2023 Nigerian presidential election in Enugu State
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The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Enugu State was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
Background
[edit]Enugu State is a small, Igbo-majority southeastern state with a growing economy and natural resources but facing an underdeveloped agricultural sector, rising debt, and a low COVID-19 vaccination rate. Politically, the state's 2019 elections were categorized as a continuation of the PDP's control as Ugwuanyi won with over 95% of the vote and the party won every seat in the House of Assembly along with all three senate seats and all eight House of Representatives seats. On the presidential level, the state was easily won by PDP presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar but it did swung towards Buhari compared to 2015 and had lower turnout.
Polling
[edit]Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tinubu APC |
Obi LP |
Kwankwaso NNPP |
Abubakar PDP | |||||||
BantuPage | December 2022 | N/A | 5% | 68% | 0% | 2% | – | 10% | 2% | 12% |
Nextier (Enugu crosstabs of national poll) |
27 January 2023 | N/A | 2.8% | 87.5% | – | – | – | 9.7% | – | – |
SBM Intelligence for EiE (Enugu crosstabs of national poll) |
22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 5% | 63% | – | 4% | – | 29% | – | – |
Projections
[edit]Source | Projection | As of | |
---|---|---|---|
Africa Elects[a][2] | Safe Obi | 24 February 2023 | |
Dataphyte[b][3] | |||
Tinubu: | 16.42% | 11 February 2023 | |
Obi: | 56.65% | ||
Abubakar: | 21.50% | ||
Others: | 5.43% | ||
Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence[c][4] |
Obi | 17 February 2023 | |
SBM Intelligence[d][5] | Obi | 15 December 2022 | |
ThisDay[e][6] | |||
Tinubu: | 10% | 27 December 2022 | |
Obi: | 60% | ||
Kwankwaso: | – | ||
Abubakar: | 15% | ||
Others/Undecided: | 15% | ||
The Nation[f][7][8] | Obi | 12-19 February 2023 |
General election
[edit]Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
A | Christopher Imumolen | |||
AA | Hamza al-Mustapha | |||
ADP | Yabagi Sani | |||
APP | Osita Nnadi | |||
AAC | Omoyele Sowore | |||
ADC | Dumebi Kachikwu | |||
APC | Bola Tinubu | 4,772 | 1.05% | |
APGA | Peter Umeadi | |||
APM | Princess Chichi Ojei | |||
BP | Sunday Adenuga | |||
LP | Peter Obi | 428,640 | 93.91% | |
NRM | Felix Johnson Osakwe | |||
New Nigeria Peoples Party | Rabiu Kwankwaso | 1,808 | 0.40% | |
PRP | Kola Abiola | |||
PDP | Atiku Abubakar | 15,749 | 3.45% | |
SDP | Adewole Adebayo | |||
YPP | Malik Ado-Ibrahim | |||
ZLP | Dan Nwanyanwu | |||
Total votes | 456,424 | 100.00% | ||
Invalid or blank votes | N/A | |||
Turnout | 22.19% |
By senatorial district
[edit]The results of the election by senatorial district.
Senatorial district | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
Enugu East Senatorial District[g] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Enugu North Senatorial District[h] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Enugu West Senatorial District[i] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By federal constituency
[edit]The results of the election by federal constituency.
Federal constituency | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
Aninri/Awgu/Oji River Federal Constituency[j] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Enugu East/Isi-Uzo Federal Constituency[k] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Enugu North/Enugu South Federal Constituency[l] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Ezeagu/Udi Federal Constituency[m] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Igbo-Etiti/Uzo-Uwani Federal Constituency[n] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Igboeze North/Udenu Federal Constituency[o] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Nkanu East/Nkanu West Federal Constituency[p] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Nsukka/Igbo-Eze South Federal Constituency[q] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By local government area
[edit]The results of the election by local government area.
Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
Aninri | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Awgu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Enugu East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Enugu North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Enugu South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Ezeagu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Igbo Etiti | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Igbo Eze North | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Igbo Eze South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Isi Uzo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Nkanu East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Nkanu West | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Nsukka | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Oji River | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Udenu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Udi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Unadu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Uzo Uwani | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ AfricaElects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
- ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
- ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
- ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Enugu North, Enugu South, Isi Uzo, Nkanu East, and Nkanu West.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Igbo Etiti, Igbo Eze North, Igbo Eze South, Nsukka, Udenu and Uzo Uwani.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Aninri, Awgu, Ezeagu, Oji River, and Udi.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Aninri, Awgu, and Oji River.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Enugu East and Isi Uzo.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Enugu North and Enugu South.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ezeagu and Udi.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Igbo Etiti and Uzo Uwani.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Igbo Eze North and Udenu.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Nkanu East and Nkanu West.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Nsukka and Igbo Eze South.
References
[edit]- ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
- ^ Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
- ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
- ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.