Talk:Opinion polling for the 2019 United Kingdom general election

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Notes[edit]

Graphnile[edit]

This has been added to the seat predictions - can't find any third-party sources or raw data. Delete? Crookesmoor (talk) 16:06, 11 December 2019 (UTC)[reply]

I agree and have removed it. It claims to be based on 'Sentiment analysis of tweets and news stories' which isn't an established methodology as I understand it. Perokema (talk) 17:47, 11 December 2019 (UTC)[reply]

It seems they have used Modified MRP methodology to incorporate changes in sentiment trend. Hence, this should be fine. — Preceding unsigned comment added by 14.139.237.34 (talk) 19:43, 17 December 2019 (UTC)[reply]

Final Electoral Calculus seat prediction[edit]

As an interested party, I raise this issue for your consideration, rather than rushing to edit myself. Would it be fair to include the final Electoral Calculus seat prediction in the "Seat Predictions" section. It was published in the morning at 07:50 on 12-Dec well ahead of any exit polling, and was our final prediction for the election based on the set of campaign polls which was published that morning. Here is a timed Twitter tweet to verify the numbers: [[1]]. Do people think this should be included? Thanks Martin Baxter (Electoral Calculus). Mwbaxter (talk) 09:30, 16 December 2019 (UTC)[reply]