2026 Arizona Senate election
Appearance
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All 30 seats of the Arizona Senate 16 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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![]() Results: Republican incumbent Republican incumbent retiring Democratic incumbent Democratic incumbent retiring | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Arizona |
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The 2026 Arizona Senate election will be held on November 3, 2026. Voters will elect members of the Arizona Senate in all 30 of the state's legislative districts to serve a two-year term. Primary elections will be held on August 4, 2026.
The Republican Party holds a majority over the Democratic Party, controlling 17 seats to the latter's 13 seats.
Background
[edit]Partisan Background
[edit]In the 2024 presidential election, Donald Trump won 17 districts, while Kamala Harris won 13. In the previous election in 2024, the Republican Party increased its margin by one seat, with a total of 17 seats, compared to the 13 seats held by the Democratic Party.
Predictions
[edit]Statewide
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
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270toWin | ||
State Navigate | ||
Sabato's Crystal Ball |
Overview
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Party | Candidates | Votes | Seats | |||||||||
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No. | % | Before | After | +/– | ||||||||
Republican | ||||||||||||
Democratic | ||||||||||||
Green | ||||||||||||
Independent | ||||||||||||
Total |
Retiring incumbents
[edit]Republicans
[edit]- District 13: J.D. Mesnard is term-limited.
- District 19: David Gowan is term-limited
Democrats
[edit]- District 5: Lela Alston is term-limited.
- District 20: Sally Ann Gonzales is term-limited.
Summary of results by district
[edit]† - Incumbent not seeking re-election
District | 2024 Pres.[1] | Incumbent | Party | Elected Senator | Outcome | ||
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1st | R +33.2 | Mark Finchem | Rep | ||||
2nd | R +5.6 | Shawnna Bolick | Rep | ||||
3rd | R +24.5 | John Kavanagh | Rep | ||||
4th | R +3.5 | Carine Werner | Rep | ||||
5th | D +36.4 | Lela Alston† | Dem | ||||
6th | D +27.2 | Theresa Hatathlie | Dem | ||||
7th | R +29.9 | Wendy Rogers | Rep | ||||
8th | D +19.7 | Lauren Kuby | Dem | ||||
9th | D +3.0 | Eva Burch | Dem | ||||
10th | R +20.9 | Dave Farnsworth | Rep | ||||
11th | D +39.8 | Catherine Miranda | Dem | ||||
12th | D +15.9 | Mitzi Epstein | Dem | ||||
13th | R +1.2 | J. D. Mesnard† | Rep | ||||
14th | R +18.3 | Warren Petersen | Rep | ||||
15th | R +30.5 | Jake Hoffman | Rep | ||||
16th | R +9.4 | T. J. Shope | Rep | ||||
17th | R +3.9 | Vince Leach | Rep | ||||
18th | D +24.0 | Priya Sundareshan | Dem | ||||
19th | R +23.0 | David Gowan† | Rep | ||||
20th | D +43.2 | Sally Ann Gonzales† | Dem | ||||
21st | D +18.5 | Rosanna Gabaldón | Dem | ||||
22nd | D +21.1 | Eva Diaz | Dem | ||||
23rd | D +1.8 | Brian Fernandez | Dem | ||||
24th | D +20.5 | Analise Ortiz | Dem | ||||
25th | R +29.4 | Tim Dunn | Rep | ||||
26th | D +28.8 | Flavio Bravo | Dem | ||||
27th | R +11.3 | Kevin Payne | Rep | ||||
28th | R +23.1 | Frank Carroll | Rep | ||||
29th | R +18.3 | Janae Shamp | Rep | ||||
30th | R +55.2 | Hildy Angius | Rep |
Notes
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ "Dave's Redistricting". Retrieved 2025-01-26.