User:GgMaintenance/Inverse-Square Rule for Deferred Maintenance

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Inverse-Square Rule for Deferred Maintenance


Proof of Exponential Breakdown Cost Escalations

This rule was discovered by David Tod Geaslin in 2001

When an organization attempts to reduce maintenance costs by reducing maintenance spending, maintenance costs will be reduced until spending falls below the minimum needs of the machines.

When maintenance spending falls below the minimum level of funding required and the machines are operated to failure, the results will be an exponential cost increase that is INVERSE to the expected savings.

THE RULE- If a part is known to be failing but operated to failure (OTF), the resultant total energy required to overcome the breakdown event to the entire organization will be the square of the cost of the primary failure part. If the breakdown event escalates, the total energy required to recover from the breakdown will continue to square again at each successive level of failure.

Computation of the Inverse-Square Rule for Deferred Maintenance - The computation starts with accumulating all costs associated with a breakdown event:

(Breakdown Work Order Repair Cost)+(Indirect Breakdown Costs)+(Intangible Breakdown Costs)= Total Breakdown Event Cost to the Whole Organization and taking the square-root three times.

Each of these values will represent the total energy required to overcome allowing a deferred maintenance event at the previous level to progress to failure and become a breakdown event. When the results are examined, one of the values will be recognizable as the cost of the primary failure part.

Application - If the Inverse-Square Rule for Deferred Maintenance is acknowledged as valid for a process then knowing the cost of the part that is failing is all that is needed to accurately predict the total cost to the whole organization for allowing the deferred maintenance event to progress to failure.





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