User:Omni ND/Tropical Cyclone Advisories/South Indian/2006 Advisories/Tropical Disturbance Advice

JTWC GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN TO THE NORTHWEST OF MAINLAND AUSTRALIA. THIS DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY NOT WELL ORGANIZED, BUT THE GFS FORECASTS IT TO DRIFT AROUND OVER THE WARM WATERS OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA, WHICH MAY GIVE IT A CHANCE TO DEVELOP. THOUGH UNDER MODERATE WIND SHEAR, THIS DISTURBANCE HAS ACQUIRED GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND MAY SOON BE A CAUSE FOR CONCERN FOR AUSTRALIA. RESIDENTS OF THE AREA SHOULD BEGIN TO MONITOR THE ACTIVITY IF ORGANIZATIONAL INCREASE CONTINUES FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS.

CURRENT: 20 KNOTS
12 HOURS: 25 KNOTS
24 HOURS: 25 KNOTS
36 HOURS: 30 KNOTS
48 HOURS: 30 KNOTS
60 HOURS: 30 KNOTS
72 HOURS: 35 KNOTS
84 HOURS: 40 KNOTS
96 HOURS: 45 KNOTS
108 HOURS: 55 KNOTS
120 HOURS: 65 KNOTS
132 HOURS: 80 KNOTS
144 HOURS: 90 KNOTS