Opinion polling for the 2022 Australian federal election
![]() 2022 Australian federal election |
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National results |
State and territory results |
In the lead-up to the 2022 Australian federal election, a number of polling companies conducted regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collected data on parties' primary vote, and contained an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote. They also asked questions about the electorates' views on major party leaders. Key polling companies are YouGov, Essential Media Communications, Roy Morgan Research, and Resolve Strategic.
Ipsos polls used to be published in The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age and the Australian Financial Review;[1][2] however following the shock result of the 2019 Australian federal election, when the Coalition won the election against all of the opinion polls' predictions, the Nine Entertainment group decided to discontinue its relationship with that company.[3] The newspapers did not report any Ipsos political polling until 4 Apr 2022,[4] but continued to report the results of other Ipsos polls.[5]
Graphical summary
[edit]Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last federal election. Local regression trends for each party, weighted by sample size, are shown as solid lines.
Two party preferred
[edit]Primary vote
[edit]Voting intention
[edit]Assessment of polling accuracy
[edit]Following the ‘polling failure’ of the 2019 Australian federal election, where all the major polling organisations’ final polls erroneously predicted a Labor victory, a great deal of attention was paid to changes in methodology and the accuracy of the polls at the 2022 election.
Post-election, several well-known psephologists undertook assessments of accuracy for the voting results produced by each major pollster’s final poll. These employed differing methods of assessment, but generally determined that the polling industry was more accurate overall than in 2019, though still tended to overstate Labor’s primary vote share.
William Bowe (The Poll Bludger) summed this up by saying, “The 2022 federal election was a much happier experience for the polling industry than 2019, with each of five pollster producing election eve primary vote numbers broadly suggestive of the actual result. However, there was a collective error in favour of Labor, whose actual primary vote came in 2.3% below the pollster consensus while the Coalition landed 0.4% higher”.[6]
Psephologists Dr. Adrian Beaumont of The Conversation found Resolve Strategic’s final poll for the Nine newspapers to be the most accurate.[7]
Dr. Kevin Bonham’s polling blog said YouGov (which conducts Newspoll) was the best poll in three of the five categories, and "made the most useful contributions to forecasting the result". Solely based on the final poll, he shared the honours between Resolve Strategic and Newspoll on the basis that the former performed better on three of the four measures in his analysis, but the latter performed better on the measure he considered to be more important. [8]
2022
[edit]Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | OTH | UND | L/NP | ALP | ||||
21 May 2022 | Election[9][10] | 35.7% | 32.6% | 12.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 10.4% | — | 47.9% | 52.1% | ||
23 May–5 Jun 2022 | ANU[11] | CATI/online | 3556 | 31.9% | 35.4% | 19.8% | — | — | 12.9%[a] | — | — | — |
21–25 May 2022 | Dynata (Exit Poll)[12] | Online | 1424 | 33% | 41% | 11% | 4% | — | 11% | — | — | — |
13–19 May 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[13] | Online | 2188 | 35% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 9% | — | 47% | 53% |
15–18 May 2022 | Ipsos[14] | Telephone/online | 1996 | 35% | 36% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 8% | — | 47% | 53% |
12–17 May 2022 | Resolve Strategic[15][16] | Telephone/online | 2049 | 34.4% | 31.3% | 13.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 10.5%[b] | — | 48.8% | 51.2% |
14–16 May 2022 | Essential[17] | Online | 1600 | 36% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 6%[c] | 7% | 46% | 48% |
9–15 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[18] | Telephone/online | 1366 | 34% | 34% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 14% | — | 47% | 53% |
10–13 May 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[19] | Online | 1532 | 35% | 38% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 7% | — | 46% | 54% |
9 May 2022 | Early voting begins[20] | |||||||||||
2–8 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[21] | Telephone/online | 1401 | 34% | 35.5% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 12.5% | — | 45.5% | 54.5% |
4–7 May 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[22] | Online | 1523 | 35% | 39% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 6% | — | 46% | 54% |
4–7 May 2022 | Ipsos[23] | Telephone/online | 2311 | 29% | 35% | 12% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 7% | 43% | 57% |
25 Apr–1 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[24] | Telephone/online | 1487 | 35% | 35% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 13% | — | 44.5% | 55.5% |
27–30 Apr 2022 | Essential[25] | Online | 1500 | 36% | 35% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 45% | 49% |
27–30 Apr 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[26] | Online | 1538 | 36% | 38% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 6% | — | 47% | 53% |
27–30 Apr 2022 | Resolve Strategic[27] | Online | 1408 | 33% | 34% | 15% | 5% | 5% | 8% | — | 46% | 54% |
18–24 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[28] | Telephone/online | 1393 | 35.5% | 35% | 12% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 11.5% | — | 45.5% | 54.5% |
20–23 Apr 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[29] | Online | 1538 | 36% | 37% | 11% | 3% | 4% | 9% | — | 47% | 53% |
20–23 Apr 2022 | Ipsos[30] | Telephone/online | 2302 | 32% | 34% | 12% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 45% | 55% |
19–20 Apr 2022 | Essential[31] | Online | 1052 | 37% | 35% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 46% | 47% |
11–17 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[32] | Telephone/online | 1382 | 35.5% | 35% | 14% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 9.5% | — | 45% | 55% |
14–17 Apr 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[33] | Online | 1510 | 35% | 36% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 9% | — | 47% | 53% |
11–16 Apr 2022 | Resolve Strategic[34] | Online | 1404 | 35% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 13% | — | — | — |
10 Apr 2022 | Australian federal election campaign begins with calling of 21 May election[35] | |||||||||||
4–10 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[36] | Telephone/online | 1384 | 32.5% | 36% | 12.5% | 5% | 1.5% | 12.5% | — | 43% | 57% |
6–9 Apr 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[37] | Online | 1506 | 36% | 37% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 10% | — | 47% | 53% |
31 Mar–3 Apr 2022 | Resolve Strategic[38] | Online | 1681 | 34% | 38% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 12% | — | — | — |
28 Mar–3 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[39] | Telephone/online | 1367 | 33% | 39.5% | 11% | 3.5% | 1% | 12% | — | 43% | 57% |
31 Mar–3 Apr 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[40] | Online | 1531 | 36% | 38% | 10% | 3% | 3% | 10% | — | 46% | 54% |
30 Mar–2 Apr 2022 | Essential[41] | Online | 1086 | 37% | 36% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 45% | 50% |
30 Mar–2 Apr 2022 | Ipsos[42] | Telephone/online | 2563 | 31% | 35% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 7% | 42% | 51% |
21–27 Mar 2022 | Roy Morgan[43] | Online | 1404 | 33% | 35.5% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 1% | 14.5% | — | 44.5% | 55.5% |
14–16 Mar 2022 | Essential[17] | Online | 1600 | 36% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 6%[d] | 7% | 46% | 48% |
14–20 Mar 2022 | Roy Morgan[44] | Telephone/online | 1418 | 31% | 37.5% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 15.5% | — | 42% | 58% |
3–13 Mar 2022 | Roy Morgan[45] | Telephone/online | 1947 | 33.5% | 37% | 11.5% | 3% | 1% | 14%[e] | — | 44% | 56% |
9–12 Mar 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[46] | Online | 1520 | 35% | 41% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 10% | — | 45% | 55% |
2–6 Mar 2022 | Essential[47] | Online | 1093 | 36% | 35% | 10% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 44% | 49% |
24 Feb–3 Mar 2022 | Roy Morgan[48] | Telephone/online | 1141 | 34% | 37.5% | 11.5% | 3.5% | 1% | 12.5%[f] | — | 43.5% | 56.5% |
23–26 Feb 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[49] | Online | 1525 | 35% | 41% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 8% | — | 45% | 55% |
14–23 Feb 2022 | Roy Morgan[50] | Telephone/online | 2261 | 32.5% | 37.5% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 12.5%[g] | — | 43.5% | 56.5% |
15–20 Feb 2022 | Resolve Strategic[51] | Online | 1604 | 33% | 35% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 15% | — | — | — |
17–20 Feb 2022 | Essential[52] | Online | 1089 | 35% | 38% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 45% | 49% |
31 Jan–13 Feb 2022 | Roy Morgan[53] | Telephone/online | 2796 | 33% | 38.5% | 11.5% | 4% | 1.5% | 11.5% | — | 43% | 57% |
9–12 Feb 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[54] | Online | 1526 | 34% | 41% | 8% | 3% | — | 14% | — | 45% | 55% |
2–6 Feb 2022 | Essential[55] | Online | 1069 | 37% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 46% | 47% |
27–30 Jan 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[56] | Online | 1523 | 34% | 41% | 11% | 3% | — | 11% | — | 44% | 56% |
17–30 Jan 2022 | Roy Morgan[57] | Telephone/online | 2783 | 33% | 37.5% | 11.5% | 3.5% | 2% | 12.5% | — | 43.5% | 56.5% |
20–23 Jan 2022 | Essential[58] | Online | 1062 | 36% | 37% | 8% | 3% | — | 9% | 8% | 43% | 50% |
4–16 Jan 2022 | Roy Morgan[59] | Telephone/online | 2791 | 34.5% | 37% | 12% | 3% | 0.5% | 13% | — | 44% | 56% |
11–15 Jan 2022 | Resolve Strategic[60] | Online | 1607 | 34% | 35% | 11% | 3% | — | 17% | — | — | — |
2019–2021
[edit]Date | Brand | Interview mode | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2pp vote | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | OTH | UND | L/NP | ALP | ||||
8–13 Dec 2021 | Essential[61] | Online | 1095 | 36% | 36% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 45% | 47% |
11–12, 18–19 Dec 2021 | Roy Morgan[62][63] | Telephone/online | — | 34.5% | 37% | 11.5% | 4% | 13% | — | 44.5% | 55.5% |
1–5 Dec 2021 | Essential[64] | Online | 1094 | 38% | 35% | 10% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 45% | 48% |
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 | Roy Morgan[65] | Telephone/online | 2805 | 34.5% | 36% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 13.5%[h] | — | 43.5% | 56.5% |
1–4 Dec 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[66] | Online | 1518 | 36% | 38% | 10% | 3% | 13% | — | 47% | 53% |
17–21 Nov 2021 | Essential[67][68] | Online | 1095 | 36% | 37% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 45% | 48% |
17–21 Nov 2021 | Resolve Strategic[69] | Online | 1781 | 39% | 32% | 11% | 3% | 14% | — | — | — |
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 | Roy Morgan[70] | Telephone/online | 2795 | 35.5% | 35.5% | 12% | 3.5% | 13.5% | — | 44.5% | 55.5% |
10–13 Nov 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[71] | Online | 1524 | 37% | 38% | 11% | 2% | 12% | — | 47% | 53% |
3–7 Nov 2021 | Essential[67][68] | Online | 1089 | 35% | 37% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 44% | 46% |
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021 | Roy Morgan[72] | Telephone/online | 2723 | 36.5% | 35% | 11.5% | 3% | 14% | — | 46.5% | 53.5% |
20–24 Oct 2021 | Essential[73] | Online | 1781 | 37% | 36% | 10% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 44% | 49% |
20–24 Oct 2021 | Resolve Strategic[74][75] | Online | ~1600 | 37% | 34% | 11% | 3% | 14% | — | — | — |
16–17, 23–24 Oct 2021 | Roy Morgan[76] | Telephone/online | 2778 | 36.5% | 35% | 13.5% | 3.5% | 11.5% | — | 46% | 54% |
20–23 Oct 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[77] | Online | 1515[78] | 35% | 38% | 11% | 3% | 13% | — | 46% | 54% |
6–10 Oct 2021 | Essential[73] | Online | 1097 | 36% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 45% | 46% |
2–3, 9–10 Oct 2021 | Roy Morgan[79] | Telephone/online | 2794 | 37.5% | 36% | 11.5% | 3% | 12% | — | 47% | 53% |
29 Sep–2 Oct 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[80] | Online | 1545 | 37% | 37% | 11% | 2% | 13% | — | 47% | 53% |
22–26 Sep 2021 | Essential[73] | Online | 1094 | 38% | 36% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 46% | 48% |
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 | Roy Morgan[81] | Telephone/online | 2752 | 36% | 36% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 12% | — | 46% | 54% |
15–19 Sep 2021 | Resolve Strategic[82] | Online | 1606 | 39% | 31% | 10% | 4% | 16% | — | — | — |
15–18 Sep 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[83] | Online | 2144 | 37% | 38% | 10% | 3% | 12% | — | 47% | 53% |
8–12 Sep 2021 | Essential[73] | Online | 1100 | 38% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 46% | 46% |
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 | Roy Morgan[84] | Telephone/online | 2735 | 39.5% | 35% | 13% | 3% | 10% | — | 47.5% | 52.5% |
25–29 Aug 2021 | Essential[73] | Online | 1100 | 38% | 36% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 45% | 48% |
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[85] | Telephone/online | 2735 | 37.5% | 38.5% | 11.5% | 3% | 9.5% | — | 45.5% | 54.5% |
25–28 Aug 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[86] | Online | 1528 | 36% | 40% | 10% | 3% | 11% | — | 46% | 54% |
17–21 Aug 2021 | Resolve Strategic[87] | Online | 1607 | 40% | 32% | 12% | 2% | 14% | — | — | — |
16 Aug 2021 | Essential[73] | Online | — | 37% | 36% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 45% | 47% |
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[88] | Telephone/online | 2747 | 37.5% | 37.5% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 9% | — | 46% | 54% |
4–7 Aug 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[89] | Online | 1527 | 39% | 39% | 11% | 3% | 8% | — | 47% | 53% |
2 Aug 2021 | Essential[73] | Online | — | 38% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 45% | 47% |
24–25, 31 Jul–1 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[90] | Telephone/online | 2709 | 37% | 37% | 12.5% | 3% | 10.5% | — | 46.5% | 53.5% |
19 Jul 2021 | Essential[91] | Online | — | 37% | 36% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 45% | 47% |
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021 | Roy Morgan[92] | Telephone/online | 2737 | 39% | 37% | 11.5% | 3% | 9.5% | — | 47.5% | 52.5% |
13–17 Jul 2021 | Resolve Strategic[93] | Online | 1607 | 38% | 35% | 12% | 4% | 12% | — | — | — |
14–17 Jul 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[94] | Online | 1506 | 39% | 39% | 10% | 3% | 9% | — | 47% | 53% |
5 Jul 2021 | Essential[91] | Online | — | 37% | 36% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 44% | 48% |
23–26 Jun 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[95] | Online | 1513 | 41% | 37% | 11% | 3% | 8% | — | 49% | 51% |
22 Jun 2021 | Barnaby Joyce replaces Michael McCormack as National Party leader and Deputy Prime Minister[96] | ||||||||||
21 Jun 2021 | Essential[91] | Online | — | 38% | 36% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 45% | 47% |
12–13, 19–20 Jun 2021 | Roy Morgan[97] | Telephone/online | 2782 | 41.5% | 34.5% | 12% | 3.5% | 8.5% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
13 Jun 2021 | Resolve Strategic[98] | Online | 1600 | 40% | 36% | 10% | 3% | 12% | — | — | — |
7 Jun 2021 | Essential[91] | Online | — | 38% | 35% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 44% | 48% |
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021 | Roy Morgan[99] | Telephone/online | 2817 | 40% | 35.5% | 11.5% | 3% | 10% | — | 49% | 51% |
2–5 Jun 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[100] | Online | 1516 | 41% | 36% | 11% | 3% | 9% | — | 50% | 50% |
24 May 2021 | Essential[91] | Online | — | 37% | 35% | 10% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 44% | 48% |
12–16 May 2021 | Resolve Strategic[101] | Online | 1622 | 39% | 35% | 12% | 2% | 13% | — | — | — |
12–15 May 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[102] | Online | 1506 | 41% | 36% | 12% | 2% | 9% | — | 49% | 51% |
10 May 2021 | Essential[91] | Online | — | 38% | 36% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 44% | 48% |
26 Apr 2021 | Essential[91] | Online | — | 39% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 46% | 46% |
21–24 Apr 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[103] | Online | 1514 | 41% | 38% | 10% | 3% | 8% | — | 49% | 51% |
16 Apr 2021 | Resolve Strategic[104] | CATI/online | 2000 | 38% | 33% | 12% | 6% | 11% | — | — | — |
12 Apr 2021 | Essential[91] | Online | — | 37% | 36% | 10% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 45% | 48% |
29 Mar 2021 | Essential[91] | Online | — | 39% | 36% | 8% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 46% | 47% |
24–27 Mar 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[105] | Online | 1517 | 40% | 38% | 11% | 2% | 9% | — | 48% | 52% |
15 Mar 2021 | Essential[91] | Online | — | 38% | 34% | 9% | 3% | 8% | 7% | 47% | 47% |
6–7, 13–14 Mar 2021 | Roy Morgan[106] | Telephone/online | 2747 | 41% | 34.5% | 12.5% | 2.5% | 9.5% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
10–13 Mar 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[107] | Online | 1521 | 39% | 39% | 10% | 3% | 9% | — | 48% | 52% |
1 Mar 2021 | Essential[91] | Online | — | 37% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 7% | 45% | 48% |
17–20 Feb 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[108] | Online | 1504 | 42% | 37% | 10% | 3% | 8% | — | 50% | 50% |
15 Feb 2021 | Essential[91] | Online | — | 39% | 35% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 47% | 47% |
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 | Roy Morgan[109] | Telephone/online | 2786 | 40% | 34.5% | 13% | 3.5% | 9% | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
27 Jan–1 Feb 2021 | Essential[110][111] | Online | 1092 | 37% | 35% | 10% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 44% | 47% |
27–30 Jan 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[112] | Online | 1512 | 42% | 36% | 10% | 3% | 9% | — | 50% | 50% |
18 Jan 2021 | Essential[110] | Online | — | 40% | 33% | 10% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 48% | 45% |
14 Dec 2020 | Essential[110] | Online | — | 37% | 35% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 45% | 46% |
30 Nov 2020 | Essential[110] | Online | — | 41% | 33% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 49% | 43% |
25–28 Nov 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[113] | Online | 1511 | 43% | 36% | 11% | 2% | 8% | — | 51% | 49% |
16 Nov 2020 | Essential[110] | Online | — | 38% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 45% | 47% |
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 | Roy Morgan[114] | Telephone/online | 2824 | 42% | 34% | 12% | 4% | 8% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
4–7 Nov 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[115] | Online | 1510 | 43% | 35% | 11% | 3% | 8% | — | 51% | 49% |
2 Nov 2020 | Essential[110] | Online | — | 39% | 35% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 44% | 46% |
14–19 Oct 2020 | Essential[116] | Online | — | 39% | 35% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 48% | 45% |
12 Oct 2020 | Essential[116] | Online | — | 40% | 33% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 47% | 44% |
8–10 Oct 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[117] | Online | 1527 | 44% | 34% | 11% | 3% | 8% | — | 52% | 48% |
5 Oct 2020 | Essential[116] | Online | — | 39% | 34% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 47% | 46% |
21 Sep 2020 | Essential[116] | Online | — | 41% | 31% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 49% | 42% |
16–19 Sep 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[118] | Online | 2068 | 43% | 34% | 12% | 3% | 8% | — | 51% | 49% |
7 Sep 2020 | Essential[116] | Online | — | 38% | 32% | 10% | 3% | 9% | 8% | 45% | 47% |
26–29 Aug 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[119] | Online | 1507 | 41% | 36% | 11% | 3% | 9% | — | 50% | 50% |
24 Aug 2020 | Essential[116] | Online | — | 39% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 47% | 45% |
10 Aug 2020 | Essential[116] | Online | — | 38% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 10% | 46% | 44% |
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 | Roy Morgan[120] | Telephone/online | 2841 | 46% | 32.5% | 11% | 3% | 7.5% | — | 54% | 46% |
5–8 Aug 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[121] | Online | 1509 | 43% | 33% | 11% | 4% | 9% | — | 52% | 48% |
23–26 Jul 2020 | Essential[122] | Online | 1058 | 38% | 35% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 45% | 47% |
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 | Roy Morgan[123] | Telephone/online | 2589 | 43.5% | 33.5% | 11% | 2.5% | 9.5% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
15–18 Jul 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[124] | Online | 1850 | 44% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 8% | — | 53% | 47% |
13 Jul 2020 | Essential[122] | Online | 1054 | 37% | 34% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 45% | 46% |
29 Jun 2020 | Essential[122] | Online | 1079 | 39% | 33% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 47% | 45% |
24–27 Jun 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[125] | Online | 1521 | 42% | 35% | 11% | 3% | 9% | — | 51% | 49% |
22 Jun 2020 | Essential[122] | Online | 1079 | 39% | 33% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 48% | 46% |
13–14, 20–21 Jun 2020 | Roy Morgan[126] | Telephone/online | 2593 | 42.5% | 34.5% | 10.5% | 4% | 8.5% | — | 50.5% | 49.5% |
15 Jun 2020 | Essential[122] | Online | 1087 | 38% | 35% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 47% | 47% |
8 Jun 2020 | Essential[122] | Online | 1073 | 40% | 33% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 47% | 45% |
3–6 Jun 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[127] | Online | 1512 | 42% | 34% | 12% | 4% | 8% | — | 51% | 49% |
13–16 May 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[128] | Online | 1504 | 43% | 35% | 10% | 3% | 9% | — | 51% | 49% |
18–19, 25–26 Apr 2020 | Roy Morgan[129] | Telephone/online | 2806 | 43.5% | 33% | 11.5% | 3% | 9% | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
22–25 Apr 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[130] | Online | 1519 | 41% | 36% | 12% | 4% | 7% | — | 50% | 50% |
1–3 Apr 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[131] | Online | 1508 | 42% | 34% | 13% | 5% | 6% | — | 51% | 49% |
11–14 Mar 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[132] | Online | 1501 | 40% | 36% | 12% | 4% | 8% | — | 49% | 51% |
27 Feb 2020 | COVID-19 pandemic declared a national emergency[133] | ||||||||||
19–22 Feb 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[134] | Online | 1513 | 38% | 34% | 13% | 4% | 11% | — | 49% | 51% |
20 Jan–3 Feb 2020 | ANU[135] | CATI/online | 3249 | 34.8% | 33.4% | 14.7% | — | 10.5% | — | — | — |
4 Feb 2020 | Adam Bandt replaces Richard Di Natale as Greens leader[136] | ||||||||||
29 Jan–1 Feb 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[137] | Online | 1510 | 38% | 35% | 13% | 4% | 10% | — | 48% | 52% |
8–11 Jan 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[138] | Online | 1505 | 40% | 36% | 12% | 4% | 8% | — | 49% | 51% |
4–8 Dec 2019 | Newspoll-YouGov[139] | Online | 1503 | 42% | 33% | 11% | 5% | 9% | — | 52% | 48% |
21–23 Nov 2019 | Newspoll-YouGov[140] | Online[141] | 1519 | 41% | 33% | 12% | 5% | 9% | — | 51% | 49% |
7–10 Nov 2019 | Newspoll-YouGov[142] | IVR/online | 1682 | 40% | 35% | 12% | 7% | 6% | — | 50% | 50% |
17–20 Oct 2019 | Newspoll-YouGov[143] | IVR/online | 1634 | 42% | 33% | 13% | 6% | 6% | — | 51% | 49% |
26–29 Sep 2019 | Newspoll-YouGov[144] | IVR/online | 1658 | 42% | 33% | 13% | 6% | 6% | — | 51% | 49% |
5–7 Sep 2019 | Newspoll-YouGov[145] | IVR/online | 1661 | 43% | 35% | 12% | 5% | 5% | — | 51% | 49% |
15–18 Aug 2019 | Newspoll-YouGov[146] | IVR/online | 1623 | 42% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 9% | — | 51% | 49% |
25–28 Jul 2019 | Newspoll-YouGov[147] | IVR/online | 1601 | 44% | 33% | 11% | 3% | 9% | — | 53% | 47% |
30 May 2019 | Anthony Albanese replaces Bill Shorten as Labor leader[148] | ||||||||||
18 May 2019 | Election[149] | 41.44% | 33.34% | 10.4% | 3.08% | 11.74% | — | 51.53% | 48.47% |
Polling for individual seats
[edit]Australian Capital Territory
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New South Wales
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Queensland
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South Australia
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Western Australia
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Preferred prime minister
[edit]Date | Firm | Interview mode | Sample size | Preferred Prime Minister | Morrison | Albanese | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morrison | Albanese | Don't Know | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't Know | ||||
13–19 May 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[13] | Online | 2188 | 42% | 42% | 16% | 41% | 54% | 5% | 41% | 46% | 13% |
15–18 May 2022[14] | Ipsos[14] | Telephone/online | 1996 | 39% | 42% | 19% | 34% | 51% | 15% | 33% | 37% | 30% |
12–17 May 2022 | Resolve Strategic[15] | Telephone/online | 2049 | 40% | 36% | 24% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
10–13 May 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[19] | Online | 1532 | 43% | 42% | 15% | 42% | 53% | 5% | 38% | 49% | 13% |
4–7 May 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[22] | Telephone/online | 1538 | 44% | 42% | 14% | 41% | 55% | 4% | 41% | 47% | 12% |
4–7 May 2022 | Ipsos[23] | Telephone/Online | 2311 | 36% | 41% | 24% | 32% | 51% | 18% | 30% | 36% | 34% |
27–30 Apr 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[26] | Telephone/online | 1538 | 45% | 39% | 17% | 44% | 51% | 5% | 40% | 49% | 12% |
20–23 Apr 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[29] | Telephone/Online | 1538 | 46% | 37% | 17% | 42% | 54% | 4% | 38% | 50% | 12% |
20–23 Apr 2022 | Ipsos[30] | Telephone/Online | 2302 | 38% | 40% | 22% | 34% | 48% | 18% | 31% | 35% | 34% |
17–20 Apr 2022 | Essential[31] | Online | 1052 | 40% | 36% | 24% | 44% | 48% | 8% | 41% | 41% | 17% |
11–16 Apr 2022 | Resolve Political Monitor[34] | Online | 1404 | 38% | 30% | 32% | 44% | 47% | 9% | 35% | 44% | 21% |
6–9 Apr 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[37] | Online | 1506 | 44% | 39% | 17% | 42% | 54% | 4% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
31 Mar–3 Apr 2022 | Resolve Political Monitor | Online | 1681 | 36% | 37% | 15% | 39% | 53% | 8% | 38% | 42% | 20% |
31 Mar–3 Apr 2022 | Newspoll | Online | 1531 | 43% | 42% | 15% | 42% | 54% | 4% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
31 Mar–2 Apr 2022 | Ipsos | Telephone/Online | 2563 | 37% | 38% | 25% | 33% | 48% | 19% | 30% | 32% | 38% |
9–12 Mar 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[46] | Online | 1520 | 42% | 42% | 16% | 41% | 55% | 4% | 44% | 42% | 14% |
23–26 Feb 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[49] | Online | 1525 | 42% | 40% | 18% | 43% | 55% | 2% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
17–20 Feb 2022 | Essential[52] | Online | 1089 | 40% | 35% | 25% | 44% | 49% | 7% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
9–12 Feb 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[54] | Online | 1526 | 43% | 38% | 19% | 40% | 56% | 4% | 40% | 46% | 14% |
27–30 Jan 2022 | Newspoll-YouGov[56] | Online | 1523 | 43% | 41% | 16% | 39% | 58% | 3% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
20–23 Jan 2022 | Essential[52] | Online | 1001 | 42% | 35% | 23% | 46% | 46% | 8% | 39% | 39% | 22% |
11–15 Jan 2022 | Resolve Political Monitor[172] | Online | 1607 | 38% | 31% | 31% | 41% | 50% | 9% | 34% | 41% | 28% |
1–4 Dec 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[66] | Online | — | 45% | 36% | 19% | 44% | 52% | 4% | 39% | 45% | 16% |
10–13 Nov 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[71] | Online | — | 46% | 38% | 16% | 44% | 52% | 4% | 37% | 48% | 15% |
20–23 Oct 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[77] | Online | — | 48% | 34% | 18% | 46% | 50% | 4% | 37% | 46% | 17% |
29 Sep–2 Oct 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[80] | Online | 1545 | 47% | 34% | 19% | 48% | 49% | 3% | 37% | 47% | 16% |
15–18 Sep 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[83] | Online | — | 47% | 35% | 18% | 46% | 50% | 4% | 37% | 48% | 15% |
25–28 Aug 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[86] | Online | 1528 | 50% | 34% | 16% | 49% | 47% | 4% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
4–7 Aug 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[89] | Online | 1527 | 49% | 36% | 15% | 47% | 49% | 4% | 38% | 46% | 16% |
13–17 Jul 2021 | Resolve Political Monitor[93] | CATI/online | 1600 | 45% | 24% | 31% | 45% | 46% | 9% | 30% | 46% | 24% |
14–17 Jul 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[94] | Online | 1506 | 51% | 33% | 16% | 51% | 45% | 4% | 38% | 46% | 16% |
6 Jul 2021 | Essential[173] | Online | 1099 | 46% | 28% | 26% | 51% | 40% | 9% | 41% | 35% | 24% |
23–26 Jun 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[95] | Online | 1513 | 53% | 33% | 14% | 55% | 41% | 4% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
13 Jun 2021 | Resolve Political Monitor[98] | CATI/online | 1600 | 46% | 23% | 31% | 48% | 41% | 11% | 31% | 44% | 25% |
8 Jun 2021 | Essential[174] | Online | 1104 | 48% | 28% | 24% | 57% | 36% | 8% | 39% | 36% | 24% |
2–5 Jun 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[100] | Online | 1516 | 53% | 32% | 15% | 54% | 43% | 3% | 38% | 47% | 15% |
12–16 May 2021 | Resolve Political Monitor[101] | CATI/online | 1622 | 48% | 25% | 27% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12–15 May 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[102] | Online | 1506 | 55% | 30% | 15% | 58% | 38% | 4% | 39% | 46% | 15% |
21–24 Apr 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[103] | Online | 1514 | 56% | 30% | 14% | 59% | 37% | 4% | 40% | 43% | 17% |
16 Apr 2021 | Resolve Political Monitor[175] | CATI/online | 2000 | 47% | 25% | 28% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 Apr 2021 | Essential[176] | Online | 1368 | 47% | 28% | 25% | 54% | 37% | 9% | 39% | 34% | 27% |
24–27 Mar 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[105] | Online | 1517 | 52% | 32% | 16% | 55% | 40% | 5% | 42% | 40% | 18% |
16, 30 Mar 2021 | Essential[177][178] | Online | 1100 | 52% | 26% | 22% | 57% | 35% | 8% | 41% | 32% | 27% |
10–13 Mar 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[107] | Online | 1521 | 56% | 30% | 14% | 62% | 34% | 4% | 42% | 41% | 17% |
17–20 Feb 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[108] | Online | 1504 | 61% | 26% | 13% | 64% | 32% | 4% | 38% | 45% | 17% |
27–30 Jan 2021 | Newspoll-YouGov[112] | Online | 1512 | 57% | 29% | 14% | 63% | 33% | 4% | 41% | 43% | 16% |
15 Dec 2020 | Essential[179] | Online | 1071 | 50% | 24% | 26% | 62% | 28% | 10% | 43% | 29% | 28% |
25–28 Nov 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[113] | Online | 1511 | 60% | 28% | 12% | 66% | 30% | 4% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
4–6 Nov 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[115] | Online | 1510 | 58% | 29% | 13% | 64% | 31% | 5% | 43% | 39% | 18% |
8–10 Oct 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[117] | Online | 1527 | 57% | 28% | 15% | 65% | 31% | 4% | 39% | 43% | 18% |
16–19 Sep 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[118] | Online | 2068 | 59% | 27% | 14% | 65% | 31% | 4% | 39% | 40% | 21% |
26–29 Aug 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[119] | Online | 1507 | 58% | 29% | 13% | 64% | 32% | 4% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
6–9 Aug 2020 | Essential[180] | Online | 1010 | 52% | 22% | 26% | 66% | 23% | 11% | 44% | 30% | 26% |
5–8 Aug 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[121] | Online | 1509 | 60% | 25% | 15% | 68% | 29% | 3% | 41% | 38% | 15% |
15–18 Jul 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[124] | Online | 1850 | 59% | 26% | 15% | 68% | 27% | 5% | 41% | 40% | 19% |
9–12 Jul 2020 | Essential[181] | Online | 1054 | 50% | 27% | 23% | 63% | 27% | 10% | 44% | 28% | 28% |
24–27 Jun 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[125] | Online | 1521 | 58% | 26% | 16% | 68% | 27% | 5% | 42% | 40% | 18% |
3–6 Jun 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[127] | Online | 1512 | 56% | 26% | 18% | 66% | 29% | 5% | 41% | 38% | 21% |
2 Jun 2020 | Essential[182] | Online | 1059 | 53% | 23% | 24% | 65% | 26% | 9% | 43% | 30% | 27% |
13–16 May 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[128] | Online | 1504 | 56% | 29% | 15% | 66% | 30% | 4% | 44% | 37% | 19% |
5 May 2020 | Essential[183] | Online | 1093 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 64% | 27% | 9% | 42% | 27% | 31% |
22–25 Apr 2020 | Newspoll-YouGov[184] | Online | 1508 | 56% | 28% | 16% | 68% | 28% | 4% | 45% | 34% | 21% |
Sub-national polling
[edit]Some pollsters provided breakdowns of their polls by state, whilst others only poll a specific state. These results are listed by state below.
New South Wales
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | UAP | ONP | IND | OTH | L/NP | ALP | |||
12–17 May 2022 | Resolve Strategic[15] | — | 39% | 28% | 14% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 52.2% | 47.8% |
17 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[18] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 48% | 52% |
10 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[185] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 48.5% | 51.5% |
3 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[186] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 44% | 56% |
30 Apr 2022 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 30% | 41% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 41.6% | 58.4% |
27 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[28] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 45% | 55% |
20 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[32] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46.5% | 53.5% |
16 Apr 2022 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 36% | 35% | 10% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 3% | 48% | 52% |
11 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[188] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 45% | 55% |
4 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[189] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 45% | 55% |
3 Apr 2022 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 36% | 36% | 11% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 3% | 47.2% | 52.8% |
29 Mar 2022 | Roy Morgan[190] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 47% | 53% |
14-20 Mar 2022 | Roy Morgan[191] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 42.5% | 57.5% |
14-23 Feb 2022 | Roy Morgan[192] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43.5% | 56.5% |
20 Feb 2022 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 34% | 35% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 7% | 47.6% | 52.4% |
18 Feb 2022 | Roy Morgan[193] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 41% | 59% |
12 Feb 2022 | NSW by-elections in Monaro, Bega, Strathfield & Willoughby[194] | ||||||||||
4–16 Jan 2022 | Roy Morgan[59] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 42% | 58% |
15 Jan 2022 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 38% | 36% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 11% | 4% | 47.9% | 52.1% |
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 | Roy Morgan[65] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 44.5% | 55.5% |
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 | Roy Morgan[70] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 44.5% | 55.5% |
20 Nov 2021 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 41% | 29% | 11% | 3% | 2% | 12% | 2% | 53% | 47% |
24 Oct 2021 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 40% | 34% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 10% | 5% | 49.6% | 50.4% |
5 Oct 2021 | Gladys Berejiklian resigns as Premier of New South Wales[195] | ||||||||||
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 | Roy Morgan[81] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46.5% | 53.5% |
19 Sep 2021 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 43% | 31% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 46.6% | 53.4% |
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021 | Newspoll[citation needed] | 2057 | 39% | 38% | 11% | — | 1% | — | 11% | 48% | 52% |
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 | Roy Morgan[84] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46% | 54% |
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[85] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 47% | 53% |
22 Aug 2021 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 40% | 31% | 14% | — | 3% | 9% | 3% | 50.8% | 49.2% |
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[196] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 48% | 52% |
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[90] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49% | 51% |
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021 | Resolve Strategic[93] | — | 38% | 33% | 12% | — | 1% | — | 16% | 49.3% | 50.7% |
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021 | Roy Morgan[citation needed] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021 | Newspoll[citation needed] | 1861 | 42% | 37% | 11% | — | 1% | — | 9% | 50% | 50% |
13 Jun 2021 | Resolve Strategic[197] | — | 46% | 32% | 10% | — | 1% | — | 11% | 54.3% | 45.7% |
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021 | Roy Morgan[citation needed] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
12–16 May 2021 | Resolve Strategic[101] | — | 39% | 36% | 12% | — | 1% | — | 12% | 48.2% | 51.8% |
16 Apr 2021 | Resolve Strategic[175] | — | 41% | 29% | 12% | — | 7% | — | 11% | 53.5% | 46.5% |
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021 | Newspoll[198] | 1779 | 42% | 36% | 11% | — | 7% | — | 10% | 50% | 50% |
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 | Roy Morgan[199] | 2786 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 54% | 46% |
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020 | Newspoll[200] | 2304 | 44% | 36% | 11% | — | 1% | — | 8% | 51% | 49% |
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 | Roy Morgan[114] | 2824 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 | Roy Morgan[120] | 2841 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 56.5% | 43.5% |
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020 | Newspoll[201] | 457–2034 | 42% | 37% | 11% | — | 1% | — | 9% | 49% | 51% |
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 | Roy Morgan[123] | 2589 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
11 Mar – 16 May 2020 | Newspoll[202] | 472–1905 | 42% | 36% | 11% | — | 2% | — | 9% | 50% | 50% |
7–8 Dec 2019 | Newspoll[203] | 930–1472 | 42% | 35% | 10% | — | 2% | — | 12% | 51% | 45% |
Election: 18 May 2019 | [204] | 42.54% | 34.56% | 8.71% | 3.38% | 1.31% | 4.62% | 4.88% | 51.78% | 48.22% |
Victoria
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | IND | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
12–17 May 2022 | Resolve Strategic[15] | — | 35% | 32% | 14% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 52.1% | 47.9% |
17 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[18] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 57% | 43% |
10 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[185] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 61% | 39% |
3 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[186] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 63.5% | 36.5% |
30 Apr 2022 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 30% | 35% | 16% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 56% | 44% |
27 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[28] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60% | 40% |
20 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[32] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 58% | 42% |
16 Apr 2022 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 35% | 32% | 12% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 51.3% | 48.7% |
11 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[188] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 58% | 42% |
4 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[189] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60.5% | 39.5% |
3 Apr 2022 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 34% | 36% | 11% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 51.8% | 48.2% |
29 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[190] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60% | 40% |
14-20 Mar 2022 | Roy Morgan[191] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 64% | 36% |
14-23 Feb 2022 | Roy Morgan[192] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60% | 40% |
20 Feb 2022 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 31% | 31% | 11% | 0% | 7% | 13% | 6% | 52.7% | 47.3% |
18 Feb 2022 | Roy Morgan[193] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 57.5% | 42.5% |
4–16 Jan 2022 | Roy Morgan[59] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 59% | 41% |
15 Jan 2022 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 29% | 40% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 58.6% | 41.4% |
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 | Roy Morgan[65] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 58.5% | 41.5% |
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 | Roy Morgan[72] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 58% | 42% |
20 Nov 2021 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 37% | 35% | 12% | 0% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 52.3% | 47.7% |
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021 | Roy Morgan[72] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 55% | 45% |
24 Oct 2021 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 36% | 33% | 13% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 5% | 52.1% | 47.9% |
19 Sep 2021 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 38% | 33% | 11% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 50.6% | 49.4% |
Jul – Sep 2021 | Resolve Strategic[205] | — | 37% | 35% | 11% | 1% | — | — | 15% | 51.9% | 48.1% |
22 Aug 2021 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 39% | 33% | 13% | 0% | — | 11% | 5% | 50.7% | 49.3% |
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 | Roy Morgan[81] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 56% | 44% |
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021 | Newspoll[citation needed] | 1731 | 35% | 42% | 12% | 0% | — | — | 11% | 58% | 42% |
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 | Roy Morgan[84] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 57% | 43% |
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[85] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 59.5% | 40.5% |
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[185] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60% | 40% |
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[90] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 59.5% | 40.5% |
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021 | Resolve Strategic[93] | — | 34% | 40% | 11% | 0% | — | — | 13% | 56.3% | 43.7% |
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021 | Roy Morgan[citation needed] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 56.5% | 43.5% |
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021 | Newspoll[citation needed] | 1536 | 40% | 37% | 13% | 1% | — | — | 9% | 53% | 47% |
13 Jun 2021 | Resolve Strategic[197] | — | 37% | 37% | 10% | 1% | — | — | 15% | 52.6% | 47.6% |
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021 | Roy Morgan[citation needed] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
12–16 May 2021 | Resolve Strategic[101] | — | 41% | 34% | 12% | 0% | — | — | 13% | 50% | 50% |
16 Apr 2021 | Resolve Strategic[175] | — | 33% | 34% | 12% | 6% | — | — | 14% | 52% | 48% |
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021 | Newspoll[206] | 1506 | 40% | 39% | 10% | 1% | — | — | 10% | 53% | 47% |
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 | Roy Morgan[199] | 2786 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 55% | 45% |
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020 | Newspoll[200] | 2160 | 39% | 39% | 14% | 0% | — | — | 8% | 55% | 45% |
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 | Roy Morgan[114] | 2824 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 | Roy Morgan[120] | 2841 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 52% | 48% |
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020 | Newspoll[201] | 457–2034 | 37% | 40% | 14% | 1% | — | — | 8% | 56% | 44% |
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 | Roy Morgan[123] | 2589 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
11 Mar – 16 May 2020 | Newspoll[202] | 472–1905 | 39% | 40% | 13% | 1% | — | — | 7% | 55% | 45% |
7–8 Dec 2019 | Newspoll[203] | 930–1472 | 40% | 38% | 12% | 1% | — | — | 11% | 53% | 47% |
Election: 18 May 2019 | [204] | 38.58% | 36.86% | 11.89% | 0.95% | 3.64% | 3.90% | 4.% | 53.14% | 46.86% |
Queensland
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LNP | ALP | GRN | ONP | UAP | IND | OTH | L/NP | ALP | |||
12–17 May 2022 | Resolve Strategic[15] | — | 31% | 28% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 48.5% | 51.5% |
17 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[18] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53% | 47% |
10 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[185] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
3 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[186] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 56.5% | 43.5% |
30 Apr 2022 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 41% | 27% | 18% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 52.7% | 47.3% |
27 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[28] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 54.5% | 45.5% |
20 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[32] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 48.5% | 51.5% |
16 Apr 2022 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 34% | 31% | 13% | 10% | 2% | 10% | 1% | 49% | 51% |
11 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[188] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
4 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[189] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
3 Apr 2022 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 33% | 33% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 11% | 2% | 46.4% | 53.6% |
29 Mar 2022 | Roy Morgan[190] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 51% | 49% |
14-20 Mar 2022 | Roy Morgan[citation needed] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 54.5% | 45.5% |
14-23 Feb 2022 | Roy Morgan[citation needed] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 50% | 50% |
20 Feb 2022 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 33% | 33% | 13% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 46.4% | 53.6% |
18 Feb 2022 | Roy Morgan[193] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 48.5% | 51.5% |
4–16 Jan 2022 | Roy Morgan[59] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
15 Jan 2022 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 34% | 26% | 15% | 13% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 51.4% | 48.6% |
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 | Roy Morgan[65] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 45.5% | 54.5% |
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 | Roy Morgan[72] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 48.5% | 51.5% |
20 Nov 2021 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 42% | 30% | 10% | 8% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 54.2% | 45.8% |
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021 | Roy Morgan[72] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53% | 47% |
24 Oct 2021 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 36% | 33% | 11% | 11% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 49.9% | 50.1% |
19 Sep 2021 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 38% | 32% | 10% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 51.8% | 48.2% |
Jul – Sep 2021 | Resolve Strategic[205] | — | 42% | 28% | 10% | 11% | — | — | 9% | 55.7% | 44.3% |
22 Aug 2021 | Resolve Strategic[187] | — | 45% | 26% | 12% | 7% | — | 8% | 3% | 57% | 43% |
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 | Roy Morgan[81] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 52.5% | 47.5% |
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021 | Newspoll[citation needed] | 1536 | 42% | 33% | 9% | 8% | — | — | 8% | 55% | 45% |
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 | Roy Morgan[84] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 54% | 46% |
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[85] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[196] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 52% | 48% |
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[90] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 52% | 48% |
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021 | Resolve Strategic[93] | — | 43% | 26% | 9% | 15% | — | — | 6% | 58.1% | 41.9% |
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021 | Roy Morgan[citation needed] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021 | Newspoll[citation needed] | 1249 | 42% | 33% | 11% | 7% | — | — | 7% | 53% | 47% |
13 Jun 2021 | Resolve Strategic[197] | — | 38% | 35% | 10% | 7% | — | — | 10% | 49.6% | 50.4% |
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021 | Roy Morgan[citation needed] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53% | 47% |
12–16 May 2021 | Resolve Strategic[101] | — | 41% | 30% | 12% | 7% | — | — | 11% | 53% | 47% |
16 Apr 2021 | Resolve Strategic[175] | — | 38% | 30% | 11% | 8% | — | — | 11% | 52% | 48% |
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021 | Newspoll[206] | 1276 | 42% | 35% | 10% | 8% | — | — | 5% | 53% | 47% |
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 | Roy Morgan[199] | 2786 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 52% | 48% |
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020 | Newspoll[200] | 1879 | 45% | 29% | 12% | 9% | — | — | 5% | 57% | 43% |
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 | Roy Morgan[114] | 2824 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 54.5% | 48.5% |
31 Oct 2020 | Annastacia Palaszczuk (Labor) wins the 2020 Queensland state election[207] | ||||||||||
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 | Roy Morgan[120] | 2841 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60% | 40% |
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020 | Newspoll[201] | 457–2034 | 46% | 27% | 10% | 11% | — | — | 6% | 59% | 41% |
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 | Roy Morgan[123] | 2589 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 58% | 42% |
11 Mar – 16 May 2020 | Newspoll[202] | 472–1905 | 42% | 28% | 13% | 11% | — | — | 6% | 56% | 44% |
7–8 Dec 2019 | Newspoll[203] | 930–1472 | 40% | 29% | 12% | 13% | — | — | 6% | 55% | 45% |
1 Sep 2019 | YouGov Galaxy[citation needed] | 40% | 29% | 12% | 13% | — | — | 6% | 55% | 45% | |
Election: 18 May 2019 | [204] | 43.70% | 26.68% | 10.32% | 8.86% | 3.51% | 1.27% | 5.66% | 58.44% | 41.56% |
Western Australia
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LNP | ALP | GRN | ONP | OTH | L/NP | ALP | |||
17 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[18] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 45.5% | 54.5% |
10 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[185] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 42.5% | 57.5% |
3 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[186] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 51% | 49% |
27 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[28] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 54.5% | 45.5% |
20 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[32] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 51% | 49% |
11 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[188] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 36.5% | 63.5% |
4 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[189] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 41% | 59% |
29 Mar 2022 | Roy Morgan[190] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43% | 57% |
14-20 Mar 2022 | Roy Morgan[191] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 41% | 59% |
14-23 Feb 2022 | Roy Morgan[192] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 48% | 52% |
18 Feb 2022 | Roy Morgan[193] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46.5% | 53.5% |
4–16 Jan 2022 | Roy Morgan[59] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49% | 51% |
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 | Roy Morgan[65] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 | Roy Morgan[70] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46.5% | 53.5% |
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021 | Roy Morgan[72] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46.5% | 53.5% |
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 | Roy Morgan[81] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 45.5% | 54.5% |
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021 | Newspoll[citation needed] | 602 | 37% | 42% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 46% | 54% |
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 | Roy Morgan[84] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53% | 47% |
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[85] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49% | 51% |
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[196] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 45.5% | 54.5% |
24–25, 31 July–1 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[90] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
10–11, 17–18 Jul 2021 | Resolve Strategic[93] | — | 33% | 39% | 21% | 2% | 6% | 40.8% | 59.2% |
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021 | Roy Morgan[citation needed] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 47.5% | 52.5% |
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021 | Newspoll[citation needed] | 625 | 39% | 41% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 47% | 53% |
13 Jun 2021 | Resolve Strategic[197] | — | 33% | 40% | 15% | 4% | 8% | 42.5% | 57.5% |
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021 | Roy Morgan[citation needed] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 51% | 49% |
12–16 May 2021 | Resolve Strategic[101] | — | 44% | 38% | 11% | 3% | 3% | 49.9% | 50.1% |
16 Apr 2021 | Resolve Strategic[175] | — | 42% | 40% | 13% | 5% | 1% | 47.5% | 52.5% |
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021 | Newspoll[206] | 628 | 40% | 42% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 47% | 53% |
Mark McGowan wins the 2021 Western Australian state election in a landslide[208] | |||||||||
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 | Roy Morgan[199] | 2786 | — | — | — | — | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020 | Newspoll[200] | 779 | 43% | 32% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 53% | 47% |
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 | Roy Morgan[114] | 2824 | — | — | — | — | — | 51% | 49% |
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 | Roy Morgan[120] | 2841 | — | — | — | — | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020 | Newspoll[201] | 457–2034 | 45% | 31% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 54% | 46% |
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 | Roy Morgan[123] | 2589 | — | — | — | — | — | 53.5% | 46.5% |
11 Mar – 16 May 2020 | Newspoll[202] | 472–1905 | 44% | 31% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 55% | 45% |
Election: 18 May 2019 | [204] | 43.79% | 29.80% | 11.62% | 5.31% | 9.48% | 55.55% | 44.45% |
South Australia
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LNP | ALP | GRN | ONP | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
17 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[18] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49% | 51% |
10 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[185] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 62.5% | 37.5% |
3 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[186] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 62.5% | 37.5% |
27 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[28] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 61.5% | 38.5% |
20 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[32] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 58% | 42% |
11 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[188] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53% | 47% |
4 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[189] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 56% | 44% |
29 Mar 2022 | Roy Morgan[190] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 63.5% | 36.5% |
14-20 Mar 2022 | Roy Morgan[191] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60.5% | 39.5% |
Peter Malinauskas wins the 2022 South Australia State Election[209] | |||||||||
14-23 Feb 2022 | Roy Morgan[192] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 59.5% | 41.5% |
18 Feb 2022 | Roy Morgan[193] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 59.5% | 40.5% |
4–16 Jan 2022 | Roy Morgan[59] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60.5% | 39.5% |
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 | Roy Morgan[65] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 64.5% | 35.5% |
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 | Roy Morgan[70] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 55.5% | 44.5% |
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021 | Roy Morgan[72] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 57.5% | 42.5% |
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 | Roy Morgan[81] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 58.5% | 41.5% |
14 Jul – 18 Sep 2021 | Newspoll[citation needed] | 472 | 40% | 38% | 11% | 1% | 10% | 53% | 47% |
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 | Roy Morgan[84] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[85] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 57.5% | 42.5% |
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[185] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 54.5% | 45.5% |
24–25, 31 Jul – 1 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[90] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 55.5% | 44.5% |
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021 | Roy Morgan[citation needed] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 51% | 49% |
29–30 May, 5–6 Jun 2021 | Roy Morgan[citation needed] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
21 Apr – 26 Jun 2021 | Newspoll[citation needed] | 473 | 37% | 39% | 10% | 2% | 12% | 54% | 46% |
27 Jan – 27 Mar 2021 | Newspoll[206] | 517 | 38% | 41% | 10% | 0% | 11% | 55% | 45% |
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 | Roy Morgan[199] | 2786 | — | — | — | — | — | 49.5% | 50.5% |
26 Aug – 28 Nov 2020 | Newspoll[200] | 600 | 44% | 36% | 10% | 1% | 9% | 49% | 51% |
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 | Roy Morgan[114] | 2824 | — | — | — | — | — | 52% | 48% |
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 | Roy Morgan[120] | 2841 | — | — | — | — | — | 42.5% | 57.5% |
3 Jun – 8 Aug 2020 | Newspoll[201] | 457–2034 | 43% | 36% | 10% | 0% | 11% | 50% | 50% |
11–12, 8–19 Jul 2020 | Roy Morgan[123] | 2589 | — | — | — | — | — | 47% | 53% |
11 Mar – 16 May 2020 | Newspoll[202] | 472–1905 | 40% | 37% | 12% | 0% | 11% | 53% | 47% |
Election: 18 May 2019 | [204] | 40.57% | 35.38% | 9.61% | 0.84% | 13.60% | 50.71% | 49.29% |
Tasmania
[edit]Date | Firm | Sample size |
Primary vote | 2PP vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LNP | ALP | GRN | ONP | OTH | ALP | L/NP | |||
17 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[18] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 58% | 42% |
10 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[185] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40% | 60% |
3 May 2022 | Roy Morgan[186] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 57.5% | 42.5% |
27 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[28] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 64.5% | 35.5% |
20 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[32] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 61% | 39% |
11 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[188] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 69% | 31% |
4 Apr 2022 | Roy Morgan[189] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 74% | 26% |
29 Mar 2022 | Roy Morgan[190] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53% | 47% |
14-20 Mar 2022 | Roy Morgan[191] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60% | 40% |
14-23 Feb 2022 | Roy Morgan[192] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 75% | 25% |
18 Feb 2022 | Roy Morgan[193] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 65% | 35% |
4–16 Jan 2022 | Roy Morgan[59] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60.5% | 39.5% |
27–28 Dec, 4–5 Dec 2021 | Roy Morgan[65] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 51.5% | 48.5% |
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 | Roy Morgan[70] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53% | 47% |
30–31 Oct, 6–7 Nov 2021 | Roy Morgan[72] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 57.5% | 42.5% |
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 | Roy Morgan[81] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 52% | 48% |
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 | Roy Morgan[84] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 55.5% | 44.5% |
21–22, 28–29 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[85] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 63.5% | 36.5% |
7–8, 14–15 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[185] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 57% | 43% |
24–25, 31 July − 1 Aug 2021 | Roy Morgan[90] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 54% | 46% |
10–11, 17–18 Jun 2021 | Roy Morgan[citation needed] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 58% | 42% |
14–15, 21–22 Nov 2020 | [citation needed] | 2824 | — | — | — | — | — | 48% | 52% |
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 | Roy Morgan[123] | 2589 | — | — | — | — | — | 58% | 42% |
Election: 18 May 2019 | [204] | 34.60% | 33.61% | 10.12% | 2.79% | 18.88% | 55.96% | 44.04% |
Government approval rating
[edit]Individual polls
[edit]Date | Firm | Right direction |
Wrong direction |
Can't say |
GCR[210] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14-20 Mar 2022 | Roy Morgan[191] | 33.5% | 50.5% | 16% | 83 | -17% |
14-23 Feb 2022 | Roy Morgan[192] | 35% | 47% | 18% | 88 | -12% |
18 Feb 2022 | Roy Morgan[193] | 35% | 48.5% | 16.5% | 86.5 | -13.5% |
4–16 Jan 2022 | Roy Morgan[59] | 34% | 51% | 15% | 83 | -17% |
27–28 Nov, 4–5 Dec 2021 | Roy Morgan[65] | 38% | 46.5% | 15.5% | 91.5 | -8.5% |
13–14, 20–21 Nov 2021 | Roy Morgan[79] | 39.5% | 46% | 14.5% | 93.5 | -6.5% |
2–3, 9–10 Oct 2021 | Roy Morgan[79] | 40% | 45% | 15% | 95 | -5% |
18–19, 25–26 Sep 2021 | Roy Morgan[81] | 40% | 44% | 16% | 96 | -4% |
4–5, 11–12 Sep 2021 | Roy Morgan[84] | 40% | 45.5% | 14.5% | 94.5 | -5.5% |
6–7, 13–14 Feb 2021 | Roy Morgan | 53.5% | 30% | 16.5% | 123.5 | +23.5% |
8–9, 15–16 Aug 2020 | Roy Morgan | 48% | 34% | 18% | 114 | +14% |
11–12, 18–19 Jul 2020 | Roy Morgan[123] | 49% | 34.5% | 16.5% | 114.5 | +14.5% |
13–14, 23–24 Jun 2020 | Roy Morgan[123] | 53.5% | 29.5% | 17% | 124 | +24% |
16–17, 23–24 May 2020 | Roy Morgan | 54.5% | 29.5% | 16% | 125 | +25% |
18–19, 25–26 Apr 2020 | Roy Morgan[129] | 51.5% | 27.5% | 21% | 124 | +24% |
29 Feb – 1 Mar, 7–8 Mar 2020 | Roy Morgan[129] | 37% | 47% | 16% | 90 | –10% |
22–23, 29–30 Jun 2019 | Roy Morgan[211] | 43.5% | 39% | 17.5% | 104.5 | +4.5% |
National direction polling
[edit]Individual polls
[edit]Date | Firm | Right direction |
Wrong direction |
Can't say |
Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
07 Dec 2021 | 53% | 47% | 0% | +6% | |
05 Nov 2021 | 54% | 46% | 0% | +8% | |
07 Oct 2021 | 51% | 49% | 0% | +2% | |
21 Sep 2021 | 53% | 47% | 0% | +6% | |
01 Sep 2021 | 49% | 51% | 0% | -2% | |
16 Aug 2021 | 51% | 49% | 0% | +2% | |
24 Jul 2021 | 52% | 48% | 0% | +4% | |
01 Jul 2021 | 56% | 44% | 0% | +12% | |
18 Jun 2021 | 60% | 40% | 0% | +20% | |
10 Mar 2021 | 63% | 37% | 0% | +26% | |
18 Feb 2021 | 61% | 39% | 0% | +22% | |
30 Jan 2021 | 65% | 35% | 0% | +30% | |
07 Jan 2021 | 61% | 39% | 0% | +22% | |
08 Dec 2020 | 68% | 32% | 0% | +36% | |
03 Nov 2020 | 61% | 39% | 0% | +22% | |
04 Oct 2020 | 59% | 41% | 0% | +18% | |
05 Sep 2020 | 53% | 47% | 0% | +6% | |
26 Aug 2020 | 59% | 41% | 0% | +18% | |
10 Aug 2020 | 51% | 49% | 0% | +2% | |
12 Jul 2020 | 56% | 44% | 0% | +12% | |
13 Jun 2020 | 60% | 40% | 0% | +20% | |
06 Jun 2020 | 57% | 42% | 1% | +15% | |
31 May 2020 | 63% | 37% | 0% | +26% | |
21 May 2020 | 62% | 38% | 0% | +24% | |
14 May 2020 | 60% | 40% | 0% | +20% | |
5 May 2020 | 62% | 38% | 0% | +24% | |
25 Apr 2020 | 57% | 42% | 1% | +15% | |
18 Apr 2020 | 56% | 43% | 1% | +13% | |
09 Apr 2020 | 51% | 49% | 0% | +2% | |
02 Apr 2020 | 46% | 54% | 0% | -8% | |
27 Mar 2020 | 42% | 57% | 1% | -15% | |
20 Mar 2020 | 39% | 61% | 0% | -22% | |
14 Mar 2020 | 38% | 62% | 0% | -24% | |
07 Mar 2020 | 39% | 61% | 0% | -22% | |
01 Mar 2020 | 41% | 59% | 0% | -18% | |
20 Feb 2020 | 39% | 61% | 0% | -22% | |
13 Feb 2020 | 40% | 60% | 0% | -20% | |
07 Feb 2020 | 38% | 62% | 0% | -24% | |
31 Jan 2020 | 40% | 60% | 0% | -20% | |
22 Jan 2020 | 39% | 61% | 0% | -22% | |
15 Jan 2020 | 37% | 63% | 0% | -26% | |
06 Jan 2020 | 37% | 63% | 0% | -26% |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu Independent primary votes are counted under the "other" column
- ^ Including 4% for the Western Australia Party
- ^ 5.2% Nick Xenophon, 3.0% Rex Patrick
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The Labor Party achieved a third term with an increased majority, winning 52 seats (four more than at the 2017 election) and securing a 4.1 per cent first preference positive swing. Ms Palaszczuk is Australia's first female Premier to win three consecutive elections; women won 21 of Labor's 52 seats (40 per cent).
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