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Welimada Polling Division

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Welimada
Location of Welimada
Coordinates: 6°51′39″N 80°52′46″E / 6.860948°N 80.879512°E / 6.860948; 80.879512
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceUva Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictBadulla Electoral District
Area
 • Total189.35 km2 (73.11 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total100,808
 • Density532/km2 (1,380/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-19G

The Welimada Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Badulla Electoral District, in the Uva Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Welimada has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Welimada is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Welimada Badulla Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.31% SLPP 4.09%
2015 NDF NDF 1.29% NDF 0.51%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.25% UPFA 4.69%
2005 UNP UNP 1.59% UPFA 3.23%
1999 UNP UNP 0.37% PA 4.37%
1994 PA PA 0.38% PA 6.95%
1988 UNP UNP 5.85% UNP 14.08%
1982 UNP UNP 2.73% UNP 6.69%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 6/8 1.72% 8/8 5.58%
Party Welimada[4] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 30,670 48.15% 276,211 49.29% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 29,673 46.58% 251,706 44.92% 5,564,239 41.99%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,687 2.65% 17,622 3.14% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 1,671 2.62% 14,806 2.64% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 63,701 99.02% 560,345 98.77% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 632 0.98% 6,978 1.23% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 64,333 86.02% 567,323 86.25% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 74,786 657,766 15,992,568
Party Welimada[5] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 29,431 50.68% 249,524 49.21% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 27,874 48.00% 249,243 49.15% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 770 1.33% 8,303 1.64% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 58,075 98.87% 507,070 98.47% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 664 1.13% 7,871 1.53% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 58,739 78.91% 514,941 79.51% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 74,436 647,628 15,585,942
Party Welimada[6] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,252 53.19% 237,579 53.23% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 23,092 45.07% 198,835 44.55% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 888 1.73% 9,880 2.21% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 51,232 99.02% 446,294 98.66% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 509 0.98% 6,083 1.34% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 51,741 75.06% 452,377 75.62% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 68,937 598,190 15,734,587
Party Welimada[7] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,108 51.55% 226,582 53.11% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 23,736 46.87% 192,734 45.18% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 801 1.58% 7,283 1.71% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 50,645 98.75% 426,599 98.43% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 640 1.25% 6,825 1.57% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 51,285 79.54% 433,424 78.67% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 64,481 550,926 14,136,979
Party Welimada[8] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,447 47.38% 172,884 47.97% 3,602,748 42.71%
PA 20,063 46.49% 167,000 46.33% 4,312,157 51.12%
JVP 1,665 3.86% 12,025 3.34% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 981 2.27% 8,512 2.36% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 43,156 97.29% 360,421 97.04% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,203 2.71% 10,979 2.96% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 44,359 78.97% 371,400 78.25% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 56,170 474,610 11,965,536
Party Welimada[9] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,177 55.23% 182,810 55.27% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 17,280 43.04% 139,611 42.21% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 695 1.73% 8,351 2.52% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 40,152 96.44% 330,772 95.91% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,482 3.56% 14,093 4.09% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 41,634 77.61% 344,865 77.47% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 53,643 445,146 11,158,880
Party Welimada[10] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 7,491 66.27% 80,779 60.09% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 3,580 31.67% 50,223 37.36% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 232 2.05% 3,422 2.55% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 11,303 97.99% 134,424 97.62% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 232 2.01% 3,276 2.38% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 11,535 27.57% 137,700 44.21% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 41,846 311,473 9,283,143
Party Welimada[11] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,673 60.64% 141,062 58.67% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 10,078 32.73% 88,462 36.79% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,745 5.67% 7,713 3.21% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 295 0.96% 3,203 1.33% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 30,791 98.60% 240,440 98.77% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 437 1.40% 2,982 1.23% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 31,228 86.44% 243,422 85.47% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 36,128 284,801 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Welimada has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Welimada is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Welimada Badulla Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 0.90% UNP 6.84%
2010 UPFA UPFA 5.99% UPFA 8.11%
2004 UPFA UNP 3.25% UPFA 6.11%
2001 UNP UNP 0.57% UNP 4.00%
2000 UNP UNP 1.07% PA 3.09%
1994 UNP UNP 3.92% PA 3.52%
1989 UNP UNP 4.38% UNP 3.46%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 4/7 2.87% 7/7 5.02%
Party Welimada[14] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 30,086 56.07% 258,844 54.82% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 20,127 37.51% 179,459 38.01% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 2,497 4.65% 21,445 4.54% 544,154 4.88%
CWC 687 1.28% 10,259 2.17% 17,107 0.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 258 0.48% 2,159 0.46% 76,945 0.69%
Valid Votes 53,655 95.68% 472,166 95.03% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,384 4.25% 24,167 4.86% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 56,076 75.33% 496,849 80.07% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 74,436 620,486 15,044,490
Party Welimada[15] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 19,820 50.04% 203,689 58.25% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 14,070 35.52% 112,886 32.28% 2,357,057 29.37%
IG4B 3,221 8.13% 4,646 1.33% 5,076 0.06%
DNA 1,816 4.58% 15,768 4.51% 441,251 5.50%
UPF 540 1.36% 11,481 3.28% 24,670 0.31%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 141 0.36% 1,208 0.35% 23,594 0.29%
Valid Votes 39,608 93.75% 349,678 93.54% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,642 6.25% 24,169 6.46% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 42,250 61.29% 373,847 62.46% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 68,937 598,521 14,097,690
Party Welimada[16] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 23,040 51.75% 178,634 48.26% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 20,441 45.91% 181,705 49.09% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 775 1.74% 6,932 1.87% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 266 0.60% 2,907 0.79% 57,589 0.62%
Valid Votes 44,522 92.04% 370,178 92.47% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,851 7.96% 30,159 7.53% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 48,373 77.64% 400,337 78.33% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 62,308 511,115 12,909,631
Party Welimada[17] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,295 53.44% 201,173 53.81% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 17,253 37.95% 138,443 37.03% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,413 7.51% 26,820 7.17% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 498 1.10% 7,401 1.98% 79,391 0.89%
Valid Votes 45,459 93.99% 373,837 93.35% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,908 6.01% 26,626 6.65% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 48,367 81.06% 400,463 81.51% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 59,666 491,288 12,428,762
Party Welimada[18] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 19,377 44.49% 167,351 46.36% 3,451,765 40.12%
PA 18,661 42.85% 154,172 42.71% 3,899,329 45.33%
NUA 2,577 5.92% 5,052 1.40% 185,593 2.16%
JVP 1,835 4.21% 16,414 4.55% 518,725 6.03%
CWC 617 1.42% 12,092 3.35% 22,985 0.27%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 486 1.12% 5,935 1.64% 245,839 2.86%
Valid Votes 43,553 N/A 361,016 N/A 8,602,617 N/A
Party Welimada[19] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 19,935 49.14% 182,131 54.04% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 18,811 46.37% 146,546 43.48% 3,887,805 48.94%
IND2 992 2.45% 2,601 0.77% 16,690 0.21%
SLPF 612 1.51% 3,555 1.05% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 219 0.54% 2,226 0.66% 116,737 1.47%
Valid Votes 40,569 92.48% 337,059 92.19% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,300 7.52% 28,540 7.81% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 43,869 81.78% 365,599 82.23% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 53,643 444,632 11,163,064
Party Welimada[20] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 14,743 53.40% 135,089 58.97% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 10,521 38.11% 81,011 35.36% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 1,828 6.62% 5,589 2.44% 67,723 1.21%
USA 380 1.38% 5,712 2.49% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 135 0.49% 1,693 0.74% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 27,607 91.93% 229,094 92.08% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,424 8.07% 19,704 7.92% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 30,031 72.65% 248,798 75.55% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 41,334 329,321 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Welimada Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (70.8%), a significant Moor population (16.6%) and a significant Indian Tamil population (10.4%) . In comparison, the Badulla Electoral District (which contains the Welimada Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (73.0%) and a significant Indian Tamil population (18.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Welimada[1]

  Sinhalese (70.8%)
  Moor (16.6%)
  Indian Tamil (10.4%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (2.0%)
  Other (0.2%)

Religion

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The Welimada Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (70.6%), a significant Muslim population (16.8%) and a significant Hindu population (11.3%) . In comparison, the Badulla Electoral District (which contains the Welimada Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (72.6%) and a significant Hindu population (19.3%) [1]

Religion in Welimada[1]

  Buddhist (70.6%)
  Muslim (16.8%)
  Hindu (11.3%)
  Other (1.3%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Welimada and the Badulla Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Welimada and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Welimada and the Badulla Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Welimada and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.