2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey
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The 2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New Jersey voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
As a densely-populated state in the Northeast, New Jersey has backed the Democratic candidate in every presidential election starting in 1992, doing so consistently by double digits starting in 2008. In 2020, the state broke 57%-41% for Democrat Joe Biden of neighboring Delaware, and is predicted to once again go comfortably blue in 2024.[2]
Incumbent President Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[3]
Primary elections[edit]
Democratic primary[edit]
The New Jersey Democratic primary is scheduled to be held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in the District of Columbia, Montana, New Mexico, and South Dakota.
Republican primary[edit]
The New Jersey Republican primary is scheduled to be held on June 4, 2024, alongside primaries in the District of Columbia, Montana, New Mexico, and South Dakota.
General election[edit]
Predictions[edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[4] | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[5] | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Solid D | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[7] | Solid D | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[8] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[9] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
Polling[edit]
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | March 26–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 39% | 15% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | March 26–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 36% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
See also[edit]
- United States presidential elections in New Jersey
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes[edit]
- Partisan clients
References[edit]
- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
- ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved March 8, 2024.
- ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
