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Opinion polling for the 2020 Slovak parliamentary election

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In the run up to the 2020 Slovak parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 5 Mar 2016, to the present day.

Party vote

[edit]

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage–point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

A local regression graph of all polls conducted
Color key:

  Exit poll

Voting intention estimates

[edit]
Date Polling
firm 		Sample
size 		Smer–SD SaS OĽaNO[a] SNS Kotlebovci–ĽSNS[b] Sme Rodina Most–Híd[c] KDH MKÖ–MKS[d] PS SPOLU Za ľudí Vlasť Dobrá voľba Lead
29 Feb 2020 2020 elections 18.29% 6.22% 25.02% 3.16% 7.97% 8.24% 2.05% 4.65% 3.90% 6.96% 5.77% 2.93% 3.06% 6.73%
29 Feb 2020 Median[1] 13.9% 6.4% 25.3% 3.0% 8.8% 7.5% 2.8% 5.0% 4.4% 8.8% 5.6% 2.7% 2.9% 11.4%
29 Feb 2020 Focus[2] 14.9% 8.3% 25.8% 2.4% 6.5% 7.5% 2.0% 5.1% 3.8% 9.7% 7.8% 1.9% 2.8% 10.9%
20–24 Feb 2020 Focus+AKO[3] 2000 15.6% 7.0% 19.1% 3.4% 9.8% 7.2% 3.9% 4.8% 3.5% 9.4% 6.6% 4.1% 3.6% 3.5%
13–18 Feb 2020 Focus+AKO[4] 2000 17.2% 6.1% 16.4% 3.6% 10.4% 7.9% 4.0% 5.2% 2.9% 9.1% 8.2% 3.2% 3.8% 0.8%
15 Feb 2020 Moratorium on opinion polls in effect
11–13 Feb 2020 AKO[5] 1005 16.9% 6.1% 15.5% 5.0% 10.3% 7.2% 4.7% 5.3% 3.0% 9.4% 8.9% 1.5% 4.3% 1.4%
6–12 Feb 2020 Focus[6] 1005 17.0% 5.3% 13.3% 4.4% 12.2% 7.8% 4.2% 5.4% 3.9% 9.3% 8.2% 3.2% 4.0% 3.7%
3–6 Feb 2020 AKO[7] 1000 17.3% 5.8% 13.5% 5.1% 11.8% 6.4% 4.5% 5.3% 3.2% 8.7% 9.5% 2.2% 4.1% 3.8%
24–31 Jan 2020 MVK[8] 1123 21.9% 3.8% 8.9% 6% 12.7% 6.5% 2.9% 7.5% 4.6% 8.1% 8.5% 2.4% 2.9% 9.2%
23–30 Jan 2020 Polis[9] 1109 17.1% 5.2% 12% 5.5% 11.1% 6.3% 4.8% 5.5% 3.5% 9.1% 10% 3.9% 4.6% 5.1%
15–22 Jan 2020 Focus[10] 1013 18% 5.5% 9% 5.2% 12.8% 7.6% 4.4% 5.7% 4% 9.8% 10.8% 2% 4% 5.8%
15–17 Jan 2020 AKO[11] 1000 17.1% 6.7% 8.4% 5.9% 11% 7.9% 4.2% 5.5% 3.2% 10.2% 10% 2.3% 3.4% 6.1%
10–15 Jan 2020 Polis[12] 1140 17.1% 5.6% 10% 6.3% 12.4% 5.6% 4.9% 6% 4.3% 8.4% 9.7% 3.8% 4.1% 4.7%
10–14 Jan 2020 Focus[13] 1010 18.7% 5.4% 7.7% 5.1% 13.6% 7.1% 4.0% 6.0% 3.7% 10.5% 10.3% 2.3% 3.3% 5.1%
7–9 Jan 2020 AKO[14] 1000 17.7% 6.8% 8.3% 6.2% 11.7% 7.6% 4.1% 6.2% 2.5% 9.1% 10.4% 1.7% 3.2% 6.0%
7–11 Dec 2019 Polis[15] 1131 18.1% 5.2% 9.8% 7.0% 12.2% 5.5% 5.2% 6.1% 5.2% 9.5% 10.1% 2.2% 2.4% 5.9%
2–9 Dec 2019 Focus[16] 1008 19.6% 5.7% 8.0% 5.4% 11.8% 7.0% 4.3% 5.7% 4.3% 10.3% 9.2% 2.1% 3.8% 7.8%
1 Dec 2019 Parties confirm their candidate lists. campaign officially begins
Date Polling
firm 		Sample
size 		Smer–SD SaS OĽaNO[e] SNS Kotleba–ĽSNS Sme Rodina Most–Híd SIEŤ KDH SMK–MKP PS SPOLU Za ľudí Vlasť Dobrá voľba Lead
19–25 Nov 2019 AKO[17] 1000 18.4% 6.3% 7.6% 6.4% 10.4% 7.1% 3.5% 6.4% 2.2% 12.4% 12.5% 2.1% 3.2% 5.9%
9–13 Nov 2019 Polis[18] 1021 20.2% 5.1% 7.0% 6.1% 11.1% 5.2% 4.1% 6.0% 3.6% 11.1% 11.2% 3.3% 2.4% 9.0%
30 Oct–6 Nov 2019 Focus[19] 1020 20.0% 5.0% 5.7% 6.8% 10.3% 7.0% 4.1% 5.7% 3.5% 11.7% 10.6% 3.0% 2.9% 8.3%
15–22 Oct 2019 Focus[20] 1021 22.0% 5.2% 6.0% 6.9% 10.2% 7.2% 3.8% 6.5% 3.2% 11.0% 9.1% 1.8% 2.4% 11.0%
7–10 Oct 2019 AKO[21] 1000 20.1% 6.7% 5.8% 6.4% 12.3% 5.9% 3.9% 5.6% 3.1% 12.7% 12.0% 1.7% 7.4%
18–25 Sep 2019 AKO[22] NA 20% 7% 5.9% 5.6% 10.8% 7.8% 3.4% 7.4% 3.6% 17.1% 9.1% 2.0% 2.9%
11–17 Sep 2019 Focus[23] 1,027 21.7% 6.4% 6.8% 6.8% 10.6% 7.2% 4.1% 6.9% 3.3% 13.3% 6.5% 2.1% 8.4 %
26–29 Aug 2019 AKO[24] NA 19.6% 9.0% 7.3% 7.1% 10.9% 7.6% 3.9% 6.3% 3.5% 15.5% 8.8% 4.1 %
12–20 Aug 2019 MVK[25] 1,075 20.7% 5.5% 6.9% 8.5% 8.1% 5.5% 3.8% 9.4% 3.4% 13.3% 7.9% 7.4 %
13–19 Aug 2019 Focus[26] 1,010 20.8% 7.9% 6.1% 7.0% 11.4% 6.6% 4.3% 7.3% 3.5% 14.9% 5.5% 5.9 %
1–7 Aug 2019 Focus[27] 1,020 21.8% 7.0% 6.0% 7.0% 12.1% 6.3% 4.7% 7.5% 3.4% 14.0% 5.0% 7.8 %
19–25 Jun 2019 Focus[28] 1,023 20.3% 7.1% 5.1% 7.3% 12.6% 7.0% 4.5% 7.0% 3.3% 15.7% 5.2% 4.6 %
11–18 Jun 2019 Polis[29] 1,165 18.3% 8.5% 6.3% 7.6% 11.4% 5.0% 5.1% 8.2% 15.0% 5.2% 3.3 %
1–11 Jun 2019 Focus[30] 1,017 19.7% 8.0% 6.7% 7.2% 12.5% 7.3% 4.4% 7.5% 3.7% 17.8% 1.9 %
28–31 May 2019 AKO[31] 1,000 18.7% 10.8% 6.3% 7.2% 14.9% 7.3% 4.2% 8.6% 2.9% 18.0% 0.7 %
25 May 2019 2019 European Parliament election in Slovakia
8–10 May 2019 AKO[32] 1,000 19.2% 13.5% 6.7% 8.2% 13.6% 9.9% 5.1% 7.4% 2.2% 13.6% 5.6 %
29–6 Apr/May 2019 AKO[33] 1,000 19.1% 13.1% 9.2% 8.0% 13.9% 8.3% 5.0% 6.6% 2.6% 13.7% 5.2%
8–14 Apr 2019 Focus[34] 1,026 19.0% 10.1% 9.1% 7.5% 10.5% 9.4% 4.7% 6.8% 3.6% 13.4% 5.6%
1–2 Apr 2019 AKO[35] 1,000 19.7% 12.9% 8.6% 7.6% 11.5% 10.7% 5.0% 6.9% 2.6% 14.4% 5.3%
16–30 Mar 2019 Zuzana Čaputová wins 2019 Slovak presidential election
18–25 Mar 2019 Focus[36] 1,022 22.4% 11.4% 8.3% 7.9% 11.8% 9.0% 4.5% 7.5% 3.0% 9.1% 10.6%
21–26 Feb 2019 Focus[37] 1,022 21.2% 11.2% 8.4% 7.5% 11.7% 9.5% 5.4% 6.5% 3.1% 9.5% 9.5%
8–12 Feb 2019 AKO[38] 1,000 22.4% 14.8% 10.1% 8.0% 9.5% 10.9% 6.3% 6.1% 3.3% 7.5% 7.6%
16–23 Jan 2019 Focus[39] 1,013 22.5% 12.3% 10.0% 8.0% 8.4% 10.4% 5.8% 7.0% 3.4% 4.9% 3.5% 10.2%
1–9 Dec 2018 Focus[40] 1,019 21.7% 13.3% 10.5% 9.2% 9.2% 9.0% 5.2% 6.5% 3.3% 5.1% 4.1% 8.4%
27–28 Nov 2018 AKO[41] 1,000 23.4% 15.9% 7.7% 9.3% 9.2% 10.0% 5.7% 6.7% 2.4% 5.3% 3.2% 7.5%
13–15 Nov 2018 AKO[42] 1,000 23.9% 16.1% 8.1% 9.2% 7.8% 10.4% 6.1% 5.9% 3.2% 5.0% 4.2% 7.8%
7–14 Nov 2018 Focus[43] 1,012 20.9% 12.0% 9.5% 8.0% 9.8% 8.1% 5.9% 7.7% 3.6% 5.3% 5.0% 8.9%
18–25 Sep 2018 Focus[44] 1,015 22.4% 13.5% 10.3% 9.2% 10.0% 8.2% 5.1% 5.5% 3.1% 4.4% 3.1% 8.9%
30 Aug–5 Sep 2018 AKO[45] 1,000 21.2% 16.0% 9.4% 10.9% 8.6% 9.5% 6.3% 7.6% 3.0% 4.6% 2.3% 5.2%
15–17 Aug 2018 AKO[46] 1,000 21.4% 15.7% 8.4% 11.0% 10.9% 10.8% 5.3% 6.1% 3.0% 4.1% 3.3% 5.7%
2–9 Aug 2018 Focus[47] 1,007 20.7% 12.2% 8.7% 9.4% 10.1% 10.0% 5.7% 7.1% 4.1% 4.2% 3.3% 8.5%
18–21 Jun 2018 AKO[48] 1,000 21.0% 15.5% 8.6% 10.2% 11.1% 9.3% 6.3% 7.2% 2.4% 4.0% 3.8% 5.5%
4–11 Jun 2018 Focus[49] 1,015 21.7% 12.4% 10.0% 9.8% 9.7% 8.1% 5.6% 6.7% 4.0% 3.9% 2.9% 9.3%
16–21 May 2018 AKO[50] 1,000 21.5% 16.7% 9.1% 10.1% 10.4% 9.1% 5.6% 6.7% 2.5% 3.9% 3.6% 4.8%
24–30 Apr 2018 Focus[51] 1,005 20.5% 13.2% 9.1% 10.1% 9.3% 9.1% 5.8% 6.8% 3.3% 3.6% 2.8% 7.3%
20–24 Apr 2018 AKO[52] 1,000 21.4% 16.1% 8.7% 10.9% 10.3% 9.0% 6.8% 6.9% 1.9% 3.8% 3.7% 5.3%
4–7 Apr 2018 AKO[53] 1,000 20.7% 17.1% 9.1% 10.7% 10.0% 8.6% 5.6% 8.6% 2.7% 3.2% 2.8% 3.6%
14–22 Mar 2018 Robert Fico resigns as Prime Minister, Peter Pellegrini is elected as replacement, end of government crisis
7–13 Mar 2018 Focus[54] 1,012 20.2% 14.0% 10.4% 10.0% 10.1% 10.4% 5.6% 7.0% 4.1% 1.4% 1.1% 6.2%
21 Feb 2018 Murder of Ján Kuciak, start of government crisis
21–26 Feb 2018 AKO[55] 1,000 24.7% 16.2% 10.2% 9.9% 8.2% 9.6% 6.3% 7.7% 3.4% 1.6% 1.6% 8.5%
23–28 Jan 2018 Focus[56] 1,012 25.5% 13.1% 11.4% 8.6% 8.1% 9.0% 5.7% 7.4% 3.9% 1.9% — 12.4%
14–18 Nov 2017 AKO[57] 1,000 24.8% 17.8% 12.5% 8.9% 8.4% 9.2% 5.8% 0.5% 7.0% 4.3% 7.0%
7–13 Nov 2017 Focus[58] 1,017 24.8% 14.2% 12.5% 8.0% 8.4% 8.5% 5.6% 0.0% 7.2% 3.6% 10.6%
4–11 Oct 2017 Focus[59] 1,003 26.2% 13.8% 8.5% 8.1% 10.1% 9.4% 6.0% 0.0% 7.3% 4.2% 12.4%
18–20 Sep 2017 AKO[60] 1,000 27.3% 16.1% 8.9% 9.0% 10.9% 9.2% 7.3% 0.0% 5.1% 4.2% 11.2%
11–18 Sep 2017 Focus[61] 1,000 26.0% 14.0% 9.6% 8.7% 10.4% 9.1% 6.0% 0.0% 6.4% 4.0% 12.0%
21–23 Aug 2017 AKO[62] 1,000 25.0% 18.1% 8.9% 9.1% 11.0% 9.4% 7.5% 0.0% 6.0% 3.9% 6.9%
18–23 Aug 2017 Polis[63] 1,220 27.3% 16.8% 9.0% 7.2% 14.2% 7.2% 5.2% 0.0% 5.5% 4.2% 10.5%
18–24 Jul 2017 Polis[64] 1,208 27.8% 15.8% 9.4% 9.5% 11.2% 6.4% 5.5% 0.0% 6.0% 4.7% 12.0%
14–19 Jul 2017 AKO[65] 1,000 25.8% 16.0% 9.2% 10.4% 10.3% 8.6% 7.6% 0.0% 6.8% 3.1% 9.8%
13–24 Jul 2017 Focus[66] 1,025 26.4% 14.2% 9.2% 10.3% 9.1% 8.2% 6.2% 0.0% 6.3% 4.0% 12.2%
14–19 Jun 2017 AKO[67] 1,000 26.0% 16.1% 10.0% 11.7% 9.7% 8.7% 7.0% 0.0% 6.0% 3.1% 9.9%
13–19 Jun 2017 Polis[68] 1,208 28.0% 16.5% 9.1% 9.5% 11.8% 7.4% 5.2% 0.0% 6.0% 5.3% 11.5%
31 May – 4 Jun 2017 Focus[69] 1,012 26.2% 13.4% 9.6% 10.2% 10.9% 7.4% 6.9% 0.6% 5.7% 4.0% 12.8%
13–19 May 2017 Polis[70] 1,366 28.8% 16.0% 9.3% 9.3% 11.1% 6.8% 5.2% 0.0% 6.2% 4.7% 12.8%
24–26 Apr 2017 AKO[71] 1,000 27.1% 17.6% 8.9% 11.4% 10.5% 7.1% 6.4% 0.6% 6.2% 3.5% 9.5%
20–25 Apr 2017 Polis[72] 1,353 27.8% 14.7% 11.7% 9.8% 11.9% 7.0% 5.3% 0.6% 5.2% 5.1% 13.1%
4–9 Apr 2017 Focus[73] 1,006 26.6% 13.7% 9.2% 9.9% 10.1% 8.1% 6.9% 0.6% 5.4% 4.3% 12.9%
11–17 Mar 2017 Polis[74] 1,209 27.5% 14.5% 12.2% 10.3% 12.2% 7.0% 5.4% 1.0% 5.5% 3.4% 13.0%
13–15 Mar 2017 AKO[75] 1,000 28.0% 17.4% 9.1% 11.3% 11.0% 6.6% 7.5% 1.0% 5.1% 2.2% 10.6%
18–25 Feb 2017 Polis[76] 1,311 27.1% 13.8% 12.1% 9.0% 13.0% 8.1% 5.4% 1.0% 5.4% 3.3% 13.3%
6–18 Feb 2017 Focus[77] 1,512 25.5% 13.8% 9.7% 10.1% 10.4% 8.5% 6.0% 1.0% 5.5% 4.3% 11.7%
10–14 Feb 2017 AKO[78] 1,000 27.7% 16.3% 9.1% 11.4% 10.5% 6.6% 8.1% 1.0% 5.6% 2.9% 11.4%
21–27 Jan 2017 Focus[79] 1,008 27.9% 13.2% 10.2% 10.1% 10.2% 7.4% 6.4% 1.0% 5.3% 3.4% 14.7%
14–20 Jan 2017 Polis[80] 1,359 27.4% 13.2% 12.2% 10.0% 11.1% 7.4% 5.6% 1.0% 5.9% 4.4% 14.2%
2–10 Jan 2017 AKO[81] 1,000 27.7% 13.1% 8.7% 12.7% 11.5% 7.7% 6.1% 1.2% 7.1% 3.2% 14.6%
11–20 Dec 2016 Polis[82] 1,275 27.7% 15.9% 9.5% 10.6% 11.0% 7.7% 6.0% 1.0% 5.5% 4.0% 11.8%
2–9 Dec 2016 AKO[83] 1,000 26.8% 15.8% 8.0% 14.1% 10.1% 8.4% 7.0% 1.1% 5.5% 2.9% 11.0%
23–29 Nov 2016 Focus[84] 1,008 23.3% 13.6% 8.2% 13.7% 8.8% 7.9% 6.8% 1.2% 5.9% 4.4% 9.6%
3–10 Nov 2016 AKO[85] 1,000 27.5% 15.4% 8.9% 14.4% 10.0% 6.9% 6.1% 1.2% 5.6% 3.5% 12.1%
28 Oct – 7 Nov 2016 Focus[86] 1,020 26.9% 12.1% 8.0% 12.8% 8.4% 7.5% 6.7% 1.6% 6.3% 3.9% 13.1%
17–22 Oct 2016 AKO[87] 1,000 27.5% 17.7% 6.4% 15.4% 8.7% 6.2% 7.2% 0.7% 5.9% 3.7% 9.8%
15–22 Oct 2016 Polis[88] 1,409 27.1% 14.0% 8.5% 14.0% 10.1% 6.8% 8.2% 0.5% 4.6% 3.9% 13.1%
12–20 Sep 2016 AKO[89] 1,000 29.6% 17.5% 9.5% 13.1% 11.1% 4.3% 5.8% 0.8% 4.2% 2.6% 12.1%
8–14 Sep 2016 Focus[90] 1,009 27.7% 13.5% 8.2% 12.6% 8.3% 6.8% 7.7% 1.4% 6.0% 3.6% 14.2%
11–16 Aug 2016 Focus[91] 1,002 27.0% 13.7% 9.7% 14.0% 8.9% 6.9% 6.1% 1.4% 4.6% 3.6% 13.0%
22–28 Jul 2016 AKO[92] 1,000 29.9% 17.1% 7.0% 14.0% 11.6% 5.0% 6.3% 1.0% 4.1% 2.8% 12.8%
25 Jun – 1 Jul 2016 Polis[93] 1,433 26.2% 16.6% 9.0% 13.5% 10.7% 4.8% 5.4% 1.1% 5.1% 4.5% 9.6%
14–20 Jun 2016 Focus[94] 1,003 26.4% 14.1% 9.9% 14.5% 8.4% 6.9% 5.9% 1.4% 4.8% 3.5% 11.9%
4–11 May 2016 AKO[95] 1,000 29.8% 16.2% 7.1% 12.4% 11.7% 5.8% 7.1% 1.8% 4.2% 3.4% 13.6%
3–9 May 2016 Focus[96] 1,003 28.7% 13.0% 8.8% 11.2% 8.9% 5.9% 6.0% 3.5% 4.3% 4.0% 15.7%
22–29 Apr 2016 Polis[97] 1,502 30.7% 14.5% 9.5% 12.2% 9.8% 4.2% 6.0% 2.0% 3.9% 4.2% 16.2%
4–7 Apr 2016 AKO[98] 1,000 28.8% 16.2% 6.9% 13.7% 10.9% 5.4% 6.5% 1.8% 4.4% 3.8% 12.6%
11–16 Mar 2016 Focus[99] 1,023 27.5% 12.5% 10.0% 11.1% 8.8% 7.8% 5.9% 3.6% 4.1% 4.3% 15.0%
10–14 Mar 2016 Polis[100] 1,096 30.0% 15.9% 11.0% 11.9% 9.5% 4.4% 5.3% 2.3% 3.9% 4.7% 14.1%
5 Mar 2016 2016 elections 28.3% 12.1% 11.0% 8.6% 8.0% 6.6% 6.5% 5.6% 4.9% 4.1% 16.2%

Seat projections

[edit]
Date Polling firm Smer–SD SaS OĽaNO[f] SNS Kotlebovci–ĽSNS[b] Sme Rodina Most–Híd[c] KDH MKÖ–MKS[d] PS SPOLU Za ľudí Gov. Opp.
20–24 Feb 2020 Focus+AKO[101] 31 14 39 0 20 14 0 0 0 19 13 31 119
13–18 Feb 2020 Focus+AKO[102] 32 11 31 0 19 15 0 10 0 17 15 32 118
6–12 Feb 2020 Focus[103] 33 10 25 0 23 15 0 10 0 18 16 33 117
24–31 Jan 2020 MVK[104] 41 0 17 11 24 12 0 14 0 15 16 52 98
15–22 Jan 2020 Focus[105] 32 10 16 9 23 14 0 10 0 17 19 41 109
10–14 Jan 2020 Focus[106] 33 9 14 9 24 13 0 11 0 19 18 42 108
7–11 Dec 2019 Polis[107] 29 8 16 11 20 9 8 10 8 15 16 48 102
2–9 Dec 2019 Focus[108] 36 10 14 10 21 13 0 10 0 19 17 46 104
1 Dec 2019 Parties confirm their candidate lists, campaign officially begins
Date Polling firm Smer–SD SaS OĽaNO[g] SNS Kotleba–ĽSNS Sme Rodina Most–Híd SIEŤ KDH SMK–MKP PS SPOLU For the People Gov. Opp.
19–25 Nov 2019 AKO[109] 32 11 13 11 18 12 0 11 0 21 21 43 107
15–22 Oct 2019 Focus[110] 39 9 11 12 18 13 0 12 0 20 16 51 99
26–29 Aug 2019 AKO[111] 32 15 12 12 18 12 0 10 0 25 14 44 106
12–20 Aug 2019 MVK[112] 36 10 12 15 14 10 0 16 0 23 14 51 99
13–19 Aug 2019 Focus[113] 36 14 10 12 20 11 0 12 0 26 9 48 102
1–7 Aug 2019 Focus[114] 38 12 10 12 21 11 0 13 0 24 9 50 100
19–25 Jun 2019 Focus[115] 35 12 9 12 22 12 0 12 0 27 9 47 103
11–18 Jun 2019 Polis[116] 30 14 10 8 19 14 8 13 0 25 9 51 99
1–11 Jun 2019 Focus[117] 34 14 11 12 22 13 0 13 0 31 46 104
28–31 May 2019 AKO[118] 31 18 10 12 24 12 0 14 0 29 43 107
29 Apr – 6 May 2019 AKO[119] 30 20 14 12 22 13 8 10 0 21 50 100
8–14 Apr 2019 Focus[120] 33 18 16 13 18 17 0 12 0 23 46 104
1–2 Apr 2019 AKO[121] 30 20 13 12 18 16 8 11 0 22 50 100
18–25 Mar 2019 Focus[122] 39 20 14 13 20 15 0 13 0 16 52 98
21–26 Feb 2019 Focus[123] 35 18 14 12 19 16 9 11 0 16 56 94
8–12 Feb 2019 AKO[124] 35 23 16 13 15 17 10 10 0 11
16–23 Jan 2019 Focus[125] 40 22 18 14 15 19 10 12 0 0 0 64 86
1–9 Dec 2018 Focus[126] 36 22 18 15 15 15 9 11 0 9 0 60 90
27–28 Nov 2018 AKO[127] 38 26 12 15 15 16 9 11 0 8 0 62 88
13–15 Nov 2018 AKO[128] 39 26 13 15 13 17 10 9 0 8 0 64 86
7–14 Nov 2018 Focus[129] 34 20 16 13 16 13 10 12 0 8 8 57 93
Aug 2018 AKO[130] 36 27 14 19 18 17 9 10 0 0 0 64 86
2–9 Aug 2018 Focus[131] 37 22 15 17 18 18 10 13 0 0 0 64 86
18–21 Jun 2018 AKO[132] 35 26 15 17 19 16 10 12 0 0 0 62 88
4–11 Jun 2018 Focus[133] 39 22 18 18 17 14 10 12 0 0 0 67 83
16–21 May 2018 AKO[134] 36 28 15 17 18 15 10 11 0 0 0 63 87
24–30 Apr 2018 Focus[135] 37 24 16 18 17 16 10 12 0 0 0 65 85
20–24 Apr 2018 AKO[136] 36 27 14 18 17 15 11 12 0 0 0 65 85
4–7 Apr 2018 AKO[137] 34 29 15 18 17 14 9 14 0 0 0 61 89
7–13 Mar 2018 Focus[138] 35 24 18 17 17 18 9 12 0 0 0 61 89
21–26 Feb 2018 AKO[139] 40 26 17 16 13 16 10 12 0 0 0 66 84
23–28 Jan 2018 Focus[140] 43 22 19 15 14 15 10 12 0 0 — 68 82
14–18 Nov 2017 AKO[141] 40 28 20 14 13 15 9 0 11 0 63 87
7–13 Nov 2017 Focus[142] 42 24 21 14 14 14 9 0 12 0 65 85
4–11 Oct 2017 Focus[143] 44 23 14 14 17 16 10 0 12 0 68 82
18–20 Sep 2017 AKO[144] 44 26 14 14 17 15 12 0 8 0 70 80
11–18 Sep 2017 Focus[145] 43 23 16 15 17 15 10 0 11 0 68 82
21–23 Aug 2017 AKO[146] 40 29 14 14 17 15 12 0 9 0 66 84
18–23 Aug 2017 Polis[147] 44 27 15 12 23 12 8 0 9 0 64 86
18–24 Jul 2017 Polis[148] 46 26 15 16 18 10 9 0 10 0 71 79
14–19 Jul 2017 AKO[149] 41 25 14 17 16 14 12 0 11 0 70 80
13–24 Jul 2017 Focus[150] 44 24 15 17 15 14 10 0 11 0 71 79
14–19 Jun 2017 AKO[151] 41 25 16 19 15 14 11 0 9 0 71 79
13–19 Jun 2017 Polis[152] 43 25 14 14 18 11 8 0 9 9 65 85
31 May – 4 Jun 2017 Focus[153] 44 22 16 17 18 12 12 0 9 0 73 77
13–19 May 2017 Polis[154] 47 26 15 15 18 11 8 0 10 0 70 80
24–26 Apr 2017 AKO[155] 43 28 14 18 16 11 10 0 10 0 71 79
20–25 Apr 2017 Polis[156] 42 22 18 15 18 11 8 0 8 8 65 85
4–9 Apr 2017 Focus[157] 45 23 15 17 17 13 11 0 9 0 73 77
11–17 Mar 2017 Polis[158] 44 23 19 16 19 11 9 0 9 0 69 81
13–15 Mar 2017 AKO[159] 44 27 14 18 17 8 12 0 8 0 74 76
18–25 Feb 2017 Polis[160] 43 22 19 14 21 13 9 0 9 0 66 84
6–18 Feb 2017 Focus[161] 43 23 16 17 18 14 10 0 9 0 70 80
10–14 Feb 2017 AKO[162] 44 26 14 18 16 10 13 0 9 0 75 75
21–27 Jan 2017 Focus[163] 46 22 17 17 17 12 10 0 9 0 73 77
14–20 Jan 2017 Polis[164] 44 21 20 16 18 12 9 0 10 0 69 81
2–10 Jan 2017 AKO[165] 44 21 14 20 18 12 10 0 11 0 74 76
11–20 Dec 2016 Polis[166] 44 25 15 17 18 12 10 0 9 0 71 79
2–9 Dec 2016 AKO[167] 42 25 13 22 16 13 11 0 8 0 75 75
23–29 Nov 2016 Focus[168] 40 23 14 23 15 13 12 0 10 0 75 75
3–10 Nov 2016 AKO[169] 44 24 14 23 16 11 9 0 9 0 76 74
28 Oct – 7 Nov 2016 Focus[170] 46 20 13 22 14 13 11 0 11 0 79 71
17–22 Oct 2016 AKO[171] 44 28 10 24 14 10 11 0 9 0 79 71
15–22 Oct 2016 Polis[172] 46 24 14 24 17 11 14 0 0 0 84 66
12–20 Sep 2016 AKO[173] 52 30 16 23 19 0 10 0 0 0 85 65
8–14 Sep 2016 Focus[174] 46 22 13 21 14 11 13 0 10 0 80 70
11–16 Aug 2016 Focus[175] 47 24 17 24 15 12 11 0 0 0 82 68
22–28 Jul 2016 AKO[176] 50 28 12 23 19 8 10 0 0 0 83 67
25 Jun – 1 Jul 2016 Polis[177] 45 29 16 23 19 0 9 0 9 0 77 73
14–20 Jun 2016 Focus[178] 46 25 17 25 15 12 10 0 0 0 81 69
4–11 May 2016 AKO[179] 50 27 12 21 19 9 12 0 0 0 83 67
3–9 May 2016 Focus[180] 52 24 16 20 16 11 11 0 0 0 83 67
22–29 Apr 2016 Polis[181] 56 26 17 22 18 0 11 0 0 0 89 61
4–7 Apr 2016 AKO[182] 49 28 12 23 18 9 11 0 0 0 83 67
11–16 Mar 2016 Focus[183] 50 22 18 20 16 14 10 0 0 0 80 70
10–14 Mar 2016 Polis[184] 54 29 20 21 17 0 9 0 0 0 84 66
5 Mar 2016 2016 elections 49 21 19 15 14 11 11 10 0 0 81 69

Special pollings

[edit]

This section shows polls from Median, which conducts polling more on potential gains and less on seat projections. This section will also include special polling conducted only on certain age groups, half–way polls, meaning that they are not comparable to official polling because it doesn't include all groups of population.

Date Polling firm Sample
size 		Smer–SD SaS OĽaNO[g] SNS Kotleba–ĽSNS Sme Rodina Most–Híd SIEŤ KDH SMK–MKP Lead
24 Jul – 20 Aug 2017 Median[185] 1017 27.5% 15.5% 9.0% 11.5% 8.5% 6.0% 6.0% 1.0% 8.0% 4.5% 13.0%
15 May – 11 Jun 2017 Median[186] 1017 28.5% 15.5% 10.5% 11.5% 8.0% 5.0% 6.0% 1.5% 6.5% 5.0% 14.0%
17 Apr – 14 May 2017 Median[187] 1078 28.5% 14.5% 10.0% 11.5% 7.5% 6.5% 6.5% 2.0% 6.5% 4.5% 14.0%
20 Feb – 19 Mar 2017 Median[188] 1018 27.0% 16.0% 10.0% 10.0% 9.0% 6.0% 7.0% 1.5% 6.5% 4.5% 11.0%
23 Jan – 19 Feb 2017 Median[189] 1026 27.0% 15.5% 9.5% 10.0% 9.5% 6.5% 6.5% 2.0% 6.0% 4.5% 11.5%
1 Dec 16 – 22 Jan 17 Median[190] 1058 25.0% 15.0% 10.5% 11.0% 8.0% 5.5% 7.5% 2.0% 7.0% 4.0% 10.0%
31 Oct – 27 Nov 2016 Median[191] 1016 29.5% 15.0% 7.0% 11.0% 9.5% 5.0% 7.0% 2.0% 7.0% 4.0% 14.5%
Sep 2016 IVO with Focus[192] 1,803[h] 11.5% 23.4% 11.7% 10.5% 23.5% 7.6% 2.5% 0.5% 2.3% 1.6% 0.1%
19 Sep – 16 Oct 2016 Median[193] 991 30.5% 14.5% 9.0% 11.0% 9.0% 4.5% 6.5% 2.0% 6.0% 4.0% 16.0%
22 Aug – 22 Sep 2016 Median[194] 984 30.5% 15.0% 10.5% 12.5% 8.0% 3.5% 7.5% 2.0% 6.0% 3.5% 15.5%
25 Jul – 21 Aug 2016 Median[195] 1,014 29.0% 16.0% 9.5% 12.5% 10.0% 3.0% 7.0% 2.5% 6.0% 3.0% 13.0%
Mar 2016 IVO with Focus[196] 1,803[h] 13.6% 18.1% 13.4% 10.5% 18.1% 7.6% 2.5% 0.5% 2.3% 1.6% Tie

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ OĽaNO runs a common list with NOVA, Kresťanská únia, and ZMENA ZDOLA under its name.
  2. ^ a b K-ĽSNS runs a common list with KDŽP-Aliancia za Slovensko, Národná Koalícia, Doma Dobre, and Priama Demokracia under its name.
  3. ^ a b Most-Híd runs a common list with Šanca under its name.
  4. ^ a b SMK runs a common list with Maďarské Forum, and Maďarská Spolupatričnosť under name MKO-MKS.
  5. ^ OĽaNO runs a common list with NOVA under its name.
  6. ^ OĽaNO runs a common list with NOVA, Kresťanská únia, and ZMENA ZDOLA under its name.
  7. ^ a b OĽaNO runs a common list with NOVA under its name.
  8. ^ a b 18–39 year olds

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