2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

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2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

← 2022 November 5, 2024 2026 →

All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Current seats 5 1

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections are scheduled for May 21, 2024.

Background[edit]

The Kentucky Supreme Court heard arguments in September 2023 in a suit alleging that the state legislature violated the state constitution by creating a partisan gerrymander in the state's congressional map by moving the state capital Frankfort to the heavily Republican 1st district. On December 14, 2023, the court affirmed a lower court ruiling resulting in the case being dismissed.[1][2]

District 1[edit]

2024 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee James Comer (presumptive) Erin Marshall (presumptive)
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

James Comer
Republican



The 1st district is based in Western Kentucky and stretches into Central Kentucky, taking in Henderson, Hopkinsville, Madisonville, Paducah, Murray, and Frankfort. The incumbent is Republican James Comer, who was re-elected with 74.9% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

James Comer

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
James Comer (R) $3,637,369 $2,419,769 $2,295,421
Source: Federal Election Commission[6]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican James Comer (incumbent)
Total votes

Democratic primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

  • Erin Marshall, sales manager[7]

Endorsements[edit]

Erin Marshall
Organizations

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Erin Marshall
Total votes

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[9] Solid R December 30, 2023
Inside Elections[10] Solid R January 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe R November 16, 2023
Elections Daily[12] Safe R October 26, 2023
CNalysis[13] Solid R December 28, 2023

Results[edit]

Kentucky's 1st congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican James Comer (incumbent)
Democratic Erin Marshall
Total votes

District 2[edit]

2024 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Brett Guthrie (presumptive) TBD
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Brett Guthrie
Republican



The 2nd district is located in west central Kentucky, and includes Bowling Green, Owensboro, Elizabethtown, and a portion of eastern Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Brett Guthrie, who was re-elected with 71.9% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Brett Guthrie

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brett Guthrie (R) $1,070,519 $807,271 $2,127,367
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent)
Total votes

Democratic primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • William Compton, Plum Springs city commissioner and candidate for this district in 2022[7]
  • Hank Linderman, musician and nominee for this district in 2018, 2020, and 2022[7]

Endorsements[edit]

William Compton
Organizations

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
William Compton (D) $1,287 $1,843 $57
Hank Linderman (D) $0 $10,773 $7,963
Source: Federal Election Commission[15]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic William Compton
Democratic Hank Linderman
Total votes

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[9] Solid R December 30, 2023
Inside Elections[10] Solid R January 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe R November 16, 2023
Elections Daily[12] Safe R October 26, 2023
CNalysis[13] Solid R December 28, 2023

Results[edit]

Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brett Guthrie (incumbent)
Democratic TBD
Total votes

District 3[edit]

2024 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Morgan McGarvey
Democratic



The 3rd district encompasses nearly all of Louisville Metro, which, since the merger of 2003, is consolidated with Jefferson County, though other incorporated cities, such as Shively and St. Matthews, exist within the county. The incumbent is Democrat Morgan McGarvey, who was elected with 62.0% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Democratic primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Morgan McGarvey (D) $952,803 $380,682 $793,177
Geoff Young (D) $5,000[a] $670 $4,330
Source: Federal Election Commission[20]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Morgan McGarvey (incumbent)
Democratic Jared Randall
Democratic Geoff Young
Total votes

Republican primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Mike Craven, retired auto worker and perennial candidate[7]
  • Dennis Ormerod, candidate for governor in 2023[7]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Craven
Republican Dennis Ormerod
Total votes

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[9] Solid D December 30, 2023
Inside Elections[10] Solid D January 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe D November 16, 2023
Elections Daily[12] Safe D October 26, 2023
CNalysis[13] Solid D December 28, 2023

Results[edit]

Kentucky's 3rd congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic TBD
Republican TBD
Total votes

District 4[edit]

2024 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Party Republican

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Thomas Massie
Republican



The 4th district is located in the northeastern part of the state along the Ohio River, including the suburbs of Cincinnati and the eastern suburbs of Louisville. The incumbent is Republican Thomas Massie, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Eric Deters
Executive branch officials
Thomas Massie

Polling[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Eric
Deters
Thomas
Massie
Michael
McGinnis
Undecided
UpONE (R)[A] March 2–4, 2024 473 (LV) ± 5.7% 12% 70% 4% 13%

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Thomas Massie (R) $299,855 $230,611 $317,335
Source: Federal Election Commission[22]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Eric Deters
Republican Thomas Massie (incumbent)
Republican Michael McGinnis
Total votes

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[9] Solid R December 30, 2023
Inside Elections[10] Solid R January 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe R November 16, 2023
Elections Daily[12] Safe R October 26, 2023
CNalysis[13] Solid R December 28, 2023

Results[edit]

Kentucky's 4th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican TBD
Total votes

District 5[edit]

2024 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Party Republican

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Hal Rogers
Republican



The 5th district is based in the coalfields of eastern Kentucky. The incumbent is Republican House dean Hal Rogers, who was re-elected with 82.2% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Dana Edwards, surgeon[23]
  • David Kraftchak, airline pilot[24]
  • Brandon Monhallen, transportation manager and candidate for this district in 2022[7]
  • Hal Rogers, incumbent U.S. representative[7]

Endorsements[edit]

Hal Rogers

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Hal Rogers (R) $368,360 $262,949 $818,376
Dana Edwards (R) $306,721[c] $93,889 $215,331
Source: Federal Election Commission[25]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dana Edwards
Republican David Kraftchak
Republican Brandon Monhallen
Republican Hal Rogers (incumbent)
Total votes

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[9] Solid R December 30, 2023
Inside Elections[10] Solid R January 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe R November 16, 2023
Elections Daily[12] Safe R October 26, 2023
CNalysis[13] Solid R December 28, 2023

Results[edit]

Kentucky's 5th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican
Total votes

District 6[edit]

2024 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election

← 2022
2026 →
 
Nominee Andy Barr (presumptive) TBD
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Andy Barr
Republican



The 6th district is located in central Kentucky, taking in Lexington, Richmond, and Georgetown. The incumbent is Republican Andy Barr, who was re-elected with 62.7% of the vote in 2022.[3]

Republican primary[edit]

Presumptive nominee[edit]

Endorsements[edit]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Andy Barr (R) $1,844,673 $714,760 $3,170,685
Source: Federal Election Commission[27]

Results[edit]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent)
Total votes

Democratic primary[edit]

Declared[edit]

  • Randy Cravens, IT major incident manager and write-in candidate for this district in 2022[7]
  • Todd Kelly, tree nursery owner[7]
  • Don Pratt, retired grocery store owner and perennial candidate[7]
  • Jonathan Richardson[7]
  • Shauna Rudd, social worker[7]

Fundraising[edit]

Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Randy Cravens (D) $1,420 $4,279 $312
Source: Federal Election Commission[27]

Results[edit]

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Randy Cravens
Democratic Todd Kelly
Democratic Don Pratt
Democratic Jonathan Richardson
Democratic Shauna Rudd
Total votes

General election[edit]

Predictions[edit]

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[9] Solid R December 30, 2023
Inside Elections[10] Solid R January 3, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe R November 16, 2023
Elections Daily[12] Safe R October 26, 2023
CNalysis[13] Solid R December 28, 2023

Results[edit]

Kentucky's 6th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Andy Barr (incumbent)
Democratic TBD
Total votes

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ $5,000 of this total was self-funded by Young.
  2. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ $51,210 of this total was self-funded by Edwards.
Partisan clients
  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Massie's campaign

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Kentucky Supreme Court reviews state's Republican-drawn legislative, congressional maps". AP News. September 19, 2023. Retrieved November 23, 2023.
  2. ^ "Kentucky Supreme Court upholds legislative, congressional boundaries passed by GOP-led legislature". AP News. December 14, 2023. Retrieved December 24, 2023.
  3. ^ a b c d e f "2022 National House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 28, 2023.
  4. ^ Frisk, Garrett (July 21, 2023). "We Asked Every Member of the House if They're Running in 2024. Here's What They Said". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
  5. ^ a b c d e "Endorsed Candidates | CWF". www.cwfpac.com. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  6. ^ "2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 1st". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved November 23, 2023.
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s "Candidate Filings with the Office of the Secretary of State". Kentucky Secretary of State Office. Retrieved November 15, 2023.
  8. ^ "Vote Mama PAC | Candidates". Vote Mama PAC. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  9. ^ a b c d e f "2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 3, 2023.
  10. ^ a b c d e f "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
  11. ^ a b c d e f "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
  12. ^ a b c d e f "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 9, 2023. Retrieved August 9, 2023.
  13. ^ a b c d e f "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Retrieved December 11, 2023.
  14. ^ Anderson, Mario (November 16, 2023). "Brett Guthrie announces 2024 reelection campaign to Congress". Spectrum News. Retrieved November 16, 2023.
  15. ^ a b "2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 2nd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved September 18, 2023.
  16. ^ "2024 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
  17. ^ "BIPAC Action". bipacaction.com. Retrieved February 26, 2024.
  18. ^ "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
  19. ^ "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
  20. ^ "2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 3rd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved September 18, 2023.
  21. ^ Releases, Press (February 21, 2024). "Press release: Kentucky Trump Candidate Eric Deters Wins General Flynn Endorsement for Congress". LINK nky. Retrieved February 21, 2024.
  22. ^ "2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 4th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved September 18, 2023.
  23. ^ Tillman, Scott (July 12, 2023). "Dana Edwards Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress". US Term Limits. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
  24. ^ Tillman, Scott (July 12, 2023). "David Kraftchak Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress". US Term Limits. Retrieved November 16, 2023.
  25. ^ "2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 5th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved September 18, 2023.
  26. ^ "Pro-Israel America Announces Twenty Candidate Endorsements". Pro Israel America. March 7, 2024. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  27. ^ a b "2024 Election United States House - Kentucky 6th". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved September 18, 2023.

External links[edit]

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates