2018 United States Senate election in Washington
Appearance
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Cantwell: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hutchison: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Washington |
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The 2018 United States Senate election in Washington took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Washington. Incumbent Democrat Maria Cantwell won election to a fourth term over television news journalist Susan Hutchison, a Republican.
Nonpartisan blanket primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]The primary election featured 30 candidates.[1]
Democratic Party
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Maria Cantwell, incumbent senator[2]
- Don L. Rivers[3]
- Clint Tannehill[4]
- George H. Kalberer
- Mohammad Said
Republican Party
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Joey Gibson, activist and founder of Patriot Prayer[5]
- Goodspaceguy, perennial candidate[6]
- Susan Hutchison, former chair of the Washington State Republican Party[7]
- Rocky De La Fuente, businessman and former presidential candidate[8]
- Tim Owen
- Matthew D. Heines
- Art Coday
- John Orlinski
- Keith Swank
- RC Smith
- Dave Bryant
- Matt Hawkins
- Glen Stockwell
Withdrawn
[edit]- Ron Higgins (withdrew May 19, 2018[9])
Endorsements
[edit]Susan Hutchison
- Kim Wyman, Secretary of State[10]
- Jaime Herrera Beutler, U.S. Representative[11]
- Cathy McMorris Rodgers, U.S. Representative[12]
- Dan Newhouse, U.S. Representative[13]
- Slade Gorton, former U.S. Senator[14]
- J. T. Wilcox, Washington State House of Representatives Minority Leader[15]
- Hunters Heritage Council[16]
- Washington Farm Bureau[17]
Independents
[edit]Declared
[edit]Write-in
[edit]- Clay Johnson, activist[19]
Minor parties
[edit]In Washington, primary candidates may declare a preference for any party, and their party preference does not imply that the candidate is nominated or endorsed by the party. Candidates may also declare a preference for new or single-candidate parties.
Declared
[edit]- Mike Luke (Libertarian Party)[21]
- Brad Chase (FDFR Party),[a] communications strategist[1]
- Sam Wright (The Human Rights Party)
- Alex Tsimerman (StandupAmerica)[22]
- Steve Hoffman (Freedom Socialist Party), union organizer[23][24]
- James Robert "Jimmie" Deal (Green Party)
Notes
[edit]Results
[edit]![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/0/05/2018WASENprimary.svg/260px-2018WASENprimary.svg.png)
Cantwell—60–70%
Cantwell—50–60%
Cantwell—40–50%
Cantwell—30–40%
Hutchinson—30–40%
Hutchinson—40–50%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Maria Cantwell (incumbent) | 929,961 | 54.68% | |
Republican | Susan Hutchison | 413,317 | 24.30% | |
Republican | Keith Swank | 39,818 | 2.34% | |
Republican | Joey Gibson | 38,676 | 2.27% | |
Democratic | Clint Tannehill | 35,770 | 2.10% | |
Republican | Dave Bryant | 33,962 | 2.00% | |
Republican | Art Coday | 30,654 | 1.80% | |
Independent | Jennifer Gigi Ferguson | 25,224 | 1.48% | |
Republican | Tim Owen | 23,167 | 1.36% | |
Republican | Matt Hawkins | 13,324 | 0.78% | |
Democratic | Don L. Rivers | 12,634 | 0.74% | |
Libertarian | Mike Luke | 12,302 | 0.72% | |
Republican | Glen R. Stockwell | 11,611 | 0.68% | |
Independent | Thor Amundson | 9,393 | 0.55% | |
Democratic | Mohammad Said | 8,649 | 0.51% | |
Republican | Matthew D. Heines | 7,737 | 0.45% | |
Freedom Socialist | Steve Hoffman | 7,390 | 0.43% | |
Republican | GoodSpaceGuy | 7,057 | 0.41% | |
Republican | John Orlinski | 6,905 | 0.41% | |
Independent | Dave Strider | 6,821 | 0.40% | |
Republican | Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente | 5,724 | 0.34% | |
Green | James Robert "Jimmie" Deal | 3,849 | 0.23% | |
The Human Rights Party | Sam Wright | 3,761 | 0.22% | |
FDFR Party | Brad Chase | 2,655 | 0.16% | |
Democratic | George H. Kalberer | 2,448 | 0.14% | |
Independent | Charlie R. Jackson | 2,411 | 0.14% | |
Republican | R. C. Smith | 2,238 | 0.13% | |
Independent | Jon Butler | 2,016 | 0.12% | |
StandUpAmerica | Alex Tsimerman | 1,366 | 0.08% | |
Total votes | 1,700,840 | 100.00% |
General election
[edit]Debates
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Maria Cantwell | Susan Hutchison | |||||
1 | Oct. 8, 2018 | KOMO-TV Pacific Lutheran University |
Mary Nam Essex Porter |
[26] | P | P |
2 | Oct. 20, 2018 | Community Colleges of Spokane Gonzaga University Eastern Washington University University of Washington Washington State University Spokane Whitworth University |
Hayley Guenthner Jane McCarthy |
[27] | P | P |
Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[28] | Safe D | October 26, 2018 |
Inside Elections[29] | Safe D | November 1, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Fox News[31] | Likely D | July 9, 2018 |
CNN[32] | Safe D | July 12, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[33] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Polling
[edit]![]() | Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Maria Cantwell (D) |
Susan Hutchison (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elway/Crosscut[34] | October 4–9, 2018 | 405 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 53% | 39% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[35][A] | May 22–23, 2018 | 675 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 36% | 12% |
Hypothetical polling
Maria Cantwell vs. Rob McKenna
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Maria Cantwell (D) |
Rob McKenna (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[36][A] | June 27–28, 2017 | 887 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 53% | 40% | 6% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Maria Cantwell (incumbent) | 1,803,364 | 58.31% | −2.05% | |
Republican | Susan Hutchison | 1,282,804 | 41.48% | +1.99% | |
Write-in | 6,461 | 0.21% | +0.06% | ||
Total votes | 3,092,629 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]- Cowlitz (largest city: Longview)
- Grays Harbor (largest city: Aberdeen)
- Klickitat (Largest city: Goldendale)
- Mason (largest city: Shelton)
- Skamania (Largest city: Carson)
- Yakima (Largest city: Yakima)
- Wahkiakum (Largest city: Puget Island)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]By congressional district
[edit]Cantwell won 7 of 10 congressional districts.[38]
District | Cantwell | Hutchison | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 57% | 43% | Suzan DelBene |
2nd | 61% | 39% | Rick Larsen |
3rd | 49% | 51% | Jaime Herrera Beutler |
4th | 38% | 62% | Dan Newhouse |
5th | 47% | 53% | Cathy McMorris Rodgers |
6th | 57% | 43% | Derek Kilmer |
7th | 84% | 16% | Pramila Jayapal |
8th | 51% | 49% | Kim Schrier |
9th | 73% | 27% | Adam Smith |
10th | 56% | 44% | Denny Heck |
Notes
[edit]Partisan clients
References
[edit]- ^ a b c Camden, Jim (May 19, 2018). "U.S. Senate primary: Cantwell and 29 challengers". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved July 23, 2018.
- ^ CANTWELL, MARIA
- ^ RIVERS, DON L MR
- ^ TANNEHILL, CLINT RONALD
- ^ Kavanaugh, Shane Dixon (February 25, 2018). "Patriot Prayer leader Joey Gibson plans U.S. Senate run in Washington". Oregon Live. Retrieved February 26, 2018.
- ^ "Who has filed - King County". King County. May 16, 2018. Retrieved May 16, 2018.
- ^ O'Sullivan, Joseph; Brunner, Jim (May 18, 2018). "Former State Republican Party chair Susan Hutchison challenging Sen. Maria Cantwell". The Seattle Times. Retrieved May 21, 2018.
- ^ "Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente".
- ^ "2018 Candidates Who Have Filed". Retrieved June 29, 2018.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "WA Secretary of State @KimWyman12 endorses @Susan4Senate. Grateful that our state's favorite elected official knows who's best for US Senate! #susan4senate". Twitter.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "I'm honored to be endorsed by @JaimeforUSRep, a fierce advocate for Southwest Washington! Let's have a strong showing from Republican voters all across the state today!". Twitter.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "Yet another important early endorsement for our campaign: Congresswoman Cathy McMorris Rodgers. Republicans all across Washington are rallying behind our campaign for US Senate; be sure to return your ballot by August 7th! #Susan4Senate". Facebook.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "Thank you to Congressman Dan Newhouse for his endorsement of our campaign! Proud to call him a friend and appreciate all he does for #WA04. Remember to return your ballots by Aug 7 and vote #Susan4Senate!". Twitter.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "Proudly Endorsed by Former U.S. Senator Slade Gorton". Twitter.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "Honored to have the endorsement of my friend and next WA House Speaker, @jtwilcox111". Twitter.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "The 45,000-strong Hunters Heritage Council has endorsed @susan4senate! #susan4senate #hunting #waelex". Twitter.
- ^ Susan Hutchison. "I am proud to be endorsed by the Washington Farm Bureau, and will always fight to protect our private property and water rights from burdensome federal regulations. #Susan4Senate". Twitter.
- ^ Details for Candidate ID : S8WA00202
- ^ a b Coleman, Miles (July 5, 2017). "2018 Senate Race Ratings - July 2017". Decision Desk HQ. Archived from the original on June 29, 2018. Retrieved September 2, 2017.
- ^ STRIDER, DAVID LEE
- ^ "Mike Luke (L) for Senate". Archived from the original on January 2, 2018. Retrieved January 13, 2018.
- ^ TSIMERMAN, ALEX
- ^ McNamara, Neal (February 26, 2018). "Patriot Prayer Founder Joey Gibson Will Run Against Cantwell". Seattle Patch. Retrieved February 26, 2018.
- ^ "Campaign Kickoff Party: Steve Hoffman for U.S. Senate". Freedom Socialist Party. February 23, 2018. Retrieved February 26, 2018.
- ^ "United States Senate primary election in Washington, 2018". Office of the Washington Secretary of State. Retrieved June 6, 2019.
- ^ C-SPAN
- ^ C-SPAN
- ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
- ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- ^ Elway/Crosscut
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ "November 6, 2018 General Election Results - U.S. Senator".
- ^ Results. sos.wa.gov (Report). Archived from the original on June 28, 2023.
External links
[edit]- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites