User:Wikimedes/sandbox/GLF/tables/archive

famine death estimate tables

basic table

Great Leap Forward famine death estimates
Deaths (millions)	Author(s)	Year
23	Peng^[1]	1987
27	Coale^[2]	1984
27	Rummel^[3]	1991
30	Ashton and Hill^[1]	1984
36	Yang^[4]	2008
38	Chang and Halliday^[5]	2005
42 minimum	Dikötter^[6]	2010
43 to 46	Becker^[1]	1996

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ref name cite^[1]

putting the death toll in perspective

Main points to put death toll in perspective
Points	Progress	To do
Uncertainty of estimates	Lead, body
Comparison to all famines
total death toll	Lead (GLF was probably the worst)
% population killed	Lead (example showing GLF was not the worst)
duration?
Comparison to Chinese famines
frequency	Background section "Famine and Mortality in China"
geographic extent. (all of "China proper"+Manchuria+Xinjiang+Tibet).	briefly in background section "Famine and Mortality in China"
comparison of total death toll to other famines.	Lead (GLF was probably the worst)
comparison of % of population killed.	Not yet	Add?
duration?
Regionality
urban vs. rural	Qualitatively in main famine section	Quantify in deaths section (does sufficient hard data exist?)
geography (province to province)	Body (very briefly). Qualitatively in main famine section.	Add full table?
Comparison to overall death rate in China’s recent past?	Section "Famine Deaths"

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d "After the foundation of ‘New China,’ between 15 and 40 million people starved to death in the famine caused by the Great Leap Forward in the years between 1959 and 1961. … The number of people who died as a result of the famine remains a controversial issue. Based on Chinese population statistics that were published in the early 1980s, scholars estimate different figures. Peng Xizhe calculated 23 million deaths in 14 provinces (Peng Xizhe, “Demographic consequences of the Great Leap Forward in China’s provinces,” Population and Development Review, Vol. 13, No. 4 (1987), p. 649). Ansley Coale came to the conclusion that 16.5 million people died, and Basil Ashton counted 30 million deaths and 30 missing births (Basil Ashton and Kenneth Hill, “Famine in China, 1958–1961,” Population and Development Review, Vol. 10, No. 4 (1984), p. 614). Jasper Becker estimated 43 to 46 million casualties on the basis of an internal investigation of the Chinese government (Jasper Becker, Hungry Ghosts – China’s Secret Famine (London: Murray 1996), p. 272)." Wemheuer, Felix (2010). "Dealing with Responsibility for the Great Leap Famine in the People's Republic of China". The China Quarterly. 201: 176–194. doi:10.1017/S0305741009991123. Retrieved 2011-04-02.
^ Rummel, R.J., (1991) China’s Bloody Century, Transaction Publishers p.248,289. Coale estimates 27 million deaths: 16 million from direct interpretation of official Chinese vital statistics followed by an adjustment to 27 million to account for undercounting.
^ Rummel, R.J., (1991) China’s Bloody Century, Transaction Publishers p.248.
^ Yang, Jisheng (2008). Tombstone (Mu Bei - Zhong Guo Liu Shi Nian Dai Da Ji Huang Ji Shi). Cosmos Books (Tian Di Tu Shu), Hong Kong.
^ Jung Chang and Jon Halliday. (2005) Mao: The Unknown Story, Knopf. ISBN 0679422714. Stuart Schram believes their estimate "may well be the most accurate." (Stuart Schram "Mao: The Unknown Story". The China Quarterly (189): 207. Retrieved on 2007-10-07.)
^ Dikötter, Frank. Mao's Great Famine: The History of China's Most Devastating Catastrophe, 1958-62. Walker & Company, 2010. p. 333. ISBN 0802777686.

[wemheur-1] "After the foundation of ‘New China,’ between 15 and 40 million people starved to death in the famine caused by the Great Leap Forward in the years between 1959 and 1961. … The number of people who died as a result of the famine remains a controversial issue. Based on Chinese population statistics that were published in the early 1980s, scholars estimate different figures. Peng Xizhe calculated 23 million deaths in 14 provinces (Peng Xizhe, “Demographic consequences of the Great Leap Forward in China’s provinces,” Population and Development Review, Vol. 13, No. 4 (1987), p. 649). Ansley Coale came to the conclusion that 16.5 million people died, and Basil Ashton counted 30 million deaths and 30 missing births (Basil Ashton and Kenneth Hill, “Famine in China, 1958–1961,” Population and Development Review, Vol. 10, No. 4 (1984), p. 614). Jasper Becker estimated 43 to 46 million casualties on the basis of an internal investigation of the Chinese government (Jasper Becker, Hungry Ghosts – China’s Secret Famine (London: Murray 1996), p. 272)." Wemheuer, Felix (2010). "Dealing with Responsibility for the Great Leap Famine in the People's Republic of China". The China Quarterly. 201: 176–194. doi:10.1017/S0305741009991123. Retrieved 2011-04-02.

[coalerum-2] Rummel, R.J., (1991) China’s Bloody Century, Transaction Publishers p.248,289. Coale estimates 27 million deaths: 16 million from direct interpretation of official Chinese vital statistics followed by an adjustment to 27 million to account for undercounting.

[3] Rummel, R.J., (1991) China’s Bloody Century, Transaction Publishers p.248.

[4] Yang, Jisheng (2008). Tombstone (Mu Bei - Zhong Guo Liu Shi Nian Dai Da Ji Huang Ji Shi). Cosmos Books (Tian Di Tu Shu), Hong Kong.

[5] Jung Chang and Jon Halliday. (2005) Mao: The Unknown Story, Knopf. ISBN 0679422714. Stuart Schram believes their estimate "may well be the most accurate." (Stuart Schram "Mao: The Unknown Story". The China Quarterly (189): 207. Retrieved on 2007-10-07.)

[6] Dikötter, Frank. Mao's Great Famine: The History of China's Most Devastating Catastrophe, 1958-62. Walker & Company, 2010. p. 333. ISBN 0802777686.

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