2024 United States presidential election in Indiana

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2024 United States presidential election in Indiana

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Donald Trump
(presumptive)
Joe Biden
(presumptive)
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate TBA Kamala Harris
(presumptive)

Incumbent President

Joe Biden
Democratic



The 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Indiana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Indiana has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]

Indiana has a reputation for being the most conservative state in the Great Lakes region, with Republicans winning the state in all but one presidential election since 1968: a narrow sweep in 2008 by Democrat Barack Obama (with Joe Biden on the ticket) of neighboring Illinois. As a strongly red state, Indiana is expected to go safely GOP in 2024.[2]

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[3]

Primary elections[edit]

Democratic primary[edit]

The 2024 Indiana Democratic presidential primary is scheduled to be held on May 7, 2024. 88 delegates, 79 pledged and 9 superdelegates, to the Democratic National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates.[4]

In Indiana, candidates have to gather at least 500 signatures from each congressional district, for a total of 4,500 signatures, to make the primary ballot.[5] Incumbent President Joe Biden was the only candidate that met the requirements.[6] Uncommitted will not appear on the ballot, but write-in votes are allowed.[7]

Candidates[edit]

Republican primary[edit]

The Indiana Republican primary will be held on May 7, 2024, alongside the West Virginia primary.

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[8] Solid R December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[9] Solid R April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Solid R June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[11] Solid R December 14, 2023
CNalysis[12] Solid R December 30, 2023
CNN[13] Solid R January 14, 2024

Polling[edit]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College March 2–5, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 55% 34% 11%
Emerson College October 1–4, 2023 462 (RV) ± 4.5% 48% 29% 24%
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Nikki
Haley
Republican
Joe
Biden
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Emerson College March 2–5, 2024 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 44.5% 28.7% 26.8%

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
  2. ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
  3. ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
  4. ^ "Indiana Democratic Delegation 2024". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  5. ^ "Ballot access for presidential candidates". Ballotpedia. Retrieved January 20, 2024.
  6. ^ "Candidate List - Abbreviated" (PDF). Indiana Secretary of State. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  7. ^ "Indiana 2024 Delegate Selection Plan with DNC Edits" (PDF). Indiana Democratic Party. January 9, 2024. Retrieved March 1, 2024. No provision is provided under Indiana state law for primary voters to express an uncommitted preference on the ballot. Write-in presidential candidates are permitted.
  8. ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  9. ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  10. ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  11. ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  12. ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  13. ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.