2025 Bolivian general election
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Presidential election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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All 36 seats in the Chamber of Senators All 130 seats in the Chamber of Deputies | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
General elections are scheduled to take place in Bolivia on 17 August 2025. Voters will elect the President of Bolivia and Vice President of Bolivia, 130 members of the Chamber of Deputies, and 36 members of the Chamber of Senators.
Background
[edit]Right-leaning political parties formed a Unity Bloc to oppose incumbent president Luis Arce. Candidates from the bloc included Samuel Doria Medina and Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga.
Former Bolivian president Evo Morales announced his intention to run under the Front for Victory (FPV) partisan affiliation despite his candidacy ban by the Plurinational Constitutional Tribunal.[1]
Potential candidates
[edit]Movement for Socialism
[edit]- Luis Arce (MAS-IPSP), president of Bolivia (2020–present)[2][3]
- Andrónico Rodríguez (MAS-IPSP), president of the Chamber of Senators (as Evo Morales running mate)[4][5]
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Opposition bloc
[edit]- Jorge Quiroga (FRI), former president of Bolivia (2001–2002)[6]
- Samuel Doria Medina (UN), former minister of Planning and Coordination (1991–1993)[7]
- Amparo Ballivián, former minister of Housing.[8]
-
-
Former Minister of Planning and Coordination
Samuel Doria Medina
Conservative bloc
[edit]- Manfred Reyes Villa (Súmate), mayor of Cochabamba[9]
- Chi Hyun Chung, evangelical pastor, 2019 and 2020 presidential candidate[10][11]
-
-
Former presidential candidate
Chi Hyun Chung
Others
[edit]- Rodrigo Paz Pereira (CC), member of the Chamber of Senators[12]
- Eduardo Sicher, independent candidate
- Gabriel Hillman, democratic party
Declined
[edit]- Rubén Costas (MDS), governor of the department of Santa Cruz (2015–2021)[13]
- Luis Fernando Camacho (Creemos), Governor of Santa Cruz (2021–2024)[14]
- Carlos Mesa (CC), former president of Bolivia (2003–2005)[15][16]
- Branko Marinković, former minister of Economy and Public Finance (2020)[17]
- Jaime Soliz (PDC), former prosecutor of the department of Santa Cruz (2005–2010)[18]
- Vicente Cuéllar (Cambio25), rector of the Gabriel René Moreno Autonomous University[19]
Barred from running
[edit]The following notable individuals have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy or have declared their interest, but have been declared ineligible by the TCP.
- Evo Morales (MAS-IPSP, later FPV[20]), former president of Bolivia (2006–2019)
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Opinion polls
[edit]2025
[edit]| Source | Date | Sample | Link | Evo Morales FPV |
Jorge Quiroga FRI |
Reyes Villa APB Súmate |
Andrónico Rodríguez MAS |
Doria Medina FUN |
Chi Hyun Ind. |
Luis Arce MAS |
David Choquehuanca MAS |
Vicente Cuellar Cambio25 |
Others | Null Blank | Undecided | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panterra | 30 Mar 2025 | 5,000 | [21] | – | 15% | 11% | 25% | 16% | 13% | – | – | – | – | – | 20% | 9% |
| Captura Consulting | 27 Mar 2025 | 1,500 | [22] | – | 16% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 1% | – | – | 4% | – | 14% | 1% |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Vicente Cuellar withdraws his candidacy, endorsing Doria Medina.[23] | |||||||||||||||
| 26 Feb 2025 | Luis Arce announces his candidacy pending final decision from MAS.[3] | |||||||||||||||
| 20 Feb 2025 | Evo Morales announces his candidacy.[24] | |||||||||||||||
| UAGRM | 14 Feb 2025 | 2,200 | [25] | 14% | 8% | 15% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 2% | – | 1% | 4% | – | 7% | 1% |
| Bolivia360 | 5-21 Jan 2025 | 2,000 | [26] | – | 9% | 15% | 16% | 8% | 13% | 2% | – | 2% | 7% | _ | 8% | 1% |
| Diagnosis | 11-12 Jan 2025 | 1,800 | [27] | 9% | 10% | 15% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 5% | 10/ | 2% |
| 5 Jan 2025 | Manfred Reyes Villa announces his candidacy.[28] | |||||||||||||||
Before the applications
[edit]| Date | Polling firm | Sample | +/- | Evo Morales MAS |
Carlos Mesa CC |
Andrónico Rodríguez MAS |
Maria Galindo Ind. |
Reyes Villa Súmate |
Luis Arce MAS |
Chi Hyun Ind. |
Fernabdo Camacho Creemos |
Jorge Quiroga Libre 21 |
Eva Copa Ind. |
Doria Medina FUN |
Vicente Cuellar Cambio25 |
Jsime Soliz PDC |
Marcelo Claure Ind. |
Edman Lara NIL |
Rodrigo Paz CC |
David Choquehuanca MAS |
Others | Null Blank | Undecided | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2024 | Consultora Morris | - | 1% | 25% | - | 35% | 12% | 1% | 6% | 14% | - | 2% | 0.8% | - | - | - | 0.2% | - | - | - | 10% | |||
| 2-15 Nov 2024 | Panterra | 17% | 6% | - | - | 18% | 4% | - | 9% | 9% | - | 13% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 21% | 1% | ||||
| Sep 2024 | Diagonsis | 10% | 8% | 10% | - | 10% | 16% | - | 4% | - | - | 4% | 9% | - | - | - | 3% | - | 9% | 6% | ||||
| Jun 2024 | Captura Consulting | - | 6% | 13% | 10% | 13% | - | 6% | 10% | 4% | - | 9% | 5% | - | - | 3% | - | - | 19% | 0 | ||||
| May 2024 | Diagnosis | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 19% | - | 3% | - | - | 2% | 7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10% | 12% | ||||
| Apr 2024 | Coolosa Comunicaciones | 7.73% | 7.52% | 0.79% | 5.80% | 11.06% | 8.79% | - | 1.71% | 3.86% | 1.25% | 5.95% | 10.77% | 1.29% | - | 5.04% | 2.82% | - | - | 4.22% | 0.83% | |||
| 16-17 Mar 2024 | Diagnosis | 12% | 10% | 7% | - | 2% | 17% | - | 2% | - | - | 4% | 9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5% | ||||
| 15 Mar 2024 | Captura Consulting | - | 8% | 11% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 2% | 7% | - | - | 9% | 3% | - | 7% | - | - | - | 18% | 4% | ||||
| Nov 2023 | Diagnosis | 11% | 12% | - | - | 3% | 21% | - | 4% | - | - | 5% | 9% | - | - | - | - | - | 12% | 9% | ||||
| 9-10 Sep 2023 | Diagnosis | 9% | 11% | - | - | 4% | 18% | - | 4% | - | - | 6% | 9% | - | - | - | - | - | 14% | 7% | ||||
| 19-20 Aug 2023 | Diagnosis | 10% | 13% | 3% | - | 3% | 14% | - | 2% | - | - | 4% | 6% | - | - | - | - | - | 18% | 1% | ||||
| Aug 2023 | Poder y Placer | 11% | 10% | - | 6% | 8% | 12% | - | 9% | - | 2% | 9% | 3% | - | 4% | - | 1% | - | 24% | 1% | ||||
| 8-9 Jul 2023 | Diagnosis | 9% | 13% | - | - | 3% | 14% | - | 2% | - | - | 4% | 6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1% | ||||
| 22 May-22 Jun 2023 | Poder y Placer | 12% | 13% | - | 10% | 4% | 17% | - | 1% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 1% | - | 3% | 1% | 2% | - | - | 4% | ||||
| 29 Dec 2022-19 Jan 2023 | Poder y Placer | 11% | 19% | - | 2% | 9% | 21% | - | 13% | - | - | 19% | - | - | 13% | - | - | - | 7% | 2% | ||||
| Jul 2022 | Captura Consulting | 11% | 11% | - | - | - | 18% | - | 8% | 5% | 3% | 3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7% | |||||
| 9-19 Apr 2022 | Captura Consulting | 11% | 11% | - | - | 10% | 17% | - | 15% | 7% | 5% | 4% | - | 3% | - | - | - | - | 20% | 2% | ||||
| Dec 2021 | Captura Consulting | - | 13% | - | - | 12% | 23% | - | 15% | 3% | - | 7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8,% | |||||
See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ Bueno, Boris (15 March 2025). "Doria Medina y Tuto Quiroga aceleran la conformación de alianzas para sostener su probable candidatura por el bloque de unidad". eju.tv (in Spanish). Retrieved 18 March 2025.
- ^ "Luis Arce será candidato del MÁS en el 2025, sí las organizaciones lo permiten" [Luis Arce will be a candidate for MÁS in 2025, if the organizations allow it]. Bolivia.com (in Spanish). 30 April 2024. Retrieved 25 September 2024.
- ^ a b Villegas, Antonio (26 February 2025). "Arce rompe el silencio y se declara precandidato para los comicios presidenciales: «Hay que completar todo lo que falta por hacer»".
- ^ Castro, Nancy (19 February 2024). "El binomio "evista" para las elecciones del 2025 será Evo-Andrónico, adelanta diputado López" [The "evista" binomial for the 2025 elections will be Evo-Andrónico, advances deputy López]. eju.tv (in Spanish). Retrieved 27 June 2024.
- ^ "El binomio "evista" para las elecciones del 2025 será Evo-Andrónico, adelanta diputado López" [The "evista" binomial for the 2025 elections will be Evo-Andrónico, advances deputy López]. Agencia de Noticias Fides - Bolivia (in Spanish). 27 June 2024. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
- ^ "Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga anuncia su candidatura presidencial en Bolivia". News Channel 3-12. 18 December 2024. Retrieved 18 March 2025.
- ^ "Doria Medina anuncia que participará de las elecciones del 2025" [Doria Medina announces that she will participate in the 2025 elections] (in Spanish). 18 June 2024. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
- ^ Noticias, Brújula (26 February 2024). "amparo ballivián se presenta como candidata la presidencia". brujuladigital.net (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 April 2025.
- ^ "Reyes Villa se abre a candidatear para Presidente en comicios 2025" [Reyes Villa opens up to running for President in the 2025 elections]. Los Tiempos (in Spanish). 26 September 2023. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
- ^ Bueno, Boris (8 May 2024). "Chi Hyun Chung anuncia su candidatura para las elecciones generales del 2025" [Chi Hyun Chung announces his candidacy for the 2025 general elections]. eju.tv (in Spanish). Retrieved 27 June 2024.
- ^ "Chi reaparece y anuncia su Candidatura para el 2025" [Chi reappears and announces his candidacy for 2025]. El Mundo - Diario lider en Informacion en Bolivia (in Spanish). 30 November 2023. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
- ^ "EDITORIAL: Rodrigo Paz ahora quiere ser presidente de Bolivia" [EDITORIAL: Rodrigo Paz now wants to be president of Bolivia]. La Voz de Tarija (in Spanish). 20 March 2023. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
- ^ Mendoza, Luz (9 April 2024). "Costas impulsa desde Cochabamba estrategia rumbo a elecciones de 2025" [From Cochabamba, Costas promotes a strategy towards the 2025 elections]. eju.tv (in Spanish). Retrieved 27 June 2024.
- ^ Pereyra, Omar (17 December 2024). "Camacho trabaja para que precandidatos dialoguen con miras a los comicios de 2025, según diputado" [Camacho is working to ensure that pre-candidates can engage in dialogue with a view to the 2025 elections, according to a deputy]. eju.tv (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 December 2024.
- ^ "Diputada de CC asegura que Carlos Mesa se presentará como candidato el 2025 y que busca unificar a la oposición" [CC deputy assures that Carlos Mesa will present himself as a candidate in 2025 and that he seeks to unify the opposition]. Periódico La Patria (in Spanish). 21 July 2023. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
- ^ "Mesa no va, el líder de CC declina candidatura presidencial: 'no es el rol que hoy me toca'". Opinión Bolivia. 24 January 2025.
- ^ "Marinkovic fue presentado como candidato en encuentro donde están Milei y Bolsonaro" [Marinkovic was presented as a candidate in a meeting where Milei and Bolsonaro are present]. Los Tiempos (in Spanish). 7 July 2024. Retrieved 25 September 2024.
- ^ "El abogado Jaime Soliz Phiel anuncia su candidatura a la Presidencia de Bolivia" [Lawyer Jaime Soliz Phiel announces his candidacy for the Presidency of Bolivia]. El Deber (in European Spanish). 8 February 2024. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
- ^ "El rector Cuéllar abre paso a su alianza Cambio 25 para darle pelea al MAS en 2025" [Rector Cuéllar makes way for his Cambio 25 alliance to fight the MAS in 2025]. Opinión Bolivia (in Spanish). 21 November 2023. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
- ^ "Evo Morales anuncia su candidatura presidencial". dw.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 22 February 2025.
- ^ "Encuesta de Claure ubica primero a Andrónico, seguido por Samuel y Tuto". Correo del Sur. Retrieved 5 April 2025.
- ^ Menacho, Naira. "¡Atención Bolivia!: Estas son las intenciones de voto rumbo a las presidenciales". Reduno (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 April 2025.
- ^ "Vicente Cuéllar decide respaldar a Samuel Doria Medina y retira su candidatura - Agencias de Noticias Fides". Agencia de Noticias Fides (in Spanish). 18 March 2025. Retrieved 18 March 2025.
- ^ "Bolivia's Morales runs for president again, defying term limit". France 24. 20 February 2025. Retrieved 18 March 2025.
- ^ "Manfred y Chi lideran encuesta realizada por la UAGRM; Evo, Doria, Andrónico y Tuto les siguen". Opinión Bolivia (in Spanish). 14 February 2025. Retrieved 5 April 2025.
- ^ "Encuesta electoral en Bolivia 2025: Marcelo Claure presenta un nuevo análisis sobre intención de voto y liderazgo regional". El Popular Hoy (in Spanish). 31 January 2025. Retrieved 23 March 2025.
- ^ Mendoza, Luz (21 January 2025). "Reyes Villa lidera encuesta de Diagnosis con 15%, le siguen Tuto y Samuel entre los opositores". eju.tv (in Spanish). Retrieved 18 March 2025.
- ^ Bratton, Elizabeth (10 January 2025). "Manfred Reyes Villa: The mayor convicted of "anti-economic misconduct" running to be Bolivia's next president". Latin America Reports. Retrieved 18 March 2025.
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