2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election
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Turnout | 38.61% ![]() | ||||||||||||||||
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Lee: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Martin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Tennessee |
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The 2022 Tennessee gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Tennessee, alongside other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Bill Lee was re-elected to a second term with 64.9% of the vote, defeating his Democratic challenger Jason Martin. Lee improved on his performance from 2018.
The primary elections took place on August 4, 2022, with Lee and Martin winning their respective parties' nominations.[2][3]
During the general election, Lee flipped reliably Democratic Haywood County, home to Brownsville. It is one of only two remaining counties in Tennessee, along with Shelby County, with a majority African-American population. Haywood County has not voted Republican on a presidential level since 1972. Martin won only Shelby and Davidson counties. This was the first time in state history that Davidson County did not vote for the winner in a gubernatorial re-election since Tennessee began allowing governors to serve for two consecutive terms.
Voter turnout for the 2022 midterm elections in Tennessee was the lowest it has been in nearly a decade, with only 38.6% of Tennessee's registered voters turning out. This turnout was far below the 2020 presidential election in Tennessee, which saw a turnout of 69.3%.[4][5] The last time turnout was this low in Tennessee was in the 2014 midterm elections. Tennessee's neighboring state Alabama saw a significant drop in voter turnout as well.
Bill Lee was sworn in for his second term on January 21, 2023.
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Disqualified
[edit]Declined
[edit]- Andy Ogles, Mayor of Maury County (successfully ran for U.S. House)[9]
Endorsements
[edit]- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Nikki Haley, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018)[10]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[11]
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Lee (incumbent) | 494,362 | 100.00% | |
Total votes | 494,362 | 100.00% |
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jason Martin, pulmonologist and critical care specialist at Sumner Regional Medical Center and former Meharry Medical College professor[13][14]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Carnita Atwater, leader of New Chicago Community Development Corporation in Northern Memphis[15]
- J. B. Smiley Jr., Memphis city councilor[16]
Withdrew
[edit]Declined
[edit]- Gloria Johnson, state representative[19] (endorsed Jason Martin)[20]
Endorsements
[edit]- U.S. representatives
- Steve Cohen, U.S. representative for Tennessee's 9th congressional district (2007–present)[21]
- Local officials
- Lee Harris, Mayor of Shelby County (2018–present) and former Minority Leader of the Tennessee Senate from the 29th district (2015–2018)[22]
- W. W. Herenton, former mayor of Memphis (1992–2009)[23]
Results
[edit]![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/9c/2022_Tennessee_gubernatorial_Democratic_primary.svg/250px-2022_Tennessee_gubernatorial_Democratic_primary.svg.png)
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 30–40%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jason Martin | 101,552 | 39.39% | |
Democratic | J.B. Smiley Jr. | 100,062 | 38.81% | |
Democratic | Carnita Atwater | 56,227 | 21.81% | |
Total votes | 257,841 | 100.00% |
Independents
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Constance Every, nonprofit founder[25]
- John Gentry, accountant[25]
- Basil Marceaux, businessman and perennial candidate[25]
- Alfred O'Neil[25]
- Deborah Rouse, candidate for President of the United States in 2020[25]
- Michael Scantland, sales manager[25]
- Rick Tyler, perennial candidate (also ran for U.S. House)[25]
- Charles Van Morgan, small business owner[25]
Disqualified
[edit]General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[26] | Solid R | March 4, 2022 |
Inside Elections[27] | Solid R | July 22, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[28] | Safe R | June 29, 2022 |
Politico[29] | Solid R | April 1, 2022 |
RCP[30] | Safe R | January 10, 2022 |
Fox News[31] | Solid R | May 12, 2022 |
538[32] | Solid R | August 4, 2022 |
Elections Daily[33] | Safe R | November 7, 2022 |
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of July 5, 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Bill Lee (R) | $3,516,828 | $3,316,034 | $375,465 |
Jason Martin (D) | $187,424 | $495,649 | $160,736 |
Source: Tennessee Registry of Election Finance[34] |
Endorsements
[edit]- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Nikki Haley, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018) and former governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[10]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[11]
- Organizations
- Labor unions
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Bill Lee (R) |
Jason Martin (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RABA Research | July 21–31, 2022 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 28% | 6% | 14% |
- Bill Lee vs. generic opponent
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Bill Lee (R) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vanderbilt University | April 26 – May 14, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 39% | 12% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Bill Lee (incumbent) | 1,129,390 | 64.91% | +5.55 | |
Democratic | Jason Martin | 572,818 | 32.92% | −5.63 | |
Independent | John Gentry | 15,395 | 0.89% | N/A | |
Independent | Constance Every | 10,277 | 0.59% | N/A | |
Independent | Deborah Rouse | 3,772 | 0.22% | N/A | |
Independent | Rick Tyler | 2,380 | 0.14% | N/A | |
Independent | Charles Van Morgan | 1,862 | 0.11% | N/A | |
Independent | Basil Marceaux | 1,568 | 0.09% | N/A | |
Independent | Alfred O'Neil | 1,216 | 0.07% | N/A | |
Independent | Michael Scantland | 815 | 0.05% | N/A | |
Write-In | Lemichael D. Wilson | 386 | 0.02% | N/A | |
Write-In | Charles Carney | 2 | 0.00% | N/A | |
Write-In | Stephen C. Maxwell | 1 | 0.00% | N/A | |
Write-In | Kameron Parker Scott | 0 | 0.00% | N/A | |
Total votes | 1,739,882 | 100.00% | |||
Turnout | 1,756,397 | 38.61% | −15.85% | ||
Registered electors | 4,549,183 | ||||
Republican hold |
By county
[edit]By county
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See also
[edit]- Elections in Tennessee
- Political party strength in Tennessee
- Tennessee Democratic Party
- Tennessee Republican Party
- Government of Tennessee
- 2022 Tennessee elections
- 2022 United States elections
Notes
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ "Tennessee Voter Turnout in 2022". Tennessee Secretary of State. November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
- ^ "2022 Midterm Election Events Calendar". www.cnn.com. Retrieved August 4, 2022.
- ^ "Doctor critical of lax COVID rules wins Tenn. Dem gov race". AP NEWS. August 5, 2022. Retrieved August 5, 2022.
- ^ McCullough, Erin (November 11, 2022). "Less than 40% of registered voters in Tennessee turned out for the 2022 midterms". WKRN News 2. Retrieved November 11, 2022.
- ^ Gonzales, Tony (November 10, 2022). "Tennessee voter turnout far below 2018 showing". 90.3 WPLM News. Retrieved December 30, 2022.
- ^ Ebert, Joel. "'I love this job': Bill Lee says he'll seek a second term as Tennessee governor". The Tennessean. The USA Today Network. Retrieved September 7, 2020.
- ^ a b c d "Tennessee Petitions". TNSOS. Retrieved April 8, 2022.
- ^ "New PAC Targets Gov. Lee's Re-Election Bid". Across Tennessee, TN Patch. April 29, 2021. Retrieved April 30, 2021.
- ^ Rau, Nate (March 23, 2022). "Maury County Mayor Andy Ogles enters District 5 race". Axios. Archived from the original on March 28, 2022. Retrieved March 28, 2022.
- ^ a b "Nikki Haley endorses Republican Governor". ABC News. Retrieved July 23, 2021.
- ^ a b Murray, Stephanie (August 16, 2021). "Redistricting looms in Texas". Politico. Archived from the original on August 16, 2021. Retrieved August 30, 2021.
- ^ "August 4, 2022 Republican Primary Governor" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved September 5, 2022.
- ^ "Doctor eyes run for governor". Nashville Post. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
- ^ "Sumner County doctor Jason Martin announces gubernatorial campaign | News | wsmv.com". www.wsmv.com. Retrieved August 23, 2021.
- ^ "First Democratic Candidate for Governor". Tri-State Defender. April 8, 2021. Retrieved July 29, 2021.
- ^ "Memphis City Councilman JB Smiley Jr. Enters Democratic Race for Tennessee Governor". The Commercial Appeal. Retrieved September 15, 2021.
- ^ "Democrats running for governor make it official". Nashville Post. Retrieved August 26, 2021.
- ^ ""I'm suspending my campaign for governor."". Facebook. Retrieved December 23, 2021.
- ^ "New PAC targets Lee's re-election bid". Tennessee Lookout. Retrieved April 30, 2021.
- ^ "I'm so excited y'all, @jasonbmartin is exactly the leadership TN families need now!". Twitter. Retrieved August 24, 2021.
- ^ "Memphis congressman endorses in '22 gubernatorial primary". Nashville Post. October 13, 2021. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
- ^ "Shelby County Mayor Lee Harris endorses Smiley for governor". May 25, 2022. Retrieved May 25, 2022.
- ^ "20-Plus Tennessee Leaders Announce Support for JB Smiley, Jr. for Governor". The Tennessee Tribune. October 21, 2021. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
- ^ "August 4, 2022 Democratic Primary Governor" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved September 5, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "Petition Information". Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved April 7, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
- ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- ^ "Tennessee Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
- ^ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
- ^ "Search Reports". Tennessee Registry of Election Finance.
- ^ "NFIB Tennessee PAC Endorses Bill Lee for Second Term as Governor". National Federation of Independent Business. September 15, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
- ^ "Tennessee Endorsements". National Right to Life. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
- ^ "Tennessee Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2023.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link) - ^ "Bill Lee's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
- ^ "General Election Endorsements". Retrieved October 17, 2022.
- ^ "Tennessee - COMPAC Endorsements". UMWA. Retrieved November 1, 2022.
- ^ State of Tennessee General Election Results Governor, November 8, 2022, Results By Office (PDF) (Report). Secretary of State of Tennessee. Retrieved January 17, 2023.
- ^ "2022 Gubernatorial Results by County" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 18, 2023.
External links
[edit]- Official campaign websites