Jump to content

Sub-national opinion polling for the 2015 United Kingdom general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Polling was conducted separately in the constituent countries of the United Kingdom. Of the 650 seats in the House of Commons, England had 533, Scotland had 59, Wales had 40 and Northern Ireland had 18.

England

[edit]
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election results 41.0% 31.6% 8.2% 14.1% 4.2% 0.9% 9.4%
6 May 2015 Survation[1] 919 40% 32% 11% 11% 5% 2% 8%
5–6 May 2015 ComRes/Daily Mail, ITV News Archived 18 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine 866 38% 36% 9% 12% 4% 1% 2%
5–6 May 2015 Lord Ashcroft[2] 2,593 35% 33% 10% 13% 7% 2% 2%
4–6 May 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 3,566 34% 32% 10% 17% 5% 2% 2%
3–6 May 2015 ICM/The Guardian Archived 13 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine[3][n 1] 1,727 37% 37% 8% 13% 4% 1% Tie
3–6 May 2015 ICM/The Guardian[3][n 2] 1,330 38% 37% 8% 12% 3% 1% 1%
4–5 May 2015 Opinium Archived 4 August 2016 at the Wayback Machine 2,493 37% 35% 8% 12% 7% 1% 2%
4–5 May 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 1,276 35% 34% 9% 17% 4% 1% 1%
3–5 May 2015 ComRes/Daily Mail, ITV News Archived 22 October 2015 at the Wayback Machine 880 38% 34% 8% 15% 4% 1% 4%
3–5 May 2015 BMG/May2015.com, New Statesman 887 37% 34% 10% 14% 4% 1% 3%
1–3 May 2015 Lord Ashcroft[2] 858 35% 32% 10% 13% 7% 4% 3%
1–2 May 2015 Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,852 34% 35% 8% 19% 4% 1% 1%
30 Apr–1 May 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 978 36% 34% 10% 17% 4% <0.5% 2%
30 Apr 2015 Question Time featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Miliband broadcast on BBC One; Ask Nicola Sturgeon, Ask Leanne Wood and Ask Nigel Farage programmes also shown
28–30 Apr 2015 ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror Archived 14 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine 868 35% 34% 8% 14% 8% 2% 1%
28–30 Apr 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 4 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine 1,658 37% 34% 7% 14% 6% <0.5% 3%
27–28 Apr 2015 ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 18 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine 872 36% 36% 8% 12% 6% 2% Tie
25–27 Apr 2015 BMG/May2015.com 877 39% 31% 11% 15% 4% <0.5% 8%
24–26 Apr 2015 Lord Ashcroft[2] 870 37% 32% 9% 12% 8% 1% 5%
24–26 Apr 2015 ICM/The Guardian Archived 1 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine[3] 863 39% 32% 7% 15% 6% <0.5% 7%
24–25 Apr 2015 Survation/Mail on Sunday 879 36% 31% 9% 20% 4% <0.5% 5%
21–24 Apr 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 1 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,668 36% 33% 9% 15% 7% 1% 3%
22–23 Apr 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 1,072 36% 29% 10% 20% 5% <0.5% 7%
21–22 Apr 2015 ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 30 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine 890 39% 34% 8% 11% 5% 3% 5%
17–19 Apr 2015 Lord Ashcroft[2] 863 36% 33% 9% 14% 5% 2% 3%
17–19 Apr 2015 ICM/The Guardian[3] 863 38% 35% 9% 12% 5% 1% 3%
16–17 Apr 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 1 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,655 38% 32% 9% 14% 6% 1% 6%
16–17 Apr 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 986 35% 34% 8% 18% 3% 1% 1%
16 Apr 2015 Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One
12–15 Apr 2015 Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 600 35% 37% 8% 11% 8% 1% 2%
10–12 Apr 2015 Lord Ashcroft[2] 870 34% 36% 9% 14% 6% 1% 2%
10–12 Apr 2015 ICM/The Guardian Archived 21 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine[3] 900 41% 35% 7% 8% 8% 1% 6%
8–9 Apr 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 4 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine 1,626 39% 35% 8% 12% 6% 1% 4%
8–9 Apr 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 838 33% 36% 9% 16% 5% 1% 3%
7–8 Apr 2015 ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 16 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine 718 36% 35% 11% 13% 4% 1% 1%
2–3 Apr 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 856 34% 33% 9% 21% 3% <0.5% 1%
2–3 Apr 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 1 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,710 35% 34% 7% 15% 7% 1% 1%
2 Apr 2015 Seven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV
30 Mar 2015 Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
28–29 Mar 2015 ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 19 September 2015 at the Wayback Machine 864 38% 32% 9% 13% 6% 2% 6%
27–29 Mar 2015 Lord Ashcroft[2] 865 40% 34% 7% 11% 7% 1% 6%
26 Mar 2015 First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
24–25 Mar 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 4 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,690 35% 34% 9% 13% 7% <0.5% 1%
24–25 Mar 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 851 34% 34% 8% 20% 4% <0.5% Tie
20–22 Mar 2015 ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail Archived 2 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine 864 38% 35% 8% 11% 7% 1% 3%
20–22 Mar 2015 Lord Ashcroft[2] 860 36% 33% 8% 14% 6% 2% 3%
20–21 Mar 2015 Survation/Mail on Sunday 861 31% 35% 10% 19% 3% 1% 4%
18–19 Mar 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 4 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,702 37% 33% 7% 14% 7% 1% 4%
13–15 Mar 2015 Lord Ashcroft[2] 863 34% 29% 8% 18% 9% 3% 5%
13–15 Mar 2015 ICM/The Guardian Archived 12 May 2015 at the Wayback Machine[3] 910 38% 37% 6% 11% 5% 3% 1%
10–12 Mar 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 2 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,654 35% 35% 7% 15% 7% <0.5% Tie
8–11 Mar 2015 Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 863 34% 37% 8% 14% 6% 1% 3%
6–8 Mar 2015 Lord Ashcroft[2] 859 36% 31% 5% 18% 9% 1% 5%
3–6 Mar 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 19 March 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,626 36% 33% 7% 15% 7% 3% 3%
27 Feb–1 Mar 2015 Lord Ashcroft[2] 860 36% 32% 8% 14% 7% 2% 4%
24–26 Feb 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 22 March 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,679 35% 36% 7% 14% 6% 1% 1%
23 Feb 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 921 30% 34% 10% 21% 3% 2% 4%
20–23 Feb 2015 ComRes/Daily Mail Archived 24 February 2015 at the Wayback Machine 865 36% 32% 7% 14% 9% 2% 4%
20–22 Feb 2015 Lord Ashcroft[2] 867 32% 38% 6% 13% 8% 2% 6%
17–20 Feb 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 21 February 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,704 36% 33% 7% 16% 7% 1% 3%
13–15 Feb 2015 Lord Ashcroft[2] 863 31% 31% 9% 18% 9% 3% Tie
13–15 Feb 2015 ICM/The Guardian[3] 860 38% 34% 7% 10% 8% 2% 4%
10–12 Feb 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 14 February 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,713 35% 35% 8% 15% 5% 1% Tie
8–10 Feb 2015 Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 844 38% 37% 7% 10% 8% 0% 1%
6–8 Feb 2015 Lord Ashcroft[2] 860 36% 31% 9% 16% 7% 1% 5%
3–6 Feb 2015 Opinium/The Observer Archived 7 February 2015 at the Wayback Machine 1,947 33% 35% 7% 15% 8% 2% 2%
30 Jan–1 Feb 2015 Lord Ashcroft[2] 857 34% 30% 8% 17% 10% 1% 4%
25 Jan 2015 Survation/Daily Mirror 890 34% 30% 7% 25% 4% <0.5% 4%
23–25 Jan 2015 ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 852 33% 29% 9% 20% 8% 1% 4%
22–25 Jan 2015 Lord Ashcroft[2] 859 33% 34% 5% 17% 9% 2% 1%
16–19 Jan 2015 ICM/The Guardian Archived 3 April 2015 at the Wayback Machine[3] 863 32% 35% 8% 14% 10% 1% 3%
16–18 Jan 2015 Lord Ashcroft[2] 871 31% 27% 9% 17% 12% 4% 4%
11–13 Jan 2015 Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 854 35% 35% 8% 12% 8% 2% Tie
9–11 Jan 2015 Lord Ashcroft[2] 858 37% 29% 7% 17% 8% 2% 8%
12–16 Dec 2014 ICM/The Guardian[3] 861 31% 33% 11% 17% 5% 3% 2%
13–15 Dec 2014 Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 840 36% 31% 9% 14% 10% 0% 5%
12–14 Dec 2014 ComRes/The Independent[permanent dead link] 897 29% 34% 12% 17% 6% 2% 5%
5–7 Dec 2014 Lord Ashcroft[2] 860 31% 31% 7% 23% 6% 2% Tie
6 May 2010 General Election Results 39.6% 28.1% 24.2% 3.5% 1.0% 3.6% 11.5%

Scotland

[edit]
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size SNP Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election results 50.0% 24.3% 14.9% 7.5% 1.6% 1.3% 0.3% 25.7%
4–6 May 2015 YouGov/The Sun, The Times 1,351 48% 28% 14% 7% 1% 1% 1% 20%
3–6 May 2015 Survation/Daily Record 1,660 46% 26% 16% 7% 2% 3% 1% 20%
1–6 May 2015 Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland 1,013 48% 26% 14% 5% 3% 2% 2% 22%
3 May 2015 The Leaders' Debate featuring Ruth Davidson, Jim Murphy, Willie Rennie and Nicola Sturgeon broadcast on BBC One Scotland and BBC News
29 Apr–1 May 2015 YouGov/Sunday Times 1,162 49% 26% 15% 7% 2% 1% 0% 23%
30 Apr 2015 Question Time featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Miliband broadcast on BBC One; Ask Nicola Sturgeon programme also shown
22–27 Apr 2015 Ipsos MORI/STV News 1,071 54% 20% 17% 5% 1% 2% 1% 34%
22–27 Apr 2015 Survation/Daily Record 1,015 51% 26% 14% 5% 2% 1% <0.5% 25%
20–23 Apr 2015 Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,044 48% 27% 16% 4% 3% 2% <0.5% 21%
16–20 Apr 2015 YouGov/The Times 1,111 49% 25% 17% 5% 3% 1% 0% 24%
1–19 Apr 2015 TNS 1,003 54% 22% 13% 6% 2% 2% 0% 32%
16 Apr 2015 Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One
12 Apr 2015 Four-way Scottish Leaders' Debate on BBC Scotland, for Sunday Politics Scotland
8–9 Apr 2015 YouGov/The Times 1,056 49% 25% 18% 4% 2% 1% 1% 24%
8 Apr 2015 Six-way Scottish Leaders' Debate on BBC Scotland
18 Mar–8 Apr 2015 TNS 978 52% 24% 13% 6% <0.5% 3% 0% 28%
7 Apr 2015 Four-way Scottish Leaders' Debate on STV
2 Apr 2015 Seven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV
30 Mar–2 Apr 2015 Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,006 45% 29% 14% 4% 4% 2% <0.5% 16%
26–31 Mar 2015 YouGov/Scottish Sun 1,864 46% 29% 16% 3% 2% 2% <0.5% 17%
30 Mar 2015 Dissolution of the UK Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
26 Mar 2015 First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
13–19 Mar 2015 ICM/The Guardian 1,002 43% 27% 14% 6% 7% 3% 1% 16%
12–17 Mar 2015 Survation/Daily Record 1,027 47% 26% 16% 4% 4% 2% 1% 21%
10–12 March 2015 YouGov/The Times 1,049 46% 27% 18% 4% 2% 3% 1% 19%
6–10 Mar 2015 Survation/Unison Scotland 1,005 47% 28% 15% 4% 3% 2% 1% 19%
30 Jan–22 Feb 2015 TNS 1,001 46% 30% 14% 3% 3% 4% 1% 16%
12–17 Feb 2015 Survation/Daily Record 1,011 45% 28% 15% 5% 3% 3% 1% 17%
29 Jan–2 Feb 2015 YouGov/The Times 1,001 48% 27% 15% 4% 4% 3% 1% 21%
14 Jan–2 Feb 2015 TNS[permanent dead link] 1,006 41% 31% 16% 4% 2% 6% 1% 10%
12–19 Jan 2015 Ipsos MORI/STV News 774 52% 24% 12% 4% 1% 4% 3% 28%
12–16 Jan 2015 Survation/Daily Record 1,006 46% 26% 14% 7% 4% 3% 1% 20%
9–14 Jan 2015 Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,007 41% 31% 14% 3% 7% 3% 10%
16–18 Dec 2014 ICM/The Guardian 1,004 43% 26% 13% 6% 7% 4% 1% 17%
15–18 Dec 2014 Survation/Daily Record 1,001 48% 24% 16% 5% 4% 1% 1% 24%
13 Dec 2014 Jim Murphy becomes Leader of the Scottish Labour Party
9–11 Dec 2014 YouGov/The Sun 1,081 47% 27% 16% 3% 3% 3% 1% 20%
27 Nov Release of Smith Commission Report
20 Nov Nicola Sturgeon becomes First Minister of Scotland
6–13 Nov 2014 Survation/Daily Record 1,001 46% 24% 17% 6% 5% 2% 1% 22%
30 Oct–4 Nov 2014 Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland 1,000 45% 28% 15% 3% 7% 1% 1% 17%
27–30 Oct 2014 YouGov/The Times 1,078 43% 27% 15% 4% 6% 4% 1% 16%
22–29 Oct 2014 Ipsos Mori/STV 769 52% 23% 10% 6% 2% 6% 1% 29%
24 Oct 2014 Johann Lamont resigns as Leader of the Scottish Labour Party
29 Sep–1 Oct 2014 Panelbase/SNP 1,049 34% 32% 18% 5% 6% 5% 2%
19 Sep 2014 Scottish independence referendum
4–8 Jul 2014 Survation/Daily Record 786 38% 33% 17% 5% 5% 2% <1% 5%
25–26 Jun 2014 YouGov Unknown 31% 39% 16% 5% 10% 8%
6–10 Jun 2014 Survation/Daily Record 773 40% 32% 15% 5% 6% 1% 1% 8%
22 May 2014 European Parliament election
11–15 Apr 2014 Survation/Sunday Post 808 36% 36% 16% 6% 3% 1% 1% Tie
4–7 Apr 2014 Survation/Daily Record 803 40% 34% 15% 6% 3% 1% 1% 6%
6–7 Mar 2014 Survation/Daily Record 850 38% 36% 15% 5% 3% 1% 1% 2%
17–18 Feb 2014 Survation/Daily Mail 805 38% 33% 17% 6% 4% 2% 1% 5%
29–31 Jan 2014 Survation/Daily Mail 776 30% 39% 16% 6% 4% 2% 1% 9%
4–8 Oct 2013 Lord Ashcroft 737 31% 40% 18% 6% 2% 2% 1% 9%
22 Feb–9 May 2013 Lord Ashcroft 6,659 23% 45% 16% 8% 5% 2% <1% 22%
17–28 Oct 2012 Lord Ashcroft 703 39% 33% 17% 6% 7% 6%
17–20 Jul 2012 YouGov/Fabian Society 1,029 29% 43% 16% 8% 3% 3% 1% 14%
18–21 May 2012 YouGov Unknown 35% 40% 14% 5% 6% 5%
3 May 2012 2012 Scottish local elections
22–24 Feb 2012 YouGov 1,053 30% 42% 17% 7% 4% 12%
5 May 2011 2011 Scottish Parliament election
26–29 Apr 2011 YouGov/Scotsman 1,108 28% 42% 17% 7% 1% 2% 2% 14%
19–21 Apr 2011 YouGov Unknown 30% 43% 15% 7% 5% 13%
13–15 Apr 2011 YouGov Unknown 28% 43% 16% 9% 5% 15%
25–28 Mar 2011 YouGov Unknown 26% 46% 17% 6% 5% 20%
18–20 Oct 2010 YouGov Unknown 26% 44% 18% 7% 5% 18%
31 Aug–3 Sep 2010 YouGov Unknown 29% 39% 16% 11% 5% 10%
6 May 2010 General election results 19.9% 42.0% 16.7% 18.9% 0.7% 0.7% 1.7% 22.1%

Wales

[edit]
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Date(s)

conducted

Polling organisation/client Sample size Plaid Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
7 May 2015 General Election results 12.1% 36.9% 27.2% 6.5% 13.6% 2.6% 1.0% 9.7%
4–6 May 2015 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,202 13% 39% 25% 8% 12% 2% 2% 14%
30 Apr 2015 Question Time featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Miliband broadcast on BBC One; Ask Nicola Sturgeon, Ask Leanne Wood and Ask Nigel Farage programmes also shown
28–30 April 2015 YouGov/Plaid Cymru 1,146 13% 39% 26% 6% 12% 3% 2% 13%
22 Apr 2015 Six-way Wales Election Debate held on ITV
16 Apr 2015 Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One
13–15 April 2015 YouGov/ITV Wales, Cardiff University 1,143 12% 40% 26% 6% 13% 4% <0.5% 14%
2 Apr 2015 Seven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV
26–31 Mar 2015 YouGov/The Sun 1,035 9% 40% 27% 6% 13% 5% 1% 13%
30 Mar 2015 Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
24–27 Mar 2015 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,189 11% 40% 25% 5% 14% 5% 1% 15%
26 Mar 2015 First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
5–9 Mar 2015 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,279 10% 39% 25% 5% 14% 6% 1% 14%
19–21 Jan 2015 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,036 10% 37% 23% 6% 16% 8% 1% 14%
8–13 Jan 2015 ICM/BBC Wales 1,004 12% 38% 21% 7% 13% 6% 2% 17%
2–3 Dec 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,131 11% 36% 23% 5% 18% 5% 2% 13%
19–22 Sep 2014 ICM/BBC Wales 1,006 13% 39% 23% 5% 16% 2% 1% 16%
8–11 Sep 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,025 11% 38% 23% 6% 17% 5% 1% 15%
26 Jun–1 Jul 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,035 11% 41% 25% 5% 14% 3% 2% 16%
22 May 2014 European Parliament Elections, 2014
12–14 May 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,092 11% 43% 22% 7% 13% 3% 2% 21%
11–22 Apr 2014 YouGov/Cardiff University 1,027 11% 45% 24% 7% 10% 1% 2% 21%
21-24 Feb 2014 ICM/BBC Wales 1,000 15% 45% 24% 6% 8% 2% 1% 21%
10–12 Feb 2014 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,250 11% 47% 22% 7% 9% 2% 2% 25%
2–4 Dec 2013 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,001 12% 46% 21% 8% 10% 2% 2% 25%
18–22 Jul 2013 YouGov 1,012 9% 48% 23% 8% 8% 2% 2% 25%
18–20 Feb 2013 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,007 10% 51% 22% 9% 7% 1% 1% 29%
2–4 Jul 2012 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,000 10% 54% 23% 4% 9% 31%
3 May 2012 Welsh Local Elections, 2012
12–16 Apr 2012 YouGov 1,039 12% 50% 23% 7% 9% 27%
30 Jan–1 Feb 2012 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,008 11% 50% 25% 6% 5% 3% 2% 25%
5 May 2011 Welsh Assembly Election, 2011
2–4 May 2011 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,010 10% 50% 24% 8% 4% 2% 2% 25%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 11.3% 36.2% 26.1% 20.1% 2.4% 0.4% 3.4% 10%

Northern Ireland

[edit]
Date(s)

conducted

Polling organisation/client Sample size DUP SF SDLP UUP Alliance Others
7 May 2015 General Election Results (NI only) 25.7% 24.5% 13.9% 16.0% 8.6% 10.3%
11–24 Sep 2014 LucidTalk/Belfast Telegraph 1,089 26% 24% 15% 12% 6% 17%
7 Mar 2013 2013 Mid Ulster by-election.
30 Sep 2013–28 Dec 2013 Northern Ireland Life & Times[4] 1,280 22% 20% 23% 16% 14% 5%
1 Oct 2012–10 Jan 2013 Northern Ireland Life & Times[5] 1,204 27% 19% 21% 16% 13% 3%
9 Jun 2011 2011 Belfast West by-election.
01 Oct 2010–18 Dec 2010 Northern Ireland Life & Times[5] 1,205 24% 15% 23% 21% 13% 4%
6 May 2010 General Election Results (NI only) 25% 26% 16% 15% 6% 12%

London

[edit]
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem Green Others Lead
29 April–1 May 2015 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,313 33% 46% 8% 9% 3% 1% 13%
30 Apr 2015 Question Time featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Miliband broadcast on BBC One; Ask Nicola Sturgeon, Ask Leanne Wood and Ask Nigel Farage programmes also shown
20–22 April 2015 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,032 32% 44% 10% 8% 5% 1% 12%
16 Apr 2015 Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One
2 Apr 2015 Seven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV
30 Mar 2015 Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
26–30 Mar 2015 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,064 34% 45% 8% 8% 4% 1% 11%
20–26 Mar 2015 ICM/The Guardian 1,003 32% 42% 9% 7% 8% 1% 10%
26 Mar 2015 First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
20–24 Mar 2015 ComRes/ITV News 1,004 32% 46% 9% 8% 4% 1% 14%
27 Feb–2 Mar 2015 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,011 32% 44% 10% 7% 5% <0.5% 12%
19–23 Feb 2015 YouGov/The Times 1,096 34% 42% 9% 8% 6% <0.5% 8%
19–21 Jan 2015 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,034 32% 42% 10% 7% 8% <0.5% 10%
15–18 Dec 2014 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,385 33% 41% 9% 9% 6% <0.5% 8%
8–13 Aug 2014 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,200 34% 41% 9% 10% 3% <0.5% 7%
21–24 Jul 2014 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,350 35% 45% 8% 8% 4% <0.5% 10%
17–19 Jun 2014 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,115 35% 42% 10% 8% 4% <0.5% 7%
6–8 May 2014 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,422 31% 44% 10% 11% 2% <0.5% 13%
29 Apr 2014 Survation 774 26% 42% 15% 12% 2% <0.5% 16%
7–9 Apr 2014 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,209 34% 42% 11% 9% 3% <0.5% 8%
8–10 Oct 2013 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,231 32% 45% 9% 10% 2% 2% 13%
20–25 Jun 2013 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,269 29% 48% 10% 9% 2% 3% 19%
24–30 Apr 2012 Opinium 736 33% 43% 6% 10% 7% 2% 10%
27–29 Apr 2012 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,231 31% 47% 8% 9% 3% 2% 16%
20–22 Apr 2012 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,138 31% 50% 6% 8% 3% 2% 19%
13–15 Apr 2012 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,060 33% 50% 6% 7% 2% 2% 17%
12–15 March 2012 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,226 34% 46% 5% 9% 3% 2% 12%
7–10 Feb 2012 YouGov/Evening Standard 1,106 35% 47% 5% 9% 2% 2% 12%
10–16 Jan 2012 YouGov 1,349 34% 44% 5% 8% 3% 2% 10%
7–9 Jun 2011 YouGov 1,215 32% 51% 3% 8% 3% 2% 19%
5–8 Oct 2010 YouGov 1,271 38% 42% 2% 13% 3% 2% 4%
6 May 2010 General Election Results 34.5% 36.6% 1.7% 22.1% 1.6% 3.5% 2.1%

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ Final General Election 2015 prediction poll published 7 May 2015 with an additional 463 respondents added to the data published the previous day
  2. ^ Preliminary prediction poll published 6 May 2015

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Lyons Lowe, Damian (8 May 2015). "Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory". Survation. Retrieved 8 May 2015.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r Lord Ashcroft adjusts for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the party they tend to support. The England figures are based on a table that does not adjust for don't knows/refusers.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i ICM adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major party they tend to support. Percentages for England are based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
  4. ^ The question asked was "Which of these political parties do you feel closest to?", not a voting intention question.
  5. ^ a b "NI Life and Times Survey - 2012 : POLPART2". Retrieved 3 January 2015.