User:AlSmith28/2019 United States elections

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2019 United States elections[edit]

2019 United States gubernatorial elections

← 2018 November 5, 2019 2020 →

3 governorships
  Majority party Minority party
 
Leader Pete Ricketts Gina Raimondo
Party Republican Democratic
Leader's seat Nebraska Rhode Island
Seats before 27 23
Seats after 26 24
Seat change Decrease 1 Increase 1
Popular vote 1,898,418 1,898,756
Percentage 49.9% 50.0%

Results by state[edit]

Democratic

Republican

State PVI Ranking Last race Winner Votes % Votes % Total
Kentucky R+15 Lean R 52.5% R 49.2% D 709,890 49.2% 704,754 48.8% 1,443,123
Louisiana R+11 Lean D 56.1% D 51.3% D 774,498 51.3% 734,286 48.6% 1,508,784
Mississippi R+9 Lean R 66.3% R 51.9% R 414,368 46.8% 459,396 51.9% 884,911

Race summary[edit]

State control results
  Before 2019 elections After 2019 elections
State Governor State leg. Governor State leg.
Kentucky Rep Rep Dem Rep
Louisiana Dem Rep Dem Rep
Mississippi Rep Rep Rep Rep
New Jersey Dem Dem Dem Dem
Virginia Dem Rep Dem Dem

Gubernatorial results[edit]

2019 United States gubernatorial elections (Electoral results)

  Democratic (50.1%)
  Republican (49.9%)
2019 United States gubernatorial elections
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Gina Raimondo 1,898,756 50.0 +3.6
Republican Pete Ricketts 1,898,418 49.9 -3.0
Total votes 3,797,117 100.0 N/A
Majority 338 0.1 N/A
Popular vote
Democratic
50.0%
Republican
49.9%

Kentucky[edit]

popular vote
2015 Kentucky gubernatorial election
County results
  •      50–60%
  •      60–70%
  •      70–80%
  •      40–50%
  •      50–60%
  •      60–70%
2019 Kentucky gubernatorial election
County results
  •      50–60%
  •      60–70%
  •      70–80%
  •      40–50%
  •      50–60%
  •      60–70%

Primary election[edit]

Results[edit]

primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Bevin (incumbent) 136,060 52.4%
Republican Robert Goforth 101,343 39.0%
Republican William Woods 14,004 5.4%
Republican Ike Lawrence 8,447 3.3%
Total votes 259,854 100.0
Democratic Andy Beshear 149,438 37.9%
Democratic Rocky Adkins 125,970 31.9%
Democratic Adam Edelen 110,159 27.9%
Democratic Geoff Young 8,923 2.3%
Total votes 394,490 100.0

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
Sabato's Crystal Ball[1] Lean R November 8, 2019

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Matt Bevin (R) Andy Beshear (D) John Hicks (L) Undecided
NBC News/Marist October 30 – November 3, 2019 564 ± 5.2% 47% 47% 2% 4%
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 29 – November 2, 2019 1,117 ± 3.0% 52% 47% 1%
Targoz Market Research (D) October 13–20, 2019 401 ± 4.2% 36% 55% 4% 6%
Mason-Dixon October 10–13, 2019 625 ± 4.0% 46% 46% 1% 7%

Results[edit]

[2][3]
2019 Kentucky gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Andy Beshear 709,890 49.2 +5.3%
Republican Matt Bevin (incumbent) 704,754 48.8 -3.6%
Total votes 1,443,123 100.0 N/A
Majority 5,333 0.4 N/A
Democratic gain from Republican
Popular vote
Democratic
49.2%
Republican
48.8%
Other
2.0%

By congressional district[edit]

District Beshear Bevin Representative
1st 41% 56% James Comer
2nd 39% 59% Brett Guthrie
3rd 67% 31% John Yarmuth
4th 45% 52% Thomas Massie
5th 40% 57% Hal Rogers
6th 55% 42% Andy Barr

Louisiana[edit]

popular vote
2015 Louisiana gubernatorial election
County results
  •      50–60%
  •      60–70%
  •      70–80%
  •      40–50%
  •      50–60%
  •      60–70%
popular vote
2019 Louisiana gubernatorial election
County results
  •      50–60%
  •      60–70%
  •      70–80%
  •      40–50%
  •      50–60%
  •      60–70%

Jungle primary[edit]

Results[edit]

2019 Louisiana gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Bel Edwards (incumbent) 625,970 46.6%
Republican Eddie Rispone 368,319 27.4%
Republican Ralph Abraham 368,319 23.6%
Democratic Oscar Dantzler 10,993 0.8%
Total votes 1,343,481 100.0

Runoff[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] Lean D November 14, 2019

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
John Bel Edwards (D) Eddie Rispone (R) Undecided
Data for Progress October 29 – November 14, 2019 1,434 ± 2.6% 50% 49% 1%
JMC Analytics (R) November 12–13, 2019 600 ± 4.0% 47% 46% 7%
Targoz Market Research November 7–13, 2019 640 50% 46% 4%

Runoff[edit]

2019 Louisiana gubernatorial election runoff[5]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic John Bel Edwards (incumbent) 774,498 51.3 -4.77%
Republican Eddie Rispone 734,286 48.6 +4.77%
Total votes 1,508,784 100.0 N/A
Majority 40,341 2.6 N/A
Democratic hold
Popular vote
Democratic
51.3%
Republican
48.6%

By congressional district[edit]

District Edwards Rispone Representative
1st 67% 32% Steve Scalise
2nd 68% 31% Cedric Richmond
3rd 39% 60% Clay Higgins
4th Mike Johnson
5th Ralph Abraham
6th Garret Graves

Legislature[edit]

Party Leader Senate Votes
Of total ± Votes %
Republican Party Danny Martiny 64%
25 / 39
Steady 152,418 73.6
Democratic Party Karen Carter 35%
14 / 39
Steady 54,673 26.4
Party Leader House Votes
Of total ± Votes %
Republican Party Lance Harris 59%
59 / 105
Decrease1 191,028 58.2
Democratic Party Robert Johnson 40%
40 / 105
Increase1 137,235 41.8

Mississippi[edit]

popular vote
2015 Mississippi gubernatorial election
County results
  •      50–60%
  •      60–70%
  •      70–80%
  •      40–50%
  •      50–60%
  •      60–70%
popular vote
2019 Mississippi gubernatorial election
County results
  •      50–60%
  •      60–70%
  •      70–80%
  •      40–50%
  •      50–60%
  •      60–70%

Primary election[edit]

Results[edit]

primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tate Reeves 179,623 54.1%
Republican Bill Waller Jr. 152,201 45.9%
Total votes 331,824 100.0
Democratic Jim Hood 208,634 69.0%
Democratic Michael Brown 33,247 11.0%
Democratic Velesha Williams 20,844 6.9%
Democratic Robert Shuler Smith 20,395 6.7%
Total votes 302,390 100.0

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Lean R November 8, 2019

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tate Reeves (R) Jim Hood (D) Undecided
NBC/Survey Monkey October 8–22, 2019 1,002 ± 4.7% 47% 40% 3%
Targoz Market Research October 13–20, 2019 384 47% 46% 7%
Mason-Dixon October 17–19,
2019
625 ± 4.7% 46% 43% 9%

Results[edit]

Mississippi gubernatorial election, 2019[7]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Tate Reeves 459,396 51.9 -14.47%
Democratic Jim Hood 414,368 46.8 +14.35%
Total votes 884,911 100.0 N/A
Majority 47,666 5.5 N/A
Republican hold
Popular vote
Republican
51.9%
Democratic
46.8%

By congressional district[edit]

District Reeves Hood Representative
1st 59% 41% Trent Kelly
2nd 36% 64% Cedric Richmond
3rd 46% 53% Michael Guest
4th 64% 36% Steven Palazzo

Legislature[edit]

Party Leader Senate Votes
Of total ± Votes %
Republican Party Tate Reeves 69%
36 / 52
Increase3
Democratic Party Bobby Moak 30%
16 / 52
Decrease3


Party Leader House Votes
Of total ± Votes %
Republican Party Philip Gunn 61%
75 / 122
Steady
Democratic Party David Baria 38%
46 / 122
Steady

Virginia[edit]

Party Leader Senate Votes
Of total ± Votes %
Democratic Party Dick Saslaw 52%
21 / 40
Increase2 1,240,277 54.8
Republican Party Tommy Norment 47%
19 / 40
Decrease2 892,526 39.4
Party Leader Delegates Votes
Of total ± Votes %
Democratic Party Eileen Corn 55%
55 / 100
Increase6 1,198,488 52.69
Republican Party Kirk Cox 45%
45 / 100
Decrease6 985,790 43.34

New Jersey[edit]

Party Leader House Votes
Of total ± Votes %
Democratic Party Craig Coughlin 62%
50 / 80
Decrease 4 474,160 60.93
Republican Party Jon Bramnick 37%
30 / 80
Increase 4 304,101 39.07

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 Governor". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org.
  2. ^ "2019 General Election" (PDF). Kentucky State Board of Elections. Retrieved December 7, 2019.
  3. ^ "2019 Kentucky Governor Election Results". New York Times. Retrieved November 5, 2019.
  4. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 Governor". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org.
  5. ^ "Louisiana Secretary of State - Live Election Results". voterportal.sos.la.gov. Retrieved November 17, 2019.
  6. ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 Governor". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org.
  7. ^ "2019 GENERAL ELECTION". Mississippi Secretary of State. Retrieved December 4, 2019.