1.97 (talk) 10:20, 18 February 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Infobox now used in the AusR articles?[edit]

Yup. I think we should add an infobox template for currently active TCs especially in the AusR basin and the SHem TC season articles, right? Typhoon2013 (talk) 22:35, 22 March 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Does it honestly matter if its used or not - the main thing is to make sure its updated at various times.Jason Rees (talk) 22:40, 22 March 2015 (UTC)[reply]
Ok @Jason Rees:. Although just saying that someone should fix the template because it only states in the 1-min winds (JTWC). The 10-min winds (BoM) should be in there as well, right? Also I added the forecast track map of Nathan. Typhoon2013 (talk) 22:46, 22 March 2015 (UTC)[reply]
Be bold and fix it yourself @Typhoon2013: - its just a case of copying and reworking the JMA type etc to make it ACTIS.Jason Rees (talk) 23:42, 22 March 2015 (UTC)[reply]

Cyclone Raquel[edit]

Hi, Cyclone Raquel has formed on the 30th of June 2015. Which season is it in?Damien4794 (talk) 06:06, 1 July 2015 (UTC)[reply]

The tech bulletin from TCWC Brisbane states Raquel is 01U, so for now it's under 2015-16 season's article グリフオーザー (talk) 06:35, 1 July 2015 (UTC)[reply]
The 4:57 PM EST (JUL 1) TCWC Brisbane technical bulletin now states 24U. Making it the current season now. - 07:24, 1 July 2015 (UTC)
Raquel becomes 01U again at 12:00 UTC. -- Meow 14:12, 1 July 2015 (UTC)[reply]
Both articles should contain something on Raquel in my opinion, since its been referred to with two designators. However, in this article i suggest the main blurb should be located in the other systems section.Jason Rees (talk) 23:03, 1 July 2015 (UTC)[reply]

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