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Opinion polling for the 2004 Greek legislative election

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In the run up to the 2004 Greek legislative election, various organizations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Greece during the term of the 11th Hellenic Parliament. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous legislative election, held on 9 April 2000, to the day the next election was held, on 7 March 2004.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.

Voting intention estimates

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Polling

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The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. Polls that show their results without disregarding those respondents who were undecided or said they would abstain from voting (either physically or by voting blank) have been re-calculated by disregarding these numbers from the totals offered through a simple rule of three in order to obtain results comparable to other polls and the official election results. When available, seat projections are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font. 151 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Hellenic Parliament.[1]

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date PASOK ND KKE SYRIZA DIKKI KEP LAOS Lead
2004 legislative election 7 Mar 2004 40.6
117
45.4
165
5.9
12
3.3
6
1.8
0
2.2
0
4.8
Metron Analysis 17-23 Jan 2004 42.6 45.1 5.4 3.3 1.5 2.1 2.5
Opinion 16-21 Jan 2004 41.2 44.5 5.6 3.1 1.2 2.2 3.3
DIMEL 12-19 Jan 2004 41.7 45.3 5.9 3.0 1.5 1.2 3.6
Metron Analysis 10-14 Jan 2004 42.9 45.8 5.6 2.5 1.1 1.1 2.9
Opinion 8-14 Jan 2004 41.3 44.6 5.5 3.1 1.8 1.9 3.3
Alco 7-12 Jan 2004 42.0 44.7 5.6 2.8 1.8 1.6 2.7
Kapa Research Dec 2003 37.5 45.9 6.1 3.5 2.4 2.9 8.4
Rass Dec 2003 36.6 46.0 6.0 4.7 2.9 2.7 9.4
MRB Dec 2003 35.6 45.1 5.9 4.2 2.4 3.1 9.5
Metron Analysis Oct 2003 37.2 45.2 6.8 4.2 2.2 3.2 8.0
MRB Oct 2003 36.1 45.1 6.9 3.9 1.9 2.3 9.0
VPRC Sep 2003 36.4 45.9 5.5 3.4 2.0 2.8 9.5
DIMEL Sep 2003 38.8 46.9 6.1 3.1 2.4 1.0 8.1
Kapa Research Sep 2003 38.7 45.8 6.1 3.5 2.5 1.8 7.1
Opinion Sep 2003 37.0 46.0 6.8 2.9 1.8 2.4 9.0
Metron Analysis Sep 2003 36.9 45.1 7.3 4.4 2.2 2.6 8.2
Rass Sep 2003 36.5 45.8 6.3 4.6 2.9 1.8 9.3
Alco Sep 2003 37.4 45.0 6.0 3.5 2.4 2.3 7.6
DIMEL Sep 2003 37.6 48.4 4.8 3.5 2.7 2.5 10.8
Prognosis Jul 2003 34.2 47.0 8.3 3.8 1.8 2.6 12.8
Metron Analysis Jun 2003 36.4 45.9 6.8 4.4 2.4 2.6 9.5
Alco Jun 2003 36.5 46.4 5.9 3.6 2.7 2.3 9.9
MRB May-Jun 2003 34.9 44.6 6.2 4.6 2.9 2.8 9.7
Kapa Research May-Jun 2003 37.5 46.7 6.3 3.8 1.9 1.9 9.2
Rass May 2003 36.1 47.9 5.7 3.1 2.4 2.2 11.8
Metron Analysis Mar 2003 37.0 44.6 6.9 4.7 2.5 3.2 7.6
MRB Feb-Mar 2003 36.1 45.2 5.9 4.0 2.4 2.2 9.1
Alco Feb 2003 37.2 46.3 6.0 3.7 2.2 1.8 9.1
Kapa Research Dec 2002 38.2 44.6 6.2 3.5 2.3 3.1 6.4
MRB Nov 2002 36.9 43.9 6.0 4.0 2.5 2.6 7.0
Metron Analysis Nov 2002 37.2 45.3 6.6 4.2 2.3 3.0 8.1
MRB Sep 2002 35.4 43.9 6.5 3.9 2.6 8.5
Kapa Research Sep 2002 38.1 45.8 6.5 3.6 2.2 7.7
Metron Analysis Jul 2002 39.1 45.8 5.6 3.2 3.7 6.7
Metron Analysis Jun-Jul 2002 36.2 46.8 6.8 3.6 3.5 10.6
MRB Jun 2002 34.8 46.3 6.9 3.9 2.9 11.5
Alco Jun 2002 35.3 45.4 6.2 3.4 2.6 3.5 10.1
VPRC May 2002 34.8 45.9 6.1 3.6 2.8 3.4 11.1
Kapa Research Apr 2002 34.8 43.4 6.0 3.7 2.2 6.6 8.6
Alco Mar-Apr 2002 34.2 43.2 6.0 3.6 2.5 5.6 9.0
MRB Mar 2002 33.4 43.5 6.0 3.9 2.9 5.2 10.1
Metron Analysis Feb 2002 35.8 43.1 6.1 4.5 2.0 5.9 7.3
Kapa Research Dec 2001 36.8 43.1 6.0 2.9 2.0 6.5 6.3
MRB Nov-Dec 2001 34.6 42.7 5.8 3.7 1.7 7.5 8.1
Metron Analysis Nov 2001 36.7 42.8 6.4 3.8 2.3 5.8 6.1
Opinion Oct-Nov 2001 35.4 42.6 5.4 3.9 2.3 6.8 7.2
Alco Sep 2001 34.2 42.7 6.2 3.5 1.7 8.8 8.5
Metron Analysis Sep 2001 36.6 44.7 6.5 4.0 2.1 6.2 8.1
VPRC Sep 2001 33.5 41.2 5.9 4.2 2.6 8.4 7.7
Kapa Research Sep 2001 36.2 42.6 6.6 3.7 1.8 7.4 6.4
VPRC Jun-Jul 2001 28.3 41.8 5.1 3.9 2.2 15.0 13.5
Metron Analysis Jun-Jul 2001 33.7 42.3 6.2 4.2 2.2 8.6 8.6
MRB Jun 2001 30.9 41.4 6.7 4.0 2.3 10.0 10.5
Kapa Research May 2001 31.4 40.7 7.9 3.7 1.2 12.5 9.3
Metron Analysis May 2001 29.9 40.4 6.8 3.7 2.3 12.2 10.5
Opinion Mar 2001 32.2 36.7 5.4 3.4 2.1 15.5 4.5
Kapa Research Mar 2001 31.9 37.2 6.4 3.5 1.1 15.2 5.3
Metron Analysis Mar 2001 32.2 36.3 6.4 4.2 2.0 16.2 4.1
VPRC Jan 2001 31.0 36.2 6.2 3.1 1.3 18.8 5.2
Kapa Research Jan 2001 35.4 35.1 5.3 3.5 17.8 0.3
Opinion Oct 2000 39.4 42.6 6.2 4.2 2.3 3.2
VPRC Sep 2000 39.4 42.4 7.4 3.2 1.9 3.0
2000 legislative election 9 Apr 2000 43.8
158
42.7
125
5.5
11
3.2
6
2.7
0
1.1

References

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  1. ^ "Opinion polling - 2000-2003 - by chronological order". eklogesonline.com.