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2023 Nigerian presidential election in Nasarawa State

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2023 Nigerian presidential election in Nasarawa State
← 2019 25 February 2023 2027 →
Registered1,899,244
 
Nominee Peter Obi Bola Tinubu
Party LP APC
Home state Anambra Lagos
Running mate Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed Kashim Shettima
Popular vote 191,361 172,922
Percentage 35.40% 31.99%

 
Nominee Atiku Abubakar Rabiu Kwankwaso
Party PDP New Nigeria Peoples Party
Home state Adamawa Kano
Running mate Ifeanyi Okowa Isaac Idahosa
Popular vote 147,093 12,715
Percentage 27.21% 2.35%

President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

Elected President

TBD

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Nasarawa State was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Background

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Nasarawa State is a large state in the North Central with vast natural areas and a improving health sector but facing underdeveloped agriculture and intense challenges in security as the nationwide kidnapping epidemic, inter-ethnic violence, and herder–farmer clashes have all heavily affected the state. Politically, the state's 2019 elections had a significant swing towards the state APC. In federal elections, Buhari won the state by just 1% while the APC swept all senate seats by gaining two PDP-held seats. Similarly, the APC gained one PDP-held House of Representatives seat, held the governorship, and kept the majority in the House of Assembly.

Polling

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Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC
Obi
LP
Kwankwaso
NNPP
Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage December 2022 N/A 10% 51% 2% 15% 14% 5% 4%
Nextier
(Nasarawa crosstabs of national poll)
27 January 2023 N/A 28.2% 35.9% 30.8% 5.1%
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Nasarawa crosstabs of national poll)
22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 6% 43% 4% 14% 33%
LAMECON (Nasarawa State Election Opinion Poll) 5 October - 4 Dec 2022 1027 18.1% 42.6% 10.3% 28.5% 0.4% - -

Projections

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Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[a][2] Tossup 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[b][3]
Tinubu: 37.54% 11 February 2023
Obi: 21.11%
Abubakar: 23.70%
Others: 17.65%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[c][4]
Obi 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[d][5] Tinubu 15 December 2022
ThisDay[e][6]
Tinubu: 30% 27 December 2022
Obi: 25%
Kwankwaso: 10%
Abubakar: 25%
Others/Undecided: 10%
The Nation[f][7][8] Tinubu 12-19 February 2023

General election

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Results

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2023 Nigerian presidential election in Nasarawa State
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
New Nigeria Peoples Party Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

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The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Bola Tinubu
APC
Atiku Abubakar
PDP
Peter Obi
LP
Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP
Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Nasarawa North Senatorial District[g] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Nasarawa South Senatorial District[h] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Nasarawa West Senatorial District[i] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

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The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Bola Tinubu
APC
Atiku Abubakar
PDP
Peter Obi
LP
Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP
Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Akwanga/Nasarawa/Eggon/Wamba Federal Constituency[j] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Awe/Doma/Keana Federal Constituency[k] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Keffi/Karu/Kokona Federal Constituency[l] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Lafia/Obi Federal Constituency[m] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Nassarawa/Toto Federal Constituency[n] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

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The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area Bola Tinubu
APC
Atiku Abubakar
PDP
Peter Obi
LP
Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP
Others Total valid votes Turnout (%)
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Akwanga TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Awe TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Doma TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Eggon TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Karu TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Keana TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Keffi TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Kokona TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Lafia TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Nasarawa TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Obi TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Toto TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Wamba TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. ^ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Akwanga, Eggon, and Wamba.
  8. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Awe, Doma, Keana, Lafia and Obi.
  9. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Karu, Keffi, Kokona, Nasarawa and Toto.
  10. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Akwanga, Eggon, and Wamba.
  11. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Awe, Doma, and Keana.
  12. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Karu, Keffi, and Kokona.
  13. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Lafia and Obi.
  14. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Nasarawa and Toto.

References

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  1. ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. ^ Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  3. ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  4. ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  5. ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  6. ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.