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Mihinthale Polling Division

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Mihinthale
Polling Division
Location of Mihinthale
Coordinates: 8°13′01″N 80°30′11″E / 8.216882°N 80.502953°E / 8.216882; 80.502953
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceNorth Central Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictAnuradhapura Electoral District
Area
 • Total844.37 km2 (326.01 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total196,313
 • Density232/km2 (600/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-17F

The Mihinthale Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Anuradhapura Electoral District, in the North Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Mihinthale has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Mihinthale is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Mihinthale Anuradhapura Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.34% SLPP 5.23%
2015 UPFA UPFA 0.86% NDF 5.00%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.09% UPFA 7.12%
2005 UPFA UPFA 1.20% UPFA 5.95%
1999 PA PA 1.68% PA 1.12%
1994 PA PA 0.32% PA 1.96%
1988 UNP SLFP 6.04% UNP 2.62%
1982 UNP UNP 2.45% UNP 5.98%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 6/8 1.87% 8/8 4.37%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mihinthale[4] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 30,815 57.36% 342,223 58.97% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 19,320 35.96% 202,348 34.87% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,245 4.18% 22,879 3.94% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,343 2.50% 12,896 2.22% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 53,723 99.15% 580,346 99.16% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 461 0.85% 4,916 0.84% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 54,184 83.60% 585,262 85.76% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 64,810 682,450 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mihinthale[5] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,032 52.71% 281,161 53.59% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 22,860 46.28% 238,407 45.44% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 498 1.01% 5,065 0.97% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 49,390 99.18% 524,633 99.15% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 406 0.82% 4,500 0.85% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 49,796 76.87% 529,133 77.71% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 64,778 680,877 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mihinthale[6] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,619 65.09% 298,448 66.32% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 13,928 32.83% 143,761 31.94% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 882 2.08% 7,829 1.74% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 42,429 99.16% 450,038 99.17% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 358 0.84% 3,785 0.83% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 42,787 72.35% 453,823 73.65% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 59,137 616,186 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mihinthale[7] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 22,454 56.24% 231,040 55.08% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 16,897 42.32% 182,956 43.62% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 574 1.44% 5,438 1.30% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 39,925 98.94% 419,434 98.92% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 429 1.06% 4,563 1.08% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 40,354 73.97% 423,997 75.41% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 54,554 562,259 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mihinthale[8] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 18,131 52.26% 189,073 54.14% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 14,393 41.49% 139,180 39.86% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,508 4.35% 14,612 4.18% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 661 1.91% 6,336 1.81% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 34,693 97.90% 349,201 98.05% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 743 2.10% 6,949 1.95% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 35,436 75.77% 356,150 75.63% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 46,770 470,907 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mihinthale[9] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 19,935 64.32% 200,146 63.99% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 10,541 34.01% 107,342 34.32% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 516 1.66% 5,309 1.70% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 30,992 98.16% 312,797 98.05% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 581 1.84% 6,205 1.95% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 31,573 76.84% 319,002 76.16% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 41,088 418,857 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mihinthale[10] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 4,027 49.21% 56,951 42.94% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 4,018 49.10% 73,154 55.15% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 138 1.69% 2,529 1.91% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 8,183 97.49% 132,634 98.36% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 211 2.51% 2,207 1.64% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 8,394 24.94% 134,841 40.18% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 33,651 335,551 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mihinthale[11] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 11,300 46.46% 117,873 49.84% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 10,965 45.08% 102,973 43.54% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,813 7.45% 13,911 5.88% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 244 1.00% 1,766 0.75% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 24,322 98.99% 236,523 99.04% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 249 1.01% 2,294 0.96% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 24,571 85.43% 238,817 84.68% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 28,761 282,018 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Mihinthale has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Mihinthale is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Mihinthale Anuradhapura Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 0.59% UNP 3.55%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.30% UPFA 8.32%
2004 UPFA UPFA 0.62% UPFA 6.63%
2001 UNP UNP 0.92% UNP 2.24%
2000 PA PA 0.69% PA 1.30%
1994 PA PA 0.55% PA 3.84%
1989 UNP UNP 5.32% UNP 2.80%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 1.71% 7/7 4.10%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mihinthale[14] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 21,495 48.86% 229,856 48.39% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 19,395 44.09% 213,072 44.85% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 2,746 6.24% 28,701 6.04% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 357 0.81% 3,418 0.72% 80,543 0.72%
Valid Votes 43,993 93.89% 475,047 94.28% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,837 6.05% 28,462 5.65% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 46,857 72.33% 503,845 79.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 64,778 636,733 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mihinthale[15] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 21,291 70.56% 221,204 66.52% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 6,645 22.02% 80,360 24.17% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,752 5.81% 18,129 5.45% 441,251 5.50%
SMBP 377 1.25% 11,445 3.44% 12,166 0.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 110 0.36% 1,400 0.42% 18,658 0.23%
Valid Votes 30,175 92.72% 332,538 93.55% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,370 7.28% 22,930 6.45% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 32,545 55.03% 355,468 57.35% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 59,137 619,845 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mihinthale[16] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 21,008 58.07% 212,943 57.22% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 14,336 39.63% 148,612 39.94% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 602 1.66% 8,034 2.16% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 232 0.64% 2,536 0.68% 51,070 0.55%
Valid Votes 36,178 94.14% 372,125 94.59% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,253 5.86% 21,281 5.41% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 38,431 72.83% 393,406 76.52% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 52,770 514,149 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mihinthale[17] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 15,669 44.70% 165,055 45.93% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 14,429 41.17% 149,393 41.57% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 4,488 12.80% 40,005 11.13% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 465 1.33% 4,891 1.36% 108,710 1.21%
Valid Votes 35,051 94.07% 359,344 94.78% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,211 5.93% 19,796 5.22% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 37,262 74.34% 379,140 77.41% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 50,126 489,776 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mihinthale[18] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 16,577 47.97% 169,424 48.30% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 13,850 40.08% 144,662 41.24% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,208 6.39% 21,274 6.06% 518,725 6.03%
NUA 1,375 3.98% 9,369 2.67% 185,593 2.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 544 1.57% 6,042 1.72% 245,927 2.86%
Valid Votes 34,554 N/A 350,771 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mihinthale[19] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 17,881 55.77% 180,454 55.19% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 13,762 42.93% 142,084 43.45% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 417 1.30% 4,446 1.36% 158,616 2.00%
Valid Votes 32,060 95.04% 326,984 95.72% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,673 4.96% 14,620 4.28% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 33,733 82.10% 341,604 81.54% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 41,088 418,959 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mihinthale[20] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 4,961 48.63% 92,726 56.39% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 3,786 37.11% 64,010 38.92% 1,785,369 31.90%
IND 1,217 11.93% 4,057 2.47% 12,285 0.22%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 126 1.24% 1,928 1.17% 158,203 2.83%
USA 112 1.10% 1,724 1.05% 141,983 2.54%
Valid Votes 10,202 89.18% 164,445 92.03% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,238 10.82% 14,245 7.97% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 11,440 34.37% 178,690 53.49% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 33,289 334,073 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Mihinthale Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (91.7%) . In comparison, the Anuradhapura Electoral District (which contains the Mihinthale Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (91.0%) [1]

Ethnicity in Mihinthale[1]

  Sinhalese (91.7%)
  Moor (7.6%)
  Other (0.7%)

Religion

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The Mihinthale Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (90.2%) . In comparison, the Anuradhapura Electoral District (which contains the Mihinthale Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (90.1%) [1]

Religion in Mihinthale[1]

  Buddhist (90.2%)
  Muslim (7.8%)
  Roman Catholic (1.3%)
  Other (0.7%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mihinthale and the Anuradhapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mihinthale and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mihinthale and the Anuradhapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mihinthale and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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