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Opinion polling for the 2019 Turkish local elections

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In the run-up to the 2019 Turkish local elections held on 31 March, various pollsters conducted opinion polls to gauge voting intentions in Turkey's major cities. Additionally, a number of polls were gauged to predict overall vote shares in the local election. This page lists these polls conducted by city, listing the most recent studies first.

Overall opinion polling

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The below table shows nationwide opinion polls conducted to gauge overall vote shares.

Date Pollster Sample AKP CHP MHP HDP İYİ Others Lead
31 March 2019 Local elections 2019 42.5 29.6 7.2 5.6 7.4 7.7 12.9
26 February 2019 Konsensus 40.7 33.6 6.4 4.7 4.1 10.5 7.1
28 Dec 2018 – 3 Jan 2019 OPTIMAR 252 45.5 28.6 7.6 7.6 7.7 3.1 16.9
7–13 Oct 2018 ORC 5,186 40.3 29.7 19.5 6.3 2.9 1.1 10.6
11 July 2016 AKAM 8,890 40.6 32.3 11.7 11.6 3.8 8.3
30 March 2014 Local elections 2014 43,543,717 42.9 26.3 17.8 6.3 6.8 16.5

By province

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Date Pollster Sample size Yıldırım İmamoğlu Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election (annulled) 48.6 48.8 2.6 0.2
20-29 Mar 2019 PİAR 11,445 48.5 48.7 0.2
19 Mar 2019 Optimar 6,022 49.7 48.8 0.9
10–18 Mar 2019 ADA[citation needed] 16,500 48.4 49.2 2.4 0.8
18 March 2019 Themis 2,161 48.3 49.3 2.4 - 1.0
16–17 Mar 2019 Gezici 49.3 48.6 2.1 0.7
8 March 2019 Avrasya 2,440 48.5 50.1 1.4 1.6
26 Feb-4 Mar 2019 ORC 8,160 50.9 46.6 2.5 4.3
23–24 Feb 2019 Gezici 52.1 46.6 1.3 5.5
9–15 Feb 2019 PollMark 5,024 36.0 37.8 26.2 1.8
28 Jan-2 Feb 2019 ORC 5,950 43.6 39.7 2.8 13.9 3.9
28 Jan-2 Feb 2019 Optimar 3,012 45.9 41.6 - 12.5 4.3
16 January 2019 Avrasya - 44.0 42.0 - 14.0 2.0
19–22 Dec 2018 PIAR 3,120 36.5 33.0 - 30.5 3.5
Alliance People's
  AKP +   MHP
Nation
  CHP +   İYİ
None N/A N/A
Incumbent Mevlüt Uysal   AKP
Date Pollster Sample size Özhaseki Yavaş Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election 47.1 50.9 2.0 3.8
16–17 Mar 2019 Gezici - 47.7 49.8 2.5 2.1
8 March 2019 PIAR 44.6 54.1 1.3 9.5
8 March 2019 Avrasya 1,940 45.6 51.6 2.8 5.0
23–24 Feb 2019 Gezici 51.8 46.3 1.9 5.5
8–24 Feb 2019 AREA 45.5 51.2 3.3 5.7
10–16 Feb 2019 PollMark 5,040 32.0 42.1 25.9 10.1
31 Jan-2 Feb 2019 PIAR 35.8 41.7 22.5 5.9
17–31 Jan 2019 ORC 36.8 41.9 2.3 19.0 5.1
26–27 Jan 2019 Gezici 52.2 47.8 4.4
19–28 Sep 2018 SAROS 1,620 44.3 54.1 1.6 9.8
Alliance People's
  AKP +   MHP
Nation
  CHP +   İYİ
None N/A N/A
Incumbent Mustafa Tuna   AKP

Adana

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Date Pollster Sample size Sözlü Karalar Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election 42.8 53.6 3.6 10.8
16–17 Mar 2019 Gezici 54.1 45.4 0.5 8.7
8 March 2019 Avrasya 1,510 47.0 51.5 1.5 4.5
4 March 2019 Avrasya 46.1 51.9 2.0 5.8
23–24 Feb 2019 Gezici 56.1 43.2 0.7 12.9
10–17 Feb 2019 Avrasya 37.4 40.6 22.0 3.2
26–27 Jan 2019 Gezici[citation needed] 57.7 42.3 15.4
Alliance People's
  MHP +   AKP
Nation
  CHP +   İYİ
None N/A N/A
Incumbent Hüseyin Sözlü   MHP

Bursa

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Date Pollster Sample size Aktaş Bozbey Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election 49.8 47.0 3.2 2.8
16–17 Mar 2019 Gezici - 46.6 52.9 0.5 6.3
8–12 Mar 2019 Metropoll 3,122 45.1 52.4 2.6 7.3
8 March 2019 Avrasya 1,440 49.8 49.0 1.2 0.8
23–24 Feb 2019 Gezici 46.8 52.7 0.5 5.9
17–31 Jan 2019 ORC 35.2 36.5 2.8 25.5 1.3
26–27 Jan 2019 Gezici 51.2 48.8 2.4
Alliance People's
  AKP +   MHP
Nation
  CHP +   İYİ
None N/A N/A
Incumbent Alinur Aktaş   AKP

Eskişehir

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Date Pollster Sample size Sakallı Büyükerşen Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election 45.1 52.3 2.6 7.2
28 March 2019 ORC 48.5 49.2 2.3 1.1
8 March 2019 PIAR 41.0 57.2 1.8 16.2
2–4 Mar 2019 ORC 1,425 48.5 49.6 1.9 1.1
17–31 Jan 2019 ORC 40.2 39.8 1.6 18.4 0.4
Alliance People's
  AKP +   MHP
Nation
  CHP +   İYİ
None N/A N/A
Incumbent Yılmaz Büyükerşen   CHP

Antalya

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Date Pollster Sample size Türel Böcek Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election 46.3 50.6 3.1 4.3
8 March 2019 Avrasya 1,560 44.4 54.3 1.3 9.9
4 March 2019 PIAR 44.5 53.1 2.4 8.6
2–4 Mar 2019 ORC 2,596 48.9 46.7 1.9 1.1
23–24 Feb 2019 Gezici 52.2 47.1 0.7 5.1
17–31 Jan 2019 ORC 38.7 40.5 2.4 18.4 1.8
Alliance People's
  AKP +   MHP
Nation
  CHP +   İYİ
None N/A N/A
Incumbent Menderes Türel   AKP

Hatay

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Date Pollster Sample size Güler Savaş Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election 42.8 55.2 2.0 12.4
16–17 Mar 2019 Gezici 51.1 47.8 1.1 3.3
8 March 2019 Avrasya 1,060 42.0 56.1 1.9 14.1
4 March 2019 PIAR 42.1 56.0 1.9 13.9
3–4 Mar 2019 EMAX[citation needed] 1,650 43.7 40.8 0.9 14.6 2.9
23–24 Feb 2019 Gezici 55.8 43.3 0.9 12.5
Alliance People's
  AKP +   MHP
Nation
  CHP +   İYİ
None N/A N/A
Incumbent Lütfü Savaş   CHP

Balıkesir

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Date Pollster Sample size Yılmaz Ok Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election 47.8 46.5 5.7 1.3
16–17 Mar 2019 Gezici 53.1 45.8 1.1 7.3
23–24 Feb 2019 Gezici 55.8 42.4 1.8 13.4
17–21 Jan 2019 ORC 1,420 48.5 46.6 4.9 1.9
Alliance People's
  AKP +   MHP
Nation
  İYİ +   CHP
None N/A N/A
Incumbent Zekai Kafaoğlu   AKP

Denizli

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Date Pollster Sample size Zolan Bahtiyar Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election 50.6 43.9 5.5 6.7
14–20 Mar 2019 PIAR 7,022 47.1 49.1 3.8 2.0
8 March 2019 Avrasya 1,060 48.0 49.7 2.3 1.7
12–13 Feb 2019 ORC 1,524 39.4 41.3 2.1 17.2 1.9
17–31 Jan 2019 ORC 38.7 37.0 1.8 22.5 1.7
Alliance People's
  AKP +   MHP
Nation
  İYİ +   CHP
None N/A N/A
Incumbent Osman Zolan   AKP

Şanlıurfa

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Date Pollster Sample size Beyazgül Cevheri Others Undecided Lead
31 Mar 2019 2019 election 60.8 36.4 2.8 24.4
1–6 Mar 2019 PIAR 8,260 49.0 50.8 0.2 1.8
2–3 Mar 2019 EMAX[citation needed] 1,481 45.2 37.6 0.8 16.4 7.6
Alliance People's
  AKP +   MHP
None
  SP
None N/A N/A
Incumbent Nihat Çiftçi   AKP

References

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