User:Omni ND/Tropical Cyclone Advisories/South Indian/2006 Advisories/Tropical Disturbance Advice2

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED DISTURBANCE HAS DEVELOPED EXCELLENT OUTFLOW UNDER AN AREA OF GOOD POLEWARD DIVERGENCE AND MODERATE BUT DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GFS ANALYSIS SHOW THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS MEANDERING OVER A POOL OF 29 DEGREES C WATER. THE GFS ALSO FORECASTS SLOW AND FLUCTUATING DEVELOPMENT. THIS FORECAST IS STRONGER THAN THE GFS DUE TO SOME VERY FAVORABLE FACTORS THE MODEL HASN'T ACCOUNTED FOR. WESTERN AUSTRALIAN RESIDENTS SHOULD BEGIN TO MONITOR THIS POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE. A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WILL BE ISSUED IF THE CURRENT ORGANIZING TREND CONTINUES FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS.

CURRENT: 25 KNOTS
12 HOURS: 30 KNOTS
24 HOURS: 35 KNOTS
36 HOURS: 40 KNOTS
48 HOURS: 55 KNOTS
60 HOURS: 70 KNOTS
72 HOURS: 75 KNOTS
84 HOURS: 85 KNOTS
96 HOURS: 95 KNOTS
108 HOURS: 90 KNOTS
120 HOURS: 100 KNOTS
132 HOURS: 105 KNOTS
144 HOURS: 65 KNOTS...INLAND