User:Chaserh2003

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For related races, see 2022 United States elections.

2022 United States gubernatorial elections
← 2021 November 8, 2022 2023 →
39 governorships
36 states; 3 territories
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Seats before 28 22
Seats up 20 16
2022 Alabama gubernatorial election2022 Alaska gubernatorial election2022 Arizona gubernatorial election2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election2022 California gubernatorial election2022 Colorado gubernatorial election2022 Connecticut gubernatorial election2022 Florida gubernatorial election2022 Georgia gubernatorial election2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election2022 Idaho gubernatorial election2022 Illinois gubernatorial election2022 Iowa gubernatorial election2022 Kansas gubernatorial election2022 Maine gubernatorial election2022 Maryland gubernatorial election2022 Massachusetts gubernatorial election2022 Michigan gubernatorial election2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election2022 Nebraska gubernatorial election2022 Nevada gubernatorial election2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election2022 New Mexico gubernatorial election2022 New York gubernatorial election2022 Ohio gubernatorial election2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election2022 Oregon gubernatorial election2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election2022 South Carolina gubernatorial election2022 South Dakota gubernatorial election2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election2022 Texas gubernatorial election2022 Vermont gubernatorial election2022 Wisconsin gubernatorial election2022 Wyoming gubernatorial election2022 Guam gubernatorial election2022 Northern Mariana Islands gubernatorial election2022 United States Virgin Islands gubernatorial election
     Democratic incumbent      Term-limited or retiring Democrat
     Republican incumbent      Term-limited or retiring Republican
     No election

United States gubernatorial elections will be held on November 8, 2022, in 36 states and three territories. Special elections may also take place (depending on state law) if other gubernatorial seats are vacated.

As most governors serve four-year terms, the last regular gubernatorial elections for all but two of the seats took place in 2018. The governors of New Hampshire and Vermont, each of whom serves two-year terms, ran in the 2020 elections. The 2022 gubernatorial elections will take place concurrently with several other federal, state and local elections.

Partisan composition[edit]

Going into the election, there are 28 Republican governors and 22 Democratic governors in the United States. This class of governors is made up of 20 Republicans and 16 Democrats.

In contrast to 2018, where Republicans were defending eight seats in states won by Donald Trump in 2016, Republicans hold six seats in states won by Joe Biden in 2020. Meanwhile, Democrats were defending one governorship from the last midterm elections in a state won by Trump in 2016 and are now defending one governorship in a state that Trump won in 2020.

Gov. Election predictions[edit]

Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assign ratings to each state, with the rating indicating the predicted advantage that a party has in winning that seat. Most election predictors use:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean": slight advantage
  • "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
State PVI[1] Incumbent[2] Last
race 		Cook
July 22,
2022[3] 		IE
July 22,
2022[4] 		Sabato
June 29,
2022[5] 		Politico
May 23,
2022[6] 		RCP
June 20,
2022[7] 		Fox
July 11,
2022[8] 		538[a][b]
July 21,
2022[9]
Alabama R+15 Kay Ivey 59.5% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R
Alaska R+8 Mike Dunleavy 51.4% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R
Arizona R+2 Doug Ducey (term-limited) 56.0% R Solid R Likely R Likely R Likely R Safe R Solid R Lean R
Arkansas R+16 Asa Hutchinson (term-limited) 65.3% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R
California D+13 Gavin Newsom 61.9% D Likely D Lean D Lean D Likely D Tilt D Tossup Tilt R (flip)
Colorado D+4 Jared Polis 53.4% D Tilt R (flip) Lean R (flip) Tossup D Tossup Lean R (flip) Tilt D Lean R (flip)
Connecticut D+7 Ned Lamont 49.4% D Lean R (flip) Tilt R (flip) Tossup Tilt D Tossup Tossup Tilt R (flip)
Florida R+3 Ron DeSantis 49.6% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Likely R Safe R Solid R Solid R
Georgia R+3 Brian Kemp 50.2% R Solid R Likely R Likely R Lean R Safe R Solid R Likely R
Hawaii D+14 David Ige (term-limited) 62.7% D Lean D Likely D Likely D Solid D Tossup Lean D Lean D
Idaho R+18 Brad Little 59.8% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R
Illinois D+7 J. B. Pritzker 54.5% D Tilt R (flip) Tossup Lean D Tilt D Lean R (flip) Lean D Lean D
Iowa R+6 Kim Reynolds 50.3% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R
Kansas R+10 Laura Kelly 48.0% D Likely R (flip) Solid R (flip) Safe R (flip) Likely R (flip) Likely R (flip) Likely R (flip) Likely R (flip)
Maine D+2 Janet Mills 50.9% D Likely R (flip) Tossup Tilt R (flip) Lean D Lean R (flip) Likely R (flip) Lean R (flip)
Maryland D+14 Larry Hogan (term-limited) 55.4% R Lean R Tilt D (flip) Tilt D (flip) Lean R Likely R Tilt R Tossup
Massachusetts D+15 Charlie Baker (retiring) 66.6% R Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tilt R Likely D (flip) Tilt R Lean R Tossup
Michigan R+1 Gretchen Whitmer 53.3% D Likely R (flip) Tilt R (flip) Lean R (flip) Tossup Lean R (flip) Likely R (flip) Tilt R (flip)
Minnesota D+1 Tim Walz 53.8% D Likely R (flip) Lean R (flip) Tossup Lean R (flip) Tilt R (flip) Tossup Likely R (flip)
Nebraska R+13 Pete Ricketts (term-limited) 59.0% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R
Nevada R+1 Steve Sisolak 49.4% D Tossup Lean R (flip) Likely R (flip) Lean R (flip) Likely R (flip) Likely R (flip) Lean R (flip)
New Hampshire D+1 Chris Sununu 65.1% R Solid R Lean R Safe R Likely R Safe R Solid R Solid R
New Mexico D+3 Michelle Lujan Grisham 57.2% D Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Tossup Likely R (flip) Lean R (flip) Tossup Tilt R (flip)
New York D+10 Kathy Hochul 59.6% D Likely D Lean D Lean D Likely D Tilt R (flip) Tossup Tilt D
Ohio R+6 Mike DeWine 50.4% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R
Oklahoma R+20 Kevin Stitt 54.3% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R
Oregon D+6 Kate Brown (term-limited) 50.1% D Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Likely R (flip) Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Likely R (flip) Tilt R (flip)
Pennsylvania R+2 Tom Wolf (term-limited) 57.8% D Lean R (flip) Tilt R (flip) Likely R (flip) Tossup Likely R (flip) Tossup Likely R (flip)
Rhode Island D+8 Dan McKee 52.6% D Tossup Lean R (flip) Lean D Tilt R (flip) Tilt R (flip) Tilt D Lean D
South Carolina R+8 Henry McMaster 54.0% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R
South Dakota R+16 Kristi Noem 51.0% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R
Tennessee R+14 Bill Lee 59.6% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R
Texas R+5 Greg Abbott 55.8% R Solid R Likely R Likely R Solid R Safe R Likely R Solid R
Vermont D+16 Phil Scott 68.5% R Solid R Likely R Likely R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R
Wisconsin R+2 Tony Evers 49.5% D Likely R (flip) Tilt R (flip) Tossup Lean R (flip) Likely R (flip) Solid R (flip) Tilt R (flip)
Wyoming R+25 Mark Gordon 67.1% R Solid R Solid R Safe R Solid R Safe R Solid R Solid R
  1. ^ "2016 State PVI Changes – Decision Desk HQ". decisiondeskhq.com. December 15, 2017. Archived from the original on June 13, 2018. Retrieved December 11, 2018.
  2. ^ Parentheses around an incumbent's name indicates that the incumbent is retiring, possibly due to term limits.
  3. ^ "2022 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 13, 2021.
  4. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  5. ^ "Crystal Ball 2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  6. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. Retrieved April 19, 2022.
  7. ^ "2022 Governor's Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  8. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. Retrieved July 11, 2022.
  9. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.


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