Opinion polling for the 2019 Australian federal election

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2019 Australian federal election
National results
State and territory results

In the leadup to the 2019 federal election, a number of polling companies conducted regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collected data on party's primary vote, and contained an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote. They also asked questions about views of the electorate about the major party leaders.

Graphical summary[edit]

Two-party-preferred vote.
Primary vote.
Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last election. Local regression trends for each party are shown as solid lines.

Voting intention[edit]

House of Representatives (lower house) polling
Date Firm Primary vote TPP vote
L/NP ALP GRN ONP OTH L/NP ALP
18 May 2019 election 41.44% 33.34% 10.4% 3.08% 11.74% 51.53% 48.47%
18 May 2019 YouGov-Galaxy (Exit Poll)[1] 39% 38% 10% n/a 10% 48% 52%
15–16 May 2019 Newspoll[2] 38% 37% 9% 3% 13%[a] 48.5% 51.5%
13–15 May 2019 YouGov-Galaxy[3] 39% 37% 9% 3% 12%[b] 49% 51%
12–15 May 2019 Ipsos[4] 39% 33% 13% 4% 11%[c] 49% 51%
10–14 May 2019 Essential[5] 38.5% 36.2% 9.1% 6.6% 9.6% 48.5% 51.5%
10–12 May 2019 Roy Morgan[6] 38.5% 35.5% 10% 4% 12%[d] 48% 52%
9–11 May 2019 Newspoll[7] 39% 37% 9% 4% 11%[e] 49% 51%
8 May 2019 Third leaders' debate
2–6 May 2019 Essential[8] 38% 34% 12% 7% 9% 48% 52%
4–5 May 2019 Roy Morgan[9] 38.5% 34% 11% 4% 12.5%[f] 49% 51%
2–5 May 2019 Newspoll[10] 38% 36% 9% 5% 12%[g] 49% 51%
1–4 May 2019 Ipsos[11] 36% 33% 14% 5% 12%[h] 48% 52%
3 May 2019 Second leaders' debate
29 Apr 2019 First leaders' debate
25–29 Apr 2019 Essential[12] 39% 37% 9% 6% 9% 49% 51%
27–28 Apr 2019 Roy Morgan[13] 39.5% 36% 9.5% 2.5% 12.5%[i] 49% 51%
26–28 Apr 2019 Newspoll[14] 38% 37% 9% 4% 12%[j] 49% 51%
23–25 Apr 2019 Galaxy[15] 37% 37% 9% 4% 13%[k] 48% 52%
20–21 Apr 2019 Roy Morgan[16] 39% 35.5% 9.5% 4.5% 11.5%[l] 49% 51%
11–14 Apr 2019 Newspoll[17] 39% 39% 9% 4% 9% 48% 52%
11 Apr 2019 2019 federal election campaign begins
4–8 Apr 2019 Essential[18] 38% 35% 11% 5% 10% 48% 52%
6–7 Apr 2019 Roy Morgan[19] 37% 35% 13.5% 4% 10.5%[m] 47.5% 52.5%
4–7 Apr 2019 Newspoll[20] 38% 37% 9% 6% 10% 48% 52%
3–6 Apr 2019 Ipsos[21] 37% 34% 13% 5% 11% 47% 53%
25–28 Mar 2019 Galaxy[22] 35% 37% 10% 8% 10%[n] 47% 53%
20–25 Mar 2019 Essential[23] 39% 36% 10% 7% 8% 48% 52%
6–11 Mar 2019 Essential[24] 37% 38% 8% 7% 10% 47% 53%
7–10 Mar 2019 Newspoll[25] 36% 39% 9% 7% 9% 46% 54%
20–25 Feb 2019 Essential[26] 38% 37% 9% 6% 10% 48% 52%
21–24 Feb 2019 Newspoll[27] 37% 39% 9% 5% 10% 47% 53%
12–15 Feb 2019 Ipsos[28] 38% 33% 13% 5% 11% 49% 51%
6–11 Feb 2019 Essential[29] 34% 38% 10% 7% 11% 45% 55%
7–10 Feb 2019 Newspoll[30] 37% 39% 9% 5% 10% 47% 53%
23–31 Jan 2019 Essential[31] 38% 36% 10% 7% 9% 48% 52%
24–27 Jan 2019 Newspoll[32] 37% 38% 9% 6% 10% 47% 53%
9–13 Jan 2019 Essential[33] 38% 38% 10% 7% 7% 47% 53%
13–16 Dec 2018 Essential[34] 37% 36% 11% 7% 9% 47% 53%
12–15 Dec 2018 Ipsos[35] 36% 37% 13% 6% 9% 46% 54%
6–9 Dec 2018 Newspoll[32] 35% 41% 9% 7% 8% 45% 55%
29 Nov – 2 Dec 2018 Essential[36] 38% 39% 10% 6% 7% 46% 54%
22–25 Nov 2018 Newspoll[37] 34% 40% 9% 8% 9% 45% 55%
15–18 Nov 2018 Essential[38] 37% 35% 11% 7% 10% 48% 52%
15–17 Nov 2018 Ipsos[39] 37% 34% 13% 5% 11% 48% 52%
8–11 Nov 2018 Newspoll[40] 35% 40% 9% 6% 10% 45% 55%
1–4 Nov 2018 Essential[41] 36% 39% 10% 6% 9% 46% 54%
25–28 Oct 2018 Newspoll[42] 36% 39% 9% 6% 10% 46% 54%
18–21 Oct 2018 Essential[43] 38% 37% 10% 7% 8% 47% 53%
11–13 Oct 2018 Newspoll[44] 37% 38% 11% 6% 8% 47% 53%
10–13 Oct 2018 Ipsos[45] 35% 35% 15% 5% 10% 45% 55%
5–7 Oct 2018 Essential[46] 37% 36% 12% 5% 10% 47% 53%
20–23 Sep 2018 Essential[47] 37% 36% 12% 5% 10% 47% 53%
20–23 Sep 2018 Newspoll[48] 36% 39% 10% 6% 9% 46% 54%
12–15 Sep 2018 Ipsos[49] 34% 31% 15% 7% 13% 47% 53%
6–9 Sep 2018 Essential[50] 36% 37% 10% 8% 9% 46% 54%
6–9 Sep 2018 Newspoll[51] 34% 42% 10% 6% 8% 44% 56%
25–26 Aug 2018 Roy Morgan[52] 36.5% 36% 13% 2.5% 12% 46% 54%
24–26 Aug 2018 Essential[53] 35% 39% 10% 7% 9% 45% 55%
24–25 Aug 2018 Newspoll[54] 33% 41% 10% 7% 9% 44% 56%
24 Aug 2018 Scott Morrison elected Prime Minister in leadership spill against Malcolm Turnbull
15–18 Aug 2018 Ipsos[55] 33% 35% 13% 8% 11% 45% 55%
9-12 Aug 2018 Newspoll[56] 37% 35% 10% 9% 9% 49% 51%
2-2 Aug 2018 ReachTEL[57] 37% 34% 12% 8% 8% 48% 52%
26-29 Jul 2018 Newspoll[58] 39% 36% 10% 7% 8% 49% 51%
12-15 Jul 2018 Essential[59] 40% 36% 10% 6% 8% 49% 51%
12-15 Jul 2018 Newspoll[60] 38% 36% 10% 7% 9% 49% 51%
28 Jun - 1 Jul 2018 Essential[61] 40% 37% 11% 6% 6% 48% 52%
28 Jun - 1 Jul 2018 Newspoll[62] 39% 37% 9% 6% 9% 49% 51%
21–24 Jun 2018 Ipsos[63] 35% 35% 12% 6% 12% 47% 53%
14–17 Jun 2018 Newspoll[64] 38% 38% 10% 6% 8% 48% 52%
14–17 Jun 2018 Essential[65] 38% 35% 11% 7% 9% 48% 52%
2 Jun 2018 ReachTEL[66] 35% 34% 11% 9% 11% 48% 52%
31 May – 3 Jun 2018 Essential[67] 36% 37% 10% 8% 9% 46% 54%
24–27 May 2018 Newspoll[68] 38% 38% 9% 8% 7% 48% 52%
17–20 May 2018 Essential[69] 40% 36% 10% 8% 7% 49% 51%
10–13 May 2018 Essential[70] 38% 36% 10% 7% 8% 48% 52%
10–13 May 2018 Newspoll[71] 39% 38% 9% 6% 8% 49% 51%
10–12 May 2018 Ipsos[72] 36% 37% 11% 5% 11% 46% 54%
3–6 May 2018 Essential[73] 38% 37% 10% 6% 9% 47% 53%
30 Apr 2018 ReachTEL[74] 36% 35% 11% 6% 12% 48% 52%
19–22 Apr 2018 Essential[75] 37% 36% 11% 8% 8% 47% 53%
19-22 Apr 2018 Newspoll[76] 38% 37% 9% 7% 9% 49% 51%
5–8 Apr 2018 Essential[77] 38% 37% 10% 7% 8% 47% 53%
5–8 Apr 2018 Newspoll[78] 38% 37% 10% 7% 8% 48% 52%
3–5 Apr 2018 Ipsos[79][80] 36% 34% 12% 8% 10% 48% 52%
24 Mar – 1 Apr 2018 Roy Morgan[81] 38.5% 37.5% 11% 3% 10% 49% 51%
28 Mar 2018 ReachTEL[82] 34% 36% 10% 7% 13% 46% 54%
22–25 Mar 2018 Essential[83] 38% 36% 9% 8% 9% 48% 52%
22–25 Mar 2018 Newspoll[84] 37% 39% 9% 7% 8% 47% 53%
17–25 Mar 2018 Roy Morgan[85] 40% 35% 12% 3.5% 9.5% 49% 51%
8–11 Mar 2018 Essential[86] 36% 38% 9% 8% 9% 46% 54%
3–11 Mar 2018 Roy Morgan[87] 36% 36% 13.5% 3% 11.5% 46% 54%
1–4 Mar 2018 Newspoll[88] 37% 38% 9% 7% 9% 47% 53%
22–25 Feb 2018 Essential[89] 35% 35% 10% 8% 12% 47% 53%
24 Feb 2018 ReachTEL[90] 33% 37% 11% 7% 12% 46% 54%
15–18 Feb 2018 Newspoll[91] 36% 37% 10% 8% 9% 47% 53%
8–11 Feb 2018 Essential[92] 36% 37% 10% 6% 11% 46% 54%
1–3 Feb 2018 Newspoll[93] 38% 37% 10% 5% 10% 48% 52%
26–28 Jan 2018 Essential[94] 35% 36% 10% 8% 11% 46% 54%
25 Jan 2018 ReachTEL[95] 34% 36% 10% 8% 12% 48% 52%
11–15 Jan 2018 Essential[96] 37% 38% 9% 6% 10% 47% 53%
19 Dec 2017 Essential[97] 37% 38% 9% 7% 9% 47% 53%
14–17 Dec 2017 Newspoll[98] 36% 37% 10% 7% 10% 47% 53%
12 Dec 2017 Essential[99] 35% 38% 10% 7% 9% 46% 54%
7–10 Dec 2017 YouGov[100] 34% 35% 11% 8% 13% 50% 50%
5 Dec 2017 Essential[101] 35% 38% 9% 8% 10% 45% 55%
30 Nov − 3 Dec 2017 Newspoll[102] 36% 37% 10% 8% 9% 47% 53%
29 Nov 2017 ReachTEL[103] 33% 36% 10% 9% 12% 47% 53%
28 Nov 2017 Essential[104] 36% 38% 9% 8% 9% 46% 54%
23–27 Nov 2017 YouGov[105] 32% 32% 10% 11% 16% 47% 53%
21 Nov 2017 Essential[106] 35% 38% 9% 8% 10% 46% 54%
14 Nov 2017 YouGov[107] 31% 34% 11% 11% 14% 48% 52%
14 Nov 2017 Essential[108] 36% 38% 9% 8% 10% 46% 54%
13 Nov 2017 Newspoll[109] 34% 38% 9% 10% 9% 45% 55%
30 Oct 2017 Essential[110] 36% 37% 10% 7% 9% 46% 54%
26–29 Oct 2017 Newspoll 35% 37% 10% 9% 9% 46% 54%
24 Oct 2017 Essential[111] 37% 36% 9% 8% 10% 48% 52%
12–15 Oct 2017 Newspoll 36% 37% 10% 9% 8% 46% 54%
4 Oct 2017 Essential[112] 36% 38% 10% 7% 10% 46% 54%
1 Oct 2017 ReachTEL[113] 36% 38% 9% 8% 9% 47% 53%
26 Sep 2017 Essential[114] 37% 37% 10% 7% 9% 47% 53%
21–24 Sep 2017 Newspoll[115] 36% 38% 9% 8% 9% 46% 54%
19 Sep 2017 Essential[116] 38% 36% 10% 8% 8% 48% 52%
14–18 Sep 2017 YouGov[117] 34% 35% 11% 9% 11% 50% 50%
12 Sep 2017 Essential[118] 36% 37% 10% 9% 8% 46% 54%
6–9 Sep 2017 Ipsos[119][120] 35% 34% 14% 1% 15% 47% 53%
5 Sep 2017 Essential[118] 36% 37% 10% 8% 9% 47% 53%
31 Aug – 4 Sep 2017 YouGov[121] 34% 32% 12% 9% 13% 50% 50%
28 Aug – 2 Sep 2017 Newspoll[122] 37% 38% 9% 8% 8% 47% 53%
29 Aug 2017 Essential[123] 37% 36% 10% 8% 9% 47% 53%
23 Aug 2017 ReachTEL[124] 34.5% 36.7% 10.3% 10.4% 8.2% 48% 52%
22 Aug 2017 Essential[125] 37% 37% 9% 8% 9% 47% 53%
17–21 Aug 2017 YouGov[126] 34% 33% 10% 10% 13% 51% 49%
17–20 Aug 2017 Newspoll[127] 35% 38% 9% 9% 9% 46% 54%
15 Aug 2017 Essential[128] 37% 39% 9% 8% 7% 46% 54%
8 Aug 2017 Essential[129] 37% 39% 9% 8% 7% 46% 54%
3–6 Aug 2017 Newspoll[130] 36% 36% 11% 8% 9% 47% 53%
1 Aug 2017 Essential[131] 38% 36% 10% 8% 8% 48% 52%
25 Jul 2017 Essential[132] 38% 37% 10% 7% 8% 47% 53%
20–24 Jul 2017 YouGov[133] 36% 33% 10% 8% 13% 50% 50%
20–23 Jul 2017 Newspoll[134] 36% 37% 9% 9% 9% 47% 53%
19 Jul 2017 ReachTEL[135] 37.2% 35.1% 8.8% 11.7% 7.2% 49% 51%
18 Jul 2017 Essential[136] 36% 38% 10% 7% 9% 46% 54%
6–11 Jul 2017 YouGov[137] 36% 33% 12% 7% 12% 52% 48%
6–9 Jul 2017 Newspoll[138] 35% 36% 10% 11% 8% 47% 53%
29 June 2017 ReachTEL[139] 36.4% 35.4% 10.2% 9.6% 8.3% 48% 52%
22–27 Jun 2017 YouGov[140] 33% 34% 12% 7% 14% 49% 51%
15–18 Jun 2017 Newspoll[141] 36% 37% 9% 11% 7% 47% 53%
14 June 2017 Essential[142] 38% 36% 10% 8% 8% 48% 52%
26–29 May 2017 Newspoll[143] 36% 36% 10% 9% 9% 47% 53%
23 May 2017 Essential[144] 37% 38% 10% 6% 9% 46% 54%
12–15 May 2017 Newspoll[145] 36% 36% 10% 9% 9% 47% 53%
11 May 2017 ReachTEL[146] 38% 34.1% 10.9% 11% 6% 47% 53%
10–11 May 2017 Ipsos[147] 37% 35% 13% 2% 13% 47% 53%
26–30 Apr 2017 Essential[148] 38% 37% 9% 7% 9% 47% 53%
20–23 Apr 2017 Newspoll[149] 36% 35% 9% 10% 10% 48% 52%
13–16 Apr 2017 Essential[150] 36% 37% 10% 8% 10% 46% 54%
6–9 Apr 2017 Essential[151] 37% 36% 10% 8% 9% 47% 53%
1–4 Apr 2017 Essential[152] 37% 36% 10% 8% 9% 47% 53%
30 Mar – 2 Apr 2017 Newspoll[153] 36% 36% 10% 10% 8% 47% 53%
24–27 Mar 2017 Essential[154] 35% 37% 10% 8% 11% 46% 54%
22–25 Mar 2017 Ipsos[155][156] 33% 34% 16% 2% 15% 45% 55%
17–20 Mar 2017 Essential[157] 34% 37% 9% 10% 9% 45% 55%
16–19 Mar 2017 Newspoll[158] 37% 35% 9% 10% 9% 48% 52%
10–13 Mar 2017 Essential[159] 35% 36% 9% 11% 9% 47% 53%
3–6 Mar 2017 Essential[160] 37% 37% 9% 9% 8% 47% 53%
23–26 Feb 2017 Newspoll[161] 34% 37% 10% 10% 9% 45% 55%
16–19 Feb 2017 Essential[162] 36% 34% 10% 10% 10% 48% 52%
9–12 Feb 2017 Essential[163] 36% 35% 9% 10% 9% 48% 52%
2–5 Feb 2017 Newspoll[164] 35% 36% 10% 8% 11% 46% 54%
20–23 Jan 2017 Essential[165] 35% 37% 10% 9% 8% 46% 54%
13–16 Jan 2017 Essential[166] 38% 37% 9% 8% 8% 47% 53%
12 Jan 2017 ReachTEL[167] 37.1% 35.0% 9.8% 10.6% 7.5% 46% 54%
9–12 Dec 2016 Essential[168] 37% 37% 9% 7% 9% 47% 53%
1–4 Dec 2016 Newspoll[169] 39% 36% 10% 5% 10% 48% 52%
25–28 Nov 2016 Essential[170] 39% 36% 9% 7% 9% 49% 51%
24–26 Nov 2016 Ipsos[171] 36% 30% 16% 7% 9% 49% 51%
17–20 Nov 2016 Newspoll[172] 38% 38% 10% 4% 10% 47% 53%
11–14 Nov 2016 Essential[173] 37% 37% 11% 6% 9% 47% 53%
3–6 Nov 2016 Newspoll[174] 39% 38% 10% – 13% 47% 53%
20–23 Oct 2016 Newspoll[175] 39% 37% 10% 5% 9% 48% 52%
14–17 Oct 2016 Essential[176] 37% 37% 11% 5% 9% 47% 53%
7–10 Oct 2016 Essential[177] 38% 36% 10% 6% 10% 48% 52%
6–9 Oct 2016 Newspoll[178] 39% 36% 10% 6% 9% 48% 52%
22–25 Sep 2016 Newspoll[179] 38% 37% 10% – 15% 48% 52%
9–12 Sep 2016 Essential[180] 38% 37% 10% 5% 11% 48% 52%
8–11 Sep 2016 Newspoll[181] 41% 36% 9% – 14% 50% 50%
26–29 Aug 2016 Essential[182] 40% 37% 10% – 13% 49% 51%
25–28 Aug 2016 Newspoll[183] 41% 36% 9% – 14% 50% 50%
19–22 Aug 2016 Essential[184] 39% 36% 10% – 15% 49% 51%
12–15 Aug 2016 Essential[185] 39% 37% 10% – 14% 48% 52%
5–8 Aug 2016 Essential[186] 40% 37% 10% – 13% 48% 52%
27 Jul – 1 Aug 2016 Essential[187] 39% 37% 10% – 14% 48% 52%
20–24 Jul 2016 Essential[188] 39% 37% 10% – 14% 48% 52%
13–17 Jul 2016 Essential[189] 39% 36% 10% – 15% 49% 51%
6–10 Jul 2016 Essential[190] 41% 36% 10% – 13% 49% 51%
30 Jun – 3 Jul 2016 Essential[191] 41% 37% 10% – 12% 50% 50%
2 July 2016 election 42.0% 34.7% 10.2% 1.3% 11.8% 50.4% 49.6%
28 Jun – 1 Jul 2016 Newspoll[192] 42% 35% 10% – 13% 50.5% 49.5%
30 Jun 2016 ReachTEL[193] 42.8% 34.6% 10.7% – 12% 51% 49%
27–30 Jun 2016 Essential[194] 42.5% 34.5% 11.5% – 12% 50.5% 49.5%
28–29 Jun 2016 Galaxy[195] 43% 36% 10% – 11% 51% 49%
26–29 Jun 2016 Ipsos[196] 40% 33% 13% – 14% 50% 50%
  1. ^ 5% UAP, 8% Independents/Other
  2. ^ 3% UAP, 9% Independents/Other
  3. ^ 3% UAP, 8% Independents/Other
  4. ^ 3.5% UAP, 8.5% Independents/Other
  5. ^ 4% UAP, 7% Other
  6. ^ 3.5% UAP, 9% Other
  7. ^ 4% UAP, 8% Other
  8. ^ 3% UAP, 7% Other
  9. ^ 2.0% UAP, 10.5% Other
  10. ^ 5% UAP, 7% Other
  11. ^ 4% UAP, 9% Other
  12. ^ 2.0% UAP, 9.5% Other
  13. ^ 1.5% UAP, 1% CON, 0.5% KAP, 7.5%, Other
  14. ^ 3% UAP, 2% CON, 3% Other

Preferred prime minister, and satisfaction[edit]

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Leadership polling
Date Firm Preferred prime minister Morrison Shorten
Morrison Shorten Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied
15–16 May 2019 Newspoll[2] 45% 38% 46% 45% 41% 49%
12–15 May 2019 Ipsos[4] 47% 40% 48% 43% 43% 48%
1–4 Apr 2019 Ipsos[11] 46% 35% 47% 44% 40% 51%
3–6 Apr 2019 Ipsos[197] 46% 35% 48% 39% 36% 51%
17 Feb 2019 Ipsos[28] 48% 38% 49% 40% 40% 52%
7–10 Feb 2019 Newspoll[30] 44% 35% 43% 45% 36% 51%
13–15 Dec 2018 Ipsos[35] 46% 37% 47% 39% 41% 50%
8–11 Nov 2018 Newspoll[40] 42% 36% 39% 47% 35% 50%
25–28 Oct 2018 Newspoll[42] 43% 35% 41% 44% 37% 50%
19–21 Oct 2018 Essential[43] 42% 27% 43% 28% 33% 28%
22–24 Sep 2018 Essential[47] 39% 27% 37% 31% 35% 31%
20–23 Sep 2018 Newspoll[48] 45% 32% 44% 39% 32% 54%
8–10 Sep 2018 Essential[50] 39% 27% 37% 31% 35% 43%
6–9 Sep 2018 Newspoll[51] 42% 36% 41% 39% 37% 51%
24–25 Aug 2018 Newspoll[54] 33% 39% – – – –
24 Aug 2018 Scott Morrison replaces Malcolm Turnbull as Liberal leader
Turnbull Shorten Turnbull Shorten
9–12 Aug 2018 Newspoll[56] 44% 32% 36% 55% 32% 56%
26–29 Jul 2018 Newspoll[58] 48% 29% 42% 48% 32% 57%
18–21 Jul 2018 Ipsos[198] 57% 30% 55% 38% 38% 54%
16 July 2018 Newspoll[199] 48% 29% 39% 50% 33% 55%
10–13 May 2018 Newspoll[71] 46% 32% 41% 49% 32% 56%
3–6 May 2018 Essential[200] 40% 26% 40% 42% 37% 41%
4–6 Mar 2018 Essential[148] 37% 35% - - - -
26–30 Apr 2017 Essential[148] 45% 31% 35% 47% 33% 47%
20–23 Apr 2017 Newspoll[149] 42% 33% 32% 57% 33% 53%
30 Mar – 2 April 2017 Newspoll[153] 41% 32% 30% 59% 32% 54%
22–25 Mar 2017 Ipsos[155] 45% 33% - - - -
17–20 Mar 2017 Essential[157] 43% 29% - - - -
16–19 Mar 2017 Newspoll[158] 43% 29% 30% 57% 29% 57%
10–13 Mar 2017 Essential[159] 38% 26% 33% 50% 30% 49%
23–26 Feb 2017 Newspoll[201] 40% 33% 29% 59% 30% 56%
2–5 Feb 2017 Newspoll[164] 42% 30% 35% 54% 32% 54%
1–4 Dec 2016 Newspoll[169] 41% 32% 32% 55% 34% 51%
24–26 Nov 2016 Ipsos[171] 51% 30% 45% 45% 37% 53%
17–20 Nov 2016 Newspoll[172] 43% 33% 34% 54% 36% 51%
3–6 Nov 2016 Newspoll[174] 42% 32% 30% 58% 36% 51%
20–23 Oct 2016 Newspoll[175] 42% 32% 29% 57% 36% 51%
6–9 Oct 2016 Newspoll[178] 45% 30% 31% 56% 35% 51%
9–12 Sep 2016 Essential[180] 41% 26% 35% 43% 36% 41%
8–11 Sep 2016 Newspoll[181] 43% 31% 34% 53% 35% 52%
25–28 Aug 2016 Newspoll[183] 43% 32% 34% 52% 36% 50%
5–8 Aug 2016 Essential[186] 40% 30% 38% 43% 37% 41%
6–10 Jul 2016 Essential[190] 39% 31% 37% 48% 39% 41%
2 July 2016 election
28 Jun – 1 July 2016 Newspoll[192] 48% 31% 40% 47% 36% 51%
30 June 2016 ReachTEL[193] 52.9% 47.1% - - - -
26–29 Jun 2016 Ipsos[196] 49% 35% 49% 41% 42% 50%
23–26 Jun 2016 Essential[202] 40% 29% 40% 40% 37% 39%
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Pearson, Nick (18 May 2019). "Exclusive exit poll: Labor set to win government". 9 News. Retrieved 18 May 2019.
  2. ^ a b Benson, Simon (17 May 2019). "Election 2019: Election-eve Newspoll sees Labor widen lead". The Australian. Retrieved 17 May 2019.
  3. ^ Campbell, James (17 May 2019). "Echoes of Gough as Bill charges on". Herald Sun. Retrieved 17 May 2019.
  4. ^ a b Crowe, David (16 May 2019). "Ipsos poll shows election contest tightens to 51-49". The Age. Retrieved 16 May 2019.
  5. ^ Murphy, Katharine (15 May 2019). "Essential poll: majority of voters think Bill Shorten will be the winner on Saturday". The Guardian. Retrieved 16 May 2019.
  6. ^ "ALP regains initiative with a week to go: ALP 52% cf. L-NP 48%". Roy Morgan Research. 13 May 2019. Retrieved 13 May 2019.
  7. ^ Benson, Simon (12 May 2019). "Boost for Shorten ahead of Saturday poll". The Australian. Retrieved 12 May 2019.
  8. ^ Martin, Sarah (6 May 2019). "Labor continues to lead Coalition 52-48 in latest Guardian Essential poll". The Guardian.
  9. ^ "Three weeks locked at ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49% - Palmer "jumps" 1.5%". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 6 May 2019.
  10. ^ Benson, Simon (5 May 2019). "Newspoll: Promises fail to prevent Bill Shorten's slide in popularity". The Australian. Retrieved 5 May 2019.
  11. ^ a b Crowe, David (5 May 2019). "Ipsos poll: Labor keeps election-winning lead over Coalition as preferred PM contest narrows". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 5 May 2019.
  12. ^ Murphy, Katharine (29 April 2019). "Labor remains in front of Coalition 51-49 in Guardian Essential poll". The Guardian. Retrieved 30 April 2019.
  13. ^ "Parties locked in class contest for second week: ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49% on a two-party preferred basis: ALP 51.0% cf. L-NP 49.0%". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 5 May 2019.
  14. ^ Benson, Simon. "Coalition narrows gap on Labor as poll approaches". The Australian. Retrieved 28 April 2019.
  15. ^ "#Galaxy Poll Federal Primary Votes: L/NP 37 (+2) ALP 37 (0) GRN 9 (-1) ON 4 (-4) UAP 4 (0) Others 9 (+3) #auspol". @GhostWhoVotes. 27 April 2019. Retrieved 27 April 2019.
  16. ^ "Game On: Easter Roy Morgan Poll shows election race tightening: ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49% on a two-party preferred basis: ALP 51.0% cf. L-NP 49.0%". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 14 April 2019.
  17. ^ Benson, Simon. "One Nation's voter slip gives a lift to both major parties". The Australian. Retrieved 14 April 2019.
  18. ^ Murphy, Katharine (8 April 2019). "Essential poll: Coalition still trails Labor 52-48 despite approval for budget". The Guardian. Retrieved 9 April 2019.
  19. ^ "Budget delivers 2.5% swing to the L-NP but ALP still lead on a two party preferred basis: ALP 52.5% cf. L-NP 47.5%". Roy Morgan. Retrieved 14 April 2019.
  20. ^ Benson, Simon. "Newspoll: Coalition within striking distance". The Australian. Retrieved 7 April 2019.
  21. ^ Crowe, David (7 April 2019). "Ipsos poll: 53-47 result puts Morrison government on course for major election defeat". The Sydney Morning Herald. Retrieved 7 April 2019.
  22. ^ "#Galaxy Poll Federal Primary Votes: L/NP 33 ALP 34 GRN 9 ON 8 UAP 3 CON 2 Other 3 Don't Know 8 #auspol". @GhostWhoVotes. 5 April 2019. Retrieved 5 April 2019.
  23. ^ Murphy, Katharine (25 March 2019). "Coalition trails but Labor's vote softens slightly in NSW – Guardian Essential poll". The Guardian. Retrieved 26 March 2019.
  24. ^ "Labor comfortably ahead of Coalition in Guardian Essential poll". TheGuardian.com. 11 March 2019.
  25. ^ Benson, Simon. "Newspoll: Coalition notches up 50th consecutive loss". The Australian. Retrieved 10 March 2019.
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