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User:SandyGeorgia/ArbVotes2011/Guides

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Summary of the 2011 ArbCom election guides of the writers who best predicted 2010 success (see User:SandyGeorgia/ArbVotes2010/Guides).

Recommendations

[edit]

In the following chart:

  • A checkY means the guide writer supports the candidate,
  • A ☒N means they oppose the candidate.
  • A means they stated no view, or were neutral.

If the guide writers with a good record in past elections are right this year, we may have seven arbs, and the eighth slot may be a tossup between Coren, Jclemens, and Worm That Turned, if one of them stays above 50% (none of these guide writers endorsed any of them).

Candidate Ealdgyth Nuclear
Warfare
Sandy
Georgia
Wizard
man
Adjusted
Supports *
Actual %
Received
Courcelles checkY checkY checkY checkY 4 79.74%
Risker checkY checkY checkY checkY 4 75.66%
SilkTork checkY checkY checkY checkY 4 70.87%
AGK checkY checkY checkY 3.5 70.81%
Roger Davies checkY checkY checkY 3.5 72.06%
Hersfold checkY checkY 3 71.84%
Kirill Lokshin ☒N checkY checkY 2.5 72.51%
Coren ☒N ☒N 1 56.01%
Jclemens ☒N ☒N 1 60.54%
Worm That Turned ☒N ☒N 1 59.03%
Panyd ☒N ☒N ☒N .5 43.19%
Eluchil404 ☒N ☒N ☒N .5 29.62%
Kww ☒N ☒N ☒N .5 38.34%
DeltaQuad ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N 0 34.04%
Geni ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N 0 27.91%
Hot Stop ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N 0 12.47%
NWA.Rep ☒N ☒N ☒N ☒N 0 16.04%
Number of
Supports
4 6 5 7 5.5 avg supports
  • Adjusted to: 1 for Support, .5 for neutral, 0 for Oppose

Accuracy

[edit]

In the following chart:

  • A checkY means they supported a candidate who was elected or opposed a candidate who was not elected
  • A ☒N means they opposed a candidate who was elected or supported a candidate who was not elected
  • A means they stated no view, or were neutral.
User:HJ Mitchell/ACE2011 was added to the accuracy chart, as he also pegged it.
Candidate Ealdgyth Nuclear
Warfare
Sandy
Georgia
Wizard
man
HJ
Mitchell
Actual %
Received
Courcelles checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 79.74%
Risker checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 75.66%
SilkTork checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 70.87%
AGK checkY checkY checkY checkY 70.81%
Roger Davies checkY checkY checkY checkY 72.06%
Hersfold checkY checkY checkY 71.84%
Kirill Lokshin ☒N checkY checkY 72.51%
Coren checkY checkY checkY 56.01%
Jclemens ☒N ☒N checkY 60.54%
Worm That Turned checkY checkY 59.03%
Panyd checkY checkY checkY 43.19%
Eluchil404 checkY checkY checkY checkY 29.62%
Kww checkY checkY checkY checkY 38.34%
DeltaQuad checkY checkY checkY checkY 34.04%
Geni checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 27.91%
Hot Stop checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 12.47%
NWA.Rep checkY checkY checkY checkY checkY 16.04%
Correct/Wrong/Neutral 12/0/5 11/2/4 14/0/3 14/1/2 13/0/4