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Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in Tasmania

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2022 Australian federal election
(Tasmania)

← 2019 21 May 2022

All 5 Tasmanian seats in the Australian House of Representatives
and 6 seats in the Australian Senate
  First party Second party
  Anthony Albanese Scott Morrison
Leader Anthony Albanese Scott Morrison
Party Labor Liberal
Last election 2 seats 2 seats
Seats won 2 2
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 95,322 115,184
Percentage 27.26% 32.94%
Swing Decrease 6.35 Increase 2.31
TPP 54.33% 45.67%
TPP swing Decrease 1.63 Increase 1.63

Results by division for the House of Representatives, shaded by winning party's margin of victory.

This is a list of electoral division results for the 2022 Australian federal election in the state of Tasmania.

This election was held using instant-runoff voting. In Tasmania in this election, there was one "turn-over". In Lyons, a Labor candidate who did not lead in the first count took the seat in the end, albeit very marginally. The Liberal candidate finished first before the distribution of preferences.

Tasmania was unique at this election in that the Liberal Party, led by previous Prime Minister Scott Morrison, had an increased vote share, while the Labor Party, led by subsequent Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, had a decreased vote share.

Overall results

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House of Representatives (IRV) – Turnout 92.43% (CV)
Party Votes % Swing (pp) Seats Change (seats)
  Liberal Party of Australia 115,184 32.94 +2.31 2 Steady
  Australian Labor Party 95,322 27.26 −6.35 2 Steady
  Australian Greens 41,972 12.00 +1.88 0 Steady
  Jacqui Lambie Network 23,730 6.79 +6.79 0 Steady
  Pauline Hanson's One Nation 13,970 3.99 +1.20 0 Steady
  United Australia Party 6,437 1.84 −3.01 0 Steady
  Liberal Democratic Party 5,064 1.45 +1.45 0 Steady
  Animal Justice Party 4,772 1.36 +0.88 0 Steady
  Local Party 4,254 1.22 +1.22 0 Steady
  Independent 38,993 11.50 −1.84 1 Steady
Total 349,698 5 Steady
Invalid/blank votes 21,734 5.85 +1.46
Turnout 371,432 92.43 –1.91
Registered voters 401,852
Two-party-preferred vote
  Labor 189,993 54.33 −1.63
  Liberal 159,705 45.67 +1.63
Source: AEC for both votes and seats

Results by division

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Bass

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2022 Australian federal election: Bass[1]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Bridget Archer 27,257 39.73 −2.60
Labor Ross Hart 19,630 28.61 −6.13
Greens Cecily Rosol 7,614 11.10 +0.62
Lambie Bob Salt 4,587 6.69 +6.69
Independent George Razay 3,450 5.03 +5.03
One Nation Melanie Davy 3,230 4.71 +4.71
United Australia Kyle Squibb 1,140 1.66 −3.20
Animal Justice Alison Baker 969 1.41 −1.02
Liberal Democrats Stephen Humble 732 1.07 +1.07
Total formal votes 68,609 94.07 −1.43
Informal votes 4,324 5.93 +1.43
Turnout 72,933 91.95 −2.09
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal Bridget Archer 35,288 51.43 +1.02
Labor Ross Hart 33,321 48.57 −1.02
Liberal hold Swing +1.02

Braddon

[edit]
2022 Australian federal election: Braddon[2]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Gavin Pearce 31,142 44.11 +6.22
Labor Chris Lynch 15,886 22.50 −9.56
Lambie Sophie Lehmann 6,966 9.87 +9.87
Independent Craig Garland 5,538 7.84 +7.84
Greens Darren Briggs 4,745 6.72 +1.88
One Nation Ludo Mineur 3,065 4.34 −1.20
United Australia Darren Bobbermien 1,000 1.42 −2.26
Liberal Democrats Duncan White 971 1.38 +1.38
Local Scott Rankin 719 1.02 +1.02
Animal Justice Keone Martin 566 0.80 +0.80
Total formal votes 70,598 92.76 −2.33
Informal votes 5,858 7.66 +0.58
Turnout 76,456 92.64 −2.45
Two-party-preferred result
Liberal Gavin Pearce 40,968 58.03 +4.94
Labor Chris Lynch 29,630 41.97 −4.94
Liberal hold Swing +4.94

Clark

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2022 Australian federal election: Clark[3]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Independent Andrew Wilkie 30,005 45.54 −4.51
Labor Simon Davis 12,364 18.76 −1.46
Liberal Will Coats 10,441 15.85 −1.52
Greens Janet Shelley 8,861 13.45 +3.88
One Nation Michelle Cameron 1,715 2.60 +2.60
United Australia Sandra Galloway 941 1.43 −1.36
Animal Justice Casey Davies 828 1.26 +1.26
Liberal Democrats Ian Ramsden 739 1.12 +1.12
Total formal votes 65,894 95.75 −1.81
Informal votes 2,924 4.25 +1.81
Turnout 68,818 92.13 −1.51
Notional two-party-preferred count
Labor Simon Davis 44,309 67.24 +1.07
Liberal Will Coats 21,585 32.76 −1.07
Two-candidate-preferred result
Independent Andrew Wilkie 46,668 70.82 −1.30
Labor Simon Davis 19,226 29.18 +1.30
Independent hold Swing −1.30

Franklin

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2022 Australian federal election: Franklin[4]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Julie Collins 26,147 36.69 −7.30
Liberal Kristy Johnson 19,048 26.73 −4.54
Greens Jade Darko 12,370 17.36 +1.11
Lambie Chris Hannan 4,215 5.92 +5.92
Local Anna Bateman 3,535 4.96 +4.96
One Nation Steve Hindley 2,033 2.85 +2.85
Liberal Democrats Duane Pitt 1,434 2.01 +2.01
United Australia Lisa Matthews 1,380 1.94 −4.76
Animal Justice Katrina Love 1,097 1.54 +1.54
Total formal votes 71,259 95.07 −1.78
Informal votes 3,696 4.93 +1.78
Turnout 74,955 93.41 −1.27
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Julie Collins 45,392 63.70 +1.49
Liberal Kristy Johnson 25,867 36.30 −1.49
Labor hold Swing +1.49

Lyons

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2022 Australian federal election: Lyons[5]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Susie Bower 27,296 37.22 +13.04
Labor Brian Mitchell 21,295 29.04 −7.42
Greens Liz Johnstone 8,382 11.43 +1.98
Lambie Troy Pfitzner 7,962 10.86 +10.86
One Nation Emma Goyne 3,927 5.35 −2.78
United Australia Jason Evans 1,976 2.69 −3.41
Animal Justice Anna Gralton 1,312 1.79 +1.79
Liberal Democrats Rhys Griffiths 1,188 1.62 +1.62
Total formal votes 73,338 93.70 −1.73
Informal votes 4,932 6.30 +1.73
Turnout 78,270 91.90 −2.28
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Brian Mitchell 37,341 50.92 −4.26
Liberal Susie Bower 35,997 49.08 +4.26
Labor hold Swing −4.26

Analysis

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Unlike mainland Australia, Tasmania saw the Liberal Party perform better than they did at the last election (where they gained two seats from Labor).

Some have suggested that the Coalition's performance in Tasmania improved due to the state's own Liberal government, which has been in power since 2014 under Will Hodgman, Peter Gutwein and Jeremy Rockliff, with the latter being the incumbent. At the time of the election, there were only two states with Liberal or Coalition governments: New South Wales and Tasmania. Following the defeat of New South Wales' three-term-incumbent Coalition government in 2023 under Dominic Perrottet (which saw Labor returning to power in a minority government for the first time in 12 years), Tasmania is currently the only state or territory in Australia to have a Liberal government.

In the primary vote, Labor had a swing against them of 6.35%, receiving less than 100,000 first preference votes. This was also the biggest swing to or against a major party in any state or territory except Western Australia. The Coalition technically had a swing against them of 1.66% given the fact that both the Liberals and the Nationals fielded candidates in Tasmania at the last election, but the Liberal Party saw a swing to them of 2.31% due to the absence of the Nationals. Labor had swings against them in the primary vote in every Tasmanian seat. While the Liberals did have relatively small swings against them in the primary vote in the seats of Bass, Clark and Franklin, they had a swing of over 8% to them in Braddon and a swing of over 12% to them in Lyons.

The Liberal Party won the seats of Bass and Braddon with increased majorities. In the highly marginal seat of Bass, Liberal MP Bridget Archer broke its trend of flipping at each election and won a second term. Braddon, which was traditionally a marginal seat, returned incumbent MP Gavin Pearce with a greatly increased majority. Labor retained the seat of Franklin with an increased majority, but almost lost Lyons, where the Liberal Party had a higher first-preference vote than Labor. Independent Andrew Wilkie, who was first elected to Clark in 2010, retained the seat with an increased majority.

Tasmania was the only state where the Coalition had a swing to them in the two-party-preferred vote, while Labor had a swing against them.

References

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  1. ^ Bass, TAS, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.
  2. ^ Braddon, TAS, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.
  3. ^ Clark, TAS, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.
  4. ^ Franklin, TAS, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.
  5. ^ Lyons, TAS, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.