2018 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska
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| Turnout | 49.34% | |||||||||||||||||||
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   Young: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Galvin: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Alaska |
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the U.S. representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district, who will represent the state of Alaska in the 116th United States Congress. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, as well as elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Thomas "John" Nelson, businessman[1]
- Jed Whittaker, candidate for U.S. Senate in 1996 and perennial candidate.
- Don Young, incumbent U.S. Representative and Dean of the House of Representatives[2]
Results
[edit]
Map legend
- Young—70–80%
- Young—60–70%
- Young—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Don Young (incumbent) | 49,667 | 70.85% | |
| Republican | Thomas "John" Nelson | 10,913 | 15.57% | |
| Republican | Jed Whittaker | 9,525 | 13.59% | |
| Total votes | 70,105 | 100% | ||
Democratic–Libertarian–Independence primary
[edit]Candidates from the Alaska Democratic Party, Alaska Libertarian Party and Alaskan Independence Party appear on the same ballot, with the highest-placed candidate from each party receiving that party's nomination.
Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Christopher C. Cumings, running as Non-partisan (N)[4]
- Alyse S. Galvin, running as Undeclared (U)[5]
- Carol "Kitty" Hafner, running as Democrat (D)[6]
- Dimitri Shein, running as Democrat (D)[7]
Endorsements
[edit]Dimitri Shein (D)
Results
[edit]
Map legend
- Galvin—60–70%
- Galvin—50–60%
- Galvin—40–50%
- Galvin—30–40%
- Galvin—<30%
- Shein—<30%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent | Alyse S. Galvin | 21,742 | 53.62% | |
| Democratic | Dimitri Shein | 9,434 | 23.26% | |
| Democratic | Carol Hafner | 6,071 | 14.97% | |
| Independent | Christopher C. Cumings | 3,304 | 8.15% | |
| Total votes | 40,551 | 100% | ||
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[10] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[11] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[13] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[14] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[15] | Lean R | November 6, 2018 |
Endorsements
[edit]Alyse Galvin (I)
Local and statewide politicians
- Eric Croft, Member of the Anchorage Assembly[16]
Labor unions
Organizations
- The Alaska Center[18]
- End Citizens United[19]
Polling
[edit] | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Don Young (R) |
Alyse Galvin (I) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research[20] | October 26–29, 2018 | 500 | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)[21] | October 13–16, 2018 | 500 | – | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Alaska Survey Research[22] | October 12–14, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[23] | October 11–12, 2018 | 645 | – | 46% | 43% | 10% |
| Alaska Survey Research[24] | October 1–6, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| Alaska Survey Research[25] | September 21–25, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 43% | 4% |
| Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)[26] | June 7–12, 2018 | 540 | ± 4.2% | 40% | 36% | 24% |
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Don Young (incumbent) | 149,779 | 53.08% | +2.76% | |
| Independent | Alyse S. Galvin[a] | 131,199 | 46.50% | +10.48% | |
| Write-in | 1,188 | 0.42% | +0.02% | ||
| Total votes | 282,166 | 100% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Boroughs and Census Areas that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]- Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area (largest town: Craig)
- Petersburg Borough (largest town: Petersburg)
- Yakutat Borough
- Anchorage (largest town: Anchorage)
- Yukon–Koyukuk Census Area (largest town: Fort Yukon)
- Nome Census Area (largest town: Nome)
- Kusilvak Census Area (largest town: Hooper Bay)
- Bethel Census Area (largest town: Bethel)
- Dillingham Census Area (largest town: Dillingham)
- Aleutians West Census Area (largest town: Unalaska)
Notes
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ "John Nelson for Alaskans". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
- ^ "Alaskans for Don Young". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
- ^ "2018 Alaska primary election results". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
- ^ "Ketchikan resident running for U.S. House of Representative". KRBD. June 8, 2018. Retrieved July 31, 2018.
- ^ "Alyse for Alaska". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
- ^ "Carol Hafner for Congress". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
- ^ "Dimitri for Congress". Retrieved July 31, 2018.
- ^ "Alaska Candidate Rescues Neglected Children". YouTube. August 17, 2018.
- ^ "Election Results". Retrieved August 22, 2018.
- ^ "2018 House Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report.
- ^ "House Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 House". www.centerforpolitics.org.
- ^ "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 5, 2018.[permanent dead link]
- ^ Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- ^ "I'm excited to share with you that Anchorage Assembly member Eric Croft has endorsed my campaign for Congress today. I'm grateful to earn his support, and I'm looking forward to continuing to work with him on behalf of a better future for families across Alaska". www.facebook.com. Alyse Galvin for Congress. January 24, 2018.
- ^ "PACE Recommendations - NEA-Alaska". www.neaalaska.org. NEA-Alaska. Archived from the original on November 1, 2020. Retrieved August 22, 2018.
- ^ "We Endorse Alyse Galvin for Congress- The Alaska Center". The Alaska Center.
- ^ Muller, Tiffany (August 13, 2018). "Four Reform Candidates Earn End Citizens United Endorsement - End Citizens United". End Citizens United.
- ^ Alaska Survey Research
- ^ Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)
- ^ Alaska Survey Research
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Alaska Survey Research
- ^ Alaska Survey Research
- ^ Lake Research Partners (I-Galvin)
- ^ Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.
External links
[edit]- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites