Talk:2007 Pacific typhoon season/February

February[edit]

Week 2[edit]

96W/97W.INVEST[edit]

96W.INVEST[edit]

5.0N 147.0E - 15 knots - グリフオーザー 04:15, 9 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]

Not surprised. Have been keeping an eye on this one for a while now, as both the CMCGLB and NOGAPS cyclonephase diagrams from 7 Feb picked this up as a future cyclone. – Chacor 07:11, 9 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]

Unlisted LPA on JMA. - SpLo T // 13:33, 10 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]

Wow, this looks really impressive. What do you say the chances are of this forming into a TD? -Winter123 21:18, 10 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]

well just at a complete guess i would say we will be seeing a depression forming since Typhoon 2000 are not predicting "Tropical Cyclone Formation is not expected through Monday,February 12, 2007." yet 87.74.54.113 22:13, 10 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 6.1N 145.7E, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM SOUTH OF GUAM. A 102022Z QUIKSCAT PASS DEPICTED A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) DEVELOPING WITHIN AN AREA OF TROUGHING EQUATORWARD OF THE CAROLINE ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ENHANCED AREA OF WESTERLY WINDS DEVELOPING ALONG THE EQUATOR (ASSOCIATED WITH CONVECTION SOUTH OF THE DISTURBANCE), BUT DOES NOT REVEAL A DISTINCT LLCC AT THIS TIME. SYNOPTIC PRESSURE OBSERVATIONS WITHIN THE TROUGHING RANGE BETWEEN 1008 MB AND 1011 MB. THE DISTURBANCE LIES AT THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LEVEL NEAR-EQUATORIAL RIDGE IN A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. SINCE THE LLCC IS STILL ORGANIZING AND CONVECTION IS PRIMARILY LINEAR IN CONVERGENT NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ON THE NORTHERN SIDE OF THE TROUGHING, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. SpLo T // 06:54, 11 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]

JTWC has begun satellite fixes: T1.0/1.0 at 0230 UTC. --Core desat 04:07, 12 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]

POOR as of 0600 UTC, 12 February per JTWC. Seems like it's dissipating. - SpLo T // 12:41, 12 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]

Hmmm, I think it looks slightly less disorganised than before, it seems to be gaining and organising a little more convection... typhoonchaser 15:24, 14 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 05N 135E WEST SLOWLY. – Chacor 15:27, 14 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]

Gone from NRL, TOO WEAK on SSD. JTWC has taken it off, but FNMOC is still reporting. - SpLo T // 16:16, 14 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]

97W.INVEST[edit]

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 06N 132E WNW SLOWLY. Same system, but maybe a new defined LLC (hence a numbering change). JMA dropped it for one METAREA bulletin. SAB continues to monitor it as 96W, but 97W is now up on FNMOC. – Chacor 09:53, 15 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]

JMA 12Z: LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 06N 132E WNW SLOWLY. - SpLo T // 16:54, 15 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]

POOR from JTWC. - SpLo T // 07:12, 16 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]

JMA 06Z: LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 05N 129E WEST SLOWLY. - SpLo T // 10:21, 16 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]

Dissipated from JMA and JTWC, still on FNMOC and NRL but not looking good due to interaction with the Philippine islands. - SpLo T // 05:19, 17 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]

Poof'd. - SpLo T {新年快乐!} // 14:35, 17 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]

Week 3[edit]

98W.INVEST[edit]

Just appeared, 2.5N 165.0E, 15 kt and no pressure. --Core desat 23:32, 21 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]

Its now gone. — Alastor Moody _{(T + C + U)} 07:37, 27 February 2007 (UTC)[reply]