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2018 United States Senate election in Washington

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2018 United States Senate election in Washington

← 2012 November 6, 2018 2024 →
 
Nominee Maria Cantwell Susan Hutchison
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,803,364 1,282,804
Percentage 58.31% 41.48%

Cantwell:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Hutchison:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%      No votes

U.S. senator before election

Maria Cantwell
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Maria Cantwell
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in Washington took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Washington. Incumbent Democrat Maria Cantwell won election to a fourth term over television news journalist Susan Hutchison, a Republican.

Nonpartisan blanket primary

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Candidates

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The primary election featured 30 candidates.[1]

Democratic Party

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Declared
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Republican Party

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Declared
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Withdrawn
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  • Ron Higgins (withdrew May 19, 2018[9])
Endorsements
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Susan Hutchison

Independents

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Declared
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  • Jennifer "GiGi" Ferguson[18][19]
  • Thor Amundson
  • Dave Strider[20]
  • Charlie R Jackson
  • Jon Butler
Write-in
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  • Clay Johnson, activist[19]

Minor parties

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In Washington, primary candidates may declare a preference for any party, and their party preference does not imply that the candidate is nominated or endorsed by the party. Candidates may also declare a preference for new or single-candidate parties.

Declared
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Notes

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  1. ^ According to Chase, FDFR stands for Fuck Democrats Fuck Republicans[1]

Results

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Results by county:
  Cantwell—60–70%
  Cantwell—50–60%
  Cantwell—40–50%
  Cantwell—30–40%
  Hutchinson—30–40%
  Hutchinson—40–50%
Blanket primary election results[25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Maria Cantwell (incumbent) 929,961 54.68%
Republican Susan Hutchison 413,317 24.30%
Republican Keith Swank 39,818 2.34%
Republican Joey Gibson 38,676 2.27%
Democratic Clint Tannehill 35,770 2.10%
Republican Dave Bryant 33,962 2.00%
Republican Art Coday 30,654 1.80%
Independent Jennifer Gigi Ferguson 25,224 1.48%
Republican Tim Owen 23,167 1.36%
Republican Matt Hawkins 13,324 0.78%
Democratic Don L. Rivers 12,634 0.74%
Libertarian Mike Luke 12,302 0.72%
Republican Glen R. Stockwell 11,611 0.68%
Independent Thor Amundson 9,393 0.55%
Democratic Mohammad Said 8,649 0.51%
Republican Matthew D. Heines 7,737 0.45%
Freedom Socialist Steve Hoffman 7,390 0.43%
Republican GoodSpaceGuy 7,057 0.41%
Republican John Orlinski 6,905 0.41%
Independent Dave Strider 6,821 0.40%
Republican Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente 5,724 0.34%
Green James Robert "Jimmie" Deal 3,849 0.23%
The Human Rights Party Sam Wright 3,761 0.22%
FDFR Party Brad Chase 2,655 0.16%
Democratic George H. Kalberer 2,448 0.14%
Independent Charlie R. Jackson 2,411 0.14%
Republican R. C. Smith 2,238 0.13%
Independent Jon Butler 2,016 0.12%
StandUpAmerica Alex Tsimerman 1,366 0.08%
Total votes 1,700,840 100.00%

General election

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Debates

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2022 United States Senate election in Washington debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Maria Cantwell Susan Hutchison
1 Oct. 8, 2018 KOMO-TV
Pacific Lutheran University
Mary Nam
Essex Porter
[26] P P
2 Oct. 20, 2018 Community Colleges of Spokane
Gonzaga University
Eastern Washington University
University of Washington
Washington State University Spokane
Whitworth University
Hayley Guenthner
Jane McCarthy
[27] P P

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Safe D October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[29] Safe D November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Safe D November 5, 2018
Fox News[31] Likely D July 9, 2018
CNN[32] Safe D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[33] Safe D November 5, 2018

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Maria
Cantwell (D)
Susan
Hutchison (R)
Undecided
Elway/Crosscut[34] October 4–9, 2018 405 (RV) ± 5.0% 53% 39% 9%
Public Policy Polling (D)[35][A] May 22–23, 2018 675 (LV) ± 3.8% 52% 36% 12%
Hypothetical polling

Maria Cantwell vs. Rob McKenna

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Maria
Cantwell (D)
Rob
McKenna (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[36][A] June 27–28, 2017 887 (LV) ± 3.3% 53% 40% 6%

Results

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United States Senate election in Washington, 2018[37]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Maria Cantwell (incumbent) 1,803,364 58.31% −2.05%
Republican Susan Hutchison 1,282,804 41.48% +1.99%
Write-in 6,461 0.21% +0.06%
Total votes 3,092,629 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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By congressional district

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Cantwell won 7 of 10 congressional districts.[38]

District Cantwell Hutchison Representative
1st 57% 43% Suzan DelBene
2nd 61% 39% Rick Larsen
3rd 49% 51% Jaime Herrera Beutler
4th 38% 62% Dan Newhouse
5th 47% 53% Cathy McMorris Rodgers
6th 57% 43% Derek Kilmer
7th 84% 16% Pramila Jayapal
8th 51% 49% Kim Schrier
9th 73% 27% Adam Smith
10th 56% 44% Denny Heck

Notes

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  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute

References

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  1. ^ a b c Camden, Jim (May 19, 2018). "U.S. Senate primary: Cantwell and 29 challengers". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved July 23, 2018.
  2. ^ CANTWELL, MARIA
  3. ^ RIVERS, DON L MR
  4. ^ TANNEHILL, CLINT RONALD
  5. ^ Kavanaugh, Shane Dixon (February 25, 2018). "Patriot Prayer leader Joey Gibson plans U.S. Senate run in Washington". Oregon Live. Retrieved February 26, 2018.
  6. ^ "Who has filed - King County". King County. May 16, 2018. Retrieved May 16, 2018.
  7. ^ O'Sullivan, Joseph; Brunner, Jim (May 18, 2018). "Former State Republican Party chair Susan Hutchison challenging Sen. Maria Cantwell". The Seattle Times. Retrieved May 21, 2018.
  8. ^ "Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente".
  9. ^ "2018 Candidates Who Have Filed". Retrieved June 29, 2018.
  10. ^ Susan Hutchison. "WA Secretary of State @KimWyman12 endorses @Susan4Senate. Grateful that our state's favorite elected official knows who's best for US Senate! #susan4senate". Twitter.
  11. ^ Susan Hutchison. "I'm honored to be endorsed by @JaimeforUSRep, a fierce advocate for Southwest Washington! Let's have a strong showing from Republican voters all across the state today!". Twitter.
  12. ^ Susan Hutchison. "Yet another important early endorsement for our campaign: Congresswoman Cathy McMorris Rodgers. Republicans all across Washington are rallying behind our campaign for US Senate; be sure to return your ballot by August 7th! #Susan4Senate". Facebook.
  13. ^ Susan Hutchison. "Thank you to Congressman Dan Newhouse for his endorsement of our campaign! Proud to call him a friend and appreciate all he does for #WA04. Remember to return your ballots by Aug 7 and vote #Susan4Senate!". Twitter.
  14. ^ Susan Hutchison. "Proudly Endorsed by Former U.S. Senator Slade Gorton". Twitter.
  15. ^ Susan Hutchison. "Honored to have the endorsement of my friend and next WA House Speaker, @jtwilcox111". Twitter.
  16. ^ Susan Hutchison. "The 45,000-strong Hunters Heritage Council has endorsed @susan4senate! #susan4senate #hunting #waelex". Twitter.
  17. ^ Susan Hutchison. "I am proud to be endorsed by the Washington Farm Bureau, and will always fight to protect our private property and water rights from burdensome federal regulations. #Susan4Senate". Twitter.
  18. ^ Details for Candidate ID : S8WA00202
  19. ^ a b Coleman, Miles (July 5, 2017). "2018 Senate Race Ratings - July 2017". Decision Desk HQ. Archived from the original on June 29, 2018. Retrieved September 2, 2017.
  20. ^ STRIDER, DAVID LEE
  21. ^ "Mike Luke (L) for Senate". Archived from the original on January 2, 2018. Retrieved January 13, 2018.
  22. ^ TSIMERMAN, ALEX
  23. ^ McNamara, Neal (February 26, 2018). "Patriot Prayer Founder Joey Gibson Will Run Against Cantwell". Seattle Patch. Retrieved February 26, 2018.
  24. ^ "Campaign Kickoff Party: Steve Hoffman for U.S. Senate". Freedom Socialist Party. February 23, 2018. Retrieved February 26, 2018.
  25. ^ "United States Senate primary election in Washington, 2018". Office of the Washington Secretary of State. Retrieved June 6, 2019.
  26. ^ C-SPAN
  27. ^ C-SPAN
  28. ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  29. ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  30. ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  31. ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  32. ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  33. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  34. ^ Elway/Crosscut
  35. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  36. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  37. ^ "November 6, 2018 General Election Results - U.S. Senator".
  38. ^ Results. sos.wa.gov (Report). Archived from the original on June 28, 2023.
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Official campaign websites